Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:35.064514+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Auburn | SEC | 11-0 | 1 | 25.67 | 17.91 | 12.77 | 8.61 | 2.39 |
| 2 | Boise State | Western Athletic | 9-0 | 1 | 25.58 | 34.78 | 9.76 | 8.62 | 0.38 |
| 3 | TCU | Mountain West | 11-0 | 1 | 25.44 | 30.36 | 9.62 | 10.55 | 0.45 |
| 4 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 10-0 | 1 | 25.11 | 33.5 | 7.69 | 9.28 | 0.72 |
| 5 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 9-1 | 0.9 | 23.44 | 17.8 | 13.36 | 7.67 | 1.33 |
| 6 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 9-1 | 0.9 | 23.41 | 28 | 11.31 | 9.34 | -0.34 |
| 7 | LSU | SEC | 9-1 | 0.9 | 23.05 | 13.3 | 12.51 | 8.23 | 0.77 |
| 8 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.77 | 19.8 | 9.28 | 8.36 | 0.64 |
| 9 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.72 | 12.5 | 10.83 | 7.7 | 1.3 |
| 10 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.71 | 17.9 | 9.3 | 8.42 | 0.58 |
| 11 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.69 | 20.7 | 8.69 | 8.47 | 0.53 |
| 12 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.36 | 20 | 7.03 | 8.13 | 0.87 |
| 13 | Alabama | SEC | 8-2 | 0.8 | 21.2 | 19.1 | 13.72 | 8.91 | -0.91 |
| 14 | Missouri | Big 12 | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.91 | 14 | 13.33 | 8.01 | -0.01 |
| 15 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.86 | 15 | 12.72 | 7.9 | 0.1 |
| 16 | Arkansas | SEC | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.79 | 16 | 12.05 | 7.86 | 0.14 |
| 17 | Utah | Mountain West | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.46 | 18.4 | 8.63 | 8.34 | -0.34 |
| 18 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.45 | 15.9 | 10.06 | 8.08 | -0.08 |
| 19 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 8-2 | 0.8 | 19.81 | 14.3 | 6.62 | 7.84 | 0.16 |
| 20 | Temple | Mid-American | 8-2 | 0.8 | 19.69 | 9.9 | 7.35 | 7.43 | 0.57 |
| 21 | Iowa | Big Ten | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.72 | 15.8 | 13.07 | 8.46 | -1.46 |
| 22 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.35 | 12.8 | 12.49 | 7.47 | -0.47 |
| 23 | Miami | ACC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.24 | 10.6 | 12.68 | 7.48 | -0.48 |
| 24 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.19 | 11.7 | 11.53 | 7.17 | -0.17 |
| 25 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.18 | 11.8 | 10.8 | 7.67 | -0.67 |
| 26 | Florida State | ACC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.14 | 12.8 | 10.94 | 7.71 | -0.71 |
| 27 | NC State | ACC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.13 | 12.4 | 11.06 | 7.53 | -0.53 |
| 28 | Mississippi State | SEC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.12 | 8 | 12.39 | 7.03 | -0.03 |
| 29 | South Carolina | SEC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.12 | 9 | 12.68 | 6.99 | 0.01 |
| 30 | USC | Pac-10 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.03 | 7.5 | 12.94 | 6.38 | 0.62 |
| 31 | UCF | Conference USA | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.91 | 12.8 | 8.56 | 7.67 | -0.67 |
| 32 | Maryland | ACC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.74 | 10.7 | 9.13 | 7.29 | -0.29 |
| 33 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.69 | 11.7 | 7.63 | 7.32 | -0.32 |
| 34 | Michigan | Big Ten | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.57 | 5.6 | 11.1 | 5.94 | 1.06 |
| 35 | Tulsa | Conference USA | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.5 | 10.8 | 7.4 | 6.84 | 0.16 |
| 36 | Navy | FBS Independents | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.3 | 7.4 | 7.82 | 6.58 | 0.42 |
| 37 | West Virginia | Big East | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.29 | 12.67 | 10.04 | 7.48 | -1.48 |
| 38 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.25 | 8.6 | 6.78 | 6.65 | 0.35 |
| 39 | Ohio | Mid-American | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.07 | 8.9 | 5.15 | 6.98 | 0.02 |
| 40 | Syracuse | Big East | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.03 | 6.1 | 6.81 | 6.68 | 0.32 |
| 41 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 7-3 | 0.7 | 16.95 | 4.1 | 8.12 | 6.02 | 0.98 |
