Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:34.614325+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boise State | Western Athletic | 12-0 | 1 | 24.81 | 27.17 | 8.75 | 11.29 | 0.71 |
| 2 | Utah | Mountain West | 12-0 | 1 | 24.57 | 20.17 | 8.7 | 10.35 | 1.65 |
| 3 | Texas | Big 12 | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.88 | 25.33 | 13.61 | 10.62 | 0.38 |
| 4 | Florida | SEC | 12-1 | 0.92 | 23.85 | 32.31 | 12.42 | 12.37 | -0.37 |
| 5 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 12-1 | 0.92 | 23.85 | 29.46 | 12.81 | 11.26 | 0.74 |
| 6 | USC | Pac-10 | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.52 | 29.75 | 11.02 | 11.72 | -0.72 |
| 7 | Alabama | SEC | 12-1 | 0.92 | 23.24 | 18.15 | 11.52 | 11.55 | 0.45 |
| 8 | Penn State | Big Ten | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.24 | 27.75 | 9.79 | 11.3 | -0.3 |
| 9 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 11-1 | 0.92 | 22.88 | 18.33 | 9.52 | 9.34 | 1.66 |
| 10 | Ball State | Mid-American | 12-1 | 0.92 | 22.49 | 18 | 7.49 | 10.82 | 1.18 |
| 11 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.17 | 15.08 | 12.17 | 10.32 | -0.32 |
| 12 | TCU | Mountain West | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.08 | 24.08 | 9.62 | 11.29 | -1.29 |
| 13 | Cincinnati | Big East | 11-2 | 0.85 | 20.77 | 7.15 | 10.27 | 8.74 | 2.26 |
| 14 | BYU | Mountain West | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.35 | 14.17 | 7.54 | 9.25 | 0.75 |
| 15 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.16 | 14.67 | 11.12 | 8.84 | 0.16 |
| 16 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.1 | 13.92 | 10.97 | 8.67 | 0.33 |
| 17 | Tulsa | Conference USA | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19 | 18.31 | 6.19 | 9.89 | 0.11 |
| 18 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.98 | 6.33 | 13.94 | 7.68 | 1.32 |
| 19 | Georgia | SEC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.79 | 6.5 | 12.55 | 7.57 | 1.43 |
| 20 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.52 | 4.25 | 12.66 | 7.24 | 1.76 |
| 21 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.46 | 7.33 | 9.77 | 8.23 | 0.77 |
| 22 | Rice | Conference USA | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.33 | 6.67 | 9.35 | 7.22 | 1.78 |
| 23 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.21 | 6 | 9.01 | 7.56 | 1.44 |
| 24 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.04 | 5.17 | 8.5 | 7.64 | 1.36 |
| 25 | Missouri | Big 12 | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.96 | 15.62 | 11.9 | 9.67 | -0.67 |
| 26 | Iowa | Big Ten | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.39 | 17 | 10.66 | 10.51 | -2.51 |
| 27 | Boston College | ACC | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.35 | 7 | 11.73 | 8.86 | 0.14 |
| 28 | California | Pac-10 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.32 | 13.17 | 11.53 | 9.2 | -1.2 |
| 29 | Ole Miss | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.24 | 13.08 | 10.94 | 9.45 | -1.45 |
| 30 | Florida State | ACC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.17 | 11.92 | 10.95 | 8.95 | -0.95 |
| 31 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.16 | 7.83 | 13.06 | 7.87 | 0.13 |
| 32 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.12 | 4.77 | 11.91 | 8.31 | 0.69 |
| 33 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.05 | 7 | 12.84 | 7.5 | 0.5 |
| 34 | North Carolina | ACC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.87 | 7.17 | 11.37 | 8.06 | -0.06 |
| 35 | Troy | Sun Belt | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.87 | 12.67 | 8.45 | 9.08 | -1.08 |
| 36 | West Virginia | Big East | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.83 | 8.08 | 10.45 | 8.71 | -0.71 |
| 37 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.66 | 3 | 10.67 | 7.53 | 1.47 |
| 38 | Navy | FBS Independents | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.62 | 6.42 | 10.13 | 7.81 | 0.19 |
| 39 | Air Force | Mountain West | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.53 | 5.42 | 10.24 | 7.58 | 0.42 |
| 40 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.3 | 3.62 | 11.52 | 7.45 | 0.55 |
