Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:35.064120+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boise State | Western Athletic | 8-0 | 1 | 25.81 | 34.38 | 10.44 | 7.66 | 0.34 |
| 2 | Auburn | SEC | 10-0 | 1 | 25.71 | 17.9 | 12.22 | 7.87 | 2.13 |
| 3 | TCU | Mountain West | 10-0 | 1 | 25.55 | 32.9 | 9.37 | 9.77 | 0.23 |
| 4 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 9-0 | 1 | 25.06 | 37 | 6.44 | 8.42 | 0.58 |
| 5 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.33 | 17.89 | 13.43 | 6.85 | 1.15 |
| 6 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.23 | 28.44 | 10.83 | 8.42 | -0.42 |
| 7 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.88 | 18 | 10.86 | 7.45 | 0.55 |
| 8 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.87 | 12.5 | 11.03 | 7.7 | 1.3 |
| 9 | LSU | SEC | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.74 | 9.11 | 12.96 | 6.68 | 1.32 |
| 10 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.72 | 21.56 | 9.31 | 7.59 | 0.41 |
| 11 | Utah | Mountain West | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.71 | 23.22 | 8.25 | 7.91 | 0.09 |
| 12 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.43 | 16 | 8.94 | 7.25 | 0.75 |
| 13 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.11 | 22.11 | 5.95 | 7.54 | 0.46 |
| 14 | Alabama | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.71 | 19 | 12.17 | 7.98 | -0.98 |
| 15 | Missouri | Big 12 | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.68 | 14.44 | 13.17 | 7.36 | -0.36 |
| 16 | Iowa | Big Ten | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.64 | 18 | 12.85 | 7.86 | -0.86 |
| 17 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.61 | 12.44 | 13.38 | 6.73 | 0.27 |
| 18 | Arkansas | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.29 | 13.67 | 12.1 | 6.83 | 0.17 |
| 19 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.12 | 13.44 | 10.12 | 7.15 | -0.15 |
| 20 | Mississippi State | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.07 | 11.11 | 11.41 | 6.9 | 0.1 |
| 21 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.98 | 15.89 | 9.4 | 7.19 | -0.19 |
| 22 | UCF | Conference USA | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.77 | 15.33 | 8.29 | 7.28 | -0.28 |
| 23 | Temple | Mid-American | 8-2 | 0.8 | 19.76 | 9.9 | 7.39 | 7.43 | 0.57 |
| 24 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.25 | 12 | 5.95 | 6.88 | 0.12 |
| 25 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.21 | 13.56 | 5.32 | 6.95 | 0.05 |
| 26 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.42 | 11.7 | 11.84 | 7.17 | -0.17 |
| 27 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.1 | 7.12 | 5.38 | 5.06 | 0.94 |
| 28 | Florida | SEC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.82 | 11.78 | 13.71 | 6.78 | -0.78 |
| 29 | Baylor | Big 12 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.79 | 7.4 | 9.73 | 6.43 | 0.57 |
| 30 | Florida State | ACC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.69 | 13.89 | 10.69 | 7.01 | -1.01 |
| 31 | NC State | ACC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.65 | 9.89 | 12.19 | 6.32 | -0.32 |
| 32 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.64 | 12.89 | 11.9 | 6.79 | -0.79 |
| 33 | Miami | ACC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.49 | 9 | 12.67 | 6.43 | -0.43 |
| 34 | USC | Pac-10 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.43 | 8 | 12.78 | 5.78 | 0.22 |
| 35 | South Carolina | SEC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.41 | 7.56 | 11.81 | 6.02 | -0.02 |
| 36 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.33 | 7.89 | 12.29 | 5.94 | 0.06 |
| 37 | Ohio | Mid-American | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.11 | 8.9 | 5.1 | 6.98 | 0.02 |
| 38 | Maryland | ACC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.05 | 9.78 | 8.01 | 6.45 | -0.45 |
| 39 | North Carolina | ACC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.05 | 4.33 | 13.22 | 5.43 | 0.57 |
| 40 | Penn State | Big Ten | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.95 | 4.11 | 12.9 | 5.48 | 0.52 |
| 41 | Michigan | Big Ten | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.93 | 5 | 11.61 | 5.23 | 0.77 |
