Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:34.612204+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alabama | SEC | 10-0 | 1 | 25.53 | 18.6 | 11.89 | 8.9 | 1.1 |
| 2 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 10-0 | 1 | 25.22 | 25.7 | 9.22 | 8.61 | 1.39 |
| 3 | Boise State | Western Athletic | 9-0 | 1 | 24.97 | 25.89 | 7.91 | 8.56 | 0.44 |
| 4 | Utah | Mountain West | 10-0 | 1 | 24.74 | 16.9 | 8.4 | 8.38 | 1.62 |
| 5 | Ball State | Mid-American | 9-0 | 1 | 24.47 | 23 | 5.94 | 8.08 | 0.92 |
| 6 | Texas | Big 12 | 9-1 | 0.9 | 23.92 | 23.6 | 14.72 | 8.59 | 0.41 |
| 7 | Florida | SEC | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.78 | 30.89 | 14.16 | 8.59 | -0.59 |
| 8 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 9-1 | 0.9 | 23.4 | 27.8 | 11.24 | 8.64 | 0.36 |
| 9 | USC | Pac-10 | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.29 | 31 | 11.48 | 8.85 | -0.85 |
| 10 | Penn State | Big Ten | 9-1 | 0.9 | 23.03 | 27.5 | 8.75 | 9.41 | -0.41 |
| 11 | BYU | Mountain West | 9-1 | 0.9 | 21.9 | 18 | 4.93 | 8.36 | 0.64 |
| 12 | Tulsa | Conference USA | 8-1 | 0.89 | 21.83 | 25.44 | 4.29 | 7.48 | 0.52 |
| 13 | TCU | Mountain West | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.18 | 23.18 | 9.42 | 10.3 | -1.3 |
| 14 | Missouri | Big 12 | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.98 | 21.5 | 11.83 | 8.23 | -0.23 |
| 15 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.89 | 13.6 | 13.46 | 8.45 | -0.45 |
| 16 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.8 | 18.3 | 10.78 | 7.9 | 0.1 |
| 17 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.61 | 7.45 | 11.51 | 7.52 | 1.48 |
| 18 | Georgia | SEC | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.52 | 7.7 | 13.69 | 6.54 | 1.46 |
| 19 | North Carolina | ACC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.19 | 12.33 | 12.48 | 6.94 | 0.06 |
| 20 | Air Force | Mountain West | 8-2 | 0.8 | 19.87 | 11.3 | 7.99 | 7.67 | 0.33 |
| 21 | Florida State | ACC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.72 | 16.56 | 8.15 | 7.31 | -0.31 |
| 22 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.71 | 6.11 | 12.83 | 5.65 | 1.35 |
| 23 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 8-2 | 0.8 | 19.68 | 8.5 | 8.05 | 6.82 | 1.18 |
| 24 | Cincinnati | Big East | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.45 | 5.89 | 11.15 | 5.79 | 1.21 |
| 25 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18 | 13 | 9.92 | 7.28 | -0.28 |
| 26 | California | Pac-10 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.78 | 12.11 | 12.77 | 6.75 | -0.75 |
| 27 | South Carolina | SEC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.67 | 8.4 | 9.85 | 7.35 | -0.35 |
| 28 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 7-2 | 0.78 | 17.59 | 0.22 | 7.62 | 4.54 | 2.46 |
| 29 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.58 | 6.7 | 9.42 | 6.95 | 0.05 |
| 30 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.5 | 5.9 | 9.38 | 6.55 | 0.45 |
| 31 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.44 | 11.78 | 11.49 | 6.62 | -0.62 |
| 32 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.42 | 20 | 8.48 | 7.61 | -1.61 |
| 33 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.27 | 3.8 | 9.82 | 5.98 | 1.02 |
| 34 | Miami | ACC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.22 | 7.89 | 11.64 | 6.07 | -0.07 |
| 35 | Rice | Conference USA | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.18 | 4.1 | 9.76 | 5.62 | 1.38 |
| 36 | South Florida | Big East | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.12 | 11.89 | 8.74 | 6.84 | -0.84 |
| 37 | LSU | SEC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.11 | 7 | 10.83 | 5.81 | 0.19 |
| 38 | West Virginia | Big East | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.06 | 9 | 9.2 | 6.68 | -0.68 |
| 39 | Boston College | ACC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.03 | 9.89 | 9.45 | 6.74 | -0.74 |
| 40 | UConn | Big East | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.91 | 5.78 | 10.88 | 5.86 | 0.14 |
| 41 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.79 | 3.56 | 12.84 | 5.35 | 0.65 |
