Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:35.066905+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Auburn | SEC | 13-0 | 1 | 25.23 | 18.23 | 12.59 | 10.26 | 2.74 |
| 2 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 12-0 | 1 | 24.84 | 30.92 | 8.68 | 10.94 | 1.06 |
| 3 | TCU | Mountain West | 12-0 | 1 | 24.81 | 31.92 | 8.41 | 11.51 | 0.49 |
| 4 | Boise State | Western Athletic | 12-1 | 0.92 | 23.62 | 32.31 | 11.45 | 12.38 | -0.38 |
| 5 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.43 | 26.08 | 11.29 | 11.15 | -0.15 |
| 6 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 11-1 | 0.92 | 22.97 | 22.5 | 9.45 | 10.48 | 0.52 |
| 7 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 11-1 | 0.92 | 22.9 | 22.83 | 8.98 | 10.26 | 0.74 |
| 8 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 11-1 | 0.92 | 22.63 | 11.25 | 10.33 | 8.9 | 2.1 |
| 9 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 12-1 | 0.92 | 22.57 | 20.54 | 7.62 | 10.74 | 1.26 |
| 10 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.87 | 14.46 | 14.05 | 9.99 | 1.01 |
| 11 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.35 | 17.17 | 12.92 | 9.1 | 0.9 |
| 12 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.28 | 16.46 | 10.05 | 10.58 | 0.42 |
| 13 | Arkansas | SEC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.13 | 14.58 | 12.32 | 9.17 | 0.83 |
| 14 | Missouri | Big 12 | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.09 | 15.17 | 11.92 | 10.05 | -0.05 |
| 15 | LSU | SEC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.93 | 11 | 12.38 | 9.1 | 0.9 |
| 16 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 11-3 | 0.79 | 19.57 | 19.07 | 7.1 | 11.75 | -0.75 |
| 17 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.54 | 15.46 | 10.65 | 10.66 | -0.66 |
| 18 | Alabama | SEC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.49 | 20.5 | 11.92 | 10.72 | -1.72 |
| 19 | Utah | Mountain West | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.46 | 12.77 | 10.8 | 9.89 | 0.11 |
| 20 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.23 | 11.5 | 13.05 | 8.92 | 0.08 |
| 21 | UCF | Conference USA | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.06 | 15.77 | 7.48 | 10.61 | -0.61 |
| 22 | Tulsa | Conference USA | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.03 | 11.08 | 9.02 | 8.8 | 1.2 |
| 23 | West Virginia | Big East | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.94 | 13.92 | 10.17 | 10.22 | -1.22 |
| 24 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 10-4 | 0.71 | 17.95 | 14.07 | 9.2 | 10.35 | -0.35 |
| 25 | South Carolina | SEC | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.8 | 9.08 | 13.89 | 8.94 | 0.06 |
| 26 | Florida State | ACC | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.78 | 11.92 | 12.35 | 9.79 | -0.79 |
| 27 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.38 | 12.92 | 9.21 | 9.73 | -0.73 |
| 28 | NC State | ACC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.08 | 10.08 | 11.45 | 8.48 | -0.48 |
| 29 | Air Force | Mountain West | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.95 | 10 | 10.47 | 8.48 | -0.48 |
| 30 | Navy | FBS Independents | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.94 | 6.38 | 9.08 | 8.32 | 0.68 |
| 31 | Maryland | ACC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.85 | 8.33 | 10.71 | 8.15 | -0.15 |
| 32 | Mississippi State | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.83 | 6.75 | 11.68 | 7.96 | 0.04 |
| 33 | UConn | Big East | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.54 | 7.08 | 9.26 | 8.08 | -0.08 |
| 34 | Temple | Mid-American | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.28 | 5.92 | 8.17 | 7.86 | 0.14 |
| 35 | USC | Pac-10 | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.45 | 4.31 | 12.06 | 7.64 | 0.36 |
| 36 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.38 | 7.31 | 8.4 | 8.16 | -0.16 |
| 37 | Iowa | Big Ten | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.22 | 12.67 | 11.57 | 9.54 | -2.54 |
| 38 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.11 | 5.25 | 15.87 | 7.58 | -0.58 |
