Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:34.384662+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kansas | Big 12 | 11-0 | 1 | 24.84 | 31.64 | 7 | 10.36 | 0.64 |
| 2 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 10-0 | 1 | 23.81 | 24.5 | 2.91 | 8.45 | 1.55 |
| 3 | LSU | SEC | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.74 | 22.09 | 13.25 | 9.62 | 0.38 |
| 4 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.41 | 21.33 | 10.47 | 11.17 | -0.17 |
| 5 | West Virginia | Big East | 9-1 | 0.9 | 23.17 | 21.9 | 11.58 | 8.74 | 0.26 |
| 6 | Missouri | Big 12 | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.02 | 19.45 | 9.97 | 8.91 | 1.09 |
| 7 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.85 | 16.2 | 10.98 | 8.21 | 0.79 |
| 8 | Boise State | Western Athletic | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.48 | 25.91 | 5.9 | 9.79 | 0.21 |
| 9 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.38 | 25 | 10.7 | 9.73 | -0.73 |
| 10 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 8-2 | 0.8 | 21.15 | 17.7 | 13.53 | 7.93 | 0.07 |
| 11 | Georgia | SEC | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.98 | 10.64 | 12.73 | 7.95 | 1.05 |
| 12 | Texas | Big 12 | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.97 | 13.18 | 11.57 | 8.17 | 0.83 |
| 13 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.94 | 14 | 11.26 | 9.1 | -0.1 |
| 14 | UConn | Big East | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.64 | 14.18 | 9.38 | 9.21 | -0.21 |
| 15 | Boston College | ACC | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.59 | 9.82 | 10.69 | 7.92 | 1.08 |
| 16 | Virginia | ACC | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.41 | 6.91 | 10.98 | 7.57 | 1.43 |
| 17 | USC | Pac-10 | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.2 | 14.7 | 9.2 | 8.24 | -0.24 |
| 18 | BYU | Mountain West | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.02 | 12.1 | 9.11 | 7.65 | 0.35 |
| 19 | Florida | SEC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 19.7 | 17.64 | 15.64 | 8.56 | -0.56 |
| 20 | Cincinnati | Big East | 8-3 | 0.73 | 19.17 | 17.91 | 11.47 | 9.26 | -1.26 |
| 21 | Illinois | Big Ten | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.16 | 9.25 | 12.11 | 8.58 | 0.42 |
| 22 | South Florida | Big East | 8-3 | 0.73 | 19.12 | 15.55 | 12.43 | 8.84 | -0.84 |
| 23 | Clemson | ACC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 19.04 | 17.09 | 10.82 | 9.12 | -1.12 |
| 24 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.72 | 7.17 | 10.34 | 7.84 | 1.16 |
| 25 | Tennessee | SEC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.67 | 6.73 | 13.48 | 6.93 | 1.07 |
| 26 | Air Force | Mountain West | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.62 | 10.08 | 8.15 | 8.76 | 0.24 |
| 27 | Utah | Mountain West | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.5 | 11.45 | 9.85 | 8.67 | -0.67 |
| 28 | UCF | Conference USA | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.35 | 9.27 | 9.88 | 7.25 | 0.75 |
| 29 | Tulsa | Conference USA | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.04 | 6.09 | 9.68 | 6.56 | 1.44 |
| 30 | Penn State | Big Ten | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.68 | 13.25 | 12.23 | 9.49 | -1.49 |
| 31 | Troy | Sun Belt | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.61 | 8.1 | 9.83 | 6.6 | 0.4 |
| 32 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.37 | 16 | 9.67 | 9.1 | -1.1 |
| 33 | Michigan | Big Ten | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.01 | 5.83 | 11.66 | 7.75 | 0.25 |
| 34 | Arkansas | SEC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.65 | 15.36 | 9.63 | 8.44 | -1.44 |
| 35 | Kentucky | SEC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.63 | 7.73 | 12.56 | 7.06 | -0.06 |
| 36 | Auburn | SEC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.57 | 7.73 | 12.5 | 7.77 | -0.77 |
| 37 | Rutgers | Big East | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.56 | 10.45 | 11.12 | 8.03 | -1.03 |
| 38 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.23 | 8.73 | 9.58 | 7.89 | -0.89 |
| 39 | Florida State | ACC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.1 | 4.09 | 12.5 | 6.7 | 0.3 |
