Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:34.610576+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alabama | SEC | 6-0 | 1 | 26.74 | 20.17 | 13.66 | 5.38 | 0.62 |
| 2 | Texas | Big 12 | 6-0 | 1 | 26.68 | 31.5 | 11.94 | 5.6 | 0.4 |
| 3 | Penn State | Big Ten | 7-0 | 1 | 25.84 | 34.29 | 7.72 | 6.76 | 0.24 |
| 4 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 6-0 | 1 | 25.78 | 25.5 | 8.56 | 5.13 | 0.87 |
| 5 | Boise State | Western Athletic | 5-0 | 1 | 25.61 | 22.4 | 7.91 | 4.66 | 0.34 |
| 6 | Ball State | Mid-American | 7-0 | 1 | 25.17 | 22 | 5.97 | 6.24 | 0.76 |
| 7 | Utah | Mountain West | 7-0 | 1 | 25.14 | 18.57 | 6.36 | 5.84 | 1.16 |
| 8 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 6-0 | 1 | 25.07 | 25.83 | 5.13 | 5.24 | 0.76 |
| 9 | Tulsa | Conference USA | 6-0 | 1 | 24.56 | 27.33 | 2.29 | 5.08 | 0.92 |
| 10 | BYU | Mountain West | 6-0 | 1 | 24.52 | 27.67 | 2.2 | 5.74 | 0.26 |
| 11 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 6-1 | 0.86 | 23.07 | 13 | 14.66 | 5.57 | 0.43 |
| 12 | Missouri | Big 12 | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.83 | 27 | 12.25 | 5.24 | -0.24 |
| 13 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.7 | 28.17 | 11.27 | 5.38 | -0.38 |
| 14 | Florida | SEC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.5 | 25.5 | 12.54 | 5.57 | -0.57 |
| 15 | TCU | Mountain West | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.29 | 22.29 | 7.9 | 6.5 | -0.5 |
| 16 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.26 | 10 | 11.05 | 5.45 | 0.55 |
| 17 | USC | Pac-10 | 4-1 | 0.8 | 22.05 | 26.6 | 13.89 | 4.8 | -0.8 |
| 18 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.98 | 11.14 | 9.06 | 5.26 | 0.74 |
| 19 | Georgia | SEC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.93 | 14.67 | 11.52 | 4.81 | 0.19 |
| 20 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.87 | 8.17 | 11.48 | 4.34 | 0.66 |
| 21 | North Carolina | ACC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.77 | 12 | 11.61 | 4.53 | 0.47 |
| 22 | California | Pac-10 | 4-1 | 0.8 | 21.76 | 21.4 | 12.69 | 4.32 | -0.32 |
| 23 | Kansas | Big 12 | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.59 | 16.33 | 9.2 | 4.93 | 0.07 |
| 24 | South Florida | Big East | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.54 | 15.5 | 8.79 | 4.86 | 0.14 |
| 25 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.41 | 6.17 | 12 | 3.98 | 1.02 |
| 26 | Wake Forest | ACC | 4-1 | 0.8 | 21.4 | 7.4 | 15.96 | 3.61 | 0.39 |
| 27 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.28 | 9.71 | 5.66 | 4.89 | 1.11 |
| 28 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.19 | 7.67 | 8.12 | 4.27 | 0.73 |
| 29 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.18 | 14.67 | 7 | 5.32 | -0.32 |
| 30 | UConn | Big East | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.06 | 8.67 | 8.47 | 4.3 | 0.7 |
| 31 | Cincinnati | Big East | 5-1 | 0.83 | 20.93 | 10 | 7.42 | 4.39 | 0.61 |
| 32 | Florida State | ACC | 4-1 | 0.8 | 20.58 | 23.8 | 5.3 | 4.49 | -0.49 |
| 33 | Boston College | ACC | 4-1 | 0.8 | 20.39 | 18.8 | 5.36 | 4.55 | -0.55 |
| 34 | LSU | SEC | 4-1 | 0.8 | 20.39 | 10.2 | 6.07 | 3.54 | 0.46 |
| 35 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 4-1 | 0.8 | 20.23 | 3.4 | 11.6 | 2.93 | 1.07 |
| 36 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.75 | 14.14 | 9.5 | 5.18 | -0.18 |
| 37 | South Carolina | SEC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.63 | 8.14 | 11.8 | 5.16 | -0.16 |
| 38 | Kentucky | SEC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.34 | 15.67 | 10.66 | 5.38 | -1.38 |
| 39 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.79 | 23.5 | 5.1 | 5.34 | -1.34 |
| 40 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.77 | 4.83 | 12.79 | 3.73 | 0.27 |
| 41 | Air Force | Mountain West | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.52 | 11.5 | 8.92 | 4.55 | -0.55 |
| 42 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.35 | 13.5 | 6.97 | 4.25 | -0.25 |
| 43 | Navy | FBS Independents | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.23 | 3.5 | 12.13 | 3.45 | 0.55 |
