Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:34.386981+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 12-0 | 1 | 23.75 | 22 | 4.68 | 9.87 | 2.13 |
| 2 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 11-1 | 0.92 | 22.94 | 21.33 | 9.72 | 11.17 | -0.17 |
| 3 | Kansas | Big 12 | 11-1 | 0.92 | 22.83 | 28.33 | 7.95 | 11.02 | -0.02 |
| 4 | LSU | SEC | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.89 | 19.08 | 13.14 | 10.83 | 0.17 |
| 5 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.85 | 25.23 | 11.68 | 11.54 | -0.54 |
| 6 | Missouri | Big 12 | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.49 | 15.46 | 11.75 | 9.89 | 1.11 |
| 7 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.45 | 13.85 | 12.01 | 10.66 | 0.34 |
| 8 | West Virginia | Big East | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.37 | 21.67 | 12.24 | 10.48 | -0.48 |
| 9 | BYU | Mountain West | 11-2 | 0.85 | 20.92 | 11.54 | 9.66 | 9.87 | 1.13 |
| 10 | Georgia | SEC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.79 | 10.92 | 11.81 | 8.75 | 1.25 |
| 11 | USC | Pac-10 | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.74 | 15.33 | 9.99 | 9.98 | 0.02 |
| 12 | Florida | SEC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.81 | 18.92 | 14.6 | 9.57 | -0.57 |
| 13 | Boston College | ACC | 11-3 | 0.79 | 19.63 | 7.93 | 11.69 | 9.6 | 1.4 |
| 14 | Cincinnati | Big East | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.56 | 17.54 | 10.4 | 10.75 | -0.75 |
| 15 | Texas | Big 12 | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.54 | 11.92 | 12.21 | 9.28 | 0.72 |
| 16 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.36 | 9.77 | 11.62 | 9.12 | 0.88 |
| 17 | Boise State | Western Athletic | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.31 | 20.77 | 8.03 | 10.81 | -0.81 |
| 18 | South Florida | Big East | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.23 | 15.17 | 11.92 | 9.44 | -0.44 |
| 19 | Clemson | ACC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.11 | 15.83 | 10.9 | 9.77 | -0.77 |
| 20 | Illinois | Big Ten | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.82 | 9.25 | 11.52 | 8.58 | 0.42 |
| 21 | Air Force | Mountain West | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.42 | 10.08 | 8.47 | 8.76 | 0.24 |
| 22 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.39 | 7.17 | 9.83 | 7.84 | 1.16 |
| 23 | Virginia | ACC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.35 | 5.33 | 10.92 | 7.73 | 1.27 |
| 24 | Penn State | Big Ten | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.82 | 12.77 | 12.55 | 10.21 | -1.21 |
| 25 | UCF | Conference USA | 10-4 | 0.71 | 17.79 | 9.29 | 10.38 | 9.39 | 0.61 |
| 26 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.49 | 12.83 | 13.37 | 8.82 | -0.82 |
| 27 | Utah | Mountain West | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.44 | 9.38 | 11.31 | 9.63 | -0.63 |
| 28 | Tennessee | SEC | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.37 | 5.31 | 13.73 | 7.82 | 1.18 |
| 29 | UConn | Big East | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.18 | 7.46 | 10.31 | 8.93 | 0.07 |
| 30 | Wake Forest | ACC | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.11 | 5.62 | 11.63 | 8.19 | 0.81 |
| 31 | Arkansas | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.11 | 14.25 | 10.03 | 8.89 | -0.89 |
| 32 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.07 | 5.23 | 11.68 | 8.07 | 0.93 |
| 33 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.04 | 16 | 8.9 | 9.1 | -1.1 |
| 34 | Auburn | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.92 | 7.67 | 11.89 | 8.52 | -0.52 |
| 35 | Troy | Sun Belt | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.91 | 9.42 | 10.7 | 8.2 | -0.2 |
| 36 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.74 | 5.69 | 8.73 | 8.46 | 0.54 |
| 37 | Tulsa | Conference USA | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.72 | 4.08 | 10.12 | 7.34 | 1.66 |
| 38 | Michigan | Big Ten | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.64 | 5.83 | 11.17 | 7.75 | 0.25 |
| 39 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.29 | 5.33 | 9.01 | 7.27 | 0.73 |