| 40 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.07 | 4.91 | 11.6 | 6.76 | 0.24 |
| 41 | Wake Forest | ACC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.02 | 4.09 | 12.03 | 6.52 | 0.48 |
| 42 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.55 | 2.73 | 9.35 | 6.26 | 0.74 |
| 43 | Western Kentucky | FBS Independents | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.43 | 13.55 | 1.19 | 8.48 | -1.48 |
| 44 | Houston | Conference USA | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.22 | 2.18 | 8.49 | 5.93 | 1.07 |
| 45 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.18 | 7.25 | 13.24 | 7.66 | -0.66 |
| 46 | Purdue | Big Ten | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.03 | 8.17 | 10.49 | 7.95 | -0.95 |
| 47 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.89 | 4.1 | 9.88 | 5.83 | 0.17 |
| 48 | Indiana | Big Ten | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.59 | 4.83 | 10.59 | 7.17 | -0.17 |
| 49 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 7-4 | 0.64 | 14.58 | 0.36 | 9.01 | 5.58 | 1.42 |
| 50 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.46 | 7.45 | 12.99 | 7.02 | -1.02 |
| 51 | Navy | FBS Independents | 7-4 | 0.64 | 14.36 | 0.55 | 6.23 | 5.59 | 1.41 |
| 52 | Alabama | SEC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.36 | 6.09 | 12.36 | 7.03 | -1.03 |
| 53 | TCU | Mountain West | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.15 | 7 | 10.63 | 7.55 | -1.55 |
| 54 | California | Pac-10 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.99 | 3.09 | 13 | 6.21 | -0.21 |
| 55 | Ball State | Mid-American | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.96 | 5.18 | 10.89 | 6.63 | -0.63 |
| 56 | South Carolina | SEC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.86 | 3 | 12.6 | 6.28 | -0.28 |
| 57 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.7 | 2.27 | 12.52 | 6.05 | -0.05 |
| 58 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.57 | 4.64 | 8.1 | 6.6 | -0.6 |
| 59 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.94 | 6.18 | 11.2 | 6.72 | -1.72 |
| 60 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.87 | -1.64 | 11.6 | 5.15 | 0.85 |
| 61 | Louisville | Big East | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.79 | 3.82 | 12.86 | 6.26 | -1.26 |
| 62 | Mississippi State | SEC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.74 | -2.91 | 12.98 | 4.73 | 1.27 |
| 63 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.74 | 0.3 | 11.91 | 5.07 | -0.07 |
| 64 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.47 | 0.4 | 7.88 | 5.07 | -0.07 |
| 65 | Iowa | Big Ten | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.29 | -0.25 | 10.58 | 5.9 | 0.1 |
| 66 | Memphis | Conference USA | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.15 | -2.27 | 6.37 | 4.98 | 1.02 |
| 67 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.06 | 1.55 | 11.97 | 5.86 | -0.86 |
| 68 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.01 | -5 | 8.84 | 4.6 | 1.4 |
| 69 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 6-5 | 0.55 | 10.98 | -4.45 | 8.69 | 4.17 | 1.83 |
| 70 | Maryland | ACC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.69 | 0.27 | 12.62 | 5.58 | -0.58 |
| 71 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.63 | 0.27 | 12 | 5.58 | -0.58 |
| 72 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.59 | 0.64 | 9.83 | 5.65 | -0.65 |
| 73 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10 | -5.17 | 10.47 | 4.72 | 1.28 |
| 74 | Ohio | Mid-American | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.84 | -0.18 | 6.93 | 5.46 | -0.46 |
| 75 | Florida Atlantic | Sun Belt | 5-5 | 0.5 | 9.64 | -8.2 | 9.71 | 3.47 | 1.53 |
| 76 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.43 | -3.64 | 15.85 | 4.8 | 0.2 |
| 77 | Colorado | Big 12 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.39 | -3.27 | 14.37 | 4.68 | 0.32 |
| 78 | NC State | ACC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.08 | -4.82 | 12.83 | 4.26 | 0.74 |
| 79 | Miami | ACC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.02 | -4.64 | 11.37 | 4.23 | 0.77 |
| 80 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.96 | -3.09 | 8.69 | 4.76 | 0.24 |
| 81 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.94 | -6.36 | 13.44 | 3.66 | 1.34 |
