Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:34.613046+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alabama | SEC | 11-0 | 1 | 25.09 | 19.18 | 10.54 | 9.9 | 1.1 |
| 2 | Boise State | Western Athletic | 11-0 | 1 | 24.85 | 25 | 8.36 | 10.25 | 0.75 |
| 3 | Utah | Mountain West | 12-0 | 1 | 24.79 | 20.17 | 8.87 | 10.35 | 1.65 |
| 4 | Ball State | Mid-American | 11-0 | 1 | 24.27 | 20.82 | 6.17 | 9.64 | 1.36 |
| 5 | Texas | Big 12 | 10-1 | 0.91 | 24.06 | 24 | 15.11 | 9.57 | 0.43 |
| 6 | Florida | SEC | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.73 | 34.45 | 11.79 | 10.57 | -0.57 |
| 7 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.59 | 29.27 | 11.8 | 9.6 | 0.4 |
| 8 | Penn State | Big Ten | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.36 | 27.75 | 9.58 | 11.3 | -0.3 |
| 9 | USC | Pac-10 | 9-1 | 0.9 | 23.36 | 30.1 | 11.62 | 9.74 | -0.74 |
| 10 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23 | 19.36 | 9.82 | 8.67 | 1.33 |
| 11 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.3 | 15.08 | 12.04 | 10.32 | -0.32 |
| 12 | TCU | Mountain West | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.28 | 24.08 | 9.93 | 11.29 | -1.29 |
| 13 | Missouri | Big 12 | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.18 | 22.45 | 10.89 | 9.15 | -0.15 |
| 14 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.94 | 17.82 | 10.48 | 8.69 | 0.31 |
| 15 | Georgia | SEC | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.74 | 7.36 | 13.23 | 7.2 | 1.8 |
| 16 | BYU | Mountain West | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.56 | 14.17 | 7.55 | 9.25 | 0.75 |
| 17 | Cincinnati | Big East | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.36 | 6.18 | 11.77 | 7.15 | 1.85 |
| 18 | Tulsa | Conference USA | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.21 | 21.64 | 5.4 | 8.7 | 0.3 |
| 19 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 9-2 | 0.82 | 19.89 | 8.64 | 7.32 | 7.56 | 1.44 |
| 20 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.79 | 11 | 12.39 | 8.01 | -0.01 |
| 21 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.71 | 4.25 | 12.53 | 7.24 | 1.76 |
| 22 | Florida State | ACC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.68 | 15.73 | 9.91 | 8.92 | -0.92 |
| 23 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.58 | 12.73 | 10.04 | 7.85 | 0.15 |
| 24 | Boston College | ACC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.44 | 9.27 | 10.87 | 8.08 | -0.08 |
| 25 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.18 | 5.17 | 8.67 | 7.64 | 1.36 |
| 26 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.11 | 7.73 | 9.46 | 7.82 | 0.18 |
| 27 | Rice | Conference USA | 8-3 | 0.73 | 17.97 | 6 | 9.73 | 6.54 | 1.46 |
| 28 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.79 | 4.8 | 13.62 | 6.02 | 0.98 |
| 29 | West Virginia | Big East | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.59 | 9.5 | 9.56 | 7.46 | -0.46 |
| 30 | Iowa | Big Ten | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.54 | 17 | 11.06 | 10.51 | -2.51 |
| 31 | California | Pac-10 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.83 | 10.64 | 13.48 | 7.95 | -0.95 |
| 32 | Air Force | Mountain West | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.72 | 5.42 | 10.31 | 7.58 | 0.42 |
| 33 | Ole Miss | SEC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.65 | 10.18 | 12.37 | 8.04 | -1.04 |
| 34 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.6 | 6.82 | 13.88 | 6.85 | 0.15 |
| 35 | North Carolina | ACC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.53 | 7.09 | 12.58 | 7.37 | -0.37 |
| 36 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 8-3 | 0.73 | 16.38 | -0.18 | 9.45 | 5.46 | 2.54 |
| 37 | Houston | Conference USA | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.31 | 12.18 | 8.81 | 7.67 | -0.67 |
| 38 | Troy | Sun Belt | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.23 | 11.45 | 8.59 | 8.06 | -1.06 |
| 39 | Miami | ACC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.16 | 5 | 11.61 | 6.76 | 0.24 |
| 40 | UConn | Big East | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.15 | 6.64 | 10.14 | 7.42 | -0.42 |
| 41 | LSU | SEC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.11 | 4.91 | 11.38 | 6.63 | 0.37 |