| 42 | Tulsa | Conference USA | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.93 | 11.67 | 7.38 | 6.24 | -0.24 |
| 43 | Navy | FBS Independents | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.84 | 8.11 | 8.64 | 6.12 | -0.12 |
| 44 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.51 | 8.44 | 5.88 | 5.94 | 0.06 |
| 45 | Syracuse | Big East | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.51 | 6.44 | 6.13 | 6.02 | -0.02 |
| 46 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.34 | 4.11 | 6.98 | 5.41 | 0.59 |
| 47 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.33 | 10 | 11.69 | 5.85 | -0.85 |
| 48 | West Virginia | Big East | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.19 | 10.88 | 10.15 | 6.41 | -1.41 |
| 49 | Air Force | Mountain West | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.8 | 8 | 12.88 | 6.73 | -0.73 |
| 50 | South Florida | Big East | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.6 | 6.5 | 8.86 | 5.31 | -0.31 |
| 51 | Toledo | Mid-American | 6-3 | 0.67 | 15.42 | -0.11 | 11.32 | 4.48 | 1.52 |
| 52 | Troy | Sun Belt | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.28 | 4.25 | 8.48 | 4.65 | 0.35 |
| 53 | Illinois | Big Ten | 5-4 | 0.56 | 15.27 | 8.78 | 14.67 | 6.18 | -1.18 |
| 54 | Clemson | ACC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.88 | 8.67 | 12.71 | 6.49 | -1.49 |
| 55 | Houston | Conference USA | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.68 | 11.33 | 8.25 | 6.16 | -1.16 |
| 56 | California | Pac-10 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.62 | 8.67 | 10.37 | 6.23 | -1.23 |
| 57 | Louisville | Big East | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.39 | 7.89 | 9.15 | 6.26 | -1.26 |
| 58 | UTEP | Conference USA | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.38 | 4.9 | 4.13 | 6.19 | -0.19 |
| 59 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.22 | 4.44 | 9.77 | 5.39 | -0.39 |
| 60 | Army | FBS Independents | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.16 | 5.44 | 8.1 | 5.57 | -0.57 |
| 61 | Georgia | SEC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 13.52 | 14.4 | 9.64 | 7.88 | -2.88 |
| 62 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.22 | 0.11 | 13.92 | 4.52 | 0.48 |
| 63 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.93 | 1.75 | 15.92 | 4.31 | -0.31 |
| 64 | UConn | Big East | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.86 | 5.25 | 9.54 | 5.02 | -1.02 |
| 65 | Kentucky | SEC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.79 | 4.6 | 10.41 | 5.84 | -0.84 |
| 66 | Rutgers | Big East | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.31 | 1.75 | 9.74 | 4.39 | -0.39 |
| 67 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 5-4 | 0.56 | 11.9 | -4.89 | 13.84 | 3.83 | 1.17 |
| 68 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.75 | 7.67 | 8.87 | 5.91 | -1.91 |
| 69 | SMU | Conference USA | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.23 | -0.8 | 11.54 | 4.82 | 0.18 |
| 70 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.12 | 1.11 | 15.15 | 4.73 | -0.73 |
| 71 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 5-4 | 0.56 | 11.11 | -7.78 | 10.23 | 2.8 | 2.2 |
| 72 | Virginia | ACC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.82 | 2 | 7.55 | 4.88 | -0.88 |
| 73 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.77 | 1.67 | 10.71 | 4.79 | -0.79 |
| 74 | Kent State | Mid-American | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.52 | 1.22 | 6.91 | 4.81 | -0.81 |
| 75 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.42 | -5.2 | 14.49 | 3.88 | 1.12 |
| 76 | Cincinnati | Big East | 3-5 | 0.38 | 10.08 | 3 | 13.44 | 4.55 | -1.55 |
| 77 | Texas | Big 12 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.93 | -1 | 13.3 | 4.27 | -0.27 |
| 78 | Ole Miss | SEC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.92 | -0.22 | 11.34 | 4.46 | -0.46 |
| 79 | Indiana | Big Ten | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.82 | -0.56 | 10.1 | 4.39 | -0.39 |
| 80 | Idaho | Western Athletic | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.75 | -0.67 | 9.05 | 4.38 | -0.38 |
| 81 | Boston College | ACC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.08 | -2.78 | 12.03 | 3.79 | 0.21 |