| 82 | Toledo | Mid-American | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.82 | -4.36 | 8.25 | 4.74 | 0.26 |
| 83 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.68 | -5.09 | 9.28 | 4.27 | 0.73 |
| 84 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.68 | -1 | 11.51 | 4.74 | -0.74 |
| 85 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.48 | -7.27 | 9.73 | 3.69 | 1.31 |
| 86 | Washington | Pac-10 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.7 | -1.55 | 15.61 | 5.16 | -1.16 |
| 87 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.45 | -7.9 | 10.84 | 3.38 | 0.62 |
| 88 | UTEP | Conference USA | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.22 | -2.36 | 8.74 | 5.07 | -1.07 |
| 89 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.95 | -3.36 | 10.15 | 4.76 | -0.76 |
| 90 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.9 | -4.27 | 9.92 | 4.43 | -0.43 |
| 91 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.68 | -8 | 13.7 | 3.71 | 0.29 |
| 92 | Tulane | Conference USA | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.55 | -5.36 | 8.17 | 4.28 | -0.28 |
| 93 | Akron | Mid-American | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.48 | -8.45 | 10.8 | 3.34 | 0.66 |
| 94 | San José State | Western Athletic | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.29 | -10 | 9.46 | 3.03 | 0.97 |
| 95 | Temple | Mid-American | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.27 | -9.55 | 10.27 | 2.9 | 1.1 |
| 96 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.74 | -7 | 8.93 | 4.24 | -0.24 |
| 97 | New Mexico State | Western Athletic | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.37 | -12.67 | 7.87 | 3.22 | 0.78 |
| 98 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.04 | -10.4 | 13.7 | 2.71 | 0.29 |
| 99 | North Carolina | ACC | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.96 | -4.18 | 12.67 | 4.35 | -1.35 |
| 100 | Ole Miss | SEC | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.49 | -8.91 | 14 | 3.29 | -0.29 |
| 101 | Kent State | Mid-American | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.41 | -7.64 | 8.64 | 3.6 | -0.6 |
| 102 | Army | FBS Independents | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.2 | -11.45 | 11.04 | 2.63 | 0.37 |
| 103 | Rice | Conference USA | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.05 | -12.09 | 7.74 | 3.42 | -0.42 |
| 104 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 3-8 | 0.27 | 3.95 | -12.64 | 8.56 | 3.02 | -0.02 |
| 105 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.68 | -13.58 | 13.28 | 2.52 | 0.48 |
| 106 | Baylor | Big 12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.41 | -18.83 | 12.65 | 1.88 | 1.12 |
| 107 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.43 | -6.64 | 11.52 | 3.97 | -1.97 |
| 108 | UNLV | Mountain West | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.31 | -9.45 | 12.78 | 3.08 | -1.08 |
| 109 | Marshall | Conference USA | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.18 | -10.91 | 12.03 | 3.13 | -1.13 |
| 110 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.01 | -12.27 | 6.97 | 2.57 | -0.57 |
| 111 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.94 | -14.09 | 15.24 | 2.01 | -0.01 |
| 112 | UAB | Conference USA | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.87 | -16.27 | 11.04 | 1.95 | 0.05 |
| 113 | Syracuse | Big East | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.84 | -18.18 | 14.19 | 1.46 | 0.54 |
| 114 | SMU | Conference USA | 1-10 | 0.09 | 0.02 | -12.18 | 10.73 | 3.17 | -2.17 |
| 115 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.1 | -10.42 | 13.12 | 3.74 | -2.74 |
| 116 | Duke | ACC | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.19 | -16.09 | 14.81 | 2.01 | -1.01 |
| 117 | Idaho | Western Athletic | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.19 | -16.36 | 10.47 | 2.3 | -1.3 |
| 118 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.21 | -22.5 | 10.95 | 1.81 | -0.81 |
| 119 | Utah State | Western Athletic | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.24 | -14.91 | 13.56 | 2.34 | -1.34 |
| 120 | Florida International | Sun Belt | 0-10 | 0 | -2.71 | -27.5 | 12.88 | 0.56 | -0.56 |