Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:34.610955+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Texas | Big 12 | 7-0 | 1 | 26.62 | 30.57 | 13.03 | 6.41 | 0.59 |
| 2 | Alabama | SEC | 7-0 | 1 | 26.16 | 17.86 | 12.69 | 6.1 | 0.9 |
| 3 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 7-0 | 1 | 25.63 | 25.86 | 8.9 | 6.11 | 0.89 |
| 4 | Penn State | Big Ten | 8-0 | 1 | 25.38 | 33.62 | 6.62 | 7.69 | 0.31 |
| 5 | Boise State | Western Athletic | 6-0 | 1 | 25.26 | 22 | 7.63 | 5.61 | 0.39 |
| 6 | Utah | Mountain West | 8-0 | 1 | 25.02 | 20.38 | 6.84 | 6.82 | 1.18 |
| 7 | Ball State | Mid-American | 7-0 | 1 | 24.76 | 22 | 5.21 | 6.24 | 0.76 |
| 8 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 7-0 | 1 | 24.72 | 24.71 | 4.59 | 6.04 | 0.96 |
| 9 | Tulsa | Conference USA | 7-0 | 1 | 24.51 | 29.43 | 3.08 | 5.96 | 1.04 |
| 10 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 6-1 | 0.86 | 23.15 | 26.14 | 13.15 | 6.12 | -0.12 |
| 11 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.96 | 13.5 | 12.42 | 6.72 | 0.28 |
| 12 | TCU | Mountain West | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.75 | 22.62 | 9.01 | 7.48 | -0.48 |
| 13 | Georgia | SEC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.51 | 14 | 12.33 | 5.59 | 0.41 |
| 14 | USC | Pac-10 | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.46 | 33.67 | 12.11 | 5.89 | -0.89 |
| 15 | Florida | SEC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.33 | 25.5 | 12.38 | 5.57 | -0.57 |
| 16 | South Florida | Big East | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.93 | 17.86 | 7.97 | 5.88 | 0.12 |
| 17 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.75 | 13.14 | 8.29 | 6.01 | -0.01 |
| 18 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.74 | 11.14 | 8.64 | 5.26 | 0.74 |
| 19 | BYU | Mountain West | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.59 | 20.14 | 4.37 | 6.29 | -0.29 |
| 20 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.58 | 9.71 | 8.55 | 5.16 | 0.84 |
| 21 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.25 | 6.33 | 12.69 | 3.89 | 1.11 |
| 22 | Boston College | ACC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.1 | 16.5 | 7.62 | 5.23 | -0.23 |
| 23 | Florida State | ACC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 20.91 | 21.33 | 5.26 | 5.29 | -0.29 |
| 24 | LSU | SEC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 20.85 | 9.67 | 8.32 | 4.24 | 0.76 |
| 25 | Cincinnati | Big East | 5-1 | 0.83 | 20.57 | 10 | 6.21 | 4.39 | 0.61 |
| 26 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.88 | 6.62 | 14.09 | 5.29 | 0.71 |
| 27 | Missouri | Big 12 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19.58 | 19.57 | 12.99 | 5.52 | -0.52 |
| 28 | Kansas | Big 12 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.75 | 12 | 10.18 | 5.17 | -0.17 |
| 29 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.73 | 7.25 | 6.49 | 5.19 | 0.81 |
| 30 | North Carolina | ACC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.73 | 9.86 | 10.93 | 5.09 | -0.09 |
| 31 | Kentucky | SEC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.66 | 13.57 | 10.33 | 6.01 | -1.01 |
| 32 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.62 | 5.57 | 12.89 | 4.61 | 0.39 |
| 33 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.59 | 22.29 | 7.58 | 6.09 | -1.09 |
| 34 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.48 | 14.14 | 8.65 | 5.18 | -0.18 |
| 35 | California | Pac-10 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.37 | 15.33 | 12.46 | 4.67 | -0.67 |
| 36 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.36 | 4.57 | 12.07 | 4.34 | 0.66 |
| 37 | Air Force | Mountain West | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.21 | 10 | 8.97 | 5.07 | -0.07 |
| 38 | UConn | Big East | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.14 | 7.14 | 8.55 | 4.86 | 0.14 |
| 39 | Maryland | ACC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.66 | 4.29 | 9.75 | 4.34 | 0.66 |
| 40 | Wake Forest | ACC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.41 | 1.83 | 15.75 | 3.37 | 0.63 |
| 41 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.3 | 4.83 | 12.22 | 3.73 | 0.27 |
