Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:34.150371+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 9-0 | 1 | 26.57 | 28.56 | 13.94 | 8.8 | 0.2 |
| 2 | Michigan | Big Ten | 9-0 | 1 | 26.24 | 16.78 | 14.34 | 8.04 | 0.96 |
| 3 | Louisville | Big East | 7-0 | 1 | 25.6 | 26.14 | 9.61 | 6.54 | 0.46 |
| 4 | Boise State | Western Athletic | 8-0 | 1 | 25.35 | 23.62 | 8.79 | 7.16 | 0.84 |
| 5 | Rutgers | Big East | 8-0 | 1 | 25.32 | 20.12 | 9.19 | 7.52 | 0.48 |
| 6 | West Virginia | Big East | 7-0 | 1 | 24.94 | 28.14 | 6.16 | 6.59 | 0.41 |
| 7 | Florida | SEC | 7-1 | 0.88 | 23.55 | 14.25 | 16.16 | 6.89 | 0.11 |
| 8 | Texas | Big 12 | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.3 | 23.22 | 11.42 | 8.01 | -0.01 |
| 9 | Tennessee | SEC | 7-1 | 0.88 | 23.25 | 13.12 | 14.9 | 6.2 | 0.8 |
| 10 | Auburn | SEC | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.16 | 14 | 12.69 | 7.67 | 0.33 |
| 11 | California | Pac-10 | 7-1 | 0.88 | 23.03 | 17 | 12.43 | 6.55 | 0.45 |
| 12 | USC | Pac-10 | 6-1 | 0.86 | 23.03 | 12.57 | 15.28 | 5.48 | 0.52 |
| 13 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.89 | 8.38 | 14.86 | 5.48 | 1.52 |
| 14 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.72 | 14.11 | 10.33 | 7.11 | 0.89 |
| 15 | Boston College | ACC | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.6 | 12.5 | 11.49 | 6.47 | 0.53 |
| 16 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.53 | 19.44 | 7.93 | 8.09 | -0.09 |
| 17 | Arkansas | SEC | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.35 | 16.12 | 9 | 6.77 | 0.23 |
| 18 | Tulsa | Conference USA | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.12 | 13.12 | 8.66 | 6.4 | 0.6 |
| 19 | Wake Forest | ACC | 7-1 | 0.88 | 21.21 | 8.12 | 5.34 | 5.89 | 1.11 |
| 20 | Clemson | ACC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.92 | 24.56 | 11.38 | 8.27 | -1.27 |
| 21 | Missouri | Big 12 | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.32 | 14.67 | 10.13 | 7.42 | -0.42 |
| 22 | LSU | SEC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 20.1 | 27.62 | 10.87 | 7.76 | -1.76 |
| 23 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.96 | 15.75 | 13.08 | 6.76 | -0.76 |
| 24 | BYU | Mountain West | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.74 | 20.12 | 10.54 | 7.01 | -1.01 |
| 25 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.47 | 16.5 | 9.77 | 7.09 | -1.09 |
| 26 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.43 | 20 | 8.14 | 7.12 | -1.12 |
| 27 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.38 | 20.5 | 8.16 | 6.45 | -0.45 |
| 28 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.37 | 7.25 | 12.98 | 5.47 | 0.53 |
| 29 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.29 | 12.75 | 9.68 | 5.87 | 0.13 |
| 30 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.45 | 6.88 | 7.17 | 5.42 | 0.58 |
| 31 | TCU | Mountain West | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.16 | 8.86 | 10.3 | 5.38 | -0.38 |
| 32 | Maryland | ACC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.09 | 2.12 | 9.73 | 4.44 | 1.56 |
| 33 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.92 | 16.78 | 10.44 | 7.48 | -1.48 |
| 34 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.81 | 7.11 | 15.67 | 6.14 | -0.14 |
| 35 | Alabama | SEC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.33 | 8.89 | 10.88 | 6.68 | -0.68 |
| 36 | Iowa | Big Ten | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.33 | 7.78 | 11.5 | 6.29 | -0.29 |
| 37 | Houston | Conference USA | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.21 | 10.78 | 9.02 | 6.41 | -0.41 |
| 38 | Penn State | Big Ten | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.16 | 5.78 | 12 | 6.02 | -0.02 |
| 39 | Georgia | SEC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.14 | 7.78 | 9.01 | 6.38 | -0.38 |
| 40 | San José State | Western Athletic | 5-2 | 0.71 | 16.92 | 7.29 | 2.74 | 4.78 | 0.22 |
| 41 | Ohio | Mid-American | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.91 | 4.33 | 11.6 | 5.68 | 0.32 |
