Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:34.149482+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 7-0 | 1 | 27.4 | 24.57 | 16.3 | 6.7 | 0.3 |
| 2 | USC | Pac-10 | 6-0 | 1 | 27.09 | 15 | 16.6 | 5.03 | 0.97 |
| 3 | Michigan | Big Ten | 7-0 | 1 | 26.93 | 17.57 | 15.27 | 6.14 | 0.86 |
| 4 | Louisville | Big East | 6-0 | 1 | 26.37 | 28 | 10.78 | 5.65 | 0.35 |
| 5 | Boise State | Western Athletic | 7-0 | 1 | 25.69 | 24.71 | 8.08 | 6.38 | 0.62 |
| 6 | Rutgers | Big East | 6-0 | 1 | 25.62 | 23.33 | 8.18 | 5.76 | 0.24 |
| 7 | West Virginia | Big East | 6-0 | 1 | 25.21 | 28.5 | 5.37 | 5.64 | 0.36 |
| 8 | Florida | SEC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 23.99 | 15.29 | 17.14 | 6.13 | -0.13 |
| 9 | Auburn | SEC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 23.26 | 13.57 | 15.35 | 5.99 | 0.01 |
| 10 | California | Pac-10 | 6-1 | 0.86 | 23.06 | 18.43 | 12.88 | 5.87 | 0.13 |
| 11 | Texas | Big 12 | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.78 | 29 | 9.49 | 6.56 | -0.56 |
| 12 | Clemson | ACC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.75 | 30.57 | 8.88 | 6.61 | -0.61 |
| 13 | Tennessee | SEC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.71 | 15.83 | 15.33 | 4.83 | 0.17 |
| 14 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.56 | 23.57 | 9.12 | 6.42 | -0.42 |
| 15 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.55 | 16.57 | 10.72 | 5.87 | 0.13 |
| 16 | Missouri | Big 12 | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.34 | 18.29 | 7.56 | 6.17 | -0.17 |
| 17 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.19 | 24.29 | 6.99 | 6.45 | -0.45 |
| 18 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.15 | 21.14 | 7.4 | 6.37 | -0.37 |
| 19 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.11 | 6.67 | 15.77 | 3.86 | 1.14 |
| 20 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.02 | 11.67 | 12.98 | 4.31 | 0.69 |
| 21 | Boston College | ACC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.71 | 9 | 12.77 | 4.41 | 0.59 |
| 22 | Arkansas | SEC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.54 | 10 | 11.46 | 4.43 | 0.57 |
| 23 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.53 | 12.5 | 9.65 | 4.77 | 0.23 |
| 24 | Wake Forest | ACC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.52 | 8.29 | 7.52 | 5.2 | 0.8 |
| 25 | Tulsa | Conference USA | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.51 | 12.33 | 10.02 | 4.75 | 0.25 |
| 26 | LSU | SEC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19.78 | 27 | 13.03 | 6.77 | -1.77 |
| 27 | Iowa | Big Ten | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.98 | 10.57 | 10.69 | 5.21 | -0.21 |
| 28 | San José State | Western Athletic | 4-1 | 0.8 | 18.8 | 6.6 | 0.61 | 3.31 | 0.69 |
| 29 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.7 | 14.83 | 15.68 | 4.84 | -0.84 |
| 30 | Georgia | SEC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.53 | 10.57 | 7.8 | 5.41 | -0.41 |
| 31 | Alabama | SEC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.48 | 6.86 | 11.44 | 4.8 | 0.2 |
| 32 | Navy | FBS Independents | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.14 | 4.29 | 9.44 | 4.27 | 0.73 |
| 33 | BYU | Mountain West | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.08 | 16.17 | 10.41 | 4.96 | -0.96 |
| 34 | South Florida | Big East | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.04 | 10 | 6.69 | 5.26 | -0.26 |
| 35 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.96 | 10.33 | 10.44 | 4.63 | -0.63 |
| 36 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.82 | 17.83 | 8.76 | 4.9 | -0.9 |
| 37 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.72 | 14.17 | 7.22 | 5.05 | -1.05 |
| 38 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.67 | 14.5 | 9.01 | 4.43 | -0.43 |
| 39 | Kent State | Mid-American | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.63 | 7 | 5.88 | 4.81 | 0.19 |
| 40 | Florida State | ACC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.6 | 12.33 | 9.12 | 4.64 | -0.64 |
