Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:34.614754+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boise State | Western Athletic | 12-0 | 1 | 24.75 | 27.17 | 8.72 | 11.29 | 0.71 |
| 2 | Utah | Mountain West | 12-0 | 1 | 24.52 | 20.17 | 8.68 | 10.35 | 1.65 |
| 3 | Texas | Big 12 | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.83 | 25.33 | 13.57 | 10.62 | 0.38 |
| 4 | Florida | SEC | 12-1 | 0.92 | 23.79 | 32.31 | 12.37 | 12.37 | -0.37 |
| 5 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 12-1 | 0.92 | 23.79 | 29.46 | 12.76 | 11.26 | 0.74 |
| 6 | USC | Pac-10 | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.47 | 29.75 | 10.99 | 11.72 | -0.72 |
| 7 | Alabama | SEC | 12-1 | 0.92 | 23.19 | 18.15 | 11.47 | 11.55 | 0.45 |
| 8 | Penn State | Big Ten | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.19 | 27.75 | 9.76 | 11.3 | -0.3 |
| 9 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 11-1 | 0.92 | 22.83 | 18.33 | 9.48 | 9.34 | 1.66 |
| 10 | Ball State | Mid-American | 12-1 | 0.92 | 22.44 | 18 | 7.47 | 10.82 | 1.18 |
| 11 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.12 | 15.08 | 12.14 | 10.32 | -0.32 |
| 12 | TCU | Mountain West | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.04 | 24.08 | 9.59 | 11.29 | -1.29 |
| 13 | Cincinnati | Big East | 11-2 | 0.85 | 20.72 | 7.15 | 10.23 | 8.74 | 2.26 |
| 14 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.11 | 14.67 | 11.08 | 8.84 | 0.16 |
| 15 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.05 | 13.92 | 10.93 | 8.67 | 0.33 |
| 16 | BYU | Mountain West | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.02 | 12.31 | 8.1 | 9.65 | 0.35 |
| 17 | Tulsa | Conference USA | 10-3 | 0.77 | 18.96 | 18.31 | 6.17 | 9.89 | 0.11 |
| 18 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.93 | 6.33 | 13.9 | 7.68 | 1.32 |
| 19 | Georgia | SEC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.74 | 6.5 | 12.49 | 7.57 | 1.43 |
| 20 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.48 | 4.25 | 12.63 | 7.24 | 1.76 |
| 21 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.42 | 7.33 | 9.73 | 8.23 | 0.77 |
| 22 | Rice | Conference USA | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.29 | 6.67 | 9.32 | 7.22 | 1.78 |
| 23 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.17 | 6 | 8.99 | 7.56 | 1.44 |
| 24 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18 | 5.17 | 8.48 | 7.64 | 1.36 |
| 25 | Missouri | Big 12 | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.92 | 15.62 | 11.86 | 9.67 | -0.67 |
| 26 | Iowa | Big Ten | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.35 | 17 | 10.64 | 10.51 | -2.51 |
| 27 | Boston College | ACC | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.31 | 7 | 11.69 | 8.86 | 0.14 |
| 28 | California | Pac-10 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.28 | 13.17 | 11.49 | 9.2 | -1.2 |
| 29 | Ole Miss | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.2 | 13.08 | 10.9 | 9.45 | -1.45 |
| 30 | Florida State | ACC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.13 | 11.92 | 10.91 | 8.95 | -0.95 |
| 31 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.12 | 7.83 | 13.02 | 7.87 | 0.13 |
| 32 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.08 | 4.77 | 11.87 | 8.31 | 0.69 |
| 33 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.01 | 7 | 12.8 | 7.5 | 0.5 |
| 34 | North Carolina | ACC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.83 | 7.17 | 11.33 | 8.06 | -0.06 |
| 35 | West Virginia | Big East | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.79 | 8.08 | 10.41 | 8.71 | -0.71 |
| 36 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.63 | 3 | 10.64 | 7.53 | 1.47 |
| 37 | Air Force | Mountain West | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.49 | 5.42 | 10.21 | 7.58 | 0.42 |
| 38 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 8-5 | 0.62 | 16.05 | 15.31 | 10.12 | 10.18 | -2.18 |
| 39 | Troy | Sun Belt | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.73 | 11.46 | 8.77 | 9.55 | -1.55 |
| 40 | South Florida | Big East | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.62 | 7.62 | 10.65 | 8.87 | -0.87 |
