Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:34.615878+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Utah | Mountain West | 13-0 | 1 | 24.58 | 19.69 | 9.61 | 11.17 | 1.83 |
| 2 | Florida | SEC | 13-1 | 0.93 | 24 | 30.71 | 13.09 | 13.26 | -0.26 |
| 3 | Texas | Big 12 | 12-1 | 0.92 | 23.76 | 23.62 | 14.1 | 11.35 | 0.65 |
| 4 | USC | Pac-10 | 12-1 | 0.92 | 23.53 | 28.54 | 12.06 | 12.57 | -0.57 |
| 5 | Boise State | Western Athletic | 12-1 | 0.92 | 22.97 | 25 | 9.6 | 12.09 | -0.09 |
| 6 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 12-2 | 0.86 | 22.38 | 26.64 | 13.35 | 11.92 | 0.08 |
| 7 | Alabama | SEC | 12-2 | 0.86 | 21.81 | 15.86 | 12.52 | 11.96 | 0.04 |
| 8 | Penn State | Big Ten | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.58 | 24.54 | 10.61 | 11.88 | -0.88 |
| 9 | TCU | Mountain West | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.49 | 22.31 | 10.48 | 12.09 | -1.09 |
| 10 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.16 | 15.92 | 10 | 9.68 | 1.32 |
| 11 | Ball State | Mid-American | 12-2 | 0.86 | 20.96 | 14.43 | 7.79 | 10.91 | 1.09 |
| 12 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.66 | 13.69 | 12.33 | 10.86 | -0.86 |
| 13 | Tulsa | Conference USA | 11-3 | 0.79 | 19.51 | 19.29 | 7.31 | 10.87 | 0.13 |
| 14 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.48 | 13.69 | 11.43 | 9.34 | 0.66 |
| 15 | Cincinnati | Big East | 11-3 | 0.79 | 19.22 | 5.71 | 10.76 | 9.01 | 1.99 |
| 16 | Georgia | SEC | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.17 | 6.92 | 12.57 | 8.36 | 1.64 |
| 17 | BYU | Mountain West | 10-3 | 0.77 | 18.9 | 12.31 | 8.17 | 9.65 | 0.35 |
| 18 | Rice | Conference USA | 10-3 | 0.77 | 18.87 | 8 | 9.92 | 8.12 | 1.88 |
| 19 | Missouri | Big 12 | 10-4 | 0.71 | 18.27 | 15 | 11.98 | 10.35 | -0.35 |
| 20 | California | Pac-10 | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.67 | 12.69 | 11.79 | 9.92 | -0.92 |
| 21 | Ole Miss | SEC | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.66 | 13.08 | 11.52 | 10.08 | -1.08 |
| 22 | Iowa | Big Ten | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.65 | 17.31 | 10.01 | 11.46 | -2.46 |
| 23 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.64 | 12.69 | 11.57 | 9.2 | -0.2 |
| 24 | Florida State | ACC | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.56 | 13.23 | 10.76 | 9.98 | -0.98 |
| 25 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 10-4 | 0.71 | 17.55 | 5.36 | 11.96 | 9.23 | 0.77 |
| 26 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.5 | 7.46 | 13.27 | 8.58 | 0.42 |
| 27 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.43 | 5.62 | 14.22 | 8.25 | 0.75 |
| 28 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.37 | 6.85 | 12.75 | 8.12 | 0.88 |
| 29 | West Virginia | Big East | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.15 | 7.54 | 10.67 | 9.16 | -0.16 |
| 30 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.87 | 3 | 13.01 | 7.47 | 1.53 |
| 31 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.64 | 4.08 | 9.92 | 7.89 | 1.11 |
| 32 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.54 | 4.23 | 8.98 | 7.94 | 1.06 |
| 33 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.52 | 3.69 | 9.45 | 7.55 | 1.45 |
| 34 | Boston College | ACC | 9-5 | 0.64 | 16.04 | 6.36 | 11.71 | 9.37 | -0.37 |
| 35 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 8-5 | 0.62 | 16.01 | 15.31 | 10.09 | 10.18 | -2.18 |
| 36 | Rutgers | Big East | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.82 | 10.15 | 10.93 | 9.56 | -1.56 |
| 37 | Troy | Sun Belt | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.64 | 11.46 | 8.85 | 9.55 | -1.55 |
| 38 | North Carolina | ACC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.61 | 6.54 | 11.75 | 8.51 | -0.51 |
| 39 | Houston | Conference USA | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.6 | 9.69 | 9.45 | 8.53 | -0.53 |
| 40 | South Florida | Big East | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.56 | 7.62 | 10.44 | 8.87 | -0.87 |
| 41 | LSU | SEC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.52 | 6.77 | 10.77 | 8.35 | -0.35 |
