Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:34.388147+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kansas | Big 12 | 12-1 | 0.92 | 22.85 | 26.38 | 8.72 | 11.79 | 0.21 |
| 2 | LSU | SEC | 12-2 | 0.86 | 22.15 | 18.71 | 13.81 | 11.59 | 0.41 |
| 3 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 12-1 | 0.92 | 22.07 | 17.92 | 5.98 | 10.13 | 1.87 |
| 4 | West Virginia | Big East | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.84 | 21.54 | 12.7 | 11.25 | -0.25 |
| 5 | Missouri | Big 12 | 12-2 | 0.86 | 21.69 | 16.57 | 11.61 | 10.94 | 1.06 |
| 6 | Georgia | SEC | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.43 | 12.46 | 12.68 | 9.85 | 1.15 |
| 7 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.39 | 18.62 | 10.47 | 11.62 | -0.62 |
| 8 | USC | Pac-10 | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.28 | 16.62 | 10.56 | 10.97 | 0.03 |
| 9 | BYU | Mountain West | 11-2 | 0.85 | 20.86 | 11.54 | 9.65 | 9.87 | 1.13 |
| 10 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 11-3 | 0.79 | 20.45 | 22 | 12.48 | 11.91 | -0.91 |
| 11 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 11-3 | 0.79 | 20.04 | 12.64 | 12.46 | 11.18 | -0.18 |
| 12 | Cincinnati | Big East | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.49 | 17.54 | 10.29 | 10.75 | -0.75 |
| 13 | Boston College | ACC | 11-3 | 0.79 | 19.47 | 7.93 | 10.93 | 9.6 | 1.4 |
| 14 | Texas | Big 12 | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.46 | 11.92 | 11.95 | 9.28 | 0.72 |
| 15 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.28 | 9.77 | 11.74 | 9.12 | 0.88 |
| 16 | Boise State | Western Athletic | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.23 | 20.77 | 7.9 | 10.81 | -0.81 |
| 17 | Florida | SEC | 9-4 | 0.69 | 18.32 | 17 | 14.86 | 10.02 | -1.02 |
| 18 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 9-4 | 0.69 | 18.04 | 14.54 | 13.7 | 9.84 | -0.84 |
| 19 | Tennessee | SEC | 10-4 | 0.71 | 17.82 | 5.21 | 14.07 | 8.43 | 1.57 |
| 20 | Penn State | Big Ten | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.73 | 12.77 | 12.16 | 10.21 | -1.21 |
| 21 | UCF | Conference USA | 10-4 | 0.71 | 17.71 | 9.29 | 10.47 | 9.39 | 0.61 |
| 22 | Clemson | ACC | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.66 | 14.38 | 11.03 | 10.33 | -1.33 |
| 23 | South Florida | Big East | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.66 | 11.31 | 12.29 | 9.33 | -0.33 |
| 24 | Tulsa | Conference USA | 10-4 | 0.71 | 17.51 | 7.79 | 9.92 | 8.71 | 1.29 |
| 25 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.45 | 15 | 9.37 | 9.71 | -0.71 |
| 26 | Utah | Mountain West | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.38 | 9.38 | 11.28 | 9.63 | -0.63 |
| 27 | Auburn | SEC | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.34 | 7.31 | 12.2 | 9.11 | -0.11 |
| 28 | Illinois | Big Ten | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.19 | 6.08 | 12.05 | 8.34 | 0.66 |
| 29 | Michigan | Big Ten | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.09 | 5.85 | 11.54 | 8.31 | 0.69 |
| 30 | UConn | Big East | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.08 | 7.46 | 10.21 | 8.93 | 0.07 |
| 31 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.03 | 5.23 | 11.61 | 8.07 | 0.93 |
| 32 | Air Force | Mountain West | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.01 | 8.85 | 8.88 | 9.05 | -0.05 |
| 33 | Wake Forest | ACC | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.01 | 5.62 | 11.14 | 8.19 | 0.81 |
| 34 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.97 | 6.31 | 10.22 | 8.31 | 0.69 |
| 35 | Virginia | ACC | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.89 | 4.69 | 11.08 | 8.11 | 0.89 |
| 36 | Troy | Sun Belt | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.84 | 9.42 | 10.6 | 8.2 | -0.2 |
| 37 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.77 | 5.85 | 9.16 | 7.98 | 1.02 |
| 38 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.68 | 5.69 | 8.66 | 8.46 | 0.54 |
| 39 | Arkansas | SEC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.89 | 10.77 | 11.2 | 8.99 | -0.99 |
| 40 | Rutgers | Big East | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.81 | 10.31 | 10.79 | 9.23 | -1.23 |