| 82 | BYU | Mountain West | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.82 | -4.44 | 12.74 | 3.46 | 0.54 |
| 83 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.68 | -7.78 | 15.96 | 2.88 | 1.12 |
| 84 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 3-6 | 0.33 | 8.4 | 2 | 8.53 | 4.88 | -1.88 |
| 85 | Purdue | Big Ten | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.32 | -10.11 | 11.27 | 2.28 | 1.72 |
| 86 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.08 | -11 | 8.72 | 2.34 | 1.66 |
| 87 | Florida International | Sun Belt | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.45 | -3.38 | 10.55 | 3.38 | -0.38 |
| 88 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.35 | -3.38 | 5.21 | 3.44 | -0.44 |
| 89 | Florida Atlantic | Sun Belt | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.89 | -6.88 | 9.03 | 2.51 | 0.49 |
| 90 | Tennessee | SEC | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.35 | -3.78 | 12.97 | 3.75 | -0.75 |
| 91 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 3-7 | 0.3 | 6.31 | -0.7 | 9.34 | 4.82 | -1.82 |
| 92 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.18 | -6.33 | 13.06 | 3.29 | -0.29 |
| 93 | UAB | Conference USA | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.07 | -6.89 | 12.04 | 3.21 | -0.21 |
| 94 | Colorado | Big 12 | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.04 | -8.78 | 14.82 | 2.78 | 0.22 |
| 95 | Tulane | Conference USA | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.77 | -10 | 11.28 | 2.69 | 0.31 |
| 96 | Washington | Pac-10 | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.76 | -15.11 | 18.11 | 1.96 | 1.04 |
| 97 | Utah State | Western Athletic | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.68 | -9.67 | 12.14 | 2.72 | 0.28 |
| 98 | Marshall | Conference USA | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.58 | -12.33 | 14.34 | 2.07 | 0.93 |
| 99 | Duke | ACC | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.57 | -11.33 | 12.76 | 2.76 | 0.24 |
| 100 | Kansas | Big 12 | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.32 | -14.33 | 10.67 | 1.97 | 1.03 |
| 101 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.9 | -13.5 | 13.45 | 2.17 | 0.83 |
| 102 | Ball State | Mid-American | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.82 | -8 | 4.9 | 3.26 | -0.26 |
| 103 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.44 | -6.11 | 7.75 | 3.16 | -1.16 |
| 104 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.15 | -10.22 | 11.71 | 2.69 | -0.69 |
| 105 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.09 | -13.11 | 14.45 | 1.91 | 0.09 |
| 106 | Wake Forest | ACC | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3 | -13.67 | 12.5 | 2.37 | -0.37 |
| 107 | Rice | Conference USA | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.94 | -15.78 | 14.74 | 2.01 | -0.01 |
| 108 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.92 | -15 | 12.33 | 1.47 | 0.53 |
| 109 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.78 | -17.22 | 10.71 | 1.88 | 0.12 |
| 110 | New Mexico State | Western Athletic | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.63 | -20.44 | 10.28 | 1.07 | 0.93 |
| 111 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.45 | -15.2 | 13.19 | 1.8 | 0.2 |
| 112 | Western Kentucky | Sun Belt | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.47 | -12.22 | 9.72 | 2.34 | -1.34 |
| 113 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 1-9 | 0.1 | 0.24 | -12.5 | 14.8 | 2.51 | -1.51 |
| 114 | San José State | Western Athletic | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.04 | -21.56 | 13.11 | 0.71 | 0.29 |
| 115 | UNLV | Mountain West | 1-8 | 0.11 | -0.02 | -24 | 14.79 | 0.9 | 0.1 |
| 116 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 1-8 | 0.11 | -0.06 | -24.44 | 11.78 | 1.13 | -0.13 |
| 117 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.15 | -20.5 | 14.73 | 1.38 | -0.38 |
| 118 | Memphis | Conference USA | 1-8 | 0.11 | -0.16 | -28.22 | 13.58 | 0.63 | 0.37 |
| 119 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 1-8 | 0.11 | -0.24 | -26.11 | 11.74 | 0.82 | 0.18 |
| 120 | Akron | Mid-American | 0-10 | 0 | -2.58 | -23.7 | 11.12 | 0.97 | -0.97 |