Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:34.383915+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 10-0 | 1 | 25.34 | 25.2 | 9.24 | 9.54 | 0.46 |
| 2 | Kansas | Big 12 | 9-0 | 1 | 25.23 | 32.78 | 7.76 | 8.54 | 0.46 |
| 3 | LSU | SEC | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.73 | 19.78 | 15.13 | 7.72 | 0.28 |
| 4 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.66 | 20.78 | 14.62 | 7.46 | 0.54 |
| 5 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 8-0 | 1 | 23.65 | 29.5 | 0.43 | 7.04 | 0.96 |
| 6 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.27 | 27.89 | 11.25 | 8.22 | -0.22 |
| 7 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.04 | 17.56 | 11.17 | 7.52 | 0.48 |
| 8 | West Virginia | Big East | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.86 | 25.88 | 10.47 | 7.33 | -0.33 |
| 9 | Missouri | Big 12 | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.63 | 20.33 | 9.05 | 7.45 | 0.55 |
| 10 | UConn | Big East | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.57 | 17.44 | 9.34 | 7.88 | 0.12 |
| 11 | Boston College | ACC | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.5 | 12.44 | 9.58 | 7 | 1 |
| 12 | Boise State | Western Athletic | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.42 | 21 | 7.77 | 7.56 | 0.44 |
| 13 | Texas | Big 12 | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.51 | 12.9 | 10.75 | 7.54 | 0.46 |
| 14 | Michigan | Big Ten | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.22 | 9.7 | 10.22 | 7.25 | 0.75 |
| 15 | Georgia | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.07 | 9 | 12.6 | 6.21 | 0.79 |
| 16 | Cincinnati | Big East | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.05 | 19.78 | 8.87 | 7.68 | -0.68 |
| 17 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.05 | 11.67 | 11.3 | 7.24 | -0.24 |
| 18 | Clemson | ACC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.98 | 17.44 | 8.96 | 7.43 | -0.43 |
| 19 | USC | Pac-10 | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.81 | 15.56 | 8.43 | 7.51 | -0.51 |
| 20 | Virginia | ACC | 8-2 | 0.8 | 19.64 | 2.8 | 11.77 | 5.8 | 2.2 |
| 21 | BYU | Mountain West | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.88 | 11.38 | 8.36 | 5.99 | 0.01 |
| 22 | Penn State | Big Ten | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.58 | 13.2 | 13.23 | 7.9 | -0.9 |
| 23 | Florida | SEC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 18.39 | 15 | 16.33 | 6.76 | -0.76 |
| 24 | Auburn | SEC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.32 | 11 | 12.36 | 7.92 | -0.92 |
| 25 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.14 | 20.1 | 8.04 | 8.21 | -1.21 |
| 26 | Purdue | Big Ten | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.08 | 11.8 | 9.53 | 7.33 | -0.33 |
| 27 | Illinois | Big Ten | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.97 | 8.5 | 11.26 | 7.05 | -0.05 |
| 28 | South Florida | Big East | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.9 | 11.33 | 13.28 | 6.66 | -0.66 |
| 29 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.71 | 6.3 | 10.07 | 6.42 | 0.58 |
| 30 | Alabama | SEC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.63 | 8.78 | 12.82 | 6.14 | -0.14 |
| 31 | Air Force | Mountain West | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.59 | 7.2 | 9.42 | 6.85 | 0.15 |
| 32 | Arkansas | SEC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.56 | 19.56 | 9.1 | 7.4 | -1.4 |
| 33 | Kentucky | SEC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.53 | 9.89 | 11.97 | 6 | 0 |
| 34 | Florida State | ACC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.36 | 6.22 | 13.81 | 6.02 | -0.02 |
| 35 | California | Pac-10 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.28 | 6.11 | 13.11 | 5.62 | 0.38 |
| 36 | Wake Forest | ACC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.28 | 6.56 | 11.67 | 5.84 | 0.16 |
| 37 | Tennessee | SEC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.21 | 5.78 | 13.47 | 5.47 | 0.53 |
| 38 | Troy | Sun Belt | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.1 | 8.56 | 9.09 | 5.97 | 0.03 |
| 39 | UCF | Conference USA | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.95 | 6.56 | 10.57 | 5.55 | 0.45 |
| 40 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.83 | 5 | 9.59 | 5.61 | 0.39 |
