Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:34.613464+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alabama | SEC | 12-0 | 1 | 25.13 | 20.58 | 10.84 | 11.03 | 0.97 |
| 2 | Boise State | Western Athletic | 12-0 | 1 | 24.91 | 27.17 | 8.74 | 11.29 | 0.71 |
| 3 | Utah | Mountain West | 12-0 | 1 | 24.7 | 20.17 | 8.73 | 10.35 | 1.65 |
| 4 | Ball State | Mid-American | 12-0 | 1 | 24.38 | 21 | 7.05 | 10.48 | 1.52 |
| 5 | Texas | Big 12 | 11-1 | 0.92 | 24.07 | 25.33 | 14.01 | 10.62 | 0.38 |
| 6 | Florida | SEC | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.94 | 34.08 | 12.18 | 11.51 | -0.51 |
| 7 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.87 | 28.5 | 12.55 | 10.31 | 0.69 |
| 8 | USC | Pac-10 | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.55 | 30.55 | 11.75 | 10.75 | -0.75 |
| 9 | Penn State | Big Ten | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.35 | 27.75 | 9.83 | 11.3 | -0.3 |
| 10 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.01 | 18.33 | 9.67 | 9.34 | 1.66 |
| 11 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.24 | 15.08 | 12.03 | 10.32 | -0.32 |
| 12 | TCU | Mountain West | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.19 | 24.08 | 9.67 | 11.29 | -1.29 |
| 13 | Cincinnati | Big East | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.49 | 7.33 | 10.69 | 8.14 | 1.86 |
| 14 | BYU | Mountain West | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.45 | 14.17 | 7.58 | 9.25 | 0.75 |
| 15 | Tulsa | Conference USA | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.33 | 20.08 | 5.45 | 9.3 | 0.7 |
| 16 | Missouri | Big 12 | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.55 | 20.33 | 11.1 | 9.67 | -0.67 |
| 17 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.39 | 14.67 | 11.67 | 8.84 | 0.16 |
| 18 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.16 | 13.92 | 10.96 | 8.67 | 0.33 |
| 19 | Georgia | SEC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.05 | 6.5 | 13.3 | 7.57 | 1.43 |
| 20 | Boston College | ACC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.9 | 9.08 | 11.24 | 8.74 | 0.26 |
| 21 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.6 | 7.33 | 10.3 | 8.23 | 0.77 |
| 22 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.6 | 4.25 | 12.61 | 7.24 | 1.76 |
| 23 | Rice | Conference USA | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.45 | 6.67 | 9.73 | 7.22 | 1.78 |
| 24 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.4 | 4.73 | 14.09 | 6.65 | 1.35 |
| 25 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.35 | 6 | 9 | 7.56 | 1.44 |
| 26 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.13 | 5.17 | 8.54 | 7.64 | 1.36 |
| 27 | Iowa | Big Ten | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.46 | 17 | 10.58 | 10.51 | -2.51 |
| 28 | Ole Miss | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.35 | 13.08 | 11.38 | 9.45 | -1.45 |
| 29 | Florida State | ACC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.3 | 11.92 | 10.98 | 8.95 | -0.95 |
| 30 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.29 | 7.83 | 13.05 | 7.87 | 0.13 |
| 31 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.16 | 7 | 13.27 | 7.5 | 0.5 |
| 32 | North Carolina | ACC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.99 | 7.17 | 11.86 | 8.06 | -0.06 |
| 33 | California | Pac-10 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.77 | 10.64 | 13.13 | 7.95 | -0.95 |
| 34 | Air Force | Mountain West | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.61 | 5.42 | 10.3 | 7.58 | 0.42 |
| 35 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.54 | 3.67 | 11.82 | 7.3 | 0.7 |
| 36 | West Virginia | Big East | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.27 | 8.27 | 10.29 | 7.94 | -0.94 |
| 37 | Troy | Sun Belt | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.18 | 11.45 | 8.26 | 8.06 | -1.06 |
| 38 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.12 | 3 | 9.84 | 6.96 | 1.04 |
| 39 | South Florida | Big East | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.07 | 7.09 | 9.93 | 7.31 | -0.31 |
| 40 | UConn | Big East | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.06 | 6.64 | 10.26 | 7.42 | -0.42 |