| 41 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.14 | 15.75 | 9.3 | 9.45 | -2.45 |
| 42 | Rutgers | Big East | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.1 | 10.5 | 11.46 | 8.92 | -1.92 |
| 43 | Clemson | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.84 | 8.92 | 10.19 | 8.82 | -1.82 |
| 44 | Houston | Conference USA | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.8 | 10 | 9.22 | 7.91 | -0.91 |
| 45 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 8-4 | 0.67 | 14.65 | -0.5 | 9.37 | 5.88 | 2.12 |
| 46 | South Florida | Big East | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.61 | 6 | 10.58 | 7.77 | -0.77 |
| 47 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.57 | 6.33 | 9.96 | 7.28 | -0.28 |
| 48 | Kansas | Big 12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.43 | 3.17 | 12.55 | 6.72 | 0.28 |
| 49 | LSU | SEC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.41 | 4.42 | 10.64 | 7.11 | -0.11 |
| 50 | UConn | Big East | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.39 | 4.08 | 10.84 | 7.31 | -0.31 |
| 51 | Miami | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.38 | 3.75 | 11.2 | 7.02 | -0.02 |
| 52 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.27 | 3.42 | 10.74 | 6.9 | 0.1 |
| 53 | Wake Forest | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.21 | 2.08 | 12.79 | 6.76 | 0.24 |
| 54 | South Carolina | SEC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.86 | 1.42 | 11.36 | 6.48 | 0.52 |
| 55 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.1 | 0.08 | 10.15 | 6.03 | 0.97 |
| 56 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.08 | 0.42 | 8 | 6.12 | 0.88 |
| 57 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.91 | 6.83 | 10.77 | 7.74 | -1.74 |
| 58 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.81 | 7.25 | 9.43 | 8.28 | -2.28 |
| 59 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.56 | 4.5 | 10.07 | 7.24 | -1.24 |
| 60 | Maryland | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 12.5 | -1.33 | 11.35 | 5.54 | 1.46 |
| 61 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 7-5 | 0.58 | 12.43 | -1.17 | 10.14 | 5.72 | 1.28 |
| 62 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.22 | 3.25 | 8.58 | 6.9 | -0.9 |
| 63 | Memphis | Conference USA | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.94 | 2.25 | 7.84 | 6.59 | -0.59 |
| 64 | Kentucky | SEC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.69 | 0.75 | 10.28 | 6.24 | -0.24 |
| 65 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.61 | 0.42 | 11.24 | 6.13 | -0.13 |
| 66 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 7-6 | 0.54 | 11.22 | -2.38 | 10.51 | 5.8 | 1.2 |
| 67 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.06 | -0.67 | 12.61 | 5.76 | 0.24 |
| 68 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.77 | -0.58 | 8.94 | 5.88 | 0.12 |
| 69 | Illinois | Big Ten | 5-7 | 0.42 | 10.53 | 2.08 | 12.67 | 6.54 | -1.54 |
| 70 | NC State | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.43 | -2.58 | 12.45 | 5.26 | 0.74 |
| 71 | San José State | Western Athletic | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.04 | -2.92 | 8.56 | 4.98 | 1.02 |
| 72 | Florida Atlantic | Sun Belt | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.98 | -4.17 | 10.39 | 4.92 | 1.08 |
| 73 | Tennessee | SEC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.97 | 0.58 | 12.26 | 6.24 | -1.24 |
| 74 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.81 | -5.92 | 11.19 | 4.46 | 1.54 |
| 75 | Temple | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.74 | 0.33 | 11.09 | 6.1 | -1.1 |
| 76 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.56 | 0.17 | 10.16 | 6.05 | -1.05 |
| 77 | Auburn | SEC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.12 | -0.67 | 11.17 | 5.73 | -0.73 |
| 78 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9 | -1.17 | 12.38 | 5.69 | -0.69 |
| 79 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.92 | -0.92 | 9.98 | 5.82 | -0.82 |
| 80 | Akron | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.81 | -1.25 | 10.22 | 5.71 | -0.71 |
| 81 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.45 | -2.08 | 8.58 | 5.38 | -0.38 |