| 42 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.59 | 14.75 | 11.22 | 6.1 | -1.1 |
| 43 | South Carolina | SEC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.06 | 6.75 | 10.24 | 5.57 | -0.57 |
| 44 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.99 | 4.12 | 13.79 | 4.82 | 0.18 |
| 45 | Miami | ACC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.92 | 8.5 | 7.82 | 5.96 | -0.96 |
| 46 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.74 | 6.5 | 9.46 | 5.15 | -0.15 |
| 47 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.66 | 4.75 | 10.39 | 4.85 | 0.15 |
| 48 | South Florida | Big East | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.44 | 6.62 | 6.26 | 5.44 | -0.44 |
| 49 | Kent State | Mid-American | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.42 | 4.88 | 6.87 | 5.13 | -0.13 |
| 50 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.38 | 2.5 | 10.85 | 4.46 | 0.54 |
| 51 | Navy | FBS Independents | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.03 | 0.75 | 11.14 | 4.15 | 0.85 |
| 52 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.9 | 7 | 12.17 | 5.88 | -0.88 |
| 53 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 5-3 | 0.62 | 14.56 | 1 | 8.8 | 4.21 | 0.79 |
| 54 | Utah | Mountain West | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.45 | 8.78 | 8.33 | 6.36 | -1.36 |
| 55 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.13 | 4.67 | 7.91 | 5.45 | -0.45 |
| 56 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.77 | 1.89 | 11.36 | 5.01 | -0.01 |
| 57 | Cincinnati | Big East | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.75 | 1.33 | 12.73 | 4.9 | 0.1 |
| 58 | Florida State | ACC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.67 | 8.25 | 12.56 | 5.55 | -1.55 |
| 59 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.21 | 4.62 | 11.77 | 5.03 | -1.03 |
| 60 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 5-3 | 0.62 | 12.5 | -5.5 | 5.81 | 2.64 | 2.36 |
| 61 | Purdue | Big Ten | 5-4 | 0.56 | 12.5 | -0.89 | 9.78 | 4.32 | 0.68 |
| 62 | SMU | Conference USA | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.31 | 2.75 | 7.27 | 4.51 | -0.51 |
| 63 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.03 | 1.88 | 5.65 | 4.47 | -0.47 |
| 64 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 5-4 | 0.56 | 11.96 | -1.78 | 9.65 | 4.08 | 0.92 |
| 65 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 4-3 | 0.57 | 11.87 | -4.43 | 9.55 | 2.72 | 1.28 |
| 66 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.8 | 0 | 11.72 | 4 | 0 |
| 67 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.63 | 3.44 | 12.26 | 5.44 | -1.44 |
| 68 | Indiana | Big Ten | 5-4 | 0.56 | 11.61 | -4.44 | 11.71 | 3.65 | 1.35 |
| 69 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.48 | -0.38 | 13.63 | 3.92 | 0.08 |
| 70 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.16 | 3 | 10.08 | 5.23 | -1.23 |
| 71 | UTEP | Conference USA | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.98 | -1.62 | 11.28 | 3.73 | 0.27 |
| 72 | Kansas | Big 12 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.85 | 1.89 | 9.21 | 4.87 | -0.87 |
| 73 | Virginia | ACC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.62 | 0.78 | 11.57 | 4.73 | -0.73 |
| 74 | Kentucky | SEC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.15 | -5.38 | 12.62 | 3.1 | 0.9 |
| 75 | Baylor | Big 12 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.93 | -0.67 | 11.18 | 4.36 | -0.36 |
| 76 | Washington | Pac-10 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.85 | -1.67 | 15.34 | 4.13 | -0.13 |
| 77 | Air Force | Mountain West | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.84 | -1 | 14.13 | 3.31 | -0.31 |
| 78 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.64 | -2.22 | 13.85 | 4.1 | -0.1 |
| 79 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.37 | -9.67 | 10.54 | 2.52 | 1.48 |
| 80 | Idaho | Western Athletic | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.05 | -14.11 | 9.85 | 2.01 | 1.99 |
| 81 | Troy | Sun Belt | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.05 | -6.43 | 8.28 | 2.2 | 0.8 |
