Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:35.067776+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Auburn | SEC | 13-0 | 1 | 25.09 | 18.23 | 12.3 | 10.26 | 2.74 |
| 2 | TCU | Mountain West | 13-0 | 1 | 24.83 | 29.62 | 9.17 | 12.35 | 0.65 |
| 3 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 12-0 | 1 | 24.74 | 30.92 | 8.56 | 10.94 | 1.06 |
| 4 | Boise State | Western Athletic | 12-1 | 0.92 | 23.48 | 32.31 | 11.09 | 12.38 | -0.38 |
| 5 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 12-1 | 0.92 | 23.38 | 24.46 | 11.69 | 11.88 | 0.12 |
| 6 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 12-1 | 0.92 | 23.08 | 22.92 | 10.39 | 11.44 | 0.56 |
| 7 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 13-1 | 0.93 | 22.72 | 19.57 | 7.85 | 11.52 | 1.48 |
| 8 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 12-2 | 0.86 | 22.06 | 15.43 | 13.95 | 10.93 | 1.07 |
| 9 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.74 | 17.85 | 12.79 | 10.05 | 0.95 |
| 10 | LSU | SEC | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.42 | 11.46 | 12.91 | 9.89 | 1.11 |
| 11 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.36 | 20.92 | 9.87 | 10.93 | 0.07 |
| 12 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 11-2 | 0.85 | 20.75 | 7.15 | 10.82 | 8.57 | 2.43 |
| 13 | Alabama | SEC | 10-3 | 0.77 | 20.02 | 22.15 | 12.42 | 11.81 | -1.81 |
| 14 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 11-3 | 0.79 | 19.88 | 13.29 | 10.85 | 10.71 | 0.29 |
| 15 | Arkansas | SEC | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.76 | 13.08 | 13.06 | 9.64 | 0.36 |
| 16 | Missouri | Big 12 | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.64 | 13.77 | 12.23 | 10.56 | -0.56 |
| 17 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 11-3 | 0.79 | 19.5 | 19.07 | 7.04 | 11.75 | -0.75 |
| 18 | UCF | Conference USA | 11-3 | 0.79 | 19.4 | 14.93 | 7.54 | 11.41 | -0.41 |
| 19 | Utah | Mountain West | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.38 | 12.77 | 10.93 | 9.89 | 0.11 |
| 20 | Tulsa | Conference USA | 10-3 | 0.77 | 18.94 | 11.08 | 8.73 | 8.8 | 1.2 |
| 21 | Florida State | ACC | 10-4 | 0.71 | 18.22 | 11.71 | 12.69 | 10.53 | -0.53 |
| 22 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 10-4 | 0.71 | 18.02 | 13.5 | 10.59 | 11.15 | -1.15 |
| 23 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 10-4 | 0.71 | 17.86 | 14.07 | 9.25 | 10.35 | -0.35 |
| 24 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.74 | 9.31 | 13.48 | 9.08 | -0.08 |
| 25 | NC State | ACC | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.57 | 10.54 | 11.82 | 9.38 | -0.38 |
| 26 | West Virginia | Big East | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.5 | 11.62 | 10.85 | 10.57 | -1.57 |
| 27 | Mississippi State | SEC | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.44 | 9.15 | 11.66 | 9.24 | -0.24 |
| 28 | Maryland | ACC | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.32 | 10.08 | 10.31 | 9.21 | -0.21 |
| 29 | Air Force | Mountain West | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.31 | 9.77 | 10.39 | 9.25 | -0.25 |
| 30 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.3 | 12.92 | 8.9 | 9.73 | -0.73 |
| 31 | Navy | FBS Independents | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.85 | 6.38 | 9.13 | 8.32 | 0.68 |
| 32 | South Carolina | SEC | 9-5 | 0.64 | 16.5 | 7.79 | 13.98 | 9.32 | -0.32 |
| 33 | Temple | Mid-American | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.2 | 5.92 | 7.99 | 7.86 | 0.14 |
| 34 | Iowa | Big Ten | 8-5 | 0.62 | 16.03 | 11.92 | 11.5 | 10.13 | -2.13 |
| 35 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 8-5 | 0.62 | 16.02 | 6.08 | 15.26 | 8.46 | -0.46 |
| 36 | Florida | SEC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.92 | 8.54 | 12.56 | 8.97 | -0.97 |
| 37 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.7 | 7.31 | 11.83 | 8.89 | -0.89 |
| 38 | USC | Pac-10 | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.39 | 4.31 | 11.98 | 7.64 | 0.36 |
| 39 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.29 | 7.31 | 8.33 | 8.16 | -0.16 |
| 40 | UConn | Big East | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.18 | 4.38 | 10.15 | 7.88 | 0.12 |