| 42 | South Florida | Big East | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.69 | 6.11 | 9.41 | 5.89 | 0.11 |
| 43 | Air Force | Mountain West | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.59 | 9.55 | 11.36 | 7.68 | -0.68 |
| 44 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.53 | 6.22 | 7.23 | 5.54 | 0.46 |
| 45 | Baylor | Big 12 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.21 | 5.64 | 10.38 | 6.69 | 0.31 |
| 46 | Florida | SEC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 16.07 | 8.4 | 14.34 | 6.88 | -0.88 |
| 47 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.66 | 6.1 | 12.88 | 6.24 | -0.24 |
| 48 | North Carolina | ACC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.09 | 2.3 | 13.2 | 5.57 | 0.43 |
| 49 | Army | FBS Independents | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.01 | 6.6 | 8.15 | 6.38 | -0.38 |
| 50 | Penn State | Big Ten | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.82 | 1.3 | 13.36 | 5.34 | 0.66 |
| 51 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.82 | 8.67 | 11.65 | 6.3 | -1.3 |
| 52 | UConn | Big East | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.13 | 4.89 | 10.21 | 5.55 | -0.55 |
| 53 | Kentucky | SEC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.99 | 5.82 | 9.98 | 6.68 | -0.68 |
| 54 | Troy | Sun Belt | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.47 | 1.89 | 8.05 | 4.81 | 0.19 |
| 55 | Illinois | Big Ten | 5-5 | 0.5 | 13.47 | 7.5 | 12.83 | 6.56 | -1.56 |
| 56 | Clemson | ACC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 13.46 | 7.5 | 12.94 | 7 | -2 |
| 57 | California | Pac-10 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 13.31 | 7.6 | 11.4 | 6.77 | -1.77 |
| 58 | Houston | Conference USA | 5-5 | 0.5 | 13.24 | 9.9 | 8.96 | 6.66 | -1.66 |
| 59 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 5-5 | 0.5 | 13.11 | 3.5 | 16.11 | 5.84 | -0.84 |
| 60 | Louisville | Big East | 5-5 | 0.5 | 13.06 | 6.8 | 9.77 | 6.71 | -1.71 |
| 61 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 6-4 | 0.6 | 12.85 | -3.2 | 13.62 | 4.52 | 1.48 |
| 62 | Toledo | Mid-American | 6-4 | 0.6 | 12.76 | -3.6 | 11.67 | 4.23 | 1.77 |
| 63 | UTEP | Conference USA | 6-5 | 0.55 | 12.7 | 1.09 | 5.34 | 5.78 | 0.22 |
| 64 | Georgia | SEC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 12.41 | 11.45 | 11.12 | 8.02 | -3.02 |
| 65 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.25 | 1.5 | 10.35 | 5.34 | -0.34 |
| 66 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 6-4 | 0.6 | 11.95 | -6.7 | 9.34 | 3.35 | 2.65 |
| 67 | BYU | Mountain West | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.37 | -0.1 | 11.91 | 4.97 | 0.03 |
| 68 | SMU | Conference USA | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.08 | -0.8 | 11.62 | 4.82 | 0.18 |
| 69 | Rutgers | Big East | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.79 | 1.22 | 10.64 | 4.83 | -0.83 |
| 70 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 10.76 | 6.5 | 10.08 | 6.4 | -2.4 |
| 71 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.6 | -3.7 | 13.74 | 4.28 | 0.72 |
| 72 | Boston College | ACC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.52 | -2 | 10.75 | 4.42 | 0.58 |
| 73 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.25 | -0.33 | 14.06 | 4.43 | -0.43 |
| 74 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 4-6 | 0.4 | 10 | 3.3 | 7.69 | 5.67 | -1.67 |
| 75 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 4-6 | 0.4 | 9.81 | 1.4 | 9.42 | 5.27 | -1.27 |
| 76 | Tennessee | SEC | 4-6 | 0.4 | 9.41 | 0.4 | 12.31 | 5.09 | -1.09 |
| 77 | Florida International | Sun Belt | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.4 | -1.11 | 10.83 | 4.29 | -0.29 |
| 78 | Virginia | ACC | 4-6 | 0.4 | 9.03 | -0.1 | 8.64 | 4.98 | -0.98 |
| 79 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.96 | -6.55 | 13.45 | 3.95 | 1.05 |
| 80 | Kent State | Mid-American | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.7 | -0.6 | 8.19 | 4.84 | -0.84 |
| 81 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.66 | -7.78 | 15.25 | 2.88 | 1.12 |
