Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:34.383544+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 9-0 | 1 | 25.47 | 25.67 | 9.07 | 8.65 | 0.35 |
| 2 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 8-0 | 1 | 25.45 | 21.25 | 9.66 | 7.08 | 0.92 |
| 3 | Kansas | Big 12 | 8-0 | 1 | 25.29 | 32.25 | 7.34 | 7.73 | 0.27 |
| 4 | Boston College | ACC | 8-0 | 1 | 25.03 | 15.25 | 8.93 | 6.58 | 1.42 |
| 5 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 8-0 | 1 | 23.79 | 29.5 | 0.48 | 7.04 | 0.96 |
| 6 | LSU | SEC | 7-1 | 0.88 | 23.73 | 21.38 | 15.26 | 7.1 | -0.1 |
| 7 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 7-1 | 0.88 | 23.46 | 21.88 | 13.9 | 6.7 | 0.3 |
| 8 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 7-1 | 0.88 | 23.02 | 27.88 | 10.24 | 7.29 | -0.29 |
| 9 | West Virginia | Big East | 7-1 | 0.88 | 23.02 | 25.88 | 10.75 | 7.33 | -0.33 |
| 10 | Missouri | Big 12 | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.43 | 17.25 | 9.08 | 6.31 | 0.69 |
| 11 | UConn | Big East | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.43 | 17.25 | 9.34 | 7.05 | -0.05 |
| 12 | Boise State | Western Athletic | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.3 | 19.25 | 8.1 | 6.5 | 0.5 |
| 13 | Texas | Big 12 | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.18 | 14 | 10.47 | 7.02 | -0.02 |
| 14 | South Florida | Big East | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.99 | 13.38 | 12.77 | 6.29 | -0.29 |
| 15 | Michigan | Big Ten | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.82 | 10.33 | 9.69 | 6.66 | 0.34 |
| 16 | Purdue | Big Ten | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.8 | 13.89 | 8.25 | 6.87 | 0.13 |
| 17 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.56 | 9.33 | 8.6 | 6.36 | 0.64 |
| 18 | Georgia | SEC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.4 | 8.88 | 12.26 | 5.58 | 0.42 |
| 19 | Cincinnati | Big East | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.39 | 21.62 | 7.5 | 7.07 | -1.07 |
| 20 | Clemson | ACC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.39 | 15 | 9.72 | 6.33 | -0.33 |
| 21 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.39 | 10.12 | 10.34 | 6.11 | -0.11 |
| 22 | Alabama | SEC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.37 | 10.75 | 10.79 | 5.83 | 0.17 |
| 23 | Virginia | ACC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.36 | 3 | 10.87 | 5.25 | 1.75 |
| 24 | USC | Pac-10 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.22 | 14.88 | 7.42 | 6.49 | -0.49 |
| 25 | Wake Forest | ACC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.18 | 7.5 | 11.56 | 5.3 | 0.7 |
| 26 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.08 | 10.25 | 9.49 | 5.88 | 0.12 |
| 27 | Troy | Sun Belt | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.88 | 10.88 | 8.01 | 5.68 | 0.32 |
| 28 | BYU | Mountain West | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.24 | 10.29 | 9.59 | 5.09 | -0.09 |
| 29 | Penn State | Big Ten | 6-3 | 0.67 | 18.01 | 13.89 | 12.15 | 7.2 | -1.2 |
| 30 | Auburn | SEC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.92 | 8.67 | 15.2 | 6.65 | -0.65 |
| 31 | Kentucky | SEC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.82 | 9.89 | 12.43 | 6 | 0 |
| 32 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.76 | 18.89 | 8.72 | 7.19 | -1.19 |
| 33 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.5 | 7.44 | 11.91 | 5.98 | 0.02 |
| 34 | Florida | SEC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 17.39 | 13.5 | 16.25 | 5.85 | -0.85 |
| 35 | South Carolina | SEC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.37 | 7.22 | 10.93 | 6.23 | -0.23 |
| 36 | Illinois | Big Ten | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.36 | 6.44 | 12.75 | 5.98 | 0.02 |
| 37 | Air Force | Mountain West | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.04 | 5.78 | 9.77 | 5.84 | 0.16 |
| 38 | Utah | Mountain West | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.91 | 6.44 | 9.61 | 6.08 | -0.08 |
| 39 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.81 | 17.25 | 11.95 | 6.41 | -1.41 |
| 40 | Rutgers | Big East | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.68 | 11.88 | 11.65 | 6 | -1 |
