Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:34.611784+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alabama | SEC | 9-0 | 1 | 25.64 | 20 | 11.53 | 8.18 | 0.82 |
| 2 | Penn State | Big Ten | 9-0 | 1 | 25.18 | 30.67 | 7.7 | 8.63 | 0.37 |
| 3 | Boise State | Western Athletic | 8-0 | 1 | 25.1 | 24.75 | 8.13 | 7.61 | 0.39 |
| 4 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 9-0 | 1 | 25.08 | 24.56 | 8.14 | 7.67 | 1.33 |
| 5 | Utah | Mountain West | 9-0 | 1 | 24.59 | 18.44 | 6.7 | 7.6 | 1.4 |
| 6 | Ball State | Mid-American | 8-0 | 1 | 24.36 | 22 | 4.94 | 7.12 | 0.88 |
| 7 | Texas | Big 12 | 8-1 | 0.89 | 24.07 | 23.56 | 15.5 | 7.73 | 0.27 |
| 8 | Florida | SEC | 7-1 | 0.88 | 23.64 | 31.25 | 14.08 | 7.65 | -0.65 |
| 9 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.42 | 26.67 | 12.18 | 7.74 | 0.26 |
| 10 | USC | Pac-10 | 7-1 | 0.88 | 23.13 | 33.12 | 10.96 | 7.87 | -0.87 |
| 11 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.96 | 24.33 | 10.03 | 7.75 | 0.25 |
| 12 | TCU | Mountain West | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.81 | 25.8 | 7.8 | 9.47 | -0.47 |
| 13 | Tulsa | Conference USA | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.04 | 25.44 | 4.19 | 7.48 | 0.52 |
| 14 | BYU | Mountain West | 8-1 | 0.89 | 21.83 | 16.78 | 5.44 | 7.37 | 0.63 |
| 15 | Missouri | Big 12 | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.72 | 22 | 12.34 | 7.44 | -0.44 |
| 16 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.39 | 11.22 | 13.34 | 7.29 | -0.29 |
| 17 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.35 | 6.8 | 12.6 | 6.62 | 1.38 |
| 18 | Georgia | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.3 | 8.11 | 13.43 | 6.02 | 0.98 |
| 19 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.74 | 9.11 | 9.55 | 6.54 | 0.46 |
| 20 | California | Pac-10 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.67 | 15.38 | 12.03 | 6.29 | -0.29 |
| 21 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.59 | 9.78 | 9.16 | 6.92 | 0.08 |
| 22 | North Carolina | ACC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.54 | 11.25 | 12.43 | 5.95 | 0.05 |
| 23 | Air Force | Mountain West | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.48 | 10.22 | 8.27 | 6.75 | 0.25 |
| 24 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.42 | 8.11 | 8.95 | 6.36 | 0.64 |
| 25 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.24 | 8.78 | 7.51 | 6.14 | 0.86 |
| 26 | Florida State | ACC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.19 | 16.88 | 7.42 | 6.59 | -0.59 |
| 27 | LSU | SEC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.83 | 8.62 | 9.3 | 5.4 | 0.6 |
| 28 | Cincinnati | Big East | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.77 | 6.25 | 10.48 | 5.22 | 0.78 |
| 29 | West Virginia | Big East | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.75 | 10.5 | 7.99 | 6.25 | -0.25 |
| 30 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.47 | 2.62 | 12.14 | 4.44 | 1.56 |
| 31 | Maryland | ACC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.09 | 4.12 | 7.42 | 4.9 | 1.1 |
| 32 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 7-2 | 0.78 | 17.65 | 0.22 | 7.73 | 4.54 | 2.46 |
| 33 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.44 | 13.67 | 9.07 | 6.64 | -0.64 |
| 34 | Miami | ACC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.3 | 7.89 | 12.02 | 6.07 | -0.07 |
| 35 | South Florida | Big East | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.3 | 11.89 | 8.69 | 6.84 | -0.84 |
| 36 | Kansas | Big 12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.24 | 8.11 | 11.42 | 5.89 | 0.11 |
| 37 | UConn | Big East | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.15 | 5.78 | 11.35 | 5.86 | 0.14 |
| 38 | South Carolina | SEC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.08 | 7.89 | 10.4 | 6.58 | -0.58 |
| 39 | Kentucky | SEC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.7 | 4.22 | 10.61 | 5.62 | 0.38 |
| 40 | Navy | FBS Independents | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.61 | 3.67 | 10.76 | 5.21 | 0.79 |
| 41 | Rice | Conference USA | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.56 | 3.78 | 10.27 | 5.01 | 0.99 |
