Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:34.612626+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alabama | SEC | 11-0 | 1 | 25.19 | 19.18 | 10.53 | 9.9 | 1.1 |
| 2 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 10-0 | 1 | 25.04 | 25.7 | 8.75 | 8.61 | 1.39 |
| 3 | Boise State | Western Athletic | 10-0 | 1 | 24.86 | 26.8 | 7.72 | 9.54 | 0.46 |
| 4 | Utah | Mountain West | 11-0 | 1 | 24.66 | 19.82 | 7.84 | 9.52 | 1.48 |
| 5 | Ball State | Mid-American | 10-0 | 1 | 24.26 | 22.2 | 5.46 | 8.92 | 1.08 |
| 6 | Texas | Big 12 | 10-1 | 0.91 | 24.09 | 24 | 14.86 | 9.57 | 0.43 |
| 7 | Florida | SEC | 9-1 | 0.9 | 23.93 | 32.8 | 13.92 | 9.62 | -0.62 |
| 8 | USC | Pac-10 | 9-1 | 0.9 | 23.45 | 30.1 | 11.75 | 9.74 | -0.74 |
| 9 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 9-1 | 0.9 | 23.2 | 27.8 | 10.64 | 8.64 | 0.36 |
| 10 | Penn State | Big Ten | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.06 | 27.45 | 8.76 | 10.39 | -0.39 |
| 11 | BYU | Mountain West | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.21 | 17.64 | 6.03 | 9.11 | 0.89 |
| 12 | Missouri | Big 12 | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.24 | 22.45 | 10.89 | 9.15 | -0.15 |
| 13 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.2 | 13.27 | 13.02 | 9.17 | -0.17 |
| 14 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.02 | 17.82 | 10.6 | 8.69 | 0.31 |
| 15 | TCU | Mountain West | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.02 | 23.18 | 9.34 | 10.3 | -1.3 |
| 16 | Georgia | SEC | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.8 | 7.36 | 13.22 | 7.2 | 1.8 |
| 17 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.54 | 7.45 | 11.47 | 7.52 | 1.48 |
| 18 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 9-2 | 0.82 | 19.97 | 8.64 | 7.5 | 7.56 | 1.44 |
| 19 | Cincinnati | Big East | 8-2 | 0.8 | 19.9 | 6.1 | 11.4 | 6.48 | 1.52 |
| 20 | Tulsa | Conference USA | 8-2 | 0.8 | 19.8 | 18.9 | 5.16 | 7.56 | 0.44 |
| 21 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.72 | 6.11 | 13.07 | 5.65 | 1.35 |
| 22 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.64 | 12.73 | 10.25 | 7.85 | 0.15 |
| 23 | Air Force | Mountain West | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.35 | 9 | 9.36 | 7.85 | 0.15 |
| 24 | North Carolina | ACC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.31 | 10.9 | 12.73 | 7.52 | -0.52 |
| 25 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 8-2 | 0.8 | 18.19 | 0.5 | 8.24 | 5.1 | 2.9 |
| 26 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.16 | 11.9 | 11.99 | 7.37 | -0.37 |
| 27 | Florida State | ACC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.98 | 13.9 | 9.25 | 7.77 | -0.77 |
| 28 | Miami | ACC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.8 | 7.3 | 11.88 | 6.69 | 0.31 |
| 29 | Boston College | ACC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.77 | 9.9 | 10.26 | 7.49 | -0.49 |
| 30 | LSU | SEC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.74 | 7.2 | 11.54 | 6.46 | 0.54 |
| 31 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 8-3 | 0.73 | 17.67 | 4.09 | 8.88 | 6.68 | 1.32 |
| 32 | UConn | Big East | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.53 | 7.7 | 9.73 | 6.94 | 0.06 |
| 33 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.4 | 6.7 | 9.25 | 6.95 | 0.05 |
| 34 | Rice | Conference USA | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.14 | 4.1 | 9.79 | 5.62 | 1.38 |
| 35 | West Virginia | Big East | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.98 | 9 | 9.69 | 6.68 | -0.68 |
| 36 | Maryland | ACC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 16.82 | 2.5 | 9.78 | 5.72 | 1.28 |
| 37 | Iowa | Big Ten | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.71 | 13.55 | 10.8 | 9.1 | -2.1 |
| 38 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.69 | 6.82 | 14.51 | 6.85 | 0.15 |
| 39 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.97 | 5.09 | 9.63 | 6.92 | 0.08 |
| 40 | California | Pac-10 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.95 | 9.6 | 13.18 | 7.03 | -1.03 |
| 41 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.81 | 17 | 8.75 | 7.9 | -1.9 |
