Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:34.154225+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 12-0 | 1 | 25.26 | 25.92 | 11.63 | 11.41 | 0.59 |
| 2 | Boise State | Western Athletic | 12-0 | 1 | 24.66 | 23.83 | 8.95 | 10.8 | 1.2 |
| 3 | Louisville | Big East | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.48 | 22.33 | 12.41 | 10.6 | 0.4 |
| 4 | Michigan | Big Ten | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.44 | 15.58 | 13.67 | 10.18 | 0.82 |
| 5 | Florida | SEC | 12-1 | 0.92 | 23.3 | 15.38 | 12.95 | 11.17 | 0.83 |
| 6 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 11-1 | 0.92 | 22.51 | 18.33 | 7.98 | 10.81 | 0.19 |
| 7 | BYU | Mountain West | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.49 | 22.08 | 10.18 | 11.67 | -0.67 |
| 8 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.44 | 14.08 | 11.86 | 10.72 | 0.28 |
| 9 | USC | Pac-10 | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.38 | 15.42 | 13.81 | 10.12 | -0.12 |
| 10 | Rutgers | Big East | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.37 | 15.46 | 11.11 | 11.05 | -0.05 |
| 11 | LSU | SEC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.37 | 20.58 | 12.45 | 10.91 | -0.91 |
| 12 | West Virginia | Big East | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.01 | 18.33 | 10.81 | 9.83 | 0.17 |
| 13 | TCU | Mountain West | 11-2 | 0.85 | 20.91 | 16.92 | 7.93 | 11.52 | -0.52 |
| 14 | Auburn | SEC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.9 | 11.5 | 12.24 | 9.68 | 0.32 |
| 15 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.79 | 10 | 12.16 | 8.47 | 1.53 |
| 16 | Wake Forest | ACC | 11-2 | 0.85 | 20.5 | 7.54 | 8.89 | 9.46 | 1.54 |
| 17 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 11-3 | 0.79 | 19.99 | 22.79 | 9.1 | 11.61 | -0.61 |
| 18 | Texas | Big 12 | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.77 | 17.62 | 11.78 | 10.81 | -0.81 |
| 19 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.56 | 14.85 | 10.97 | 11.48 | -1.48 |
| 20 | California | Pac-10 | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.54 | 13.54 | 11.6 | 10.13 | -0.13 |
| 21 | Arkansas | SEC | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.4 | 11.62 | 11.29 | 9.9 | 0.1 |
| 22 | Boston College | ACC | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.33 | 10.31 | 11.48 | 9.98 | 0.02 |
| 23 | Tennessee | SEC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.18 | 9.83 | 13.63 | 8.7 | 0.3 |
| 24 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.75 | 13.46 | 11.69 | 10.22 | -1.22 |
| 25 | Houston | Conference USA | 10-4 | 0.71 | 17.66 | 9.5 | 9.38 | 9.67 | 0.33 |
| 26 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 10-4 | 0.71 | 17.62 | 5.57 | 12.06 | 8.81 | 1.19 |
| 27 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 10-4 | 0.71 | 17.59 | 7.43 | 10.44 | 9.3 | 0.7 |
| 28 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.31 | 7.31 | 11.33 | 8.75 | 0.25 |
| 29 | Georgia | SEC | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.21 | 7.54 | 10.92 | 9.09 | -0.09 |
| 30 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.2 | 7.31 | 10.89 | 9.12 | -0.12 |
| 31 | South Florida | Big East | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.92 | 6.08 | 9.73 | 8.76 | 0.24 |
| 32 | Penn State | Big Ten | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.79 | 7.75 | 10.88 | 8.77 | -0.77 |
| 33 | Navy | FBS Independents | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.78 | 8.15 | 7.03 | 8.99 | 0.01 |
| 34 | San José State | Western Athletic | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.33 | 4.15 | 7.14 | 7.88 | 1.12 |
| 35 | Clemson | ACC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 16.33 | 16.54 | 11.51 | 10.94 | -2.94 |
| 36 | Ohio | Mid-American | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.32 | 3.38 | 8.01 | 7.86 | 1.14 |
| 37 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 8-4 | 0.67 | 15.99 | 3.58 | 8.61 | 7.19 | 0.81 |
| 38 | Missouri | Big 12 | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.95 | 10.54 | 11.19 | 9.56 | -1.56 |