| 41 | Navy | FBS Independents | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.4 | 5.15 | 10.42 | 8.09 | -0.09 |
| 42 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.27 | 3.62 | 11.49 | 7.45 | 0.55 |
| 43 | Wake Forest | ACC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.24 | 2.69 | 13.05 | 7.55 | 0.45 |
| 44 | Rutgers | Big East | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.07 | 10.5 | 11.41 | 8.92 | -1.92 |
| 45 | Clemson | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.8 | 8.92 | 10.15 | 8.82 | -1.82 |
| 46 | Houston | Conference USA | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.77 | 10 | 9.2 | 7.91 | -0.91 |
| 47 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 8-4 | 0.67 | 14.62 | -0.5 | 9.34 | 5.88 | 2.12 |
| 48 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.54 | 6.33 | 9.92 | 7.28 | -0.28 |
| 49 | Kansas | Big 12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.39 | 3.17 | 12.51 | 6.72 | 0.28 |
| 50 | LSU | SEC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.38 | 4.42 | 10.6 | 7.11 | -0.11 |
| 51 | UConn | Big East | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.36 | 4.08 | 10.8 | 7.31 | -0.31 |
| 52 | Miami | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.34 | 3.75 | 11.16 | 7.02 | -0.02 |
| 53 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.24 | 3.42 | 10.72 | 6.9 | 0.1 |
| 54 | South Carolina | SEC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.83 | 1.42 | 11.31 | 6.48 | 0.52 |
| 55 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.78 | 6.54 | 11.21 | 8.3 | -1.3 |
| 56 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.07 | 0.08 | 10.13 | 6.03 | 0.97 |
| 57 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.05 | 0.42 | 7.97 | 6.12 | 0.88 |
| 58 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.79 | 7.25 | 9.4 | 8.28 | -2.28 |
| 59 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.54 | 4.5 | 10.05 | 7.24 | -1.24 |
| 60 | Maryland | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 12.47 | -1.33 | 11.31 | 5.54 | 1.46 |
| 61 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.19 | 3.25 | 8.55 | 6.9 | -0.9 |
| 62 | Kentucky | SEC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.66 | 0.75 | 10.23 | 6.24 | -0.24 |
| 63 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.59 | 0.42 | 11.22 | 6.13 | -0.13 |
| 64 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 7-6 | 0.54 | 11.44 | -1.46 | 10.08 | 6.13 | 0.87 |
| 65 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 7-6 | 0.54 | 11.19 | -2.38 | 10.47 | 5.8 | 1.2 |
| 66 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.03 | -0.67 | 12.56 | 5.76 | 0.24 |
| 67 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 7-6 | 0.54 | 10.77 | -5.08 | 11.25 | 5.11 | 1.89 |
| 68 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.75 | -0.58 | 8.92 | 5.88 | 0.12 |
| 69 | Illinois | Big Ten | 5-7 | 0.42 | 10.51 | 2.08 | 12.64 | 6.54 | -1.54 |
| 70 | NC State | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.41 | -2.58 | 12.4 | 5.26 | 0.74 |
| 71 | Memphis | Conference USA | 6-7 | 0.46 | 10.22 | 0 | 8.34 | 6.5 | -0.5 |
| 72 | San José State | Western Athletic | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.02 | -2.92 | 8.54 | 4.98 | 1.02 |
| 73 | Florida Atlantic | Sun Belt | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.96 | -4.17 | 10.37 | 4.92 | 1.08 |
| 74 | Tennessee | SEC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.94 | 0.58 | 12.21 | 6.24 | -1.24 |
| 75 | Temple | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.72 | 0.33 | 11.05 | 6.1 | -1.1 |
| 76 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.54 | 0.17 | 10.13 | 6.05 | -1.05 |
| 77 | Auburn | SEC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.1 | -0.67 | 11.13 | 5.73 | -0.73 |
| 78 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.98 | -1.17 | 12.34 | 5.69 | -0.69 |
| 79 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.9 | -0.92 | 9.95 | 5.82 | -0.82 |
| 80 | Akron | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.79 | -1.25 | 10.19 | 5.71 | -0.71 |
| 81 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.44 | -2.08 | 8.56 | 5.38 | -0.38 |