| 82 | Texas | Big 12 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.43 | -2.6 | 13.96 | 4.33 | -0.33 |
| 83 | Florida Atlantic | Sun Belt | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.32 | -6 | 8.61 | 3.04 | 0.96 |
| 84 | Ole Miss | SEC | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.97 | -4 | 10.56 | 4.28 | -0.28 |
| 85 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.96 | -3.6 | 12.14 | 4.23 | -0.23 |
| 86 | Idaho | Western Athletic | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.88 | -4.4 | 10.13 | 4.12 | -0.12 |
| 87 | Colorado | Big 12 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.74 | -5.9 | 13.95 | 3.67 | 0.33 |
| 88 | Indiana | Big Ten | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.67 | -6.8 | 11.35 | 3.69 | 0.31 |
| 89 | Cincinnati | Big East | 3-6 | 0.33 | 7.61 | -0.33 | 13.35 | 4.43 | -1.43 |
| 90 | Purdue | Big Ten | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.34 | -10.2 | 11.58 | 2.51 | 1.49 |
| 91 | Marshall | Conference USA | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.33 | -9.6 | 12.82 | 2.79 | 1.21 |
| 92 | Utah State | Western Athletic | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.31 | -8.3 | 10.61 | 3.33 | 0.67 |
| 93 | Tulane | Conference USA | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.28 | -8.5 | 10.31 | 3.39 | 0.61 |
| 94 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.01 | -15 | 10.7 | 1.91 | 2.09 |
| 95 | Ball State | Mid-American | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.33 | -5.73 | 4.54 | 4.03 | -0.03 |
| 96 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.1 | -3.67 | 4.96 | 3.79 | -0.79 |
| 97 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 3-8 | 0.27 | 5.74 | -0.73 | 9.96 | 5.3 | -2.3 |
| 98 | Washington | Pac-10 | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.65 | -15.11 | 17.58 | 1.96 | 1.04 |
| 99 | UAB | Conference USA | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.3 | -7.4 | 12.8 | 3.57 | -0.57 |
| 100 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.27 | -4.9 | 8.3 | 3.78 | -0.78 |
| 101 | Duke | ACC | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.99 | -10.7 | 11.91 | 3.09 | -0.09 |
| 102 | Kansas | Big 12 | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.75 | -14.6 | 11.55 | 2 | 1 |
| 103 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.05 | -15.82 | 12.8 | 2.02 | 0.98 |
| 104 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.76 | -9.5 | 12.25 | 3.08 | -1.08 |
| 105 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.55 | -13.6 | 14.36 | 2.09 | -0.09 |
| 106 | Western Kentucky | Sun Belt | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.5 | -10.9 | 10.05 | 2.88 | -0.88 |
| 107 | Rice | Conference USA | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.46 | -14.7 | 13.03 | 2.53 | -0.53 |
| 108 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.41 | -15.2 | 11.56 | 1.48 | 0.52 |
| 109 | Wake Forest | ACC | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.41 | -15.8 | 13.08 | 2.24 | -0.24 |
| 110 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.37 | -15.6 | 10.81 | 2.25 | -0.25 |
| 111 | New Mexico State | Western Athletic | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.16 | -20.5 | 10.42 | 1.22 | 0.78 |
| 112 | UNLV | Mountain West | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.14 | -19 | 13.47 | 1.57 | 0.43 |
| 113 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.12 | -11 | 14.49 | 3.11 | -1.11 |
| 114 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.91 | -16.18 | 12.09 | 1.86 | 0.14 |
| 115 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.78 | -17.09 | 14.35 | 1.96 | 0.04 |
| 116 | San José State | Western Athletic | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.12 | -19.8 | 12.02 | 1.11 | -0.11 |
| 117 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.25 | -23.5 | 11.45 | 1.4 | -0.4 |
| 118 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.33 | -26 | 12.03 | 0.97 | 0.03 |
| 119 | Memphis | Conference USA | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.36 | -26.9 | 12.81 | 0.74 | 0.26 |
| 120 | Akron | Mid-American | 0-10 | 0 | -2.56 | -23.7 | 10.9 | 0.97 | -0.97 |