| 39 | South Carolina | SEC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.93 | 7.92 | 13.08 | 9.07 | -1.07 |
| 40 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.74 | 10.92 | 9.27 | 9.68 | -1.68 |
| 41 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.67 | 7.38 | 11.34 | 8.43 | -0.43 |
| 42 | Maryland | ACC | 9-4 | 0.69 | 15.59 | 0 | 11.47 | 6.5 | 2.5 |
| 43 | Tulsa | Conference USA | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.58 | 7.54 | 10.33 | 8.84 | -0.84 |
| 44 | Utah | Mountain West | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.54 | 8.08 | 9.62 | 9 | -1 |
| 45 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.36 | 5.77 | 10.04 | 8.44 | -0.44 |
| 46 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 7-6 | 0.54 | 14.17 | 9.62 | 12.5 | 8.84 | -1.84 |
| 47 | Florida State | ACC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 14 | 6.69 | 13.33 | 8.65 | -1.65 |
| 48 | Troy | Sun Belt | 8-5 | 0.62 | 13.95 | 0.54 | 7.79 | 6.68 | 1.32 |
| 49 | Cincinnati | Big East | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.95 | 1.33 | 12.85 | 6.48 | 0.52 |
| 50 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.57 | 3.08 | 13.42 | 7.6 | -0.6 |
| 51 | Miami | ACC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.42 | 4.15 | 10.88 | 8.29 | -1.29 |
| 52 | Kentucky | SEC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 13.37 | -1.69 | 12.88 | 6.03 | 1.97 |
| 53 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.35 | 2.92 | 11.91 | 7.3 | -0.3 |
| 54 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.29 | 4.31 | 9.14 | 7.91 | -0.91 |
| 55 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 6-6 | 0.5 | 13.03 | 8.92 | 10.57 | 8.23 | -2.23 |
| 56 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 7-6 | 0.54 | 12.97 | 1.69 | 11.18 | 7 | 0 |
| 57 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 7-6 | 0.54 | 12.63 | 0.77 | 10.99 | 6.78 | 0.22 |
| 58 | Purdue | Big Ten | 8-6 | 0.57 | 12.41 | -0.71 | 10.27 | 6.78 | 1.22 |
| 59 | Kansas | Big 12 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.32 | 3.5 | 9.68 | 6.91 | -0.91 |
| 60 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.13 | 1.5 | 12.39 | 6.45 | -0.45 |
| 61 | SMU | Conference USA | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.03 | 2.58 | 8.47 | 6.71 | -0.71 |
| 62 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 7-6 | 0.54 | 11.83 | -0.46 | 10.04 | 6.35 | 0.65 |
| 63 | Alabama | SEC | 6-7 | 0.46 | 11.71 | 3.69 | 12.05 | 7.83 | -1.83 |
| 64 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 7-6 | 0.54 | 11.69 | -1 | 11.04 | 6.17 | 0.83 |
| 65 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 6-7 | 0.46 | 11.6 | 2.92 | 12.45 | 7.32 | -1.32 |
| 66 | Iowa | Big Ten | 6-7 | 0.46 | 11.55 | 3.15 | 11.37 | 7.58 | -1.58 |
| 67 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.9 | -0.5 | 10.31 | 5.84 | 0.16 |
| 68 | Rice | Conference USA | 7-6 | 0.54 | 10.65 | -6.31 | 11.36 | 4.91 | 2.09 |
| 69 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.32 | -3 | 12.65 | 4.83 | 1.17 |
| 70 | Kent State | Mid-American | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.05 | -2.25 | 7.35 | 5.16 | 0.84 |
| 71 | Ball State | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.97 | 1.42 | 8.62 | 6.38 | -1.38 |
| 72 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.81 | -4 | 8.46 | 4.76 | 1.24 |
| 73 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 6-7 | 0.46 | 9.38 | -2.15 | 9.7 | 5.78 | 0.22 |
| 74 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.31 | -8.92 | 8.78 | 3.01 | 2.99 |
| 75 | Virginia | ACC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.46 | -2.75 | 11.38 | 4.82 | 0.18 |
| 76 | Washington | Pac-10 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.38 | -4.08 | 13.72 | 4.8 | 0.2 |
| 77 | Akron | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.31 | -2.92 | 9.64 | 5.03 | -0.03 |
| 78 | Marshall | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.2 | -3.33 | 9.12 | 5.15 | -0.15 |
| 79 | UTEP | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.12 | -3.92 | 9.39 | 5.06 | -0.06 |