| 40 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 8-4 | 0.67 | 15.82 | 2.58 | 8.75 | 6.59 | 1.41 |
| 41 | Purdue | Big Ten | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.58 | 7.77 | 10.34 | 8.42 | -0.42 |
| 42 | TCU | Mountain West | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.57 | 7.38 | 10.57 | 8.94 | -0.94 |
| 43 | Houston | Conference USA | 8-5 | 0.62 | 14.98 | 5.38 | 7.02 | 7.79 | 0.21 |
| 44 | Rutgers | Big East | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.9 | 9.33 | 10.91 | 8.39 | -1.39 |
| 45 | Kentucky | SEC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.88 | 6.92 | 12.52 | 7.46 | -0.46 |
| 46 | Navy | FBS Independents | 8-5 | 0.62 | 14.62 | 2.92 | 7.42 | 7.09 | 0.91 |
| 47 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.6 | 6.83 | 10.24 | 8.07 | -1.07 |
| 48 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 8-5 | 0.62 | 14.45 | 0.62 | 11.78 | 6.65 | 1.35 |
| 49 | Ball State | Mid-American | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.44 | 5.25 | 10.33 | 7.27 | -0.27 |
| 50 | Indiana | Big Ten | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.38 | 4.83 | 10.33 | 7.17 | -0.17 |
| 51 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 7-6 | 0.54 | 14.05 | 6.46 | 13.45 | 8.14 | -1.14 |
| 52 | Western Kentucky | FBS Independents | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.95 | 12.33 | 1.42 | 9.01 | -2.01 |
| 53 | Florida State | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.78 | 1 | 12.46 | 6.32 | 0.68 |
| 54 | Alabama | SEC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.71 | 5.08 | 12.29 | 8.07 | -1.07 |
| 55 | Mississippi State | SEC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 13.28 | -1.69 | 11.97 | 5.92 | 2.08 |
| 56 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.27 | 2 | 12.97 | 7.07 | -0.07 |
| 57 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.14 | 3.62 | 8.78 | 7.56 | -0.56 |
| 58 | Florida Atlantic | Sun Belt | 8-5 | 0.62 | 12.96 | -2.08 | 9.63 | 6 | 2 |
| 59 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.78 | 4.17 | 13.2 | 6.94 | -0.94 |
| 60 | Louisville | Big East | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.59 | 3.75 | 11.91 | 6.8 | -0.8 |
| 61 | South Carolina | SEC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.44 | 2.58 | 12.69 | 6.74 | -0.74 |
| 62 | California | Pac-10 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.31 | 2.25 | 12.14 | 6.59 | -0.59 |
| 63 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 8-6 | 0.57 | 11.77 | -2.14 | 8.69 | 6.5 | 1.5 |
| 64 | Maryland | ACC | 6-7 | 0.46 | 11.5 | 2.54 | 12.17 | 7.35 | -1.35 |
| 65 | Ohio | Mid-American | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.27 | 0.58 | 7.04 | 6.14 | -0.14 |
| 66 | Iowa | Big Ten | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.04 | -0.25 | 10.33 | 5.9 | 0.1 |
| 67 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 6-7 | 0.46 | 10.79 | 1.31 | 8.3 | 6.81 | -0.81 |
| 68 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 10.79 | 4.33 | 11.09 | 6.93 | -1.93 |
| 69 | Memphis | Conference USA | 7-6 | 0.54 | 10.7 | -3 | 6.55 | 5.75 | 1.25 |
| 70 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 6-7 | 0.46 | 10.68 | 0.08 | 13.95 | 6.53 | -0.53 |
| 71 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 10.17 | 1.17 | 12.2 | 6.3 | -1.3 |
| 72 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.8 | -4.17 | 8.66 | 4.85 | 1.15 |
| 73 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.77 | -5.17 | 9.98 | 4.72 | 1.28 |
| 74 | Colorado | Big 12 | 6-7 | 0.46 | 9.66 | -2.15 | 13.06 | 5.92 | 0.08 |
| 75 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.01 | -0.92 | 11.68 | 5.71 | -0.71 |
| 76 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.9 | -1.42 | 12.64 | 5.57 | -0.57 |
| 77 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 6-7 | 0.46 | 8.68 | -6.38 | 9.12 | 4.37 | 1.63 |
| 78 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.5 | -2 | 9.36 | 5.49 | -0.49 |
| 79 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.46 | -2.58 | 10.82 | 5.32 | -0.32 |
| 80 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.39 | -4.5 | 14.85 | 5.11 | -0.11 |