| 42 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.48 | 18.62 | 9.29 | 6.75 | -1.75 |
| 43 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.3 | 9.75 | 12.04 | 5.54 | -0.54 |
| 44 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16 | 13.62 | 7.45 | 6.7 | -1.7 |
| 45 | Boston College | ACC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.98 | 9 | 8.65 | 5.72 | -0.72 |
| 46 | San José State | Western Athletic | 6-3 | 0.67 | 15.96 | 2.67 | 7.18 | 5.19 | 0.81 |
| 47 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.96 | 4.5 | 13.22 | 5.11 | -0.11 |
| 48 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.82 | 6.5 | 9.32 | 5.24 | -0.24 |
| 49 | Troy | Sun Belt | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.81 | 10 | 6.84 | 5.59 | -0.59 |
| 50 | Louisville | Big East | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.68 | 5.38 | 9.04 | 4.94 | 0.06 |
| 51 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.62 | 2.75 | 12.94 | 4.58 | 0.42 |
| 52 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.36 | 6 | 7.58 | 4.82 | 0.18 |
| 53 | Wake Forest | ACC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.28 | 1 | 14.93 | 4.25 | 0.75 |
| 54 | Iowa | Big Ten | 5-4 | 0.56 | 15.18 | 15.89 | 10.27 | 7.8 | -2.8 |
| 55 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.1 | 3.62 | 6.67 | 4.55 | 0.45 |
| 56 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.06 | 1.88 | 10.61 | 4.39 | 0.61 |
| 57 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.85 | 4.11 | 15.57 | 5.21 | -0.21 |
| 58 | Illinois | Big Ten | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.63 | 6.44 | 12.42 | 5.63 | -0.63 |
| 59 | Ole Miss | SEC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.32 | 3.89 | 12.73 | 5.35 | -0.35 |
| 60 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.02 | 4 | 10.81 | 5.33 | -0.33 |
| 61 | Clemson | ACC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.18 | 8.75 | 9.95 | 5.84 | -1.84 |
| 62 | Houston | Conference USA | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.1 | 7.62 | 8.5 | 5.06 | -1.06 |
| 63 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.81 | 5.88 | 7.47 | 5.04 | -1.04 |
| 64 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.71 | 5.25 | 8.02 | 4.7 | -0.7 |
| 65 | Duke | ACC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.59 | 1.62 | 12.9 | 4.33 | -0.33 |
| 66 | Virginia | ACC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 11.94 | -4.78 | 14.86 | 3.26 | 1.74 |
| 67 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.83 | 0.38 | 12.75 | 4.06 | -0.06 |
| 68 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.37 | 2.89 | 11.2 | 4.94 | -0.94 |
| 69 | Akron | Mid-American | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.34 | -0.12 | 9.79 | 3.98 | 0.02 |
| 70 | Auburn | SEC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.03 | 1.67 | 10.88 | 5.03 | -1.03 |
| 71 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.74 | 0.22 | 15.2 | 4.55 | -0.55 |
| 72 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.58 | 0.78 | 11.88 | 4.66 | -0.66 |
| 73 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.23 | -2.88 | 9.38 | 3.41 | 0.59 |
| 74 | Marshall | Conference USA | 4-4 | 0.5 | 9.85 | -4.88 | 8.84 | 3.04 | 0.96 |
| 75 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 4-6 | 0.4 | 9.66 | 0.1 | 14.92 | 5.03 | -1.03 |
| 76 | Memphis | Conference USA | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.41 | -1.11 | 9.13 | 4.28 | -0.28 |
| 77 | Rutgers | Big East | 3-5 | 0.38 | 8.9 | -0.12 | 14.3 | 3.97 | -0.97 |
| 78 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 3-6 | 0.33 | 8.82 | 4.11 | 12.44 | 5.19 | -2.19 |
| 79 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.75 | -5.67 | 13.82 | 3.5 | 0.5 |
| 80 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.52 | -8.33 | 12.34 | 2.99 | 1.01 |
| 81 | Colorado | Big 12 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.48 | -10.11 | 13.64 | 2.36 | 1.64 |
| 82 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.43 | -9.33 | 11.98 | 2.63 | 1.37 |
| 83 | Arkansas | SEC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.38 | -10.67 | 15.14 | 2.42 | 1.58 |