| 80 | Toledo | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8 | -4.25 | 8.42 | 4.83 | 0.17 |
| 81 | Indiana | Big Ten | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.66 | -9.75 | 11.78 | 3.63 | 1.37 |
| 82 | New Mexico State | Western Athletic | 4-8 | 0.33 | 7.49 | 0.42 | 7.37 | 6.1 | -2.1 |
| 83 | Florida Atlantic | Sun Belt | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.47 | -9.83 | 8.7 | 2.8 | 2.2 |
| 84 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 4-8 | 0.33 | 7.03 | -0.42 | 8.5 | 5.87 | -1.87 |
| 85 | Air Force | Mountain West | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.69 | -1.92 | 12.63 | 5.44 | -1.44 |
| 86 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.69 | -1.67 | 11.22 | 5.48 | -1.48 |
| 87 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.37 | -3.25 | 12.22 | 5.14 | -1.14 |
| 88 | UConn | Big East | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.06 | -5.58 | 12.95 | 4.39 | -0.39 |
| 89 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.04 | -5.25 | 11.79 | 4.57 | -0.57 |
| 90 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.92 | -5.08 | 8.81 | 4.18 | -0.18 |
| 91 | Syracuse | Big East | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.92 | -7.17 | 13.65 | 3.68 | 0.32 |
| 92 | Ole Miss | SEC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.84 | -7.25 | 12 | 3.47 | 0.53 |
| 93 | Baylor | Big 12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.68 | -9 | 11.93 | 3.81 | 0.19 |
| 94 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.59 | -9.67 | 11.02 | 3.01 | 0.99 |
| 95 | UCF | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.57 | -9.42 | 10.09 | 3.37 | 0.63 |
| 96 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.56 | -8.83 | 9.01 | 3.5 | 0.5 |
| 97 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.44 | -11.92 | 10.94 | 2.86 | 1.14 |
| 98 | Tulane | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.33 | -14.67 | 12.09 | 2.42 | 1.58 |
| 99 | Idaho | Western Athletic | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.1 | -17.83 | 9.93 | 1.84 | 2.16 |
| 100 | NC State | ACC | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.35 | -4.33 | 11.69 | 4.46 | -1.46 |
| 101 | UAB | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.11 | -6 | 10.93 | 4.09 | -1.09 |
| 102 | Mississippi State | SEC | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.01 | -7.33 | 12.07 | 3.73 | -0.73 |
| 103 | Army | FBS Independents | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.84 | -8.58 | 10.21 | 3.54 | -0.54 |
| 104 | North Carolina | ACC | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.64 | -12.5 | 12.33 | 2.67 | 0.33 |
| 105 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.57 | -12.92 | 10.82 | 2.13 | 0.87 |
| 106 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.56 | -12.5 | 9.74 | 2 | 1 |
| 107 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 3-10 | 0.23 | 2.7 | -23.08 | 11.04 | 1.68 | 1.32 |
| 108 | Colorado | Big 12 | 2-10 | 0.17 | 2.32 | -5.92 | 11.16 | 3.9 | -1.9 |
| 109 | Illinois | Big Ten | 2-10 | 0.17 | 2.21 | -7.17 | 12.02 | 3.88 | -1.88 |
| 110 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 2-10 | 0.17 | 2.2 | -6.83 | 10.08 | 3.86 | -1.86 |
| 111 | Memphis | Conference USA | 2-10 | 0.17 | 2.18 | -7 | 9.44 | 4.2 | -2.2 |
| 112 | UNLV | Mountain West | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.82 | -12 | 10.57 | 2.95 | -0.95 |
| 113 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.56 | -17.58 | 12.04 | 2.03 | -0.03 |
| 114 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.26 | -12.92 | 11.36 | 2.09 | -1.09 |
| 115 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.63 | -20.83 | 15.42 | 0.85 | 0.15 |
| 116 | Utah State | Western Athletic | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.84 | -27.67 | 13.89 | 0.57 | 0.43 |
| 117 | Temple | FBS Independents | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.91 | -30.42 | 13.24 | 0.49 | 0.51 |
| 118 | Florida International | Sun Belt | 0-12 | 0 | -2.23 | -16.5 | 10.57 | 1.02 | -1.02 |
| 119 | Duke | ACC | 0-12 | 0 | -2.36 | -18.92 | 11.89 | 1.51 | -1.51 |