| 42 | San José State | Western Athletic | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.28 | 5 | 6.23 | 4.56 | 0.44 |
| 43 | Louisville | Big East | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.27 | 7.67 | 10.61 | 3.96 | 0.04 |
| 44 | Troy | Sun Belt | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.21 | 8.83 | 9.46 | 4.09 | -0.09 |
| 45 | Iowa | Big Ten | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.93 | 18.25 | 11.71 | 7.24 | -2.24 |
| 46 | West Virginia | Big East | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.52 | 7.5 | 4.52 | 4.36 | -0.36 |
| 47 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.51 | 5 | 6.45 | 3.57 | 0.43 |
| 48 | South Carolina | SEC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.35 | 6.25 | 11.67 | 5.48 | -0.48 |
| 49 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 5-2 | 0.71 | 15.96 | -0.29 | 8.51 | 3.46 | 1.54 |
| 50 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.93 | 8.43 | 18.28 | 4.66 | -0.66 |
| 51 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.51 | 10.86 | 13.28 | 4.97 | -0.97 |
| 52 | Illinois | Big Ten | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.27 | 9.29 | 12.33 | 4.68 | -0.68 |
| 53 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.17 | 11.43 | 8.13 | 4.86 | -0.86 |
| 54 | Miami | ACC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.13 | 8.29 | 11.85 | 4.67 | -0.67 |
| 55 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.07 | 15.14 | 7.67 | 5.98 | -1.98 |
| 56 | Auburn | SEC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.93 | 6 | 10.83 | 4.96 | -0.96 |
| 57 | Houston | Conference USA | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.9 | 10.71 | 8.2 | 4.76 | -0.76 |
| 58 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.82 | 11.71 | 5 | 5.16 | -1.16 |
| 59 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.7 | 7 | 9.12 | 4.31 | -0.31 |
| 60 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.09 | 1.71 | 12.08 | 3.79 | 0.21 |
| 61 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 4-3 | 0.57 | 13.93 | 2.71 | 8.02 | 3.83 | 0.17 |
| 62 | Navy | FBS Independents | 4-3 | 0.57 | 13.8 | 0 | 13.3 | 3.5 | 0.5 |
| 63 | Rice | Conference USA | 4-3 | 0.57 | 13.77 | 0.57 | 12.71 | 3.56 | 0.44 |
| 64 | Duke | ACC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.95 | 2.17 | 12.17 | 3.31 | -0.31 |
| 65 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.71 | 2.12 | 14.38 | 4.4 | -0.4 |
| 66 | Colorado | Big 12 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 12.34 | -3.71 | 14.76 | 2.84 | 1.16 |
| 67 | Clemson | ACC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 11.98 | 9.14 | 10.15 | 5.2 | -2.2 |
| 68 | Virginia | ACC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 11.89 | -6.14 | 14.04 | 2.27 | 1.73 |
| 69 | Ole Miss | SEC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 11.8 | 3.29 | 15.94 | 4.02 | -1.02 |
| 70 | Akron | Mid-American | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.45 | -0.12 | 10.72 | 3.98 | 0.02 |
| 71 | Tennessee | SEC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 11.21 | 3.71 | 12.47 | 4.35 | -1.35 |
| 72 | Baylor | Big 12 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 11.08 | 1.43 | 12.8 | 3.71 | -0.71 |
| 73 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.84 | -2.75 | 12.26 | 3.48 | 0.52 |
| 74 | New Mexico State | Western Athletic | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.52 | -3.33 | 8.98 | 2.61 | 0.39 |
| 75 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.19 | -3.17 | 9 | 2.51 | 0.49 |
| 76 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 3-4 | 0.43 | 10.05 | -1 | 15.27 | 3.33 | -0.33 |
| 77 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.9 | -0.71 | 12.68 | 3.38 | -0.38 |
| 78 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.45 | -1.43 | 14.53 | 3.29 | -0.29 |
| 79 | Florida International | Sun Belt | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.9 | -4.14 | 12 | 2.78 | 0.22 |
| 80 | UTEP | Conference USA | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.72 | -6.57 | 13.09 | 2.73 | 0.27 |
| 81 | UNLV | Mountain West | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.66 | -5.86 | 11.86 | 2.7 | 0.3 |
| 82 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.34 | -10.86 | 13.44 | 1.84 | 1.16 |
