Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:34.832687+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Texas | Big 12 | 10-0 | 1 | 25.98 | 29 | 12.37 | 9.44 | 0.56 |
| 2 | Alabama | SEC | 10-0 | 1 | 25.87 | 20 | 13.28 | 9.22 | 0.78 |
| 3 | Florida | SEC | 10-0 | 1 | 25.66 | 23.4 | 11.67 | 9.41 | 0.59 |
| 4 | TCU | Mountain West | 10-0 | 1 | 25.51 | 26.3 | 10.55 | 9.33 | 0.67 |
| 5 | Cincinnati | Big East | 10-0 | 1 | 25.37 | 21.5 | 10.6 | 8.75 | 1.25 |
| 6 | Boise State | Western Athletic | 10-0 | 1 | 24.98 | 26.7 | 7.89 | 9.04 | 0.96 |
| 7 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.91 | 12.45 | 10.74 | 8.06 | 1.94 |
| 8 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.85 | 16.2 | 10.53 | 8.24 | 0.76 |
| 9 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.57 | 17.64 | 13.48 | 9.8 | -0.8 |
| 10 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 8-2 | 0.8 | 21.09 | 16.2 | 13.77 | 7.96 | 0.04 |
| 11 | Penn State | Big Ten | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.02 | 16.91 | 10.35 | 9.83 | -0.83 |
| 12 | Iowa | Big Ten | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.85 | 7.18 | 12.5 | 7.68 | 1.32 |
| 13 | LSU | SEC | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.67 | 11.3 | 12.88 | 8.06 | -0.06 |
| 14 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.54 | 12.5 | 11.67 | 7.55 | 0.45 |
| 15 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.33 | 8.5 | 12.17 | 6.81 | 1.19 |
| 16 | Houston | Conference USA | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.27 | 10.3 | 10.16 | 6.65 | 1.35 |
| 17 | BYU | Mountain West | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.15 | 13.7 | 8.74 | 7.62 | 0.38 |
| 18 | Utah | Mountain West | 8-2 | 0.8 | 19.97 | 8.7 | 9.04 | 7 | 1 |
| 19 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 8-2 | 0.8 | 19.95 | 15.1 | 7.23 | 8.09 | -0.09 |
| 20 | Rutgers | Big East | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.52 | 13.56 | 7.94 | 7.34 | -0.34 |
| 21 | Temple | Mid-American | 8-2 | 0.8 | 19.21 | 8.7 | 5.09 | 6.93 | 1.07 |
| 22 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.95 | 13.1 | 16.41 | 7.99 | -0.99 |
| 23 | Clemson | ACC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.5 | 15.1 | 12.63 | 8.1 | -1.1 |
| 24 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.46 | 15.2 | 12.32 | 8.87 | -1.87 |
| 25 | Navy | FBS Independents | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.38 | 8.27 | 10.03 | 7.55 | 0.45 |
| 26 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.15 | 11.9 | 11.49 | 7.21 | -0.21 |
| 27 | Miami | ACC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.02 | 7.3 | 12.14 | 6.51 | 0.49 |
| 28 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18 | 8 | 12.44 | 6.68 | 0.32 |
| 29 | USC | Pac-10 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.99 | 5.8 | 12.96 | 6.37 | 0.63 |
| 30 | Boston College | ACC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.94 | 9.2 | 11.22 | 7.22 | -0.22 |
| 31 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.93 | 12.9 | 9.55 | 7.21 | -0.21 |
| 32 | Ole Miss | SEC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.88 | 15.2 | 8.35 | 8.31 | -1.31 |
| 33 | West Virginia | Big East | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.74 | 6.4 | 10.89 | 6.51 | 0.49 |
| 34 | California | Pac-10 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.72 | 8.3 | 10.25 | 6.79 | 0.21 |
| 35 | North Carolina | ACC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.55 | 7.2 | 9.76 | 7.05 | -0.05 |
| 36 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.34 | 13.6 | 5.13 | 8 | -1 |
| 37 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.27 | 8.22 | 11.11 | 6.1 | -0.1 |
| 38 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.02 | 5.5 | 7.33 | 6.19 | 0.81 |
| 39 | South Florida | Big East | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.97 | 8.22 | 8.93 | 6.3 | -0.3 |
| 40 | Air Force | Mountain West | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.64 | 15.64 | 9.01 | 9.5 | -2.5 |
| 41 | Troy | Sun Belt | 7-3 | 0.7 | 16.62 | 1.1 | 9.78 | 5.22 | 1.78 |