| 44 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.18 | 14.5 | 5.42 | 4.68 | -0.68 |
| 45 | West Virginia | Big East | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.78 | 7.5 | 5.99 | 4.36 | -0.36 |
| 46 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.6 | 5 | 6.62 | 3.57 | 0.43 |
| 47 | Duke | ACC | 3-2 | 0.6 | 15.98 | 6.2 | 12.31 | 3.33 | -0.33 |
| 48 | San José State | Western Athletic | 4-2 | 0.67 | 15.97 | 3 | 5.2 | 3.57 | 0.43 |
| 49 | Iowa | Big Ten | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.97 | 17.71 | 12.65 | 6.36 | -2.36 |
| 50 | Maryland | ACC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 15.91 | 0.67 | 8.24 | 3.11 | 0.89 |
| 51 | Louisville | Big East | 3-2 | 0.6 | 15.73 | 5.4 | 12.4 | 3.09 | -0.09 |
| 52 | Troy | Sun Belt | 3-2 | 0.6 | 15.7 | 8.6 | 9.68 | 3.39 | -0.39 |
| 53 | Auburn | SEC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.45 | 6 | 12.36 | 4.96 | -0.96 |
| 54 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 14.44 | 5.17 | 19.64 | 3.6 | -0.6 |
| 55 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 4-2 | 0.67 | 14.3 | -2 | 6.88 | 2.74 | 1.26 |
| 56 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.94 | 9.17 | 15.45 | 4.05 | -1.05 |
| 57 | Clemson | ACC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.77 | 11.33 | 8.46 | 4.73 | -1.73 |
| 58 | Houston | Conference USA | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.65 | 11.5 | 10.38 | 4.19 | -1.19 |
| 59 | Ole Miss | SEC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.65 | 4.5 | 14.93 | 3.59 | -0.59 |
| 60 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.6 | 2.5 | 15.62 | 3.37 | -0.37 |
| 61 | Illinois | Big Ten | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.53 | 3.83 | 13.44 | 3.44 | -0.44 |
| 62 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.53 | 12.5 | 8.52 | 4.86 | -1.86 |
| 63 | Miami | ACC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.4 | 6.67 | 11.56 | 3.87 | -0.87 |
| 64 | Baylor | Big 12 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.36 | 6.33 | 11.91 | 3.77 | -0.77 |
| 65 | New Mexico State | Western Athletic | 3-2 | 0.6 | 13.27 | -0.6 | 8.41 | 2.44 | 0.56 |
| 66 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.21 | 3.67 | 10.64 | 3.36 | -0.36 |
| 67 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 12.54 | -2.71 | 13.65 | 3.06 | 0.94 |
| 68 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.26 | 0.33 | 15.2 | 3.05 | -0.05 |
| 69 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.12 | 2.33 | 7.47 | 3.23 | -0.23 |
| 70 | Rice | Conference USA | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.08 | -0.17 | 14.91 | 2.98 | 0.02 |
| 71 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 3-3 | 0.5 | 11.48 | -1.33 | 11.78 | 2.81 | 0.19 |
| 72 | UTEP | Conference USA | 3-3 | 0.5 | 11.28 | -0.67 | 12.09 | 2.92 | 0.08 |
| 73 | Colorado | Big 12 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.94 | -4.5 | 14.53 | 2.36 | 0.64 |
| 74 | Memphis | Conference USA | 3-4 | 0.43 | 10.46 | 0.57 | 8.45 | 3.59 | -0.59 |
| 75 | Florida International | Sun Belt | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.42 | -3.17 | 10.93 | 2.51 | 0.49 |
| 76 | UNLV | Mountain West | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.33 | -6.67 | 13.08 | 2.22 | 0.78 |
| 77 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.31 | -7.17 | 11.75 | 1.98 | 1.02 |
| 78 | Virginia | ACC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.03 | -7.67 | 13.48 | 1.76 | 1.24 |
| 79 | Marshall | Conference USA | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10 | -8.5 | 11.16 | 1.76 | 1.24 |
| 80 | Akron | Mid-American | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.7 | -1.14 | 11.53 | 3.32 | -0.32 |
| 81 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 3-3 | 0.5 | 9.65 | -9.17 | 10.25 | 1.79 | 1.21 |
| 82 | Arkansas | SEC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 9.56 | -16.67 | 14.63 | 1.08 | 1.92 |