| 84 | Baylor | Big 12 | 3-6 | 0.33 | 7.42 | -0.56 | 12.36 | 4.39 | -1.39 |
| 85 | UTEP | Conference USA | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.31 | -6.38 | 12.45 | 3.17 | -0.17 |
| 86 | Tennessee | SEC | 3-6 | 0.33 | 7.18 | -1.67 | 15.02 | 4 | -1 |
| 87 | Florida International | Sun Belt | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.17 | -7.25 | 11.18 | 2.66 | 0.34 |
| 88 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.01 | -10.25 | 14.23 | 2.21 | 0.79 |
| 89 | Temple | Mid-American | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.96 | -1.89 | 13.38 | 3.97 | -0.97 |
| 90 | New Mexico State | Western Athletic | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.94 | -9.38 | 10.21 | 2.48 | 0.52 |
| 91 | Florida Atlantic | Sun Belt | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.88 | -10.88 | 12.89 | 1.98 | 1.02 |
| 92 | Purdue | Big Ten | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.39 | -4.22 | 14.97 | 3.62 | -0.62 |
| 93 | Mississippi State | SEC | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.19 | -5.11 | 10.5 | 3.08 | -0.08 |
| 94 | Indiana | Big Ten | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.15 | -7 | 14.03 | 3.14 | -0.14 |
| 95 | Army | FBS Independents | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.12 | -4.33 | 6.88 | 3.25 | -0.25 |
| 96 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.12 | -3.56 | 7.25 | 3.82 | -0.82 |
| 97 | UNLV | Mountain West | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.98 | -8.67 | 13.43 | 3.04 | -0.04 |
| 98 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.15 | -18.67 | 11.44 | 0.85 | 2.15 |
| 99 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.27 | -6.62 | 13.47 | 2.69 | -0.69 |
| 100 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.09 | -8 | 13.45 | 2.4 | -0.4 |
| 101 | Tulane | Conference USA | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.92 | -10.12 | 11.71 | 2.11 | -0.11 |
| 102 | Toledo | Mid-American | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.91 | -10.12 | 13.38 | 2.27 | -0.27 |
| 103 | NC State | ACC | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.88 | -10.75 | 13.69 | 2.08 | -0.08 |
| 104 | UCF | Conference USA | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.85 | -10.88 | 11.41 | 1.88 | 0.12 |
| 105 | Ohio | Mid-American | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.82 | -3.89 | 9.99 | 3.63 | -1.63 |
| 106 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.66 | -11.62 | 8.12 | 1.92 | 0.08 |
| 107 | Syracuse | Big East | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.56 | -14.12 | 14.81 | 1.69 | 0.31 |
| 108 | Kent State | Mid-American | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.54 | -5.56 | 8.82 | 3.47 | -1.47 |
| 109 | Michigan | Big Ten | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.31 | -9.44 | 13.99 | 2.67 | -0.67 |
| 110 | Western Kentucky | FBS Independents | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.29 | -7.89 | 8.12 | 2.88 | -0.88 |
| 111 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.26 | -9.11 | 10.04 | 2.94 | -0.94 |
| 112 | UAB | Conference USA | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.9 | -14.44 | 9.38 | 2.13 | -0.13 |
| 113 | Utah State | Western Athletic | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.83 | -14.56 | 14.51 | 2.01 | -0.01 |
| 114 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.61 | -11.9 | 11.84 | 2.49 | -0.49 |
| 115 | Idaho | Western Athletic | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.11 | -21.1 | 8.84 | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| 116 | SMU | Conference USA | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.22 | -17.22 | 13.1 | 1.9 | -0.9 |
| 117 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.21 | -17.56 | 10.1 | 1.5 | -0.5 |
| 118 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 1-8 | 0.11 | -0.31 | -28.22 | 13.39 | 1.04 | -0.04 |
| 119 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 1-8 | 0.11 | -0.37 | -36.89 | 12.93 | 0.33 | 0.67 |
| 120 | Washington | Pac-10 | 0-8 | 0 | -2.84 | -27.5 | 18.53 | 0.57 | -0.57 |