| 41 | Purdue | Big Ten | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.53 | 3.57 | 8.22 | 3.97 | 1.03 |
| 42 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.53 | 5.5 | 12.96 | 3.89 | 0.11 |
| 43 | Miami | ACC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.46 | 11.67 | 8.67 | 4.97 | -0.97 |
| 44 | South Carolina | SEC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.22 | 7.17 | 8.47 | 4.35 | -0.35 |
| 45 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.96 | 6.33 | 8.08 | 4.04 | -0.04 |
| 46 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.69 | 6.67 | 3.71 | 4.15 | -0.15 |
| 47 | UTEP | Conference USA | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.37 | 2.33 | 8.98 | 3.28 | 0.72 |
| 48 | Maryland | ACC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.16 | 1.33 | 8.89 | 3.21 | 0.79 |
| 49 | Air Force | Mountain West | 3-2 | 0.6 | 15.91 | 3.8 | 15.89 | 2.98 | 0.02 |
| 50 | TCU | Mountain West | 3-2 | 0.6 | 15.75 | 5 | 11.61 | 3.33 | -0.33 |
| 51 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.52 | 4.43 | 14.88 | 4.37 | -0.37 |
| 52 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.49 | 7.29 | 11.26 | 4.7 | -0.7 |
| 53 | Houston | Conference USA | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.22 | 8.57 | 8.67 | 4.76 | -0.76 |
| 54 | Utah | Mountain West | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.22 | 8.57 | 8.62 | 5.07 | -1.07 |
| 55 | Penn State | Big Ten | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.15 | 3.71 | 12.96 | 4.2 | -0.2 |
| 56 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.59 | 4.29 | 7.68 | 4.18 | -0.18 |
| 57 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.58 | 2.29 | 10.53 | 4.02 | -0.02 |
| 58 | SMU | Conference USA | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.45 | 5.57 | 7.23 | 4.41 | -0.41 |
| 59 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 4-2 | 0.67 | 13.78 | -5.67 | 7.83 | 1.97 | 2.03 |
| 60 | Washington | Pac-10 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 13.75 | -0.71 | 15.15 | 3.37 | 0.63 |
| 61 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 4-3 | 0.57 | 13.61 | 0.43 | 11.4 | 3.57 | 0.43 |
| 62 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.27 | 4 | 14.02 | 3.59 | -0.59 |
| 63 | Ohio | Mid-American | 4-3 | 0.57 | 13.02 | -0.86 | 12.88 | 3.32 | 0.68 |
| 64 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 3-2 | 0.6 | 12.58 | -4.6 | 9.31 | 2 | 1 |
| 65 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.55 | 1.5 | 10.65 | 3.2 | -0.2 |
| 66 | UConn | Big East | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.45 | 1.5 | 12.15 | 3.25 | -0.25 |
| 67 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.15 | 0 | 12.25 | 3 | 0 |
| 68 | Indiana | Big Ten | 4-3 | 0.57 | 12.06 | -3.43 | 10.61 | 2.98 | 1.02 |
| 69 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 4-3 | 0.57 | 11.54 | -8 | 10.82 | 2.24 | 1.76 |
| 70 | NC State | ACC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 11.49 | -1 | 11.94 | 2.83 | 0.17 |
| 71 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 3-4 | 0.43 | 11.42 | 4.29 | 12.22 | 4.33 | -1.33 |
| 72 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 11.35 | 4 | 11.42 | 4.33 | -1.33 |
| 73 | Kansas | Big 12 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 11.2 | 1.86 | 11.13 | 3.78 | -0.78 |
| 74 | Idaho | Western Athletic | 4-3 | 0.57 | 11.17 | -7.57 | 6.73 | 2.28 | 1.72 |
| 75 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 3-4 | 0.43 | 11.02 | 0.29 | 16.17 | 3.54 | -0.54 |
| 76 | Baylor | Big 12 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 10.61 | 0.43 | 10.67 | 3.57 | -0.57 |
| 77 | Army | FBS Independents | 3-4 | 0.43 | 10.6 | 0.71 | 9.3 | 3.63 | -0.63 |
| 78 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.47 | -3.33 | 8.94 | 2.43 | 0.57 |
| 79 | Syracuse | Big East | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.76 | -2.14 | 14.89 | 3.12 | -0.12 |
| 80 | Cincinnati | Big East | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.34 | -2.71 | 13.09 | 2.93 | 0.07 |