| 42 | South Carolina | SEC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.8 | 3.09 | 10.63 | 6.46 | 0.54 |
| 43 | Ole Miss | SEC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.7 | 9.4 | 12.38 | 7.14 | -1.14 |
| 44 | Houston | Conference USA | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.52 | 12.9 | 9.07 | 7.1 | -1.1 |
| 45 | South Florida | Big East | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.25 | 7.4 | 8.94 | 6.65 | -0.65 |
| 46 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.18 | 7.9 | 9.08 | 6.33 | -0.33 |
| 47 | Troy | Sun Belt | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.17 | 8.1 | 7.96 | 6.69 | -0.69 |
| 48 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.17 | 3 | 13.25 | 5.83 | 0.17 |
| 49 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.04 | 4.1 | 11.49 | 6.06 | -0.06 |
| 50 | Navy | FBS Independents | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.88 | 2.7 | 11.34 | 5.59 | 0.41 |
| 51 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.8 | 2.6 | 11.85 | 5.53 | 0.47 |
| 52 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.77 | 1.5 | 14.06 | 5.43 | 0.57 |
| 53 | Wake Forest | ACC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.75 | 1.5 | 12.84 | 5.46 | 0.54 |
| 54 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.28 | 2.3 | 7.94 | 5.45 | 0.55 |
| 55 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.11 | 3.64 | 14.29 | 6.4 | -0.4 |
| 56 | Kansas | Big 12 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.96 | 3.18 | 12.6 | 6.18 | -0.18 |
| 57 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 6-4 | 0.6 | 13.73 | 0 | 10.07 | 5 | 1 |
| 58 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 6-4 | 0.6 | 13.7 | 0.5 | 8.33 | 5.13 | 0.87 |
| 59 | Kentucky | SEC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.69 | 2.45 | 11.54 | 6.21 | -0.21 |
| 60 | Clemson | ACC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 13.12 | 8 | 10.9 | 7.03 | -2.03 |
| 61 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 5-5 | 0.5 | 13.06 | 7.5 | 9.66 | 6.9 | -1.9 |
| 62 | Rutgers | Big East | 5-5 | 0.5 | 13.02 | 5 | 13.33 | 6.27 | -1.27 |
| 63 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.57 | 3.2 | 10.9 | 5.77 | -0.77 |
| 64 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.18 | 2.4 | 7.93 | 5.42 | -0.42 |
| 65 | Akron | Mid-American | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.07 | 1.3 | 10.08 | 5.25 | -0.25 |
| 66 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.86 | 6 | 11.84 | 6.88 | -1.88 |
| 67 | Illinois | Big Ten | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.81 | 3.82 | 13.22 | 6.37 | -1.37 |
| 68 | Louisville | Big East | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.57 | 0.1 | 10.79 | 5.02 | -0.02 |
| 69 | San José State | Western Athletic | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.56 | -1.91 | 8.16 | 4.89 | 1.11 |
| 70 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.3 | 5.11 | 8.7 | 5.55 | -1.55 |
| 71 | Auburn | SEC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.25 | 2.55 | 9.88 | 6.43 | -1.43 |
| 72 | Memphis | Conference USA | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.89 | -0.5 | 8.45 | 4.89 | 0.11 |
| 73 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.86 | 0.64 | 12.17 | 5.65 | -0.65 |
| 74 | UTEP | Conference USA | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.76 | -1.2 | 11.31 | 4.79 | 0.21 |
| 75 | Virginia | ACC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.25 | -5.4 | 14.47 | 3.47 | 1.53 |
| 76 | Florida Atlantic | Sun Belt | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.04 | -4.3 | 10.92 | 4 | 1 |
| 77 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 5-5 | 0.5 | 9.83 | -7.2 | 11.79 | 3.42 | 1.58 |
| 78 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.85 | -0.2 | 10.39 | 4.95 | -0.95 |
| 79 | UNLV | Mountain West | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.82 | -5.73 | 12.34 | 4.23 | 0.77 |
| 80 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.64 | -7.45 | 12.29 | 3.75 | 1.25 |
| 81 | Colorado | Big 12 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.6 | -9.09 | 12.33 | 3.14 | 1.86 |
