Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:35.065299+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Auburn | SEC | 12-0 | 1 | 25.46 | 16.5 | 12.93 | 9.22 | 2.78 |
| 2 | TCU | Mountain West | 12-0 | 1 | 25.13 | 31.92 | 8.84 | 11.51 | 0.49 |
| 3 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 11-0 | 1 | 25.12 | 32.18 | 8.8 | 10.09 | 0.91 |
| 4 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.78 | 26.08 | 12.03 | 11.15 | -0.15 |
| 5 | Boise State | Western Athletic | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.68 | 32.82 | 11.34 | 10.44 | -0.44 |
| 6 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.24 | 22.5 | 9.79 | 10.48 | 0.52 |
| 7 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.17 | 22.83 | 9.34 | 10.26 | 0.74 |
| 8 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 11-1 | 0.92 | 22.98 | 11.25 | 11.14 | 8.9 | 2.1 |
| 9 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 11-1 | 0.92 | 22.84 | 20.75 | 7.97 | 9.9 | 1.1 |
| 10 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.68 | 15.42 | 14.29 | 9.34 | 0.66 |
| 11 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.55 | 17.17 | 12.47 | 9.1 | 0.9 |
| 12 | Arkansas | SEC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.42 | 14.58 | 12.96 | 9.17 | 0.83 |
| 13 | Missouri | Big 12 | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.28 | 15.17 | 11.92 | 10.05 | -0.05 |
| 14 | LSU | SEC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.23 | 11 | 12.6 | 9.1 | 0.9 |
| 15 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.05 | 16.92 | 10.07 | 9.94 | 0.06 |
| 16 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.02 | 17 | 9.88 | 10.08 | -0.08 |
| 17 | Utah | Mountain West | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.96 | 15.75 | 9.88 | 9.6 | 0.4 |
| 18 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.48 | 20.75 | 5.88 | 10.27 | -0.27 |
| 19 | Alabama | SEC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.82 | 20.5 | 12.49 | 10.72 | -1.72 |
| 20 | South Carolina | SEC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.5 | 13.08 | 13.08 | 9.19 | -0.19 |
| 21 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.44 | 11.5 | 13.31 | 8.92 | 0.08 |
| 22 | Florida State | ACC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.36 | 13.83 | 11.93 | 9.55 | -0.55 |
| 23 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.1 | 15.5 | 9.64 | 9.28 | -0.28 |
| 24 | UCF | Conference USA | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.79 | 16.25 | 7.42 | 9.76 | -0.76 |
| 25 | West Virginia | Big East | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.72 | 13.27 | 11.01 | 9.3 | -1.3 |
| 26 | Tulsa | Conference USA | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.63 | 9.75 | 8.8 | 7.93 | 1.07 |
| 27 | Navy | FBS Independents | 8-3 | 0.73 | 17.99 | 8.18 | 8.21 | 7.41 | 0.59 |
| 28 | NC State | ACC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.34 | 10.08 | 11.78 | 8.48 | -0.48 |
| 29 | Air Force | Mountain West | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.12 | 10 | 10.61 | 8.48 | -0.48 |
| 30 | Mississippi State | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.07 | 6.75 | 12.43 | 7.96 | 0.04 |
| 31 | Maryland | ACC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.03 | 8.33 | 11.04 | 8.15 | -0.15 |
| 32 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.98 | 12.25 | 8.69 | 8.82 | -0.82 |
| 33 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.72 | 8.17 | 8.31 | 7.69 | 0.31 |
| 34 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.54 | 9 | 11.5 | 7.71 | -0.71 |
| 35 | Temple | Mid-American | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.51 | 5.92 | 8.31 | 7.86 | 0.14 |
| 36 | Ohio | Mid-American | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.29 | 6.25 | 6.4 | 7.74 | 0.26 |
| 37 | UConn | Big East | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.09 | 7.45 | 9.78 | 7.46 | -0.46 |
| 38 | South Florida | Big East | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.83 | 4.64 | 10.23 | 6.86 | 0.14 |
| 39 | Iowa | Big Ten | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.51 | 12.67 | 12.22 | 9.54 | -2.54 |
| 40 | Florida | SEC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.28 | 8.17 | 12.99 | 8.22 | -1.22 |