| 42 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 16.59 | 21.2 | 13.93 | 9.17 | -3.17 |
| 43 | Ohio | Mid-American | 7-3 | 0.7 | 16.49 | 3.8 | 5.13 | 5.98 | 1.02 |
| 44 | Auburn | SEC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.49 | 7 | 11.45 | 6.97 | 0.03 |
| 45 | Arkansas | SEC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 16.1 | 12.1 | 13.56 | 7.15 | -1.15 |
| 46 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 16.1 | 14.4 | 11.5 | 7.56 | -1.56 |
| 47 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.75 | 6 | 13.7 | 6.33 | -0.33 |
| 48 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.55 | 7.5 | 10.77 | 6.49 | -0.49 |
| 49 | Missouri | Big 12 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.33 | 5.7 | 11.7 | 6.27 | -0.27 |
| 50 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.29 | 9.7 | 8.23 | 6.94 | -0.94 |
| 51 | Kentucky | SEC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.15 | 5.1 | 10.72 | 6.23 | -0.23 |
| 52 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.07 | 1.82 | 7.6 | 6 | 1 |
| 53 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.92 | 4.7 | 9.44 | 6.16 | -0.16 |
| 54 | Georgia | SEC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.76 | 1.6 | 13.37 | 5.35 | 0.65 |
| 55 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.38 | 7.45 | 11.8 | 7.23 | -1.23 |
| 56 | UCF | Conference USA | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.32 | 1.2 | 10.65 | 5.31 | 0.69 |
| 57 | Tennessee | SEC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 13.75 | 9.4 | 14.06 | 7.05 | -2.05 |
| 58 | Idaho | Western Athletic | 7-4 | 0.64 | 13.52 | -3.73 | 10.56 | 4.75 | 2.25 |
| 59 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 6-4 | 0.6 | 13.5 | 0.2 | 7.59 | 5.04 | 0.96 |
| 60 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 12.97 | 0.91 | 8.52 | 5.74 | 0.26 |
| 61 | Kansas | Big 12 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.9 | 4.5 | 10.73 | 5.97 | -0.97 |
| 62 | SMU | Conference USA | 6-4 | 0.6 | 12.79 | -1.6 | 9.28 | 4.67 | 1.33 |
| 63 | South Carolina | SEC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 12.77 | -0.09 | 12.29 | 5.47 | 0.53 |
| 64 | Florida State | ACC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.4 | 1.3 | 14.48 | 5.25 | -0.25 |
| 65 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.24 | 1.2 | 13.69 | 5.32 | -0.32 |
| 66 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 12.2 | -0.73 | 11.59 | 5.28 | 0.72 |
| 67 | UConn | Big East | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.95 | 6.11 | 13.91 | 5.7 | -1.7 |
| 68 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.76 | -2.18 | 12.07 | 4.92 | 1.08 |
| 69 | Michigan | Big Ten | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.47 | 3.18 | 10.17 | 6.2 | -1.2 |
| 70 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.09 | -1 | 11.02 | 4.82 | 0.18 |
| 71 | Kent State | Mid-American | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.98 | -0.1 | 6.19 | 4.97 | 0.03 |
| 72 | Marshall | Conference USA | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.92 | -0.9 | 9.54 | 4.75 | 0.25 |
| 73 | Duke | ACC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.84 | -0.9 | 7.92 | 4.79 | 0.21 |
| 74 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.76 | -1.6 | 12.46 | 4.64 | 0.36 |
| 75 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 10.36 | 2.8 | 11.55 | 5.74 | -1.74 |
| 76 | UAB | Conference USA | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.18 | -3.2 | 9.97 | 4.37 | 0.63 |
| 77 | Tulsa | Conference USA | 4-6 | 0.4 | 10.15 | 3 | 8.43 | 5.66 | -1.66 |
| 78 | NC State | ACC | 4-6 | 0.4 | 9.88 | 1.7 | 8.96 | 5.32 | -1.32 |
| 79 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 5-5 | 0.5 | 9.49 | -9 | 9.79 | 2.73 | 2.27 |
| 80 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 5-5 | 0.5 | 9.47 | -8.5 | 7.39 | 3.12 | 1.88 |
| 81 | Mississippi State | SEC | 4-6 | 0.4 | 9.21 | -0.7 | 15.87 | 4.83 | -0.83 |
| 82 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9 | -2.64 | 7.63 | 4.86 | 0.14 |
