Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:34.155011+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boise State | Western Athletic | 13-0 | 1 | 24.69 | 22.08 | 9.73 | 11.35 | 1.65 |
| 2 | Florida | SEC | 13-1 | 0.93 | 23.66 | 16.21 | 13.9 | 12.13 | 0.87 |
| 3 | Louisville | Big East | 12-1 | 0.92 | 23.48 | 21.46 | 12.93 | 11.44 | 0.56 |
| 4 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 12-1 | 0.92 | 23.43 | 21.85 | 12.35 | 11.88 | 0.12 |
| 5 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 12-1 | 0.92 | 22.47 | 17.15 | 8.36 | 11.58 | 0.42 |
| 6 | LSU | SEC | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.84 | 21.08 | 12.77 | 11.85 | -0.85 |
| 7 | USC | Pac-10 | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.82 | 15.31 | 14.06 | 10.91 | 0.09 |
| 8 | Michigan | Big Ten | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.71 | 13.31 | 14.07 | 10.51 | 0.49 |
| 9 | West Virginia | Big East | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.45 | 17.15 | 11.39 | 10.39 | 0.61 |
| 10 | BYU | Mountain West | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.42 | 22.08 | 10.17 | 11.67 | -0.67 |
| 11 | Auburn | SEC | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.3 | 10.85 | 12.52 | 10.36 | 0.64 |
| 12 | Rutgers | Big East | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.27 | 15.46 | 10.83 | 11.05 | -0.05 |
| 13 | TCU | Mountain West | 11-2 | 0.85 | 20.85 | 16.92 | 7.96 | 11.52 | -0.52 |
| 14 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 11-3 | 0.79 | 20.07 | 13 | 12.5 | 11.07 | -0.07 |
| 15 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 11-3 | 0.79 | 19.89 | 22.79 | 8.82 | 11.61 | -0.61 |
| 16 | Texas | Big 12 | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.65 | 17.62 | 11.33 | 10.81 | -0.81 |
| 17 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.46 | 14.85 | 10.93 | 11.48 | -1.48 |
| 18 | California | Pac-10 | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.44 | 13.54 | 11.23 | 10.13 | -0.13 |
| 19 | Boston College | ACC | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.26 | 10.31 | 11.33 | 9.98 | 0.02 |
| 20 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.17 | 7.15 | 12.42 | 8.46 | 1.54 |
| 21 | Wake Forest | ACC | 11-3 | 0.79 | 19.13 | 6.21 | 9.84 | 9.68 | 1.32 |
| 22 | Arkansas | SEC | 10-4 | 0.71 | 18.03 | 10.57 | 12.07 | 10.45 | -0.45 |
| 23 | Tennessee | SEC | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.67 | 8.31 | 13.99 | 9.08 | -0.08 |
| 24 | Houston | Conference USA | 10-4 | 0.71 | 17.6 | 9.5 | 9.6 | 9.67 | 0.33 |
| 25 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 10-4 | 0.71 | 17.57 | 5.57 | 11.92 | 8.81 | 1.19 |
| 26 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 10-4 | 0.71 | 17.51 | 7.43 | 10.11 | 9.3 | 0.7 |
| 27 | Penn State | Big Ten | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.22 | 7.92 | 10.92 | 9.6 | -0.6 |
| 28 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.2 | 7.31 | 11.22 | 8.75 | 0.25 |
| 29 | Georgia | SEC | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.16 | 7.54 | 10.79 | 9.09 | -0.09 |
| 30 | South Florida | Big East | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.89 | 6.08 | 9.84 | 8.76 | 0.24 |
| 31 | Navy | FBS Independents | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.69 | 8.15 | 6.95 | 8.99 | 0.01 |
| 32 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 9-5 | 0.64 | 16.55 | 12.29 | 12.04 | 10.8 | -1.8 |
| 33 | San José State | Western Athletic | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.27 | 4.15 | 7.03 | 7.88 | 1.12 |
| 34 | Clemson | ACC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 16.25 | 16.54 | 11.55 | 10.94 | -2.94 |
| 35 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 9-5 | 0.64 | 16.03 | 6.57 | 11.42 | 9.43 | -0.43 |
| 36 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 9-5 | 0.64 | 15.88 | 6.86 | 10.05 | 9.49 | -0.49 |
| 37 | South Carolina | SEC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.86 | 7.92 | 12.68 | 9.07 | -1.07 |
| 38 | Missouri | Big 12 | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.81 | 10.54 | 10.69 | 9.56 | -1.56 |
