Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:34.385049+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 11-0 | 1 | 24.03 | 23.36 | 4.62 | 9.18 | 1.82 |
| 2 | West Virginia | Big East | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.48 | 24 | 12.05 | 9.73 | 0.27 |
| 3 | Missouri | Big 12 | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.32 | 18.5 | 11.03 | 9.59 | 1.41 |
| 4 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.28 | 21.33 | 10.11 | 11.17 | -0.17 |
| 5 | Kansas | Big 12 | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.16 | 28.33 | 8.01 | 11.02 | -0.02 |
| 6 | LSU | SEC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.82 | 20.08 | 13.38 | 10.05 | -0.05 |
| 7 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.53 | 25.58 | 11.05 | 10.66 | -0.66 |
| 8 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.19 | 13.83 | 11.8 | 9.84 | 0.16 |
| 9 | Georgia | SEC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.18 | 10.92 | 12.77 | 8.75 | 1.25 |
| 10 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.93 | 12.91 | 11.43 | 8.38 | 0.62 |
| 11 | Boise State | Western Athletic | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.9 | 22.75 | 7.51 | 10.3 | -0.3 |
| 12 | USC | Pac-10 | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.8 | 15.18 | 10.52 | 9.04 | -0.04 |
| 13 | Boston College | ACC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.77 | 10.17 | 10.65 | 8.76 | 1.24 |
| 14 | BYU | Mountain West | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.54 | 11.64 | 10.12 | 8.42 | 0.58 |
| 15 | Florida | SEC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 20.13 | 18.92 | 15.36 | 9.57 | -0.57 |
| 16 | South Florida | Big East | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.41 | 15.17 | 11.78 | 9.44 | -0.44 |
| 17 | Cincinnati | Big East | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.39 | 18.17 | 10.71 | 10.01 | -1.01 |
| 18 | Clemson | ACC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.34 | 15.83 | 11.08 | 9.77 | -0.77 |
| 19 | Texas | Big 12 | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.28 | 11.42 | 11.74 | 8.54 | 0.46 |
| 20 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 8-3 | 0.73 | 19.25 | 14.64 | 13.31 | 8.43 | -0.43 |
| 21 | Illinois | Big Ten | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.07 | 9.25 | 11.78 | 8.58 | 0.42 |
| 22 | Tennessee | SEC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.07 | 6.33 | 13.75 | 7.39 | 1.61 |
| 23 | UConn | Big East | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.91 | 9.25 | 10.28 | 8.67 | 0.33 |
| 24 | UCF | Conference USA | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.81 | 9.83 | 9.92 | 8.05 | 0.95 |
| 25 | Virginia | ACC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.68 | 5.33 | 11.3 | 7.73 | 1.27 |
| 26 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.61 | 7.17 | 9.94 | 7.84 | 1.16 |
| 27 | Air Force | Mountain West | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.6 | 10.08 | 8.32 | 8.76 | 0.24 |
| 28 | Troy | Sun Belt | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.5 | 10.82 | 10.59 | 7.82 | 0.18 |
| 29 | Tulsa | Conference USA | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.35 | 6 | 9.14 | 7.12 | 1.88 |
| 30 | Penn State | Big Ten | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.56 | 13.25 | 12.23 | 9.49 | -1.49 |
| 31 | Arkansas | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.32 | 14.25 | 10.4 | 8.89 | -0.89 |
| 32 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.28 | 16 | 9.28 | 9.1 | -1.1 |
| 33 | Utah | Mountain West | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.19 | 9.92 | 10.74 | 9.15 | -1.15 |
| 34 | Auburn | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.15 | 7.67 | 12.39 | 8.52 | -0.52 |
| 35 | Michigan | Big Ten | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.87 | 5.83 | 11.49 | 7.75 | 0.25 |
| 36 | Wake Forest | ACC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.74 | 4.92 | 11.61 | 7.34 | 0.66 |
| 37 | Rutgers | Big East | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.5 | 10.45 | 10.8 | 8.03 | -1.03 |
| 38 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.28 | 4.25 | 8.84 | 7.31 | 0.69 |
