Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:34.831113+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alabama | SEC | 7-0 | 1 | 26.72 | 23 | 13.33 | 6.51 | 0.49 |
| 2 | Texas | Big 12 | 6-0 | 1 | 26.64 | 27.33 | 12.27 | 5.54 | 0.46 |
| 3 | Florida | SEC | 6-0 | 1 | 26.4 | 27.67 | 11.04 | 5.81 | 0.19 |
| 4 | Cincinnati | Big East | 6-0 | 1 | 26.12 | 26.33 | 10.16 | 5.53 | 0.47 |
| 5 | Iowa | Big Ten | 7-0 | 1 | 25.98 | 9.86 | 12.86 | 5.38 | 1.62 |
| 6 | TCU | Mountain West | 6-0 | 1 | 25.59 | 20.17 | 8.55 | 5.37 | 0.63 |
| 7 | Boise State | Western Athletic | 6-0 | 1 | 25.56 | 22.67 | 8 | 5.37 | 0.63 |
| 8 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.5 | 16.17 | 14.04 | 5.02 | -0.02 |
| 9 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.41 | 14.71 | 10.44 | 5.6 | 0.4 |
| 10 | Penn State | Big Ten | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.37 | 20.86 | 8.69 | 6.63 | -0.63 |
| 11 | USC | Pac-10 | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.29 | 18 | 12.79 | 5.41 | -0.41 |
| 12 | BYU | Mountain West | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.28 | 15.86 | 9.13 | 5.45 | 0.55 |
| 13 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.02 | 6.43 | 11.67 | 4.4 | 1.6 |
| 14 | LSU | SEC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.92 | 8.5 | 13.41 | 4.49 | 0.51 |
| 15 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.72 | 18.57 | 5.58 | 6.04 | -0.04 |
| 16 | Miami | ACC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.65 | 8.17 | 12.76 | 4.12 | 0.88 |
| 17 | Kansas | Big 12 | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.59 | 18.17 | 6.64 | 4.9 | 0.1 |
| 18 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.57 | 15.33 | 9.41 | 4.66 | 0.34 |
| 19 | Idaho | Western Athletic | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.45 | 4.43 | 9.82 | 4.16 | 1.84 |
| 20 | Houston | Conference USA | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.29 | 12.83 | 8.57 | 4.26 | 0.74 |
| 21 | Utah | Mountain West | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.26 | 10.67 | 9.14 | 4.5 | 0.5 |
| 22 | West Virginia | Big East | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.09 | 11 | 8.05 | 4.39 | 0.61 |
| 23 | South Florida | Big East | 5-1 | 0.83 | 20.98 | 20.17 | 3.16 | 5.38 | -0.38 |
| 24 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 20.49 | 13.43 | 19.58 | 5.45 | -0.45 |
| 25 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19.51 | 14 | 12.63 | 5.87 | -0.87 |
| 26 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.99 | 21.71 | 9.3 | 5.97 | -0.97 |
| 27 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.92 | 20.5 | 13.28 | 5.49 | -1.49 |
| 28 | Michigan | Big Ten | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.91 | 15.43 | 10.18 | 5.46 | -0.46 |
| 29 | Auburn | SEC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.89 | 8.57 | 11.04 | 4.63 | 0.37 |
| 30 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.68 | 3.43 | 14.18 | 4.03 | 0.97 |
| 31 | Navy | FBS Independents | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.67 | 10.29 | 10.78 | 4.98 | 0.02 |
| 32 | Boston College | ACC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.61 | 10.14 | 10.44 | 5.04 | -0.04 |
| 33 | South Carolina | SEC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.33 | 5.71 | 9.42 | 4.58 | 0.42 |
| 34 | Ole Miss | SEC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18 | 17.17 | 10.28 | 5.28 | -1.28 |
| 35 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.97 | 6.17 | 13.16 | 3.75 | 0.25 |
| 36 | California | Pac-10 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.86 | 9.67 | 12.5 | 4.17 | -0.17 |
| 37 | UConn | Big East | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.86 | 10.83 | 11.61 | 4.51 | -0.51 |
| 38 | Missouri | Big 12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.6 | 9 | 8.59 | 4.23 | -0.23 |
| 39 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.58 | 4.5 | 14.32 | 3.56 | 0.44 |
| 40 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.58 | 5.83 | 12.17 | 3.78 | 0.22 |