| 41 | Utah | Mountain West | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.83 | 6.44 | 9.21 | 6.08 | -0.08 |
| 42 | Houston | Conference USA | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.79 | 7.33 | 8.64 | 5.64 | 0.36 |
| 43 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.56 | 5.33 | 8.5 | 5.48 | 0.52 |
| 44 | Western Kentucky | FBS Independents | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.02 | 12.56 | 0.34 | 6.76 | -0.76 |
| 45 | Tulsa | Conference USA | 6-3 | 0.67 | 15.65 | 0.89 | 9.45 | 4.63 | 1.37 |
| 46 | South Carolina | SEC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.49 | 5.3 | 11.52 | 6.31 | -0.31 |
| 47 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.42 | 3.9 | 12.53 | 5.87 | 0.13 |
| 48 | Indiana | Big Ten | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.19 | 5.8 | 9.82 | 6.15 | -0.15 |
| 49 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 15.15 | 14.11 | 10.72 | 6.84 | -1.84 |
| 50 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.97 | 7.33 | 13.31 | 5.74 | -0.74 |
| 51 | Rutgers | Big East | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.96 | 8.44 | 12.26 | 6.15 | -1.15 |
| 52 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.94 | 8.56 | 12.05 | 6.54 | -1.54 |
| 53 | Louisville | Big East | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.79 | 9.67 | 10.74 | 6.05 | -1.05 |
| 54 | TCU | Mountain West | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.49 | 6.44 | 11.45 | 6.08 | -1.08 |
| 55 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 6-4 | 0.6 | 13.98 | 0.1 | 12.28 | 5.02 | 0.98 |
| 56 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.97 | 1.44 | 13.07 | 4.82 | 0.18 |
| 57 | Miami | ACC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.92 | 3 | 9.26 | 5.2 | -0.2 |
| 58 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.67 | 1.22 | 11.03 | 4.8 | 0.2 |
| 59 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.45 | 3.11 | 6.71 | 5.15 | -0.15 |
| 60 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.45 | 0.56 | 11.76 | 4.64 | 0.36 |
| 61 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.43 | 0.78 | 10.5 | 4.66 | 0.34 |
| 62 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 5-5 | 0.5 | 13.39 | 6.6 | 12.31 | 6.31 | -1.31 |
| 63 | Ball State | Mid-American | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.83 | 3.6 | 10.78 | 5.72 | -0.72 |
| 64 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 5-4 | 0.56 | 12.78 | 0.67 | 6.51 | 4.6 | 0.4 |
| 65 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.21 | 1.7 | 10.43 | 5.37 | -0.37 |
| 66 | Mississippi State | SEC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 12.05 | -2.56 | 12.48 | 3.93 | 1.07 |
| 67 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 5-4 | 0.56 | 11.93 | -1.89 | 10.44 | 4.18 | 0.82 |
| 68 | Navy | FBS Independents | 5-4 | 0.56 | 11.75 | -1.89 | 8.22 | 4.23 | 0.77 |
| 69 | Iowa | Big Ten | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.6 | 0.1 | 11.99 | 5.03 | -0.03 |
| 70 | Ohio | Mid-American | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.57 | 0.9 | 7.14 | 5.19 | -0.19 |
| 71 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 5-4 | 0.56 | 11.27 | -6.11 | 10.08 | 3.59 | 1.41 |
| 72 | Colorado | Big 12 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.97 | -3.3 | 16.21 | 4.24 | 0.76 |
| 73 | UTEP | Conference USA | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.83 | 1.67 | 8.64 | 4.74 | -0.74 |
| 74 | Maryland | ACC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.61 | 0.44 | 11.76 | 4.61 | -0.61 |
| 75 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.14 | -4.6 | 9.84 | 4.04 | 0.96 |
| 76 | Toledo | Mid-American | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.12 | -2.7 | 7.74 | 4.58 | 0.42 |
| 77 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 5-5 | 0.5 | 9.88 | -5.6 | 10 | 3.6 | 1.4 |
| 78 | Florida Atlantic | Sun Belt | 4-4 | 0.5 | 9.87 | -5.75 | 9.18 | 3.09 | 0.91 |
| 79 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.69 | -0.67 | 11.22 | 4.35 | -0.35 |
| 80 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 9.58 | 0.7 | 11.33 | 5.15 | -1.15 |
| 81 | NC State | ACC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.99 | -4.11 | 14.2 | 3.61 | 0.39 |