| 82 | UTEP | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.27 | -4.08 | 11.84 | 5.17 | -0.17 |
| 83 | Florida International | Sun Belt | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.19 | -3.67 | 9.61 | 5.02 | -0.02 |
| 84 | Virginia | ACC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.15 | -5.58 | 13.28 | 3.97 | 1.03 |
| 85 | Louisville | Big East | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.08 | -5.17 | 11.27 | 4.67 | 0.33 |
| 86 | UNLV | Mountain West | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.88 | -7 | 11.31 | 4.33 | 0.67 |
| 87 | Arkansas | SEC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.79 | -9.25 | 13.13 | 3.63 | 1.37 |
| 88 | Colorado | Big 12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.73 | -9.08 | 11.88 | 3.51 | 1.49 |
| 89 | Purdue | Big Ten | 4-8 | 0.33 | 7.29 | -0.42 | 12.86 | 5.88 | -1.88 |
| 90 | Baylor | Big 12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.88 | -1.33 | 12.62 | 5.67 | -1.67 |
| 91 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.77 | -1.67 | 12.52 | 5.46 | -1.46 |
| 92 | Duke | ACC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.38 | -3.33 | 12.52 | 4.92 | -0.92 |
| 93 | Ohio | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.29 | -3.17 | 10.11 | 5.13 | -1.13 |
| 94 | Marshall | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.86 | -7.17 | 12.24 | 3.95 | 0.05 |
| 95 | Kent State | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.84 | -6 | 9.14 | 4.54 | -0.54 |
| 96 | UCF | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.71 | -7.5 | 9.68 | 3.51 | 0.49 |
| 97 | Mississippi State | SEC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.63 | -9.42 | 11.21 | 2.91 | 1.09 |
| 98 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.62 | -7.5 | 7.61 | 4.11 | -0.11 |
| 99 | UAB | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.61 | -8.5 | 9.36 | 3.84 | 0.16 |
| 100 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.55 | -11.33 | 12.63 | 2.83 | 1.17 |
| 101 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.49 | -12.42 | 12.7 | 3.33 | 0.67 |
| 102 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.26 | -15.08 | 10.61 | 1.62 | 2.38 |
| 103 | Michigan | Big Ten | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.96 | -8.67 | 13.99 | 3.61 | -0.61 |
| 104 | Toledo | Mid-American | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.85 | -9 | 11.23 | 3.72 | -0.72 |
| 105 | Army | FBS Independents | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.8 | -8.92 | 9.53 | 2.95 | 0.05 |
| 106 | Utah State | Western Athletic | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.8 | -10.67 | 13.58 | 3.54 | -0.54 |
| 107 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.77 | -9.83 | 10.66 | 3.81 | -0.81 |
| 108 | New Mexico State | Western Athletic | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.59 | -11.92 | 9.45 | 3.18 | -0.18 |
| 109 | Syracuse | Big East | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.56 | -14.58 | 13.37 | 2.37 | 0.63 |
| 110 | Indiana | Big Ten | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.53 | -14.75 | 12.62 | 2.6 | 0.4 |
| 111 | Western Kentucky | FBS Independents | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.94 | -9.67 | 8.4 | 3.13 | -1.13 |
| 112 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.91 | -10.5 | 9.9 | 3.66 | -1.66 |
| 113 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.68 | -14.25 | 9.56 | 2.45 | -0.45 |
| 114 | Tulane | Conference USA | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.55 | -17.83 | 11.77 | 1.82 | 0.18 |
| 115 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.53 | -17.92 | 10.44 | 2.09 | -0.09 |
| 116 | Idaho | Western Athletic | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.33 | -23.17 | 9.87 | 1.63 | 0.37 |
| 117 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 2-11 | 0.15 | 0.66 | -31.15 | 10.85 | 0.65 | 1.35 |
| 118 | SMU | Conference USA | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.46 | -16.83 | 11.93 | 2.41 | -1.41 |
| 119 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.83 | -27.58 | 11.23 | 1.36 | -0.36 |
| 120 | Washington | Pac-10 | 0-12 | 0 | -2.64 | -25.33 | 14.4 | 0.88 | -0.88 |