| 41 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.25 | 5.25 | 16.17 | 7.58 | -0.58 |
| 42 | Miami | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.19 | 7.42 | 12.83 | 8.17 | -1.17 |
| 43 | Toledo | Mid-American | 8-4 | 0.67 | 14.85 | -0.5 | 10.42 | 5.87 | 2.13 |
| 44 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 7-4 | 0.64 | 14.75 | 0.73 | 9 | 5.66 | 1.34 |
| 45 | USC | Pac-10 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.69 | 3.5 | 12.81 | 6.84 | 0.16 |
| 46 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.64 | 5.08 | 11.03 | 7.15 | -0.15 |
| 47 | Illinois | Big Ten | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.54 | 8.73 | 12.73 | 7.42 | -1.42 |
| 48 | Penn State | Big Ten | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.36 | 2 | 12.87 | 6.6 | 0.4 |
| 49 | Baylor | Big 12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.31 | 2.75 | 11.33 | 6.62 | 0.38 |
| 50 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.24 | 5.45 | 12.52 | 6.99 | -0.99 |
| 51 | North Carolina | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.22 | 2 | 12.32 | 6.59 | 0.41 |
| 52 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.07 | 1.75 | 11.78 | 6.4 | 0.6 |
| 53 | Syracuse | Big East | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.98 | 2.92 | 7.58 | 7.05 | -0.05 |
| 54 | Michigan | Big Ten | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.81 | 0.5 | 12.67 | 6.1 | 0.9 |
| 55 | SMU | Conference USA | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.79 | 1.08 | 11.21 | 6.28 | 0.72 |
| 56 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 8-4 | 0.67 | 13.78 | -3.5 | 8.62 | 4.87 | 3.13 |
| 57 | Army | FBS Independents | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.49 | 3.82 | 8.23 | 6.43 | -0.43 |
| 58 | Georgia | SEC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 13.41 | 11.17 | 11.68 | 8.62 | -2.62 |
| 59 | Clemson | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 13.16 | 6.08 | 12.53 | 8.01 | -2.01 |
| 60 | Florida International | Sun Belt | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.08 | 1.64 | 9.27 | 5.89 | 0.11 |
| 61 | Louisville | Big East | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.95 | 7.33 | 10.18 | 8.24 | -2.24 |
| 62 | Boston College | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 12.81 | -0.58 | 10.86 | 5.78 | 1.22 |
| 63 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.77 | 8.5 | 7.52 | 8.08 | -2.08 |
| 64 | Kentucky | SEC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.63 | 4.5 | 9.31 | 7.03 | -1.03 |
| 65 | BYU | Mountain West | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.54 | 2.58 | 11.91 | 6.8 | -0.8 |
| 66 | Tennessee | SEC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.34 | 2.33 | 11.4 | 6.64 | -0.64 |
| 67 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 7-5 | 0.58 | 12.23 | -2.25 | 9.22 | 5.4 | 1.6 |
| 68 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.99 | 1.42 | 9.36 | 6.37 | -0.37 |
| 69 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.83 | 7.82 | 9.86 | 7.24 | -2.24 |
| 70 | Troy | Sun Belt | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.62 | -1.27 | 8.7 | 5.25 | 0.75 |
| 71 | UTEP | Conference USA | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.42 | 0.75 | 6.51 | 6.21 | -0.21 |
| 72 | Houston | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 10.98 | 5.5 | 9.66 | 7.11 | -2.11 |
| 73 | California | Pac-10 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 10.84 | 3.25 | 11.99 | 6.95 | -1.95 |
| 74 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.15 | -5.25 | 12.97 | 5.09 | 0.91 |
| 75 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.05 | -1.09 | 14.44 | 5.22 | -0.22 |
| 76 | Texas | Big 12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.84 | 0.08 | 13.06 | 6.02 | -1.02 |
| 77 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.24 | -0.73 | 4.32 | 5.33 | -0.33 |
| 78 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.19 | -2.64 | 10.93 | 4.91 | 0.09 |
| 79 | Cincinnati | Big East | 4-7 | 0.36 | 8.78 | 0.64 | 12.77 | 5.65 | -1.65 |
| 80 | Idaho | Western Athletic | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.67 | -2.08 | 10.36 | 5.47 | -0.47 |