| 41 | Navy | FBS Independents | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.75 | 3.91 | 10.8 | 6.5 | 0.5 |
| 42 | Clemson | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.94 | 8.92 | 10.75 | 8.82 | -1.82 |
| 43 | Houston | Conference USA | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.94 | 10 | 9.37 | 7.91 | -0.91 |
| 44 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 8-4 | 0.67 | 14.8 | -0.5 | 9.54 | 5.88 | 2.12 |
| 45 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.68 | 6.33 | 10.51 | 7.28 | -0.28 |
| 46 | LSU | SEC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.59 | 4.42 | 11.14 | 7.11 | -0.11 |
| 47 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.54 | 15.27 | 9.56 | 8.52 | -2.52 |
| 48 | Kansas | Big 12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.52 | 3.17 | 13.01 | 6.72 | 0.28 |
| 49 | Miami | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.5 | 3.75 | 11.22 | 7.02 | -0.02 |
| 50 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.39 | 3.42 | 11.26 | 6.9 | 0.1 |
| 51 | Wake Forest | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.3 | 2.08 | 13.27 | 6.76 | 0.24 |
| 52 | Rutgers | Big East | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.27 | 7 | 12.11 | 7.46 | -1.46 |
| 53 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.19 | 2.42 | 10.81 | 6.59 | 0.41 |
| 54 | South Carolina | SEC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.98 | 1.42 | 11.3 | 6.48 | 0.52 |
| 55 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.61 | 5.91 | 7.55 | 6.97 | -0.97 |
| 56 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.21 | 0.42 | 8.2 | 6.12 | 0.88 |
| 57 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.16 | 0.08 | 10.12 | 6.03 | 0.97 |
| 58 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.91 | 6.83 | 10.56 | 7.74 | -1.74 |
| 59 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.9 | 7.25 | 9.22 | 8.28 | -2.28 |
| 60 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 7-5 | 0.58 | 12.61 | -1.17 | 10.27 | 5.72 | 1.28 |
| 61 | Maryland | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 12.59 | -1.33 | 11.15 | 5.54 | 1.46 |
| 62 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.56 | 4.5 | 9.95 | 7.24 | -1.24 |
| 63 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 7-5 | 0.58 | 12.15 | -2.17 | 10.03 | 5.41 | 1.59 |
| 64 | Memphis | Conference USA | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.89 | 2.25 | 7.7 | 6.59 | -0.59 |
| 65 | Kentucky | SEC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.86 | 0.75 | 10.89 | 6.24 | -0.24 |
| 66 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.72 | 0.42 | 11.08 | 6.13 | -0.13 |
| 67 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.21 | -0.67 | 13.04 | 5.76 | 0.24 |
| 68 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.97 | 2.09 | 10.11 | 6.09 | -1.09 |
| 69 | Illinois | Big Ten | 5-7 | 0.42 | 10.61 | 2.08 | 13.02 | 6.54 | -1.54 |
| 70 | NC State | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.47 | -2.58 | 12.94 | 5.26 | 0.74 |
| 71 | San José State | Western Athletic | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.11 | -2.92 | 8.76 | 4.98 | 1.02 |
| 72 | Tennessee | SEC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 10.02 | 0.58 | 13.39 | 6.24 | -1.24 |
| 73 | Florida Atlantic | Sun Belt | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.97 | -4.17 | 10.23 | 4.92 | 1.08 |
| 74 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.87 | -5.92 | 11.38 | 4.46 | 1.54 |
| 75 | Temple | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.71 | 0.33 | 11.22 | 6.1 | -1.1 |
| 76 | Louisville | Big East | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.64 | -1.18 | 11.23 | 5.21 | -0.21 |
| 77 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.51 | -1 | 8.78 | 5.22 | -0.22 |
| 78 | Auburn | SEC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.25 | -0.67 | 11.46 | 5.73 | -0.73 |
| 79 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.22 | -1.91 | 8.72 | 5.13 | -0.13 |
| 80 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.06 | -1.17 | 12.66 | 5.69 | -0.69 |
| 81 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.98 | -0.92 | 10.29 | 5.82 | -0.82 |