| 41 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.59 | 12.62 | 11.62 | 6.43 | -1.43 |
| 42 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.48 | 8.62 | 12.96 | 5.31 | -0.31 |
| 43 | California | Pac-10 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.46 | 6.5 | 13.42 | 5.01 | -0.01 |
| 44 | Arkansas | SEC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.45 | 20.5 | 8.32 | 6.75 | -1.75 |
| 45 | Florida State | ACC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16 | 5.75 | 11.97 | 5.26 | -0.26 |
| 46 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.88 | 4.25 | 12.74 | 4.79 | 0.21 |
| 47 | Houston | Conference USA | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.86 | 7 | 9.9 | 4.97 | 0.03 |
| 48 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.71 | 4.62 | 9.44 | 4.77 | 0.23 |
| 49 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.66 | 4.75 | 10.39 | 5.12 | -0.12 |
| 50 | UCF | Conference USA | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.51 | 3.12 | 11.56 | 4.44 | 0.56 |
| 51 | Miami | ACC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.47 | 3.75 | 9.54 | 4.75 | 0.25 |
| 52 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.36 | 1.75 | 10.9 | 4.33 | 0.67 |
| 53 | Western Kentucky | FBS Independents | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.29 | 13.25 | 2.04 | 6.08 | -1.08 |
| 54 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.12 | 1 | 12.9 | 4.23 | 0.77 |
| 55 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.99 | 7.78 | 12.12 | 5.86 | -0.86 |
| 56 | Tennessee | SEC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 14.93 | 0 | 16.2 | 4 | 1 |
| 57 | Louisville | Big East | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.78 | 9.67 | 10.45 | 6.05 | -1.05 |
| 58 | Ball State | Mid-American | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.59 | 6 | 10.36 | 5.57 | -0.57 |
| 59 | Indiana | Big Ten | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.34 | 4.44 | 9.71 | 5.29 | -0.29 |
| 60 | Colorado | Big 12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.15 | 1.33 | 15.97 | 4.79 | 0.21 |
| 61 | Tulsa | Conference USA | 5-3 | 0.62 | 13.32 | -2 | 9.77 | 3.74 | 1.26 |
| 62 | UTEP | Conference USA | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.66 | 2.88 | 9.52 | 4.4 | -0.4 |
| 63 | TCU | Mountain West | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.64 | 2.62 | 10.87 | 4.58 | -0.58 |
| 64 | Maryland | ACC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.44 | 0.88 | 13.04 | 4.18 | -0.18 |
| 65 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 5-4 | 0.56 | 12.29 | -1.67 | 12.98 | 4.21 | 0.79 |
| 66 | Mississippi State | SEC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 12.08 | -2.56 | 12.98 | 3.93 | 1.07 |
| 67 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 5-4 | 0.56 | 11.67 | -3.89 | 9.55 | 3.78 | 1.22 |
| 68 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.4 | 0.5 | 6.98 | 4.06 | -0.06 |
| 69 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 5-4 | 0.56 | 11.26 | -6.11 | 10.12 | 3.59 | 1.41 |
| 70 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.13 | -0.25 | 6.21 | 3.95 | 0.05 |
| 71 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.84 | 1.56 | 11.15 | 4.83 | -0.83 |
| 72 | Navy | FBS Independents | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.67 | -2.38 | 10.07 | 3.7 | 0.3 |
| 73 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.26 | -5.12 | 11.11 | 3.24 | 0.76 |
| 74 | Florida Atlantic | Sun Belt | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.03 | -5.75 | 9.34 | 3.09 | 0.91 |
| 75 | Memphis | Conference USA | 4-4 | 0.5 | 9.68 | -3.5 | 3.6 | 3.4 | 0.6 |
| 76 | Iowa | Big Ten | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.64 | -1.11 | 12.47 | 4.17 | -0.17 |
| 77 | Ohio | Mid-American | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.35 | -0.78 | 7.07 | 4.36 | -0.36 |
| 78 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.2 | -5 | 15.99 | 3.59 | 0.41 |
| 79 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.91 | -3.33 | 10.57 | 3.81 | 0.19 |
| 80 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.63 | -6.56 | 10.43 | 3 | 1 |
| 81 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 3-5 | 0.38 | 8.4 | -1.12 | 12.57 | 3.78 | -0.78 |