| 41 | Kentucky | SEC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.74 | 6.92 | 12.47 | 8.09 | -0.09 |
| 42 | TCU | Mountain West | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.53 | 7.38 | 10.4 | 8.94 | -0.94 |
| 43 | Purdue | Big Ten | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.52 | 7.77 | 10.06 | 8.42 | -0.42 |
| 44 | Houston | Conference USA | 8-5 | 0.62 | 14.93 | 5.38 | 7.24 | 7.79 | 0.21 |
| 45 | Navy | FBS Independents | 8-5 | 0.62 | 14.57 | 2.92 | 7.32 | 7.09 | 0.91 |
| 46 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 8-5 | 0.62 | 14.37 | 0.62 | 11.48 | 6.65 | 1.35 |
| 47 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.95 | 6.46 | 13.18 | 8.14 | -1.14 |
| 48 | Western Kentucky | FBS Independents | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.86 | 12.33 | 0.95 | 9.01 | -2.01 |
| 49 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.78 | 5.08 | 13.12 | 7.71 | -0.71 |
| 50 | Alabama | SEC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.68 | 5.08 | 12.13 | 8.07 | -1.07 |
| 51 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.53 | 5.38 | 10.41 | 8.23 | -1.23 |
| 52 | California | Pac-10 | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.29 | 2.54 | 12.53 | 7.2 | -0.2 |
| 53 | Mississippi State | SEC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 13.27 | -1.69 | 11.99 | 5.92 | 2.08 |
| 54 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.22 | 2 | 13.08 | 7.07 | -0.07 |
| 55 | Ball State | Mid-American | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.2 | 3.15 | 10.43 | 7.31 | -0.31 |
| 56 | Indiana | Big Ten | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.2 | 3.23 | 10.28 | 7.32 | -0.32 |
| 57 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.09 | 3.62 | 8.67 | 7.56 | -0.56 |
| 58 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 8-5 | 0.62 | 12.93 | -1.92 | 9.36 | 6.02 | 1.98 |
| 59 | Florida Atlantic | Sun Belt | 8-5 | 0.62 | 12.91 | -2.08 | 9.52 | 6 | 2 |
| 60 | Louisville | Big East | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.54 | 3.75 | 11.83 | 6.8 | -0.8 |
| 61 | Florida State | ACC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 12.53 | 0.38 | 12.36 | 6.63 | 0.37 |
| 62 | South Carolina | SEC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.4 | 2.58 | 12.59 | 6.74 | -0.74 |
| 63 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 8-6 | 0.57 | 11.7 | -2.14 | 8.61 | 6.5 | 1.5 |
| 64 | Maryland | ACC | 6-7 | 0.46 | 11.42 | 2.54 | 11.98 | 7.35 | -1.35 |
| 65 | Ohio | Mid-American | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.2 | 0.58 | 6.68 | 6.14 | -0.14 |
| 66 | Iowa | Big Ten | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.98 | -0.25 | 10 | 5.9 | 0.1 |
| 67 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 10.77 | 4.33 | 11.21 | 6.93 | -1.93 |
| 68 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 6-7 | 0.46 | 10.75 | 1.31 | 8.17 | 6.81 | -0.81 |
| 69 | Memphis | Conference USA | 7-6 | 0.54 | 10.66 | -3 | 6.41 | 5.75 | 1.25 |
| 70 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 6-7 | 0.46 | 10.65 | 0.08 | 13.99 | 6.53 | -0.53 |
| 71 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 10.15 | 1.17 | 12.25 | 6.3 | -1.3 |
| 72 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.77 | -4.17 | 8.58 | 4.85 | 1.15 |
| 73 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.73 | -5.17 | 9.76 | 4.72 | 1.28 |
| 74 | Colorado | Big 12 | 6-7 | 0.46 | 9.59 | -2.15 | 12.85 | 5.92 | 0.08 |
| 75 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9 | -0.92 | 11.86 | 5.71 | -0.71 |
| 76 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.85 | -1.42 | 12.29 | 5.57 | -0.57 |
| 77 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 6-7 | 0.46 | 8.62 | -6.38 | 8.62 | 4.37 | 1.63 |
| 78 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.46 | -2 | 9.12 | 5.49 | -0.49 |
| 79 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.43 | -2.58 | 10.67 | 5.32 | -0.32 |
| 80 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.36 | -4.5 | 14.79 | 5.11 | -0.11 |
| 81 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.2 | -3.33 | 9.44 | 5.09 | -0.09 |