| 42 | Kansas | Big 12 | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.46 | 4.54 | 12.48 | 7.61 | 0.39 |
| 43 | UConn | Big East | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.34 | 5.15 | 10.85 | 8.24 | -0.24 |
| 44 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 9-5 | 0.64 | 15.31 | 2.36 | 10.74 | 7.87 | 1.13 |
| 45 | Navy | FBS Independents | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.29 | 5.15 | 10.43 | 8.09 | -0.09 |
| 46 | Air Force | Mountain West | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.23 | 4.54 | 10.59 | 7.91 | 0.09 |
| 47 | Wake Forest | ACC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.17 | 2.69 | 12.74 | 7.55 | 0.45 |
| 48 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 8-5 | 0.62 | 14.1 | 0.92 | 7.93 | 6.79 | 1.21 |
| 49 | Clemson | ACC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.78 | 7.85 | 10.34 | 9.2 | -2.2 |
| 50 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 8-6 | 0.57 | 13.74 | 2.07 | 11.44 | 7.59 | 0.41 |
| 51 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.7 | 6.54 | 10.76 | 8.3 | -1.3 |
| 52 | Maryland | ACC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 13.56 | -0.69 | 11.3 | 6.26 | 1.74 |
| 53 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.46 | 5.31 | 9.85 | 7.66 | -0.66 |
| 54 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 8-5 | 0.62 | 13.33 | -0.69 | 9.15 | 6.32 | 1.68 |
| 55 | Miami | ACC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.26 | 2.92 | 11.48 | 7.37 | -0.37 |
| 56 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.09 | 2.54 | 10.59 | 7.33 | -0.33 |
| 57 | Kentucky | SEC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 12.69 | 1.15 | 10.45 | 6.9 | 0.1 |
| 58 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 7-6 | 0.54 | 12.63 | 0.92 | 10.79 | 6.76 | 0.24 |
| 59 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.42 | 4.5 | 9.4 | 7.24 | -1.24 |
| 60 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.11 | 3.25 | 8.32 | 6.9 | -0.9 |
| 61 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 12.03 | -0.46 | 12.93 | 6.32 | 0.68 |
| 62 | South Carolina | SEC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 12.02 | -0.31 | 11.94 | 6.39 | 0.61 |
| 63 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 6-7 | 0.46 | 11.72 | 6.15 | 9.28 | 8.68 | -2.68 |
| 64 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 7-6 | 0.54 | 11.35 | -1.54 | 10.3 | 6.01 | 0.99 |
| 65 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 7-6 | 0.54 | 11.33 | -1.46 | 9.84 | 6.13 | 0.87 |
| 66 | Florida Atlantic | Sun Belt | 7-6 | 0.54 | 10.88 | -3.62 | 10.22 | 5.47 | 1.53 |
| 67 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 7-6 | 0.54 | 10.74 | -5.08 | 11.09 | 5.11 | 1.89 |
| 68 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.7 | -0.58 | 8.93 | 5.88 | 0.12 |
| 69 | Illinois | Big Ten | 5-7 | 0.42 | 10.41 | 2.08 | 12.02 | 6.54 | -1.54 |
| 70 | Memphis | Conference USA | 6-7 | 0.46 | 10.13 | 0 | 8.43 | 6.5 | -0.5 |
| 71 | San José State | Western Athletic | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.95 | -2.92 | 8.21 | 4.98 | 1.02 |
| 72 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 7-7 | 0.5 | 9.9 | -4.21 | 10.35 | 5.71 | 1.29 |
| 73 | Tennessee | SEC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.88 | 0.58 | 12.03 | 6.24 | -1.24 |
| 74 | Temple | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.63 | 0.33 | 10.52 | 6.1 | -1.1 |
| 75 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.51 | 0.17 | 10.33 | 6.05 | -1.05 |
| 76 | NC State | ACC | 6-7 | 0.46 | 9.39 | -2.85 | 12.34 | 5.62 | 0.38 |
| 77 | Auburn | SEC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.07 | -0.67 | 11.34 | 5.73 | -0.73 |
| 78 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.96 | -1.17 | 12.67 | 5.69 | -0.69 |
| 79 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.86 | -0.92 | 9.93 | 5.82 | -0.82 |
| 80 | Akron | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.73 | -1.25 | 9.77 | 5.71 | -0.71 |
| 81 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.41 | -2.08 | 8.69 | 5.38 | -0.38 |
| 82 | UTEP | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.22 | -4.08 | 11.76 | 5.17 | -0.17 |