| 42 | South Florida | Big East | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.08 | 7.09 | 9.92 | 7.31 | -0.31 |
| 43 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.98 | 3.73 | 12.47 | 6.69 | 0.31 |
| 44 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.75 | 2.91 | 11.96 | 6.14 | 0.86 |
| 45 | South Carolina | SEC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.73 | 3.09 | 11.13 | 6.46 | 0.54 |
| 46 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.43 | 3.36 | 8.73 | 6.25 | 0.75 |
| 47 | Navy | FBS Independents | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.72 | 2.7 | 10.94 | 5.59 | 0.41 |
| 48 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 7-4 | 0.64 | 14.66 | 0.36 | 9.82 | 5.61 | 1.39 |
| 49 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 7-4 | 0.64 | 14.62 | 0.82 | 7.61 | 5.72 | 1.28 |
| 50 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.6 | 15.27 | 9.28 | 8.52 | -2.52 |
| 51 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.49 | 3.42 | 11.86 | 6.9 | 0.1 |
| 52 | Rutgers | Big East | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.28 | 7 | 12.24 | 7.46 | -1.46 |
| 53 | Clemson | ACC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.2 | 8.18 | 10.55 | 7.91 | -1.91 |
| 54 | Maryland | ACC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 14.15 | -0.82 | 10.3 | 5.24 | 1.76 |
| 55 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.13 | 9.36 | 9.1 | 8 | -2 |
| 56 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.11 | 6.55 | 10.38 | 6.71 | -0.71 |
| 57 | Kansas | Big 12 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.82 | 3.18 | 12.26 | 6.18 | -0.18 |
| 58 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.71 | 3.64 | 10.09 | 6.54 | -0.54 |
| 59 | Kentucky | SEC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.56 | 2.45 | 11.33 | 6.21 | -0.21 |
| 60 | Wake Forest | ACC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.44 | 1.09 | 13.46 | 5.86 | 0.14 |
| 61 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.3 | 0.08 | 10.09 | 6.03 | 0.97 |
| 62 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.09 | 0.45 | 12.78 | 5.65 | 0.35 |
| 63 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.65 | 6 | 8.71 | 6.38 | -1.38 |
| 64 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.87 | 6 | 11.77 | 6.88 | -1.88 |
| 65 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.26 | -3.64 | 10.93 | 4.63 | 1.37 |
| 66 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.26 | 2.36 | 10.9 | 6.1 | -1.1 |
| 67 | Auburn | SEC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.18 | 2.55 | 10.09 | 6.43 | -1.43 |
| 68 | Illinois | Big Ten | 5-7 | 0.42 | 10.72 | 2.08 | 13.43 | 6.54 | -1.54 |
| 69 | Akron | Mid-American | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.56 | 0.55 | 9.73 | 5.61 | -0.61 |
| 70 | San José State | Western Athletic | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.18 | -2.92 | 8.63 | 4.98 | 1.02 |
| 71 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.86 | -5.92 | 11.48 | 4.46 | 1.54 |
| 72 | Louisville | Big East | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.72 | -1.18 | 11.06 | 5.21 | -0.21 |
| 73 | UTEP | Conference USA | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.61 | -1.55 | 11.61 | 5.21 | -0.21 |
| 74 | Memphis | Conference USA | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.5 | -1.09 | 8.04 | 5.24 | -0.24 |
| 75 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.48 | -1 | 8.96 | 5.22 | -0.22 |
| 76 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.36 | -1.91 | 8.75 | 5.13 | -0.13 |
| 77 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.15 | -1.17 | 12.69 | 5.69 | -0.69 |
| 78 | NC State | ACC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.1 | -3.73 | 12.9 | 4.5 | 0.5 |
| 79 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9 | -0.92 | 10.89 | 5.82 | -0.82 |
| 80 | Virginia | ACC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.98 | -5.82 | 13.75 | 3.59 | 1.41 |
| 81 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.92 | -0.2 | 10.31 | 4.95 | -0.95 |
| 82 | Florida Atlantic | Sun Belt | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.84 | -5.18 | 10.71 | 4.16 | 0.84 |