| 39 | Florida | SEC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.03 | 8.17 | 12.61 | 8.22 | -1.22 |
| 40 | Troy | Sun Belt | 8-5 | 0.62 | 14.97 | 3.85 | 8.73 | 7.42 | 0.58 |
| 41 | Miami | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.93 | 7.42 | 12.29 | 8.17 | -1.17 |
| 42 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.85 | 8.17 | 11.06 | 8.18 | -1.18 |
| 43 | Ohio | Mid-American | 8-5 | 0.62 | 14.8 | 3.69 | 7.54 | 7.6 | 0.4 |
| 44 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.78 | 6.5 | 11.85 | 7.95 | -0.95 |
| 45 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.45 | 5.08 | 10.36 | 7.15 | -0.15 |
| 46 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 9-4 | 0.69 | 14.28 | -2.85 | 8.87 | 5.51 | 3.49 |
| 47 | South Florida | Big East | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.23 | 4 | 9.78 | 7.31 | -0.31 |
| 48 | Baylor | Big 12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.16 | 2.75 | 11.2 | 6.62 | 0.38 |
| 49 | Penn State | Big Ten | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.1 | 2 | 12.2 | 6.6 | 0.4 |
| 50 | North Carolina | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.97 | 2 | 11.09 | 6.59 | 0.41 |
| 51 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.94 | 1.75 | 11.35 | 6.4 | 0.6 |
| 52 | Syracuse | Big East | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.8 | 2.92 | 7.7 | 7.05 | -0.05 |
| 53 | Louisville | Big East | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.66 | 7 | 9.66 | 8.77 | -1.77 |
| 54 | BYU | Mountain West | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.61 | 4.54 | 11.67 | 7.94 | -0.94 |
| 55 | Michigan | Big Ten | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.57 | 0.5 | 12.4 | 6.1 | 0.9 |
| 56 | Toledo | Mid-American | 8-5 | 0.62 | 13.55 | -0.62 | 9.92 | 6.33 | 1.67 |
| 57 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 8-5 | 0.62 | 13.32 | -1 | 9.67 | 6.24 | 1.76 |
| 58 | Georgia | SEC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 13.29 | 11.17 | 11.34 | 8.62 | -2.62 |
| 59 | Illinois | Big Ten | 6-6 | 0.5 | 13.14 | 7.83 | 12.29 | 7.92 | -1.92 |
| 60 | Clemson | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.95 | 6.08 | 12.18 | 8.01 | -2.01 |
| 61 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.83 | 7.25 | 9.81 | 7.76 | -1.76 |
| 62 | Florida International | Sun Belt | 7-6 | 0.54 | 12.75 | 1.46 | 9.72 | 6.9 | 0.1 |
| 63 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.73 | 8.5 | 7.77 | 8.08 | -2.08 |
| 64 | Boston College | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 12.7 | -0.58 | 10.62 | 5.78 | 1.22 |
| 65 | Kentucky | SEC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.47 | 4.5 | 9.39 | 7.03 | -1.03 |
| 66 | SMU | Conference USA | 7-6 | 0.54 | 12.43 | 0.23 | 11.66 | 6.57 | 0.43 |
| 67 | Tennessee | SEC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.2 | 2.33 | 10.61 | 6.64 | -0.64 |
| 68 | Army | FBS Independents | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.02 | 2.33 | 8.78 | 6.63 | -0.63 |
| 69 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 7-5 | 0.58 | 11.98 | -2.25 | 8.98 | 5.4 | 1.6 |
| 70 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.82 | 1.42 | 9.27 | 6.37 | -0.37 |
| 71 | Houston | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 10.82 | 5.5 | 9.39 | 7.11 | -2.11 |
| 72 | California | Pac-10 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 10.66 | 3.25 | 11.47 | 6.95 | -1.95 |
| 73 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.42 | -0.58 | 5.08 | 5.85 | 0.15 |
| 74 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.01 | -5.25 | 13 | 5.09 | 0.91 |
| 75 | Washington | Pac-10 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.69 | -9.08 | 13.75 | 3.68 | 2.32 |
| 76 | Texas | Big 12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.69 | 0.08 | 12.76 | 6.02 | -1.02 |
| 77 | Idaho | Western Athletic | 6-7 | 0.46 | 9.48 | -1.69 | 9.25 | 6.03 | -0.03 |
| 78 | UTEP | Conference USA | 6-7 | 0.46 | 9.38 | -1.46 | 7.01 | 6.08 | -0.08 |
| 79 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.8 | -2.42 | 15 | 5.33 | -0.33 |
| 80 | Kent State | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.61 | -1.58 | 9.05 | 5.49 | -0.49 |