| 81 | UAB | Conference USA | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9 | -2.71 | 8.28 | 2.95 | 0.05 |
| 82 | Kentucky | SEC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.99 | -6.57 | 14.1 | 2.53 | 0.47 |
| 83 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.78 | -2.86 | 9.42 | 2.95 | 0.05 |
| 84 | New Mexico State | Western Athletic | 2-4 | 0.33 | 8.69 | 2.83 | 6.06 | 3.33 | -1.33 |
| 85 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 2-5 | 0.29 | 8.61 | 3.43 | 17.05 | 4.03 | -2.03 |
| 86 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.49 | -9 | 12.02 | 2.07 | 0.93 |
| 87 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.32 | -8 | 13 | 1.65 | 1.35 |
| 88 | Ball State | Mid-American | 2-5 | 0.29 | 7.33 | 1.29 | 6.41 | 3.69 | -1.69 |
| 89 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.86 | -3.83 | 14.64 | 2.39 | -0.39 |
| 90 | Akron | Mid-American | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.51 | -4.33 | 12.52 | 2.31 | -0.31 |
| 91 | UCF | Conference USA | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.83 | -13.17 | 12.7 | 1.17 | 0.83 |
| 92 | Virginia | ACC | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.82 | -3.29 | 12.88 | 2.82 | -0.82 |
| 93 | Tulane | Conference USA | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.71 | -13.67 | 11.35 | 1.45 | 0.55 |
| 94 | Troy | Sun Belt | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.68 | -8.83 | 10.76 | 1.62 | 0.38 |
| 95 | Illinois | Big Ten | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.48 | -5.29 | 12.38 | 2.56 | -0.56 |
| 96 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.41 | -18 | 12.05 | 0.61 | 1.39 |
| 97 | Ole Miss | SEC | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.17 | -9.43 | 15.88 | 1.63 | 0.37 |
| 98 | Toledo | Mid-American | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.97 | -10.43 | 11.36 | 2.09 | -0.09 |
| 99 | Florida Atlantic | Sun Belt | 2-4 | 0.33 | 4.92 | -24.17 | 11.29 | 0.42 | 1.58 |
| 100 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.74 | -11.43 | 7.75 | 1.38 | 0.62 |
| 101 | Mississippi State | SEC | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.71 | -10.43 | 13.27 | 1.62 | 0.38 |
| 102 | Rice | Conference USA | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.7 | -11.86 | 15.4 | 1.94 | 0.06 |
| 103 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 1-5 | 0.17 | 2.53 | -4.83 | 6.36 | 2.08 | -1.08 |
| 104 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 1-5 | 0.17 | 2.48 | -7.17 | 14.89 | 2.1 | -1.1 |
| 105 | UNLV | Mountain West | 1-5 | 0.17 | 2.32 | -7.17 | 9.35 | 1.98 | -0.98 |
| 106 | Memphis | Conference USA | 1-5 | 0.17 | 2.31 | -7 | 8.5 | 2.08 | -1.08 |
| 107 | Marshall | Conference USA | 1-5 | 0.17 | 2.11 | -10.33 | 12.76 | 1.64 | -0.64 |
| 108 | Colorado | Big 12 | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.81 | -3.71 | 14.79 | 2.64 | -1.64 |
| 109 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.79 | -14.67 | 8.87 | 1.32 | -0.32 |
| 110 | North Carolina | ACC | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.71 | -18.17 | 15.38 | 0.94 | 0.06 |
| 111 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.38 | -27 | 15.4 | 0.43 | 0.57 |
| 112 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.24 | -8.14 | 11.74 | 2.12 | -1.12 |
| 113 | Utah State | Western Athletic | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.72 | -23.29 | 13.8 | 0.26 | 0.74 |
| 114 | Florida International | Sun Belt | 0-7 | 0 | -2.01 | -10.57 | 12.5 | 1.39 | -1.39 |
| 115 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 0-6 | 0 | -2.25 | -14.5 | 10.42 | 1.09 | -1.09 |
| 116 | Duke | ACC | 0-6 | 0 | -2.59 | -21.67 | 12.22 | 0.28 | -0.28 |
| 117 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 0-5 | 0 | -2.66 | -20.6 | 17.99 | 0.44 | -0.44 |
| 118 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 0-7 | 0 | -2.76 | -22.57 | 18.48 | 0.49 | -0.49 |
| 119 | Temple | FBS Independents | 0-7 | 0 | -3.07 | -36.86 | 14.93 | 0.09 | -0.09 |