| 39 | Houston | Conference USA | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.24 | 6.42 | 6.64 | 7.36 | 0.64 |
| 40 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.07 | 4.91 | 11.54 | 6.76 | 0.24 |
| 41 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16 | 2.58 | 9.21 | 6.59 | 1.41 |
| 42 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.86 | 5.18 | 9.9 | 6.62 | 0.38 |
| 43 | Kentucky | SEC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.12 | 6.92 | 12.65 | 7.46 | -0.46 |
| 44 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.12 | 7.25 | 12.9 | 7.66 | -0.66 |
| 45 | Purdue | Big Ten | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.88 | 8.17 | 10.07 | 7.95 | -0.95 |
| 46 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.82 | 6.83 | 10.21 | 8.07 | -1.07 |
| 47 | TCU | Mountain West | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.8 | 7.42 | 10.27 | 8.22 | -1.22 |
| 48 | Ball State | Mid-American | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.59 | 5.25 | 10.45 | 7.27 | -0.27 |
| 49 | Indiana | Big Ten | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.55 | 4.83 | 10.36 | 7.17 | -0.17 |
| 50 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.48 | 2.75 | 13.12 | 6.71 | 0.29 |
| 51 | Navy | FBS Independents | 7-4 | 0.64 | 14.42 | 0.55 | 6.7 | 5.59 | 1.41 |
| 52 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.24 | 4.75 | 8.07 | 7.28 | -0.28 |
| 53 | Western Kentucky | FBS Independents | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.15 | 12.33 | 1.35 | 9.01 | -2.01 |
| 54 | Florida State | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.03 | 1 | 12.54 | 6.32 | 0.68 |
| 55 | California | Pac-10 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.92 | 3.09 | 13.37 | 6.21 | -0.21 |
| 56 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.5 | 1.73 | 13.18 | 5.98 | 0.02 |
| 57 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.46 | 0.42 | 11.19 | 6.1 | 0.9 |
| 58 | Alabama | SEC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 13.06 | 5 | 12.79 | 7.44 | -1.44 |
| 59 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 13.01 | 4.17 | 13.44 | 6.94 | -0.94 |
| 60 | South Carolina | SEC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.66 | 2.58 | 13.06 | 6.74 | -0.74 |
| 61 | Maryland | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.63 | 3.33 | 12.45 | 7.01 | -1.01 |
| 62 | Mississippi State | SEC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 12.35 | -2.42 | 12.21 | 5.28 | 1.72 |
| 63 | Memphis | Conference USA | 7-5 | 0.58 | 11.88 | -1.83 | 6.04 | 5.57 | 1.43 |
| 64 | Louisville | Big East | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.65 | 3.82 | 12.49 | 6.26 | -1.26 |
| 65 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 7-5 | 0.58 | 11.63 | -4.33 | 8.46 | 5.14 | 1.86 |
| 66 | Ohio | Mid-American | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.36 | 0.58 | 7.33 | 6.14 | -0.14 |
| 67 | Iowa | Big Ten | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.17 | -0.25 | 10.39 | 5.9 | 0.1 |
| 68 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.06 | 1.55 | 11.65 | 5.86 | -0.86 |
| 69 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 10.98 | 4.33 | 11.41 | 6.93 | -1.93 |
| 70 | Florida Atlantic | Sun Belt | 6-5 | 0.55 | 10.95 | -4.55 | 9.01 | 4.57 | 1.43 |
| 71 | Colorado | Big 12 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.77 | -1.83 | 13.95 | 5.54 | 0.46 |
| 72 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.11 | 0.09 | 7.65 | 5.52 | -0.52 |
| 73 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.9 | -5.17 | 10.22 | 4.72 | 1.28 |
| 74 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.86 | -4.83 | 8.61 | 4.49 | 1.51 |
| 75 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.86 | -4.17 | 8.58 | 4.85 | 1.15 |
| 76 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.21 | -0.92 | 12.33 | 5.71 | -0.71 |
| 77 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.62 | -2.58 | 10.7 | 5.32 | -0.32 |
| 78 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.55 | -2 | 9.7 | 5.49 | -0.49 |
| 79 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.54 | -4.5 | 15.3 | 5.11 | -0.11 |
| 80 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.48 | -7.27 | 9.51 | 3.69 | 1.31 |