| 83 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.29 | -10.71 | 13.17 | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 84 | Marshall | Conference USA | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.27 | -7.57 | 8.66 | 2.19 | 0.81 |
| 85 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.26 | -8.71 | 14.06 | 2.11 | 0.89 |
| 86 | Arkansas | SEC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.15 | -14.43 | 14.57 | 1.44 | 1.56 |
| 87 | Memphis | Conference USA | 3-5 | 0.38 | 8.02 | -2 | 8.93 | 3.65 | -0.65 |
| 88 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.76 | -2.83 | 13.1 | 2.51 | -0.51 |
| 89 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 2-5 | 0.29 | 6.2 | -1.86 | 14.82 | 3.24 | -1.24 |
| 90 | Tulane | Conference USA | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.19 | -5.17 | 9.74 | 2.21 | -0.21 |
| 91 | Temple | Mid-American | 2-5 | 0.29 | 6 | -2.14 | 13.92 | 3.01 | -1.01 |
| 92 | UCF | Conference USA | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.79 | -9 | 9.6 | 1.64 | 0.36 |
| 93 | Ohio | Mid-American | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.73 | -2.57 | 10.69 | 3.08 | -1.08 |
| 94 | Purdue | Big Ten | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.68 | -4.71 | 15.73 | 2.72 | -0.72 |
| 95 | Rutgers | Big East | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.64 | -3 | 14.91 | 2.82 | -0.82 |
| 96 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.62 | -3.71 | 9.58 | 2.94 | -0.94 |
| 97 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.2 | -7.86 | 13.59 | 2.09 | -0.09 |
| 98 | Indiana | Big Ten | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.15 | -8.86 | 13.56 | 2.17 | -0.17 |
| 99 | Mississippi State | SEC | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.15 | -7.71 | 12.02 | 1.86 | 0.14 |
| 100 | Michigan | Big Ten | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.13 | -9.29 | 14.83 | 1.94 | 0.06 |
| 101 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.09 | -10.29 | 16.21 | 2.11 | -0.11 |
| 102 | Army | FBS Independents | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.05 | -5.29 | 4.35 | 2.44 | -0.44 |
| 103 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.02 | -4.57 | 6.8 | 2.81 | -0.81 |
| 104 | Toledo | Mid-American | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.9 | -11.43 | 13.55 | 1.84 | 0.16 |
| 105 | NC State | ACC | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.87 | -11.86 | 13.77 | 1.67 | 0.33 |
| 106 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.73 | -8.57 | 10.18 | 2 | 0 |
| 107 | Florida Atlantic | Sun Belt | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.6 | -12.57 | 14.34 | 1.45 | 0.55 |
| 108 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.32 | -20.86 | 12 | 0.39 | 1.61 |
| 109 | Western Kentucky | FBS Independents | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.15 | -7.5 | 10.07 | 2.48 | -0.48 |
| 110 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.95 | -9.5 | 9.51 | 2.39 | -0.39 |
| 111 | UAB | Conference USA | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.75 | -9.25 | 9.6 | 2.52 | -0.52 |
| 112 | Kent State | Mid-American | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.34 | -9.71 | 10.15 | 2.01 | -1.01 |
| 113 | Syracuse | Big East | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.01 | -17.14 | 15.04 | 1.17 | -0.17 |
| 114 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.93 | -18.43 | 10.46 | 1.04 | -0.04 |
| 115 | Utah State | Western Athletic | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.85 | -20.71 | 15.51 | 1.02 | -0.02 |
| 116 | SMU | Conference USA | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.54 | -16 | 12.49 | 1.9 | -0.9 |
| 117 | Idaho | Western Athletic | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.15 | -26.38 | 8.77 | 0.99 | 0.01 |
| 118 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 1-7 | 0.12 | -0.05 | -34.25 | 13.96 | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| 119 | Washington | Pac-10 | 0-6 | 0 | -2.74 | -23 | 18.37 | 0.73 | -0.73 |
| 120 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 0-7 | 0 | -2.97 | -33.86 | 14.17 | 0.48 | -0.48 |