| 82 | UTEP | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.28 | -4.08 | 11.87 | 5.17 | -0.17 |
| 83 | Florida International | Sun Belt | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.2 | -3.67 | 9.63 | 5.02 | -0.02 |
| 84 | Virginia | ACC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.17 | -5.58 | 13.32 | 3.97 | 1.03 |
| 85 | Louisville | Big East | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.1 | -5.17 | 11.31 | 4.67 | 0.33 |
| 86 | UNLV | Mountain West | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.89 | -7 | 11.35 | 4.33 | 0.67 |
| 87 | Arkansas | SEC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.81 | -9.25 | 13.19 | 3.63 | 1.37 |
| 88 | Colorado | Big 12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.75 | -9.08 | 11.93 | 3.51 | 1.49 |
| 89 | Purdue | Big Ten | 4-8 | 0.33 | 7.3 | -0.42 | 12.89 | 5.88 | -1.88 |
| 90 | Baylor | Big 12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.89 | -1.33 | 12.67 | 5.67 | -1.67 |
| 91 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.78 | -1.67 | 12.55 | 5.46 | -1.46 |
| 92 | Duke | ACC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.39 | -3.33 | 12.55 | 4.92 | -0.92 |
| 93 | Ohio | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.3 | -3.17 | 10.13 | 5.13 | -1.13 |
| 94 | Marshall | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.88 | -7.17 | 12.28 | 3.95 | 0.05 |
| 95 | Kent State | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.85 | -6 | 9.17 | 4.54 | -0.54 |
| 96 | UCF | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.73 | -7.5 | 9.71 | 3.51 | 0.49 |
| 97 | Mississippi State | SEC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.64 | -9.42 | 11.26 | 2.91 | 1.09 |
| 98 | UAB | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.63 | -8.5 | 9.38 | 3.84 | 0.16 |
| 99 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.63 | -7.5 | 7.63 | 4.11 | -0.11 |
| 100 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.57 | -11.33 | 12.67 | 2.83 | 1.17 |
| 101 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.5 | -12.42 | 12.74 | 3.33 | 0.67 |
| 102 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.27 | -15.08 | 10.64 | 1.62 | 2.38 |
| 103 | Michigan | Big Ten | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.97 | -8.67 | 14.02 | 3.61 | -0.61 |
| 104 | Toledo | Mid-American | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.86 | -9 | 11.26 | 3.72 | -0.72 |
| 105 | Army | FBS Independents | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.81 | -8.92 | 9.55 | 2.95 | 0.05 |
| 106 | Utah State | Western Athletic | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.8 | -10.67 | 13.62 | 3.54 | -0.54 |
| 107 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.78 | -9.83 | 10.7 | 3.81 | -0.81 |
| 108 | New Mexico State | Western Athletic | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.6 | -11.92 | 9.48 | 3.18 | -0.18 |
| 109 | Syracuse | Big East | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.57 | -14.58 | 13.42 | 2.37 | 0.63 |
| 110 | Indiana | Big Ten | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.54 | -14.75 | 12.66 | 2.6 | 0.4 |
| 111 | Western Kentucky | FBS Independents | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.95 | -9.67 | 8.43 | 3.13 | -1.13 |
| 112 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.91 | -10.5 | 9.93 | 3.66 | -1.66 |
| 113 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.69 | -14.25 | 9.59 | 2.45 | -0.45 |
| 114 | Tulane | Conference USA | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.55 | -17.83 | 11.81 | 1.82 | 0.18 |
| 115 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.53 | -17.92 | 10.47 | 2.09 | -0.09 |
| 116 | Idaho | Western Athletic | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.33 | -23.17 | 9.9 | 1.63 | 0.37 |
| 117 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 2-11 | 0.15 | 0.67 | -31.15 | 10.88 | 0.65 | 1.35 |
| 118 | SMU | Conference USA | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.46 | -16.83 | 11.96 | 2.41 | -1.41 |
| 119 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.83 | -27.58 | 11.26 | 1.36 | -0.36 |
| 120 | Washington | Pac-10 | 0-12 | 0 | -2.64 | -25.33 | 14.45 | 0.88 | -0.88 |