| 81 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.33 | -3.33 | 9.33 | 5.09 | -0.09 |
| 82 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.26 | -3.33 | 9.57 | 5.09 | -0.09 |
| 83 | Miami | ACC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.19 | -5.42 | 11.89 | 4.38 | 0.62 |
| 84 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.12 | -6.5 | 12.63 | 4.02 | 0.98 |
| 85 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.03 | -6.75 | 12.98 | 4.38 | 0.62 |
| 86 | NC State | ACC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.01 | -7.5 | 12.4 | 3.9 | 1.1 |
| 87 | Toledo | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.9 | -6.25 | 8.71 | 4.78 | 0.22 |
| 88 | San José State | Western Athletic | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.62 | -8.92 | 9.66 | 3.57 | 1.43 |
| 89 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.48 | -1.91 | 12.26 | 5 | -1 |
| 90 | Washington | Pac-10 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.88 | -2 | 14.71 | 5.53 | -1.53 |
| 91 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.47 | -8.27 | 10.84 | 3.7 | 0.3 |
| 92 | North Carolina | ACC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.33 | -3.33 | 11.42 | 4.97 | -0.97 |
| 93 | UTEP | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.3 | -3.5 | 9.66 | 5.3 | -1.3 |
| 94 | Akron | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.82 | -8 | 11.15 | 3.82 | 0.18 |
| 95 | Tulane | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.8 | -6.83 | 8.26 | 4.29 | -0.29 |
| 96 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.76 | -7 | 8.62 | 4.24 | -0.24 |
| 97 | Temple | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.61 | -9.83 | 9.92 | 2.97 | 1.03 |
| 98 | New Mexico State | Western Athletic | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.31 | -12.67 | 7.62 | 3.22 | 0.78 |
| 99 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.34 | -10.09 | 12.71 | 2.99 | 0.01 |
| 100 | Army | FBS Independents | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.18 | -11.45 | 11.49 | 2.63 | 0.37 |
| 101 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.16 | -5.42 | 11.18 | 4.65 | -1.65 |
| 102 | Ole Miss | SEC | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.03 | -8.42 | 13.92 | 3.64 | -0.64 |
| 103 | Kent State | Mid-American | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.94 | -7.58 | 8.48 | 3.95 | -0.95 |
| 104 | Marshall | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.79 | -9.42 | 11.29 | 3.82 | -0.82 |
| 105 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.67 | -12.33 | 14.29 | 2.51 | 0.49 |
| 106 | Rice | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.65 | -11.5 | 8.81 | 3.88 | -0.88 |
| 107 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.63 | -13.58 | 12.74 | 2.52 | 0.48 |
| 108 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.61 | -12.08 | 8.61 | 3.29 | -0.29 |
| 109 | Baylor | Big 12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.37 | -18.83 | 12.43 | 1.88 | 1.12 |
| 110 | UNLV | Mountain West | 2-10 | 0.17 | 2 | -10.42 | 13.28 | 3.06 | -1.06 |
| 111 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.82 | -11.75 | 7.61 | 2.91 | -0.91 |
| 112 | Utah State | Western Athletic | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.71 | -13.25 | 11.98 | 2.83 | -0.83 |
| 113 | UAB | Conference USA | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.66 | -15.5 | 10.83 | 2.41 | -0.41 |
| 114 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.61 | -20.36 | 11.57 | 2.18 | -0.18 |
| 115 | Syracuse | Big East | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.58 | -18.42 | 14.6 | 1.73 | 0.27 |
| 116 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.11 | -10.42 | 12.87 | 3.74 | -2.74 |
| 117 | SMU | Conference USA | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.16 | -11.42 | 11.2 | 3.71 | -2.71 |
| 118 | Idaho | Western Athletic | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.38 | -15.42 | 9.29 | 2.61 | -1.61 |
| 119 | Duke | ACC | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.39 | -15.25 | 14.14 | 2.26 | -1.26 |
| 120 | Florida International | Sun Belt | 0-11 | 0 | -2.7 | -27.91 | 12.57 | 0.68 | -0.68 |