| 83 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.99 | -6.57 | 16.58 | 2.34 | 0.66 |
| 84 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 2-4 | 0.33 | 8.1 | 0.33 | 8.28 | 3.04 | -1.04 |
| 85 | Tennessee | SEC | 2-4 | 0.33 | 7.66 | -0.83 | 13.9 | 2.83 | -0.83 |
| 86 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 2-3 | 0.4 | 7.59 | -10.2 | 9.6 | 1.19 | 0.81 |
| 87 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 2-4 | 0.33 | 7.55 | -1.33 | 14.65 | 2.83 | -0.83 |
| 88 | Purdue | Big Ten | 2-4 | 0.33 | 7.39 | -1.83 | 15.02 | 2.71 | -0.71 |
| 89 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 2-4 | 0.33 | 7.26 | -2.17 | 16.09 | 2.73 | -0.73 |
| 90 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 2-4 | 0.33 | 7.08 | -2.83 | 12.84 | 2.51 | -0.51 |
| 91 | Indiana | Big Ten | 2-4 | 0.33 | 7.05 | -3.33 | 13.47 | 2.53 | -0.53 |
| 92 | Michigan | Big Ten | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.52 | -6 | 14.32 | 2.05 | -0.05 |
| 93 | Mississippi State | SEC | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.48 | -3.83 | 15.3 | 2.27 | -0.27 |
| 94 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.43 | -6 | 13.04 | 1.98 | 0.02 |
| 95 | Tulane | Conference USA | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.39 | -5.17 | 9.79 | 2.21 | -0.21 |
| 96 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.18 | -9 | 13.78 | 1.92 | 0.08 |
| 97 | Temple | Mid-American | 2-5 | 0.29 | 6.12 | -2.14 | 13.6 | 3.01 | -1.01 |
| 98 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.07 | -10.67 | 15.15 | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| 99 | UCF | Conference USA | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.91 | -9 | 9.05 | 1.64 | 0.36 |
| 100 | Toledo | Mid-American | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.89 | -8.17 | 13.92 | 1.98 | 0.02 |
| 101 | NC State | ACC | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.81 | -12.33 | 13.65 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 102 | Army | FBS Independents | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.69 | -5.67 | 5.1 | 1.98 | 0.02 |
| 103 | Ohio | Mid-American | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.6 | -2.57 | 11.21 | 3.08 | -1.08 |
| 104 | Western Kentucky | FBS Independents | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.2 | -8 | 12.58 | 2.1 | -0.1 |
| 105 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.83 | -9.86 | 7.97 | 1.95 | 0.05 |
| 106 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.42 | -20.86 | 11.47 | 0.39 | 1.61 |
| 107 | Rutgers | Big East | 1-5 | 0.17 | 2.83 | -3.83 | 13.43 | 2.31 | -1.31 |
| 108 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 1-5 | 0.17 | 2.28 | -7.33 | 8.06 | 2.05 | -1.05 |
| 109 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 1-5 | 0.17 | 2.05 | -11 | 10.69 | 1.5 | -0.5 |
| 110 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 1-5 | 0.17 | 2.02 | -11.17 | 10.85 | 1.37 | -0.37 |
| 111 | Syracuse | Big East | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.86 | -14.67 | 14.79 | 1.2 | -0.2 |
| 112 | Florida Atlantic | Sun Belt | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.85 | -15.33 | 15.84 | 0.97 | 0.03 |
| 113 | Utah State | Western Athletic | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.65 | -19.67 | 15.74 | 0.94 | 0.06 |
| 114 | Kent State | Mid-American | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.4 | -9.71 | 9.96 | 2.01 | -1.01 |
| 115 | UAB | Conference USA | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.33 | -10.86 | 9.95 | 2.04 | -1.04 |
| 116 | SMU | Conference USA | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.98 | -17.43 | 12.83 | 1.47 | -0.47 |
| 117 | Idaho | Western Athletic | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.66 | -25.57 | 9.73 | 0.94 | 0.06 |
| 118 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.58 | -29.29 | 12.21 | 0.54 | 0.46 |
| 119 | Washington | Pac-10 | 0-5 | 0 | -2.82 | -23.4 | 20.26 | 0.63 | -0.63 |
| 120 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 0-6 | 0 | -3.12 | -37.5 | 15.72 | 0.32 | -0.32 |