| 81 | Kent State | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.63 | -1.58 | 9.21 | 5.49 | -0.49 |
| 82 | Washington | Pac-10 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.6 | -10.55 | 15.89 | 3.03 | 1.97 |
| 83 | Colorado | Big 12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.17 | -6.58 | 13.59 | 4.33 | 0.67 |
| 84 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.07 | -7.17 | 13.53 | 4.04 | 0.96 |
| 85 | Indiana | Big Ten | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.88 | -6.83 | 10.8 | 4.44 | 0.56 |
| 86 | Marshall | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.86 | -7.92 | 12.19 | 3.82 | 1.18 |
| 87 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.5 | -11.58 | 9.46 | 3.12 | 1.88 |
| 88 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 4-8 | 0.33 | 7.05 | -0.75 | 9.64 | 5.82 | -1.82 |
| 89 | Rutgers | Big East | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.94 | -4.27 | 10.8 | 4.33 | -0.33 |
| 90 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.48 | -9.82 | 13.37 | 3.14 | 0.86 |
| 91 | Virginia | ACC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.42 | -2.92 | 9.47 | 5.23 | -1.23 |
| 92 | Utah State | Western Athletic | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.32 | -9.55 | 10.45 | 3.34 | 0.66 |
| 93 | Ole Miss | SEC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.25 | -4.58 | 12.21 | 5.02 | -1.02 |
| 94 | Florida Atlantic | Sun Belt | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.24 | -10.18 | 9.06 | 2.8 | 1.2 |
| 95 | UAB | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.08 | -5.25 | 10.62 | 4.73 | -0.73 |
| 96 | Purdue | Big Ten | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.78 | -9.08 | 12.31 | 3.47 | 0.53 |
| 97 | Rice | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.62 | -9.83 | 11.85 | 3.98 | 0.02 |
| 98 | Ball State | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.49 | -8.42 | 5.24 | 3.8 | 0.2 |
| 99 | Tulane | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.47 | -12.25 | 10.05 | 3.35 | 0.65 |
| 100 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.97 | -1.58 | 10.82 | 5.55 | -2.55 |
| 101 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.13 | -5.75 | 8.64 | 4.5 | -1.5 |
| 102 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.85 | -9.83 | 14.38 | 3.62 | -0.62 |
| 103 | Duke | ACC | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.84 | -10.17 | 12.12 | 3.72 | -0.72 |
| 104 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.73 | -11.17 | 11.49 | 3.02 | -0.02 |
| 105 | Wake Forest | ACC | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.59 | -13.08 | 12.65 | 3.05 | -0.05 |
| 106 | Kansas | Big 12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.46 | -17.33 | 12.76 | 1.92 | 1.08 |
| 107 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.43 | -14.67 | 10.05 | 2.79 | 0.21 |
| 108 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.41 | -18.17 | 12.63 | 1.76 | 1.24 |
| 109 | Western Kentucky | Sun Belt | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.94 | -10.33 | 9.68 | 3.51 | -1.51 |
| 110 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.85 | -17.09 | 13.74 | 1.96 | 0.04 |
| 111 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.85 | -12.33 | 11.62 | 3.03 | -1.03 |
| 112 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.76 | -14.25 | 13.18 | 2.28 | -0.28 |
| 113 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.74 | -13.67 | 9.48 | 2.01 | -0.01 |
| 114 | UNLV | Mountain West | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.52 | -19.92 | 14.37 | 1.77 | 0.23 |
| 115 | New Mexico State | Western Athletic | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.35 | -23.83 | 11.27 | 1.21 | 0.79 |
| 116 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.31 | -24.92 | 11.36 | 1.45 | 0.55 |
| 117 | San José State | Western Athletic | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.58 | -19.92 | 11.81 | 1.48 | -0.48 |
| 118 | Akron | Mid-American | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.64 | -19.5 | 10.07 | 1.53 | -0.53 |
| 119 | Memphis | Conference USA | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.77 | -25.42 | 12.46 | 0.99 | 0.01 |
| 120 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.86 | -28.5 | 12.76 | 0.96 | 0.04 |