| 82 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.16 | -3.33 | 8.96 | 5.09 | -0.09 |
| 83 | Miami | ACC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8 | -5.42 | 11.12 | 4.38 | 0.62 |
| 84 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.96 | -6.5 | 12.39 | 4.02 | 0.98 |
| 85 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.91 | -6.75 | 12 | 4.38 | 0.62 |
| 86 | NC State | ACC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.84 | -7.5 | 12.04 | 3.9 | 1.1 |
| 87 | Toledo | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.76 | -6.25 | 8.78 | 4.78 | 0.22 |
| 88 | San José State | Western Athletic | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.53 | -8.92 | 9.04 | 3.57 | 1.43 |
| 89 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.48 | -9.92 | 9.32 | 3.41 | 1.59 |
| 90 | North Carolina | ACC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.26 | -3.33 | 10.78 | 4.97 | -0.97 |
| 91 | Washington | Pac-10 | 4-9 | 0.31 | 6.19 | -2.38 | 14.56 | 5.9 | -1.9 |
| 92 | UTEP | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.18 | -3.5 | 9.66 | 5.3 | -1.3 |
| 93 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.72 | -8.67 | 12.55 | 3.55 | 0.45 |
| 94 | Akron | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.69 | -8 | 10.63 | 3.82 | 0.18 |
| 95 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.68 | -7 | 8.51 | 4.24 | -0.24 |
| 96 | Tulane | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.68 | -6.83 | 8.12 | 4.29 | -0.29 |
| 97 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.62 | -9.33 | 11.54 | 3.85 | 0.15 |
| 98 | Temple | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.49 | -9.83 | 9.5 | 2.97 | 1.03 |
| 99 | New Mexico State | Western Athletic | 4-9 | 0.31 | 4.84 | -12.23 | 8.13 | 3.56 | 0.44 |
| 100 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.17 | -5.42 | 10.92 | 4.65 | -1.65 |
| 101 | Ole Miss | SEC | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.94 | -8.42 | 13.41 | 3.64 | -0.64 |
| 102 | Kent State | Mid-American | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.85 | -7.58 | 8.17 | 3.95 | -0.95 |
| 103 | Marshall | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.79 | -9.42 | 11.09 | 3.82 | -0.82 |
| 104 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.68 | -12.33 | 13.88 | 2.51 | 0.49 |
| 105 | Rice | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.58 | -11.5 | 8.51 | 3.88 | -0.88 |
| 106 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.56 | -13.58 | 11.96 | 2.52 | 0.48 |
| 107 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.55 | -12.08 | 8.85 | 3.29 | -0.29 |
| 108 | Army | FBS Independents | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.54 | -13.42 | 11.16 | 2.4 | 0.6 |
| 109 | Baylor | Big 12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.32 | -18.83 | 12.09 | 1.88 | 1.12 |
| 110 | UNLV | Mountain West | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.95 | -10.42 | 13.09 | 3.06 | -1.06 |
| 111 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.78 | -11.75 | 7.39 | 2.91 | -0.91 |
| 112 | Utah State | Western Athletic | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.75 | -13.25 | 11.36 | 2.83 | -0.83 |
| 113 | UAB | Conference USA | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.63 | -15.5 | 10.65 | 2.41 | -0.41 |
| 114 | Syracuse | Big East | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.54 | -18.42 | 13.74 | 1.73 | 0.27 |
| 115 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.43 | -20.25 | 10.32 | 2.35 | -0.35 |
| 116 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.1 | -10.42 | 12.38 | 3.74 | -2.74 |
| 117 | SMU | Conference USA | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.17 | -11.42 | 11.01 | 3.71 | -2.71 |
| 118 | Idaho | Western Athletic | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.38 | -15.42 | 9.3 | 2.61 | -1.61 |
| 119 | Duke | ACC | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.39 | -15.25 | 13.14 | 2.26 | -1.26 |
| 120 | Florida International | Sun Belt | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.72 | -24 | 11.45 | 1.14 | -0.14 |