| 42 | Wake Forest | ACC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.69 | 2.11 | 14.52 | 5.08 | 0.92 |
| 43 | Troy | Sun Belt | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.67 | 10 | 6.73 | 6.4 | -0.4 |
| 44 | Navy | FBS Independents | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.58 | 3.67 | 10.7 | 5.21 | 0.79 |
| 45 | Maryland | ACC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.16 | 2.56 | 8.47 | 5.15 | 0.85 |
| 46 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.09 | 2 | 10.04 | 4.98 | 1.02 |
| 47 | Iowa | Big Ten | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.99 | 14.4 | 11.54 | 8.4 | -2.4 |
| 48 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.67 | 4.7 | 15.49 | 5.88 | 0.12 |
| 49 | Kansas | Big 12 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.47 | 6.3 | 11.12 | 6.17 | -0.17 |
| 50 | Kentucky | SEC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.09 | 3.4 | 11.43 | 5.92 | 0.08 |
| 51 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.51 | 8.67 | 9.03 | 6.53 | -1.53 |
| 52 | Houston | Conference USA | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.37 | 9.89 | 8.1 | 6.05 | -1.05 |
| 53 | Ole Miss | SEC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.35 | 3.89 | 12.94 | 5.35 | -0.35 |
| 54 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.16 | 3.89 | 10.6 | 5.42 | -0.42 |
| 55 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.08 | 6.11 | 8.58 | 5.42 | -0.42 |
| 56 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.86 | 3.89 | 7.94 | 5.11 | -0.11 |
| 57 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.84 | 2.56 | 11.55 | 5 | 0 |
| 58 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.79 | 0.89 | 13.93 | 4.74 | 0.26 |
| 59 | San José State | Western Athletic | 6-4 | 0.6 | 13.7 | 0.3 | 7.47 | 5.09 | 0.91 |
| 60 | Akron | Mid-American | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.4 | 1.78 | 9.35 | 4.82 | 0.18 |
| 61 | Louisville | Big East | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.39 | 1 | 9.78 | 4.7 | 0.3 |
| 62 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.37 | 1.78 | 7.43 | 4.8 | 0.2 |
| 63 | Illinois | Big Ten | 5-5 | 0.5 | 13.17 | 5.2 | 12.56 | 6.06 | -1.06 |
| 64 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.93 | 3.7 | 14.15 | 5.85 | -0.85 |
| 65 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.66 | 2.9 | 11.29 | 5.65 | -0.65 |
| 66 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.53 | 3.2 | 10.94 | 5.77 | -0.77 |
| 67 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 5-4 | 0.56 | 12.45 | -0.22 | 9.58 | 4.44 | 0.56 |
| 68 | Auburn | SEC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.41 | 3.2 | 9.46 | 6.05 | -1.05 |
| 69 | Clemson | ACC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.74 | 6.22 | 10.85 | 5.93 | -1.93 |
| 70 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.38 | 5.11 | 8.37 | 5.55 | -1.55 |
| 71 | Rutgers | Big East | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.04 | 1.89 | 13.11 | 4.96 | -0.96 |
| 72 | Memphis | Conference USA | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.88 | -0.5 | 8.62 | 4.89 | 0.11 |
| 73 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 4-6 | 0.4 | 10.54 | 4.8 | 11.42 | 5.95 | -1.95 |
| 74 | Duke | ACC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.53 | 0.33 | 12.22 | 4.58 | -0.58 |
| 75 | Virginia | ACC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.38 | -5.4 | 14.77 | 3.47 | 1.53 |
| 76 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 9.88 | 0.9 | 12.44 | 5.15 | -1.15 |
| 77 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 5-5 | 0.5 | 9.81 | -7.2 | 11.88 | 3.42 | 1.58 |
| 78 | Colorado | Big 12 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 9.7 | -8.7 | 12.19 | 2.94 | 2.06 |
| 79 | UTEP | Conference USA | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.83 | -4.22 | 12.6 | 3.87 | 0.13 |
| 80 | Marshall | Conference USA | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.69 | -4.67 | 9.73 | 3.44 | 0.56 |
| 81 | Florida International | Sun Belt | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.47 | -6.33 | 11.27 | 3.16 | 0.84 |