| 39 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.66 | 10.92 | 9.31 | 9.68 | -1.68 |
| 40 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.6 | 7.38 | 11 | 8.43 | -0.43 |
| 41 | Maryland | ACC | 9-4 | 0.69 | 15.53 | 0 | 11.12 | 6.5 | 2.5 |
| 42 | Tulsa | Conference USA | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.51 | 7.54 | 10.12 | 8.84 | -0.84 |
| 43 | Utah | Mountain West | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.48 | 8.08 | 9.5 | 9 | -1 |
| 44 | Cincinnati | Big East | 8-5 | 0.62 | 14.87 | 1.46 | 12.94 | 7.05 | 0.95 |
| 45 | Ohio | Mid-American | 9-5 | 0.64 | 14.84 | 1.64 | 8.45 | 7.72 | 1.28 |
| 46 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 8-5 | 0.62 | 14.81 | 3.08 | 9.08 | 7.6 | 0.4 |
| 47 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 7-6 | 0.54 | 14.09 | 9.62 | 11.92 | 8.84 | -1.84 |
| 48 | Florida State | ACC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.97 | 6.69 | 13.11 | 8.65 | -1.65 |
| 49 | Troy | Sun Belt | 8-5 | 0.62 | 13.89 | 0.54 | 7.54 | 6.68 | 1.32 |
| 50 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.5 | 3.08 | 13.44 | 7.6 | -0.6 |
| 51 | Miami | ACC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.39 | 4.15 | 10.68 | 8.29 | -1.29 |
| 52 | Kentucky | SEC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 13.36 | -1.69 | 12.84 | 6.03 | 1.97 |
| 53 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.29 | 2.92 | 11.79 | 7.3 | -0.3 |
| 54 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.22 | 4.31 | 8.88 | 7.91 | -0.91 |
| 55 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 6-6 | 0.5 | 13 | 8.92 | 10.7 | 8.23 | -2.23 |
| 56 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 7-6 | 0.54 | 12.92 | 1.69 | 11.07 | 7 | 0 |
| 57 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 7-6 | 0.54 | 12.58 | 0.77 | 10.92 | 6.78 | 0.22 |
| 58 | Purdue | Big Ten | 8-6 | 0.57 | 12.31 | -0.71 | 10.11 | 6.78 | 1.22 |
| 59 | Kansas | Big 12 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.24 | 3.5 | 9.23 | 6.91 | -0.91 |
| 60 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.09 | 1.5 | 12.41 | 6.45 | -0.45 |
| 61 | SMU | Conference USA | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.98 | 2.58 | 8.38 | 6.71 | -0.71 |
| 62 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 7-6 | 0.54 | 11.76 | -0.46 | 10.11 | 6.35 | 0.65 |
| 63 | Alabama | SEC | 6-7 | 0.46 | 11.64 | 3.69 | 11.95 | 7.83 | -1.83 |
| 64 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 7-6 | 0.54 | 11.6 | -1 | 10.96 | 6.17 | 0.83 |
| 65 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 6-7 | 0.46 | 11.52 | 2.92 | 12.22 | 7.32 | -1.32 |
| 66 | Iowa | Big Ten | 6-7 | 0.46 | 11.46 | 3.15 | 11.01 | 7.58 | -1.58 |
| 67 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.86 | -0.5 | 10.28 | 5.84 | 0.16 |
| 68 | Rice | Conference USA | 7-6 | 0.54 | 10.61 | -6.31 | 11.22 | 4.91 | 2.09 |
| 69 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.29 | -3 | 12.66 | 4.83 | 1.17 |
| 70 | Kent State | Mid-American | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.99 | -2.25 | 7.01 | 5.16 | 0.84 |
| 71 | Ball State | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.91 | 1.42 | 8.25 | 6.38 | -1.38 |
| 72 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.76 | -4 | 8.11 | 4.76 | 1.24 |
| 73 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 6-7 | 0.46 | 9.34 | -2.15 | 9.57 | 5.78 | 0.22 |
| 74 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.28 | -8.92 | 8.73 | 3.01 | 2.99 |
| 75 | Virginia | ACC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.43 | -2.75 | 11.3 | 4.82 | 0.18 |
| 76 | Washington | Pac-10 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.34 | -4.08 | 13.58 | 4.8 | 0.2 |
| 77 | Akron | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.28 | -2.92 | 9.56 | 5.03 | -0.03 |
| 78 | Marshall | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.16 | -3.33 | 8.88 | 5.15 | -0.15 |
| 79 | UTEP | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.09 | -3.92 | 9.3 | 5.06 | -0.06 |