| 81 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.22 | -3.33 | 9.39 | 5.09 | -0.09 |
| 82 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.2 | -3.33 | 9.21 | 5.09 | -0.09 |
| 83 | Miami | ACC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.06 | -5.42 | 11.72 | 4.38 | 0.62 |
| 84 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.99 | -6.5 | 12.58 | 4.02 | 0.98 |
| 85 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.93 | -6.75 | 12.05 | 4.38 | 0.62 |
| 86 | NC State | ACC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.89 | -7.5 | 12.53 | 3.9 | 1.1 |
| 87 | Toledo | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.8 | -6.25 | 9.16 | 4.78 | 0.22 |
| 88 | San José State | Western Athletic | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.57 | -8.92 | 9.3 | 3.57 | 1.43 |
| 89 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.5 | -9.92 | 9.38 | 3.41 | 1.59 |
| 90 | North Carolina | ACC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.31 | -3.33 | 11.28 | 4.97 | -0.97 |
| 91 | Washington | Pac-10 | 4-9 | 0.31 | 6.21 | -2.38 | 14.65 | 5.9 | -1.9 |
| 92 | UTEP | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.2 | -3.5 | 9.79 | 5.3 | -1.3 |
| 93 | Akron | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.73 | -8 | 11.2 | 3.82 | 0.18 |
| 94 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.73 | -8.67 | 12.43 | 3.55 | 0.45 |
| 95 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.72 | -7 | 8.92 | 4.24 | -0.24 |
| 96 | Tulane | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.69 | -6.83 | 8.08 | 4.29 | -0.29 |
| 97 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.64 | -9.33 | 11.73 | 3.85 | 0.15 |
| 98 | Temple | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.52 | -9.83 | 9.85 | 2.97 | 1.03 |
| 99 | New Mexico State | Western Athletic | 4-9 | 0.31 | 4.86 | -12.23 | 8.22 | 3.56 | 0.44 |
| 100 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.18 | -5.42 | 11.08 | 4.65 | -1.65 |
| 101 | Ole Miss | SEC | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.95 | -8.42 | 13.38 | 3.64 | -0.64 |
| 102 | Kent State | Mid-American | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.87 | -7.58 | 8.45 | 3.95 | -0.95 |
| 103 | Marshall | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.81 | -9.42 | 11.23 | 3.82 | -0.82 |
| 104 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.69 | -12.33 | 13.97 | 2.51 | 0.49 |
| 105 | Rice | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.59 | -11.5 | 8.48 | 3.88 | -0.88 |
| 106 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.57 | -13.58 | 12.08 | 2.52 | 0.48 |
| 107 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.56 | -12.08 | 8.96 | 3.29 | -0.29 |
| 108 | Army | FBS Independents | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.55 | -13.42 | 11.25 | 2.4 | 0.6 |
| 109 | Baylor | Big 12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.33 | -18.83 | 12.16 | 1.88 | 1.12 |
| 110 | UNLV | Mountain West | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.96 | -10.42 | 13.42 | 3.06 | -1.06 |
| 111 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.79 | -11.75 | 7.71 | 2.91 | -0.91 |
| 112 | Utah State | Western Athletic | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.76 | -13.25 | 11.62 | 2.83 | -0.83 |
| 113 | UAB | Conference USA | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.64 | -15.5 | 10.91 | 2.41 | -0.41 |
| 114 | Syracuse | Big East | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.55 | -18.42 | 14.03 | 1.73 | 0.27 |
| 115 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.43 | -20.25 | 10.56 | 2.35 | -0.35 |
| 116 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.11 | -10.42 | 12.87 | 3.74 | -2.74 |
| 117 | SMU | Conference USA | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.17 | -11.42 | 11.07 | 3.71 | -2.71 |
| 118 | Idaho | Western Athletic | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.38 | -15.42 | 9.39 | 2.61 | -1.61 |
| 119 | Duke | ACC | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.39 | -15.25 | 13.77 | 2.26 | -1.26 |
| 120 | Florida International | Sun Belt | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.72 | -24 | 11.62 | 1.14 | -0.14 |