| 82 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.66 | -3.89 | 8.86 | 3.72 | 0.28 |
| 83 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.62 | -4 | 8.66 | 3.64 | 0.36 |
| 84 | Memphis | Conference USA | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.38 | -4.89 | 4.94 | 3.63 | 0.37 |
| 85 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.04 | -3.3 | 9.87 | 4.25 | -0.25 |
| 86 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.86 | -8.2 | 16.66 | 3.51 | 0.49 |
| 87 | New Mexico State | Western Athletic | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.27 | -10 | 9.46 | 3.13 | 0.87 |
| 88 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.05 | -6.88 | 11.77 | 2.78 | 0.22 |
| 89 | Washington | Pac-10 | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.73 | -2.78 | 16.62 | 4.01 | -1.01 |
| 90 | North Carolina | ACC | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.31 | -4.44 | 13.94 | 3.46 | -0.46 |
| 91 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.14 | -4.78 | 9.56 | 3.66 | -0.66 |
| 92 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.11 | -7.67 | 14.71 | 3.07 | -0.07 |
| 93 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.94 | -9.78 | 14.54 | 2.55 | 0.45 |
| 94 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.83 | -8.56 | 10.51 | 2.94 | 0.06 |
| 95 | Army | FBS Independents | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.82 | -9 | 10.79 | 2.43 | 0.57 |
| 96 | Kent State | Mid-American | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.81 | -7.44 | 8.91 | 3.03 | -0.03 |
| 97 | Akron | Mid-American | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.75 | -10.78 | 11.96 | 2.33 | 0.67 |
| 98 | Temple | Mid-American | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.73 | -9.33 | 9.42 | 2.51 | 0.49 |
| 99 | San José State | Western Athletic | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.43 | -15.56 | 11.06 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| 100 | Ole Miss | SEC | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.16 | -8.1 | 13.54 | 3.11 | -0.11 |
| 101 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.1 | -8 | 8.45 | 3.18 | -0.18 |
| 102 | Baylor | Big 12 | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.73 | -16.4 | 12.38 | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 103 | UNLV | Mountain West | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.38 | -8 | 13.43 | 2.74 | -0.74 |
| 104 | Tulane | Conference USA | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.15 | -9.78 | 8.45 | 2.68 | -0.68 |
| 105 | Syracuse | Big East | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.86 | -16.22 | 12.45 | 1.49 | 0.51 |
| 106 | UAB | Conference USA | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.8 | -16.56 | 9.96 | 1.53 | 0.47 |
| 107 | Rice | Conference USA | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.78 | -13.33 | 9.26 | 2.6 | -0.6 |
| 108 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.43 | -12.8 | 12.33 | 2.19 | -0.19 |
| 109 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.75 | -8.67 | 13.3 | 2.85 | -1.85 |
| 110 | SMU | Conference USA | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.52 | -11.56 | 10.54 | 2.61 | -1.61 |
| 111 | Marshall | Conference USA | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.34 | -14.67 | 10.89 | 2.07 | -1.07 |
| 112 | Duke | ACC | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.33 | -15.44 | 17.06 | 1.76 | -0.76 |
| 113 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.33 | -14.56 | 6.47 | 1.73 | -0.73 |
| 114 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 1-9 | 0.1 | 0.32 | -11.3 | 12.74 | 3.01 | -2.01 |
| 115 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.21 | -17.67 | 9.29 | 1.81 | -0.81 |
| 116 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.21 | -17.67 | 17.72 | 1.12 | -0.12 |
| 117 | Idaho | Western Athletic | 1-9 | 0.1 | 0.17 | -13.6 | 8.95 | 2.46 | -1.46 |
| 118 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.12 | -26.12 | 10.93 | 0.99 | 0.01 |
| 119 | Utah State | Western Athletic | 0-9 | 0 | -2.24 | -14.44 | 13.68 | 2.01 | -2.01 |
| 120 | Florida International | Sun Belt | 0-9 | 0 | -2.82 | -29.44 | 14.62 | 0.35 | -0.35 |