| 82 | Toledo | Mid-American | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.35 | -5.67 | 7.65 | 3.7 | 0.3 |
| 83 | New Mexico State | Western Athletic | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.17 | -10.89 | 9.03 | 2.63 | 1.37 |
| 84 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 3-6 | 0.33 | 7.55 | 0 | 11.2 | 4.5 | -1.5 |
| 85 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.42 | -4.75 | 9.29 | 3.16 | -0.16 |
| 86 | NC State | ACC | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.39 | -5 | 13.51 | 3.07 | -0.07 |
| 87 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.33 | -8.75 | 15.99 | 2.48 | 0.52 |
| 88 | Akron | Mid-American | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.12 | -9.12 | 12.5 | 2.28 | 0.72 |
| 89 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.1 | -6 | 10.44 | 2.88 | 0.12 |
| 90 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.1 | -8.25 | 14.77 | 2.69 | 0.31 |
| 91 | Army | FBS Independents | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.03 | -7.62 | 9.98 | 2.43 | 0.57 |
| 92 | Temple | Mid-American | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.95 | -8.5 | 10.07 | 2.44 | 0.56 |
| 93 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.8 | -9.25 | 10.79 | 2.43 | 0.57 |
| 94 | San José State | Western Athletic | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.64 | -13.12 | 9.99 | 1.65 | 1.35 |
| 95 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.27 | -4.78 | 9.74 | 3.66 | -0.66 |
| 96 | Kent State | Mid-American | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.94 | -7.44 | 9.4 | 3.03 | -0.03 |
| 97 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.85 | -6.22 | 8.84 | 3.12 | -0.12 |
| 98 | Baylor | Big 12 | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.54 | -14.78 | 11.6 | 1.88 | 1.12 |
| 99 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.93 | -8.29 | 10.82 | 2.23 | -0.23 |
| 100 | Washington | Pac-10 | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.62 | -5.38 | 18.05 | 3.2 | -1.2 |
| 101 | North Carolina | ACC | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.54 | -5.38 | 15.03 | 2.93 | -0.93 |
| 102 | Tulane | Conference USA | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.96 | -8 | 7.54 | 2.6 | -0.6 |
| 103 | UAB | Conference USA | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.59 | -14.88 | 9.28 | 1.59 | 0.41 |
| 104 | Syracuse | Big East | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.48 | -17.88 | 12.9 | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 105 | UNLV | Mountain West | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.43 | -8 | 13.11 | 2.74 | -0.74 |
| 106 | Ole Miss | SEC | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.36 | -9.78 | 15.66 | 2.4 | -0.4 |
| 107 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 1-7 | 0.12 | 1.12 | -7.38 | 12.86 | 2.74 | -1.74 |
| 108 | SMU | Conference USA | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.76 | -11.75 | 10.92 | 2.28 | -1.28 |
| 109 | Duke | ACC | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.74 | -12.75 | 17.57 | 1.9 | -0.9 |
| 110 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.69 | -9.56 | 13.03 | 2.98 | -1.98 |
| 111 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.63 | -13.38 | 8.8 | 2.09 | -1.09 |
| 112 | Marshall | Conference USA | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.53 | -12.25 | 10.36 | 2.14 | -1.14 |
| 113 | Rice | Conference USA | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.52 | -16 | 8.81 | 1.92 | -0.92 |
| 114 | Idaho | Western Athletic | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.39 | -13.78 | 9.34 | 2.24 | -1.24 |
| 115 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.37 | -19.62 | 19.54 | 0.57 | 0.43 |
| 116 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.36 | -14.56 | 5.87 | 1.73 | -0.73 |
| 117 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.31 | -15.44 | 12.01 | 1.56 | -0.56 |
| 118 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.15 | -26.12 | 10.37 | 0.99 | 0.01 |
| 119 | Utah State | Western Athletic | 0-8 | 0 | -2.27 | -14.88 | 12.74 | 1.7 | -1.7 |
| 120 | Florida International | Sun Belt | 0-8 | 0 | -2.93 | -32.75 | 15.22 | 0.18 | -0.18 |