| 41 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.43 | 12.83 | 7.94 | 4.81 | -0.81 |
| 42 | Tulsa | Conference USA | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.41 | 12.67 | 5.73 | 4.67 | -0.67 |
| 43 | Rutgers | Big East | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.38 | 11.67 | 6.02 | 4.61 | -0.61 |
| 44 | Ohio | Mid-American | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.31 | 5.86 | 4.42 | 4.49 | 0.51 |
| 45 | North Carolina | ACC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.04 | 8.33 | 6.62 | 4.5 | -0.5 |
| 46 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.2 | 2.67 | 6.8 | 3.32 | 0.68 |
| 47 | Temple | Mid-American | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.1 | 4.5 | 4 | 3.73 | 0.27 |
| 48 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.63 | 8.14 | 12.15 | 4.68 | -0.68 |
| 49 | Air Force | Mountain West | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.53 | 15 | 10.12 | 6.12 | -2.12 |
| 50 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.38 | 7.71 | 13.13 | 4.72 | -0.72 |
| 51 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 15.12 | 21.67 | 16.06 | 5.65 | -2.65 |
| 52 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.97 | 8.57 | 9.09 | 4.77 | -0.77 |
| 53 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.96 | 4.86 | 12.34 | 4.33 | -0.33 |
| 54 | Troy | Sun Belt | 4-2 | 0.67 | 14.53 | -3 | 10.84 | 2.6 | 1.4 |
| 55 | Wake Forest | ACC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.42 | 1.43 | 10.69 | 3.74 | 0.26 |
| 56 | Tennessee | SEC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 14.42 | 12.5 | 15.16 | 4.58 | -1.58 |
| 57 | Clemson | ACC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 14.33 | 11 | 17.04 | 4.7 | -1.7 |
| 58 | Arkansas | SEC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 14.25 | 7.5 | 15.65 | 3.85 | -0.85 |
| 59 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.16 | 3.86 | 8.11 | 4.12 | -0.12 |
| 60 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.1 | 4 | 3.74 | 4.16 | -0.16 |
| 61 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 4-3 | 0.57 | 13.99 | -0.14 | 14.4 | 3.47 | 0.53 |
| 62 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 4-3 | 0.57 | 13.97 | 2 | 9.66 | 3.84 | 0.16 |
| 63 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.87 | 10.67 | 9.67 | 4.46 | -1.46 |
| 64 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.84 | 11.33 | 12.25 | 4.24 | -1.24 |
| 65 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 4-2 | 0.67 | 13.57 | -7.67 | 7.65 | 1.97 | 2.03 |
| 66 | Georgia | SEC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 13.52 | -0.71 | 17.39 | 3.39 | 0.61 |
| 67 | Baylor | Big 12 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.35 | 4.33 | 10.37 | 3.61 | -0.61 |
| 68 | Virginia | ACC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.09 | 5.5 | 10.48 | 3.89 | -0.89 |
| 69 | Duke | ACC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.01 | 4.67 | 9 | 3.56 | -0.56 |
| 70 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.8 | 4.83 | 9.53 | 3.69 | -0.69 |
| 71 | Marshall | Conference USA | 4-3 | 0.57 | 12.35 | -3 | 9.24 | 2.93 | 1.07 |
| 72 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.12 | -0.67 | 15.3 | 2.89 | 0.11 |
| 73 | Kentucky | SEC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.04 | -0.17 | 17.08 | 2.98 | 0.02 |
| 74 | Indiana | Big Ten | 4-3 | 0.57 | 11.96 | -3.14 | 8.61 | 2.97 | 1.03 |
| 75 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 11.89 | -0.17 | 9.57 | 2.98 | 0.02 |
| 76 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 3-3 | 0.5 | 11.83 | 0.17 | 12.01 | 3.02 | -0.02 |
| 77 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 4-3 | 0.57 | 11.71 | -4.14 | 5.1 | 2.71 | 1.29 |
| 78 | NC State | ACC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 11.69 | 4.71 | 10.29 | 4.16 | -1.16 |
| 79 | Mississippi State | SEC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 11.47 | 3.43 | 14.28 | 4.05 | -1.05 |
| 80 | UCF | Conference USA | 3-3 | 0.5 | 11.37 | -0.67 | 7.94 | 2.89 | 0.11 |