| 82 | NC State | ACC | 3-5 | 0.38 | 8.01 | -2.38 | 12.22 | 3.43 | -0.43 |
| 83 | UConn | Big East | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.9 | -3.5 | 14.27 | 3.23 | -0.23 |
| 84 | Akron | Mid-American | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.58 | -3.75 | 9.93 | 3.21 | -0.21 |
| 85 | UAB | Conference USA | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.53 | -3.25 | 8.85 | 3.28 | -0.28 |
| 86 | Ball State | Mid-American | 3-6 | 0.33 | 7.18 | -0.22 | 7.4 | 4.46 | -1.46 |
| 87 | Marshall | Conference USA | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.14 | -5.12 | 9.5 | 3.1 | -0.1 |
| 88 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 3-6 | 0.33 | 7.14 | -2.11 | 14.95 | 4.03 | -1.03 |
| 89 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.12 | -7.88 | 11.84 | 1.87 | 1.13 |
| 90 | Rice | Conference USA | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.02 | -9 | 11.98 | 2.64 | 0.36 |
| 91 | Tulane | Conference USA | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.77 | -11.62 | 13.11 | 2.22 | 0.78 |
| 92 | Army | FBS Independents | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.72 | -2.56 | 10.6 | 3.93 | -0.93 |
| 93 | Syracuse | Big East | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.54 | -4.89 | 15.41 | 3.31 | -0.31 |
| 94 | Florida Atlantic | Sun Belt | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.46 | -15.25 | 11.21 | 1.07 | 1.93 |
| 95 | Toledo | Mid-American | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.82 | -6.89 | 9.68 | 3.19 | -0.19 |
| 96 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.74 | -11.11 | 11.34 | 2.33 | 0.67 |
| 97 | New Mexico State | Western Athletic | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.61 | -3.62 | 8.97 | 3.47 | -1.47 |
| 98 | UCF | Conference USA | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.7 | -13.75 | 11.37 | 1.76 | 0.24 |
| 99 | Illinois | Big Ten | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.6 | -6.33 | 13 | 3.07 | -1.07 |
| 100 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.57 | -16.88 | 12.22 | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 101 | Mississippi State | SEC | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.36 | -8.78 | 12.96 | 2.56 | -0.56 |
| 102 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.35 | -22.88 | 13.41 | 0.98 | 1.02 |
| 103 | Ole Miss | SEC | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.21 | -11.89 | 16.06 | 1.64 | 0.36 |
| 104 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.16 | -10.78 | 10.98 | 2.01 | -0.01 |
| 105 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.3 | -10.71 | 13.95 | 1.94 | -0.94 |
| 106 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.1 | -14 | 12.36 | 1.09 | -0.09 |
| 107 | Colorado | Big 12 | 1-8 | 0.11 | 1.04 | -5.78 | 13 | 2.77 | -1.77 |
| 108 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.91 | -9.62 | 9.5 | 1.94 | -0.94 |
| 109 | Memphis | Conference USA | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.9 | -9.62 | 9.49 | 2.39 | -1.39 |
| 110 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.8 | -10.75 | 10.36 | 1.85 | -0.85 |
| 111 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.79 | -7.89 | 9.64 | 2.7 | -1.7 |
| 112 | UNLV | Mountain West | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.65 | -13.75 | 10.81 | 1.74 | -0.74 |
| 113 | North Carolina | ACC | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.48 | -17.38 | 15.14 | 1.13 | -0.13 |
| 114 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.35 | -20.5 | 11.26 | 1.03 | -0.03 |
| 115 | Utah State | Western Athletic | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.26 | -22 | 12.34 | 0.57 | 0.43 |
| 116 | Temple | FBS Independents | 1-8 | 0.11 | -0.37 | -29.56 | 14.53 | 0.39 | 0.61 |
| 117 | Florida International | Sun Belt | 0-8 | 0 | -2.2 | -13.62 | 13.65 | 1.12 | -1.12 |
| 118 | Duke | ACC | 0-8 | 0 | -2.44 | -19 | 12.25 | 0.74 | -0.74 |
| 119 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 0-8 | 0 | -2.71 | -24.12 | 16.08 | 0.44 | -0.44 |