| 80 | Toledo | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.98 | -4.25 | 8.33 | 4.83 | 0.17 |
| 81 | Indiana | Big Ten | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.6 | -9.75 | 11.19 | 3.63 | 1.37 |
| 82 | New Mexico State | Western Athletic | 4-8 | 0.33 | 7.46 | 0.42 | 7.25 | 6.1 | -2.1 |
| 83 | Florida Atlantic | Sun Belt | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.43 | -9.83 | 8.42 | 2.8 | 2.2 |
| 84 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.99 | -0.42 | 8.25 | 5.87 | -1.87 |
| 85 | Air Force | Mountain West | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.65 | -1.92 | 12.24 | 5.44 | -1.44 |
| 86 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.65 | -1.67 | 10.97 | 5.48 | -1.48 |
| 87 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.33 | -3.25 | 11.72 | 5.14 | -1.14 |
| 88 | UConn | Big East | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.04 | -5.58 | 12.87 | 4.39 | -0.39 |
| 89 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.02 | -5.25 | 11.71 | 4.57 | -0.57 |
| 90 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.9 | -5.08 | 8.68 | 4.18 | -0.18 |
| 91 | Syracuse | Big East | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.9 | -7.17 | 13.59 | 3.68 | 0.32 |
| 92 | Ole Miss | SEC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.81 | -7.25 | 11.79 | 3.47 | 0.53 |
| 93 | Baylor | Big 12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.65 | -9 | 11.66 | 3.81 | 0.19 |
| 94 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.55 | -9.67 | 10.57 | 3.01 | 0.99 |
| 95 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.54 | -8.83 | 8.91 | 3.5 | 0.5 |
| 96 | UCF | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.54 | -9.42 | 9.97 | 3.37 | 0.63 |
| 97 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.4 | -11.92 | 10.46 | 2.86 | 1.14 |
| 98 | Tulane | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.32 | -14.67 | 12.05 | 2.42 | 1.58 |
| 99 | Idaho | Western Athletic | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.08 | -17.83 | 9.84 | 1.84 | 2.16 |
| 100 | NC State | ACC | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.34 | -4.33 | 11.61 | 4.46 | -1.46 |
| 101 | UAB | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.1 | -6 | 10.87 | 4.09 | -1.09 |
| 102 | Mississippi State | SEC | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4 | -7.33 | 12.19 | 3.73 | -0.73 |
| 103 | Army | FBS Independents | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.82 | -8.58 | 9.81 | 3.54 | -0.54 |
| 104 | North Carolina | ACC | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.61 | -12.5 | 11.87 | 2.67 | 0.33 |
| 105 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.56 | -12.92 | 10.78 | 2.13 | 0.87 |
| 106 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.55 | -12.5 | 9.6 | 2 | 1 |
| 107 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 3-10 | 0.23 | 2.68 | -23.08 | 10.62 | 1.68 | 1.32 |
| 108 | Colorado | Big 12 | 2-10 | 0.17 | 2.31 | -5.92 | 10.78 | 3.9 | -1.9 |
| 109 | Illinois | Big Ten | 2-10 | 0.17 | 2.19 | -7.17 | 11.71 | 3.88 | -1.88 |
| 110 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 2-10 | 0.17 | 2.19 | -6.83 | 9.76 | 3.86 | -1.86 |
| 111 | Memphis | Conference USA | 2-10 | 0.17 | 2.17 | -7 | 9.2 | 4.2 | -2.2 |
| 112 | UNLV | Mountain West | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.81 | -12 | 10.44 | 2.95 | -0.95 |
| 113 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.55 | -17.58 | 12 | 2.03 | -0.03 |
| 114 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.26 | -12.92 | 11.04 | 2.09 | -1.09 |
| 115 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.63 | -20.83 | 15.15 | 0.85 | 0.15 |
| 116 | Utah State | Western Athletic | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.84 | -27.67 | 13.65 | 0.57 | 0.43 |
| 117 | Temple | FBS Independents | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.91 | -30.42 | 12.91 | 0.49 | 0.51 |
| 118 | Florida International | Sun Belt | 0-12 | 0 | -2.23 | -16.5 | 10.49 | 1.02 | -1.02 |
| 119 | Duke | ACC | 0-12 | 0 | -2.35 | -18.92 | 11.56 | 1.51 | -1.51 |