| 82 | Florida Atlantic | Sun Belt | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.46 | -6 | 10.67 | 3.21 | 0.79 |
| 83 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 4-7 | 0.36 | 8.18 | -0.55 | 14.02 | 5.34 | -1.34 |
| 84 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.59 | -8.9 | 14.05 | 3.37 | 0.63 |
| 85 | UNLV | Mountain West | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.56 | -7.1 | 13 | 3.63 | 0.37 |
| 86 | Arkansas | SEC | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.49 | -10.9 | 15.06 | 2.66 | 1.34 |
| 87 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.45 | -9.6 | 12.62 | 3.08 | 0.92 |
| 88 | Temple | Mid-American | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.87 | -1.89 | 13.47 | 3.97 | -0.97 |
| 89 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 4-6 | 0.4 | 6.84 | -16.2 | 11.02 | 1.14 | 2.86 |
| 90 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.28 | -3.67 | 11.56 | 3.69 | -0.69 |
| 91 | Tennessee | SEC | 3-7 | 0.3 | 6.16 | -2.1 | 13.49 | 4.27 | -1.27 |
| 92 | Mississippi State | SEC | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.11 | -5.11 | 10.4 | 3.08 | -0.08 |
| 93 | Baylor | Big 12 | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.97 | -2.9 | 13.13 | 4.39 | -1.39 |
| 94 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.89 | -6.78 | 11.72 | 2.95 | 0.05 |
| 95 | NC State | ACC | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.8 | -8.44 | 13.16 | 2.74 | 0.26 |
| 96 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.72 | -12.22 | 14.18 | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| 97 | New Mexico State | Western Athletic | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.69 | -9.67 | 9.57 | 2.79 | 0.21 |
| 98 | Purdue | Big Ten | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.64 | -5.2 | 14.93 | 3.75 | -0.75 |
| 99 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.53 | -3.5 | 6.8 | 4.24 | -1.24 |
| 100 | Army | FBS Independents | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.42 | -4.6 | 8.17 | 3.64 | -0.64 |
| 101 | Michigan | Big Ten | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.37 | -6.2 | 14.5 | 3.58 | -0.58 |
| 102 | Indiana | Big Ten | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.14 | -9.8 | 13.54 | 3.01 | -0.01 |
| 103 | Kent State | Mid-American | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.49 | -5.56 | 8.71 | 3.47 | -1.47 |
| 104 | Toledo | Mid-American | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.15 | -10.89 | 12.67 | 2.52 | -0.52 |
| 105 | UCF | Conference USA | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.1 | -10.89 | 10.45 | 2 | 0 |
| 106 | Tulane | Conference USA | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.07 | -12.11 | 12.11 | 2.06 | -0.06 |
| 107 | Ohio | Mid-American | 2-8 | 0.2 | 3.06 | -6 | 10.48 | 3.49 | -1.49 |
| 108 | Syracuse | Big East | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.96 | -14.56 | 13.89 | 1.84 | 0.16 |
| 109 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.95 | -12.56 | 8.55 | 2.03 | -0.03 |
| 110 | UAB | Conference USA | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.83 | -14.44 | 9.37 | 2.13 | -0.13 |
| 111 | Western Kentucky | FBS Independents | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.81 | -8.1 | 9.08 | 3.07 | -1.07 |
| 112 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.78 | -8.6 | 9.44 | 3.34 | -1.34 |
| 113 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.58 | -11.9 | 12 | 2.49 | -0.49 |
| 114 | Utah State | Western Athletic | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.4 | -16.6 | 14.93 | 1.95 | 0.05 |
| 115 | Idaho | Western Athletic | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.09 | -21.1 | 8.97 | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| 116 | SMU | Conference USA | 1-9 | 0.1 | 0.04 | -16 | 12.34 | 2.25 | -1.25 |
| 117 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.07 | -18.7 | 11.13 | 1.52 | -0.52 |
| 118 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.41 | -28.7 | 12.34 | 1.08 | -0.08 |
| 119 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.59 | -36.3 | 13.44 | 0.46 | 0.54 |
| 120 | Washington | Pac-10 | 0-9 | 0 | -2.78 | -26.67 | 16.97 | 0.71 | -0.71 |