| 83 | Colorado | Big 12 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.49 | -9.09 | 11.83 | 3.14 | 1.86 |
| 84 | UNLV | Mountain West | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.98 | -7 | 11.3 | 4.33 | 0.67 |
| 85 | Baylor | Big 12 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.82 | -0.82 | 12.4 | 5.31 | -1.31 |
| 86 | Tennessee | SEC | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.74 | -1 | 13.47 | 5.11 | -1.11 |
| 87 | Florida International | Sun Belt | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.54 | -6.1 | 9.88 | 3.58 | 0.42 |
| 88 | Temple | Mid-American | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.45 | -1.55 | 11.56 | 5.08 | -1.08 |
| 89 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.34 | -9 | 11.85 | 2.9 | 1.1 |
| 90 | Purdue | Big Ten | 4-8 | 0.33 | 7.32 | -0.42 | 13.84 | 5.88 | -1.88 |
| 91 | Duke | ACC | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.24 | -2.91 | 12.12 | 4.63 | -0.63 |
| 92 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.86 | -1.67 | 13.03 | 5.46 | -1.46 |
| 93 | Mississippi State | SEC | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.61 | -6.18 | 11.35 | 3.53 | 0.47 |
| 94 | Marshall | Conference USA | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.55 | -7.55 | 10.9 | 3.44 | 0.56 |
| 95 | UCF | Conference USA | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.49 | -6.82 | 10.48 | 3.51 | 0.49 |
| 96 | Arkansas | SEC | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.46 | -10.18 | 13.55 | 3.1 | 0.9 |
| 97 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.39 | -9.91 | 12.44 | 3.52 | 0.48 |
| 98 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.62 | -7.5 | 7.61 | 4.11 | -0.11 |
| 99 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.32 | -15.08 | 10.16 | 1.62 | 2.38 |
| 100 | Ohio | Mid-American | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.7 | -4.82 | 11.26 | 4.26 | -1.26 |
| 101 | Army | FBS Independents | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.5 | -6.64 | 8.79 | 3.37 | -0.37 |
| 102 | Kent State | Mid-American | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.48 | -6.82 | 8.7 | 4.01 | -1.01 |
| 103 | Toledo | Mid-American | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.46 | -7.27 | 12.36 | 3.8 | -0.8 |
| 104 | New Mexico State | Western Athletic | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.35 | -8.91 | 10.49 | 3.53 | -0.53 |
| 105 | UAB | Conference USA | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.18 | -10.64 | 9.44 | 3.21 | -0.21 |
| 106 | Michigan | Big Ten | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.04 | -8.67 | 14.51 | 3.61 | -0.61 |
| 107 | Syracuse | Big East | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.03 | -14.09 | 13.81 | 2.31 | 0.69 |
| 108 | Indiana | Big Ten | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.61 | -14.75 | 13.29 | 2.6 | 0.4 |
| 109 | Western Kentucky | FBS Independents | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.29 | -8.36 | 8.64 | 3.24 | -1.24 |
| 110 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.15 | -11.09 | 11.22 | 3.11 | -1.11 |
| 111 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.95 | -14.18 | 9.83 | 2.19 | -0.19 |
| 112 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.94 | -10.5 | 10.35 | 3.66 | -1.66 |
| 113 | Utah State | Western Athletic | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.93 | -15.73 | 15.03 | 2.39 | -0.39 |
| 114 | Tulane | Conference USA | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.91 | -15.91 | 12.19 | 1.97 | 0.03 |
| 115 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.48 | -17.92 | 11.24 | 2.09 | -0.09 |
| 116 | Idaho | Western Athletic | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.35 | -23.17 | 10.15 | 1.63 | 0.37 |
| 117 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.02 | -32.58 | 11.26 | 0.58 | 1.42 |
| 118 | SMU | Conference USA | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.23 | -16.91 | 12.05 | 2.28 | -1.28 |
| 119 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.65 | -29.64 | 11.13 | 1.09 | -0.09 |
| 120 | Washington | Pac-10 | 0-11 | 0 | -2.63 | -23.91 | 14.79 | 0.93 | -0.93 |