| 82 | Florida International | Sun Belt | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.48 | -6.33 | 11.01 | 3.16 | 0.84 |
| 83 | Duke | ACC | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.39 | -2.1 | 11.71 | 4.46 | -0.46 |
| 84 | Baylor | Big 12 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.78 | -0.82 | 12.56 | 5.31 | -1.31 |
| 85 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.62 | -5 | 10.41 | 3.67 | 0.33 |
| 86 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.61 | -1.73 | 12.26 | 5.18 | -1.18 |
| 87 | Marshall | Conference USA | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.6 | -5.8 | 9.72 | 3.54 | 0.46 |
| 88 | NC State | ACC | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.54 | -7.2 | 13.28 | 3.28 | 0.72 |
| 89 | Arkansas | SEC | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.42 | -10.9 | 15.01 | 2.66 | 1.34 |
| 90 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.32 | -9 | 12.14 | 2.9 | 1.1 |
| 91 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.96 | -1.67 | 13.5 | 5.46 | -1.46 |
| 92 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.47 | -9.91 | 12.72 | 3.52 | 0.48 |
| 93 | Tennessee | SEC | 3-7 | 0.3 | 6.09 | -2.1 | 13.59 | 4.27 | -1.27 |
| 94 | Temple | Mid-American | 3-7 | 0.3 | 6.08 | -2 | 12.25 | 4.44 | -1.44 |
| 95 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.02 | -15.45 | 10.46 | 1.36 | 2.64 |
| 96 | Army | FBS Independents | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.39 | -4.6 | 8.68 | 3.64 | -0.64 |
| 97 | Kent State | Mid-American | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.3 | -4.7 | 8.7 | 4.06 | -1.06 |
| 98 | Mississippi State | SEC | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.26 | -7.1 | 11.6 | 2.87 | 0.13 |
| 99 | UCF | Conference USA | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.01 | -8.2 | 10.74 | 2.83 | 0.17 |
| 100 | New Mexico State | Western Athletic | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5 | -9.4 | 10.07 | 3.09 | -0.09 |
| 101 | Purdue | Big Ten | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.9 | -5.18 | 14.58 | 4.11 | -1.11 |
| 102 | Michigan | Big Ten | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.74 | -6.27 | 14.1 | 3.88 | -0.88 |
| 103 | UAB | Conference USA | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.72 | -11.3 | 9.17 | 2.89 | 0.11 |
| 104 | Indiana | Big Ten | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.32 | -11.36 | 14.12 | 2.94 | 0.06 |
| 105 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.32 | -8.55 | 7.56 | 3.53 | -0.53 |
| 106 | Ohio | Mid-American | 2-8 | 0.2 | 3.03 | -6 | 10.9 | 3.49 | -1.49 |
| 107 | Toledo | Mid-American | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.69 | -10.8 | 13.69 | 2.77 | -0.77 |
| 108 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.56 | -11.9 | 11.99 | 2.49 | -0.49 |
| 109 | Tulane | Conference USA | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.53 | -12.6 | 11.29 | 2.28 | -0.28 |
| 110 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.5 | -12.8 | 10.43 | 2.2 | -0.2 |
| 111 | Syracuse | Big East | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.42 | -15.6 | 13.89 | 1.88 | 0.12 |
| 112 | Western Kentucky | FBS Independents | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.32 | -8.36 | 8.88 | 3.24 | -1.24 |
| 113 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.18 | -10.73 | 10.29 | 3.3 | -1.3 |
| 114 | Utah State | Western Athletic | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.96 | -15.73 | 14.79 | 2.39 | -0.39 |
| 115 | Idaho | Western Athletic | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.62 | -22.36 | 10.34 | 1.57 | 0.43 |
| 116 | SMU | Conference USA | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.22 | -16.91 | 12.02 | 2.28 | -1.28 |
| 117 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.4 | -21.45 | 11.83 | 1.41 | -0.41 |
| 118 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.41 | -28.7 | 12.18 | 1.08 | -0.08 |
| 119 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.81 | -35.82 | 12.31 | 0.44 | 0.56 |
| 120 | Washington | Pac-10 | 0-10 | 0 | -2.73 | -26 | 16.03 | 0.76 | -0.76 |