| 81 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.28 | -3.92 | 11.58 | 5.04 | -0.04 |
| 82 | Colorado | Big 12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.06 | -6.58 | 13.62 | 4.33 | 0.67 |
| 83 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.97 | -7.17 | 13.16 | 4.04 | 0.96 |
| 84 | Indiana | Big Ten | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.8 | -6.83 | 9.89 | 4.44 | 0.56 |
| 85 | Marshall | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.8 | -7.92 | 11.45 | 3.82 | 1.18 |
| 86 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.42 | -11.58 | 9.71 | 3.12 | 1.88 |
| 87 | Cincinnati | Big East | 4-8 | 0.33 | 7.05 | -0.92 | 12.83 | 5.76 | -1.76 |
| 88 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.98 | -0.75 | 10.31 | 5.82 | -1.82 |
| 89 | Virginia | ACC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.29 | -2.92 | 9.18 | 5.23 | -1.23 |
| 90 | Ole Miss | SEC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.15 | -4.58 | 11.88 | 5.02 | -1.02 |
| 91 | UAB | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.01 | -5.25 | 10.8 | 4.73 | -0.73 |
| 92 | Rutgers | Big East | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.96 | -5.67 | 10.97 | 4.33 | -0.33 |
| 93 | Purdue | Big Ten | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.69 | -9.08 | 12.08 | 3.47 | 0.53 |
| 94 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.65 | -10.17 | 13.08 | 3.3 | 0.7 |
| 95 | Rice | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.58 | -9.83 | 10.98 | 3.98 | 0.02 |
| 96 | Utah State | Western Athletic | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.49 | -11.75 | 11.66 | 3.19 | 0.81 |
| 97 | Ball State | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.44 | -8.42 | 5.33 | 3.8 | 0.2 |
| 98 | Tulane | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.36 | -12.25 | 9.54 | 3.35 | 0.65 |
| 99 | Florida Atlantic | Sun Belt | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.35 | -12.42 | 9.48 | 2.55 | 1.45 |
| 100 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.89 | -1.58 | 10.67 | 5.55 | -2.55 |
| 101 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.08 | -5.75 | 8.96 | 4.5 | -1.5 |
| 102 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.86 | -9.83 | 13.74 | 3.62 | -0.62 |
| 103 | Duke | ACC | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.78 | -10.17 | 11.8 | 3.72 | -0.72 |
| 104 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.69 | -11.17 | 11.21 | 3.02 | -0.02 |
| 105 | Wake Forest | ACC | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.61 | -13.08 | 12.3 | 3.05 | -0.05 |
| 106 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.46 | -14.67 | 9.9 | 2.79 | 0.21 |
| 107 | Kansas | Big 12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.4 | -17.33 | 12.15 | 1.92 | 1.08 |
| 108 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.37 | -18.17 | 12.62 | 1.76 | 1.24 |
| 109 | Western Kentucky | Sun Belt | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.92 | -10.33 | 9.89 | 3.51 | -1.51 |
| 110 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.82 | -12.33 | 11.92 | 3.03 | -1.03 |
| 111 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.73 | -14.25 | 12.73 | 2.28 | -0.28 |
| 112 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.71 | -13.67 | 9.42 | 2.01 | -0.01 |
| 113 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.62 | -16.25 | 12.49 | 2.31 | -0.31 |
| 114 | New Mexico State | Western Athletic | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.32 | -23.83 | 10.88 | 1.21 | 0.79 |
| 115 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.29 | -24.92 | 10.99 | 1.45 | 0.55 |
| 116 | UNLV | Mountain West | 2-11 | 0.15 | 0.98 | -21.31 | 14.82 | 1.81 | 0.19 |
| 117 | San José State | Western Athletic | 1-12 | 0.08 | -0.53 | -18.62 | 11.29 | 1.81 | -0.81 |
| 118 | Akron | Mid-American | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.56 | -19.5 | 9.82 | 1.53 | -0.53 |
| 119 | Memphis | Conference USA | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.77 | -25.42 | 12.55 | 0.99 | 0.01 |
| 120 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.86 | -28.5 | 12.56 | 0.96 | 0.04 |