| 81 | Toledo | Mid-American | 4-3 | 0.57 | 11.29 | -8.14 | 8.45 | 2.53 | 1.47 |
| 82 | SMU | Conference USA | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.81 | -2.33 | 9.05 | 2.72 | 0.28 |
| 83 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.25 | -5.67 | 8.08 | 2.18 | 0.82 |
| 84 | Washington | Pac-10 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.93 | -2.43 | 19.61 | 3.12 | -0.12 |
| 85 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.68 | -0.86 | 9.13 | 3.37 | -0.37 |
| 86 | Florida State | ACC | 2-4 | 0.33 | 8.97 | 1.67 | 16.12 | 3.2 | -1.2 |
| 87 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.9 | -3.43 | 13.49 | 2.98 | 0.02 |
| 88 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.89 | -2.43 | 10.17 | 3.07 | -0.07 |
| 89 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.88 | -6.29 | 13.15 | 2.5 | 0.5 |
| 90 | Army | FBS Independents | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.7 | -4.14 | 7.51 | 2.65 | 0.35 |
| 91 | Kent State | Mid-American | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.67 | -2 | 5.53 | 3.12 | -0.12 |
| 92 | New Mexico State | Western Athletic | 3-4 | 0.43 | 7.77 | -12.43 | 5.03 | 1.33 | 1.67 |
| 93 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.73 | -3.67 | 12.24 | 2.5 | -0.5 |
| 94 | Purdue | Big Ten | 2-5 | 0.29 | 6.61 | -0.57 | 18.22 | 3.42 | -1.42 |
| 95 | Colorado | Big 12 | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.48 | -4.83 | 18.17 | 2.38 | -0.38 |
| 96 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-5 | 0.29 | 6.47 | -0.71 | 8.2 | 3.33 | -1.33 |
| 97 | Louisville | Big East | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.37 | -6 | 12.08 | 2.16 | -0.16 |
| 98 | Syracuse | Big East | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.36 | -6.5 | 15.15 | 2.14 | -0.14 |
| 99 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 1-4 | 0.2 | 6.26 | 4 | 13.19 | 3 | -2 |
| 100 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.13 | -6 | 6.61 | 2.22 | -0.22 |
| 101 | UAB | Conference USA | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.1 | -9 | 11.59 | 1.97 | 0.03 |
| 102 | UTEP | Conference USA | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.04 | -10.33 | 15.93 | 1.82 | 0.18 |
| 103 | Tulane | Conference USA | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.56 | -18.83 | 13.05 | 0.87 | 1.13 |
| 104 | UNLV | Mountain West | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.1 | -8.86 | 11.74 | 2.34 | -0.34 |
| 105 | Memphis | Conference USA | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.09 | -7.86 | 9.97 | 2.26 | -0.26 |
| 106 | Maryland | ACC | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.92 | -10.86 | 11.45 | 1.99 | 0.01 |
| 107 | Utah State | Western Athletic | 1-5 | 0.17 | 2.59 | -5.17 | 11.34 | 2.4 | -1.4 |
| 108 | Akron | Mid-American | 1-5 | 0.17 | 2.35 | -7.17 | 11.07 | 1.91 | -0.91 |
| 109 | Florida International | Sun Belt | 1-5 | 0.17 | 2.27 | -8.17 | 13.54 | 2.1 | -1.1 |
| 110 | Florida Atlantic | Sun Belt | 1-4 | 0.2 | 2.23 | -13.6 | 14.98 | 1.25 | -0.25 |
| 111 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 1-5 | 0.17 | 2.09 | -10.17 | 10.71 | 1.86 | -0.86 |
| 112 | Illinois | Big Ten | 1-5 | 0.17 | 2.02 | -11.83 | 13.36 | 1.3 | -0.3 |
| 113 | San José State | Western Athletic | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.74 | -17 | 13.93 | 0.94 | 0.06 |
| 114 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.59 | -20.17 | 16.71 | 0.69 | 0.31 |
| 115 | Ball State | Mid-American | 0-7 | 0 | -1.96 | -10.57 | 7.98 | 1.87 | -1.87 |
| 116 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 0-6 | 0 | -2.61 | -21 | 14.5 | 0.59 | -0.59 |
| 117 | Western Kentucky | Sun Belt | 0-6 | 0 | -2.61 | -23.33 | 10.29 | 0.59 | -0.59 |
| 118 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 0-6 | 0 | -2.71 | -23.33 | 15.34 | 0.56 | -0.56 |
| 119 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 0-7 | 0 | -2.79 | -25.29 | 15.93 | 0.34 | -0.34 |
| 120 | Rice | Conference USA | 0-7 | 0 | -2.88 | -29 | 15.04 | 0.56 | -0.56 |