| 83 | Florida International | Sun Belt | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.16 | -3.67 | 9.77 | 5.02 | -0.02 |
| 84 | Virginia | ACC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.1 | -5.58 | 13.04 | 3.97 | 1.03 |
| 85 | Louisville | Big East | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.04 | -5.17 | 11.2 | 4.67 | 0.33 |
| 86 | UNLV | Mountain West | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.83 | -7 | 11.11 | 4.33 | 0.67 |
| 87 | Arkansas | SEC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.75 | -9.25 | 13.04 | 3.63 | 1.37 |
| 88 | Colorado | Big 12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.7 | -9.08 | 12.04 | 3.51 | 1.49 |
| 89 | Purdue | Big Ten | 4-8 | 0.33 | 7.23 | -0.42 | 12.41 | 5.88 | -1.88 |
| 90 | Baylor | Big 12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.84 | -1.33 | 12.56 | 5.67 | -1.67 |
| 91 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.73 | -1.67 | 12.47 | 5.46 | -1.46 |
| 92 | Duke | ACC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.33 | -3.33 | 11.99 | 4.92 | -0.92 |
| 93 | Ohio | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.24 | -3.17 | 9.59 | 5.13 | -1.13 |
| 94 | Marshall | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.82 | -7.17 | 11.92 | 3.95 | 0.05 |
| 95 | Kent State | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.8 | -6 | 8.79 | 4.54 | -0.54 |
| 96 | UCF | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.67 | -7.5 | 9.36 | 3.51 | 0.49 |
| 97 | Mississippi State | SEC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.6 | -9.42 | 11.31 | 2.91 | 1.09 |
| 98 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.59 | -7.5 | 7.6 | 4.11 | -0.11 |
| 99 | UAB | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.58 | -8.5 | 9.14 | 3.84 | 0.16 |
| 100 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.53 | -11.33 | 12.59 | 2.83 | 1.17 |
| 101 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.45 | -12.42 | 12.31 | 3.33 | 0.67 |
| 102 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.23 | -15.08 | 10.49 | 1.62 | 2.38 |
| 103 | Michigan | Big Ten | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.92 | -8.67 | 13.45 | 3.61 | -0.61 |
| 104 | Toledo | Mid-American | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.82 | -9 | 10.85 | 3.72 | -0.72 |
| 105 | Army | FBS Independents | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.78 | -8.92 | 9.37 | 2.95 | 0.05 |
| 106 | Utah State | Western Athletic | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.77 | -10.67 | 13.14 | 3.54 | -0.54 |
| 107 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.74 | -9.83 | 10.26 | 3.81 | -0.81 |
| 108 | New Mexico State | Western Athletic | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.57 | -11.92 | 9.11 | 3.18 | -0.18 |
| 109 | Syracuse | Big East | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.54 | -14.58 | 13.25 | 2.37 | 0.63 |
| 110 | Indiana | Big Ten | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.49 | -14.75 | 11.87 | 2.6 | 0.4 |
| 111 | Western Kentucky | FBS Independents | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.93 | -9.67 | 8.36 | 3.13 | -1.13 |
| 112 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.9 | -10.5 | 9.94 | 3.66 | -1.66 |
| 113 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.67 | -14.25 | 9.26 | 2.45 | -0.45 |
| 114 | Tulane | Conference USA | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.54 | -17.83 | 11.59 | 1.82 | 0.18 |
| 115 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.52 | -17.92 | 10.45 | 2.09 | -0.09 |
| 116 | Idaho | Western Athletic | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.32 | -23.17 | 9.45 | 1.63 | 0.37 |
| 117 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 2-11 | 0.15 | 0.66 | -31.15 | 10.78 | 0.65 | 1.35 |
| 118 | SMU | Conference USA | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.45 | -16.83 | 11.74 | 2.41 | -1.41 |
| 119 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.82 | -27.58 | 11.31 | 1.36 | -0.36 |
| 120 | Washington | Pac-10 | 0-12 | 0 | -2.63 | -25.33 | 14.57 | 0.88 | -0.88 |