| 83 | Baylor | Big 12 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.17 | -3.6 | 12.79 | 4.16 | -0.16 |
| 84 | Wake Forest | ACC | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.93 | -0.91 | 12.57 | 5.26 | -1.26 |
| 85 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.68 | -5.1 | 9.25 | 3.91 | 0.09 |
| 86 | Louisville | Big East | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.64 | -6.6 | 13.35 | 3.24 | 0.76 |
| 87 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 3-7 | 0.3 | 7.46 | 0.8 | 11.87 | 5.18 | -2.18 |
| 88 | Purdue | Big Ten | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.44 | -2.91 | 14.7 | 4.83 | -0.83 |
| 89 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.43 | -6 | 9 | 3.73 | 0.27 |
| 90 | Army | FBS Independents | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.26 | -6.9 | 7.44 | 3.03 | 0.97 |
| 91 | Toledo | Mid-American | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.22 | -10.8 | 10.21 | 3.18 | 0.82 |
| 92 | Indiana | Big Ten | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.91 | -5 | 11.4 | 4.27 | -0.27 |
| 93 | UNLV | Mountain West | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.52 | -8.64 | 11.29 | 3.61 | 0.39 |
| 94 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.93 | -2.4 | 10.61 | 4.43 | -1.43 |
| 95 | Florida Atlantic | Sun Belt | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.83 | -7 | 10.97 | 3.33 | -0.33 |
| 96 | Virginia | ACC | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.71 | -4.2 | 13.18 | 3.88 | -0.88 |
| 97 | Utah State | Western Athletic | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.63 | -3.1 | 10.05 | 4.37 | -1.37 |
| 98 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 2-7 | 0.22 | 5.61 | 1 | 9.6 | 4.74 | -2.74 |
| 99 | Washington | Pac-10 | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.54 | -6.9 | 16.96 | 3.55 | -0.55 |
| 100 | Illinois | Big Ten | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.4 | -5.8 | 11.38 | 3.55 | -0.55 |
| 101 | Colorado | Big 12 | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.39 | -6.8 | 13.61 | 3.45 | -0.45 |
| 102 | Syracuse | Big East | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.32 | -7.4 | 13.19 | 3.16 | -0.16 |
| 103 | UTEP | Conference USA | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.25 | -7.4 | 11.52 | 3.63 | -0.63 |
| 104 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.09 | -9.5 | 12.85 | 2.97 | 0.03 |
| 105 | Florida International | Sun Belt | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.06 | -8.3 | 11.9 | 3.37 | -0.37 |
| 106 | Tulane | Conference USA | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.48 | -19.3 | 10.06 | 1.44 | 1.56 |
| 107 | New Mexico State | Western Athletic | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.44 | -18.1 | 7.43 | 0.93 | 2.07 |
| 108 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.69 | -10 | 10.58 | 3.27 | -1.27 |
| 109 | Akron | Mid-American | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.68 | -10.5 | 11.35 | 2.55 | -0.55 |
| 110 | Maryland | ACC | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.63 | -11.4 | 11.94 | 2.66 | -0.66 |
| 111 | Memphis | Conference USA | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.62 | -11.2 | 10.74 | 2.72 | -0.72 |
| 112 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.6 | -6.27 | 12.07 | 3.48 | -1.48 |
| 113 | Ball State | Mid-American | 1-9 | 0.1 | 0.53 | -8.1 | 8.29 | 3.12 | -2.12 |
| 114 | San José State | Western Athletic | 1-8 | 0.11 | -0.01 | -23.33 | 14.29 | 0.77 | 0.23 |
| 115 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.28 | -18 | 15.12 | 1.52 | -0.52 |
| 116 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.32 | -25.6 | 15.07 | 0.74 | 0.26 |
| 117 | Rice | Conference USA | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.39 | -24 | 12.32 | 1.14 | -0.14 |
| 118 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 0-10 | 0 | -2.46 | -19.6 | 13.11 | 1.28 | -1.28 |
| 119 | Western Kentucky | Sun Belt | 0-10 | 0 | -2.5 | -22 | 10.72 | 1.49 | -1.49 |
| 120 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 0-10 | 0 | -2.56 | -22.9 | 12.26 | 1.04 | -1.04 |