| 82 | Akron | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.89 | -1.25 | 9.83 | 5.71 | -0.71 |
| 83 | UTEP | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.37 | -4.08 | 11.89 | 5.17 | -0.17 |
| 84 | Virginia | ACC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.24 | -5.58 | 13.33 | 3.97 | 1.03 |
| 85 | UNLV | Mountain West | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.92 | -7 | 11.15 | 4.33 | 0.67 |
| 86 | Arkansas | SEC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.85 | -9.25 | 14.05 | 3.63 | 1.37 |
| 87 | Colorado | Big 12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.84 | -9.08 | 12.51 | 3.51 | 1.49 |
| 88 | Purdue | Big Ten | 4-8 | 0.33 | 7.36 | -0.42 | 13.23 | 5.88 | -1.88 |
| 89 | Baylor | Big 12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.98 | -1.33 | 13.19 | 5.67 | -1.67 |
| 90 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.83 | -1.67 | 12.79 | 5.46 | -1.46 |
| 91 | Florida International | Sun Belt | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.63 | -6.18 | 10.31 | 4.07 | -0.07 |
| 92 | Duke | ACC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.44 | -3.33 | 12.37 | 4.92 | -0.92 |
| 93 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.33 | -10.45 | 11.73 | 2.84 | 1.16 |
| 94 | Ohio | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.28 | -3.17 | 10.21 | 5.13 | -1.13 |
| 95 | Marshall | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.91 | -7.17 | 11.97 | 3.95 | 0.05 |
| 96 | Kent State | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.83 | -6 | 9.15 | 4.54 | -0.54 |
| 97 | UCF | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.78 | -7.5 | 9.75 | 3.51 | 0.49 |
| 98 | Mississippi State | SEC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.72 | -9.42 | 11.84 | 2.91 | 1.09 |
| 99 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.65 | -7.5 | 7.47 | 4.11 | -0.11 |
| 100 | UAB | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.59 | -8.5 | 9.15 | 3.84 | 0.16 |
| 101 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.58 | -12.42 | 13.25 | 3.33 | 0.67 |
| 102 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.28 | -15.08 | 10.27 | 1.62 | 2.38 |
| 103 | Army | FBS Independents | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.46 | -6.64 | 8.89 | 3.37 | -0.37 |
| 104 | Michigan | Big Ten | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4 | -8.67 | 14.36 | 3.61 | -0.61 |
| 105 | Toledo | Mid-American | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.91 | -9 | 11.85 | 3.72 | -0.72 |
| 106 | Utah State | Western Athletic | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.77 | -10.67 | 14.01 | 3.54 | -0.54 |
| 107 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.75 | -9.83 | 11.31 | 3.81 | -0.81 |
| 108 | New Mexico State | Western Athletic | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.65 | -11.92 | 9.73 | 3.18 | -0.18 |
| 109 | Syracuse | Big East | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.61 | -14.58 | 13.98 | 2.37 | 0.63 |
| 110 | Indiana | Big Ten | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.57 | -14.75 | 13.05 | 2.6 | 0.4 |
| 111 | Western Kentucky | FBS Independents | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.28 | -8.36 | 8.76 | 3.24 | -1.24 |
| 112 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.93 | -10.5 | 10.35 | 3.66 | -1.66 |
| 113 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.7 | -14.25 | 9.5 | 2.45 | -0.45 |
| 114 | Tulane | Conference USA | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.57 | -17.83 | 11.96 | 1.82 | 0.18 |
| 115 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.54 | -17.92 | 10.72 | 2.09 | -0.09 |
| 116 | Idaho | Western Athletic | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.34 | -23.17 | 10.22 | 1.63 | 0.37 |
| 117 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 2-11 | 0.15 | 0.68 | -31.15 | 11.15 | 0.65 | 1.35 |
| 118 | SMU | Conference USA | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.45 | -16.83 | 11.91 | 2.41 | -1.41 |
| 119 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.83 | -27.58 | 11.28 | 1.36 | -0.36 |
| 120 | Washington | Pac-10 | 0-11 | 0 | -2.61 | -23.91 | 14.51 | 0.93 | -0.93 |