| 41 | South Florida | Big East | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.09 | 4.08 | 9.84 | 7.91 | 0.09 |
| 42 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 10-4 | 0.71 | 14.95 | -1.64 | 8.91 | 6.39 | 3.61 |
| 43 | Troy | Sun Belt | 8-5 | 0.62 | 14.92 | 3.85 | 8.71 | 7.42 | 0.58 |
| 44 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 8-5 | 0.62 | 14.86 | 2.15 | 11.04 | 7.02 | 0.98 |
| 45 | North Carolina | ACC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 14.82 | 2.08 | 10.82 | 7.16 | 0.84 |
| 46 | Ohio | Mid-American | 8-5 | 0.62 | 14.74 | 3.69 | 7.42 | 7.6 | 0.4 |
| 47 | Syracuse | Big East | 8-5 | 0.62 | 14.67 | 2.85 | 8.13 | 7.55 | 0.45 |
| 48 | Illinois | Big Ten | 7-6 | 0.54 | 14.05 | 9.08 | 11.69 | 8.9 | -1.9 |
| 49 | Miami | ACC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.81 | 5.62 | 12.6 | 8.3 | -1.3 |
| 50 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.73 | 5.54 | 11.91 | 8.15 | -1.15 |
| 51 | Louisville | Big East | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.62 | 7 | 9.47 | 8.77 | -1.77 |
| 52 | BYU | Mountain West | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.58 | 4.54 | 11.73 | 7.94 | -0.94 |
| 53 | Toledo | Mid-American | 8-5 | 0.62 | 13.46 | -0.62 | 9.87 | 6.33 | 1.67 |
| 54 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.44 | 4.54 | 10.4 | 7.61 | -0.61 |
| 55 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 8-5 | 0.62 | 13.27 | -1 | 9.59 | 6.24 | 1.76 |
| 56 | Army | FBS Independents | 7-6 | 0.54 | 12.87 | 2.31 | 8.83 | 7.2 | -0.2 |
| 57 | Penn State | Big Ten | 7-6 | 0.54 | 12.77 | 0.85 | 12.26 | 6.77 | 0.23 |
| 58 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.77 | 7.25 | 9.65 | 7.76 | -1.76 |
| 59 | Florida International | Sun Belt | 7-6 | 0.54 | 12.72 | 1.46 | 9.64 | 6.9 | 0.1 |
| 60 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.66 | 8.5 | 7.57 | 8.08 | -2.08 |
| 61 | Baylor | Big 12 | 7-6 | 0.54 | 12.62 | 0.69 | 11.46 | 6.67 | 0.33 |
| 62 | Georgia | SEC | 6-7 | 0.46 | 12.31 | 10 | 11.79 | 9.2 | -3.2 |
| 63 | Clemson | ACC | 6-7 | 0.46 | 11.91 | 5.23 | 12.3 | 8.34 | -2.34 |
| 64 | Boston College | ACC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 11.68 | -1.08 | 11.68 | 6.06 | 0.94 |
| 65 | SMU | Conference USA | 7-7 | 0.5 | 11.37 | 0.07 | 11.67 | 7.02 | -0.02 |
| 66 | Michigan | Big Ten | 7-6 | 0.54 | 11.33 | -2.46 | 12.53 | 5.94 | 1.06 |
| 67 | Kentucky | SEC | 6-7 | 0.46 | 11.33 | 2.85 | 9.72 | 7.23 | -1.23 |
| 68 | Tennessee | SEC | 6-7 | 0.46 | 11.18 | 1.92 | 10.85 | 7.07 | -1.07 |
| 69 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 7-6 | 0.54 | 11 | -2.62 | 9.21 | 5.78 | 1.22 |
| 70 | Houston | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 10.78 | 5.5 | 9.39 | 7.11 | -2.11 |
| 71 | Washington | Pac-10 | 7-6 | 0.54 | 10.73 | -7.46 | 13.91 | 4.32 | 2.68 |
| 72 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 6-7 | 0.46 | 10.7 | 0.77 | 9.74 | 6.73 | -0.73 |
| 73 | California | Pac-10 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 10.63 | 3.25 | 11.42 | 6.95 | -1.95 |
| 74 | Texas | Big 12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.64 | 0.08 | 12.54 | 6.02 | -1.02 |
| 75 | Idaho | Western Athletic | 6-7 | 0.46 | 9.43 | -1.69 | 8.98 | 6.03 | -0.03 |
| 76 | UTEP | Conference USA | 6-7 | 0.46 | 9.34 | -1.46 | 6.94 | 6.08 | -0.08 |
| 77 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 6-7 | 0.46 | 9.24 | -1.62 | 5.77 | 6.04 | -0.04 |
| 78 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 6-7 | 0.46 | 8.86 | -7.23 | 13.21 | 5.14 | 0.86 |
| 79 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.77 | -2.42 | 15.03 | 5.33 | -0.33 |
| 80 | Kent State | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.57 | -1.58 | 8.88 | 5.49 | -0.49 |
| 81 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.22 | -3.92 | 11.19 | 5.04 | -0.04 |
| 82 | Colorado | Big 12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8 | -6.58 | 13.05 | 4.33 | 0.67 |
| 83 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.93 | -7.17 | 12.87 | 4.04 | 0.96 |
| 84 | Indiana | Big Ten | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.76 | -6.83 | 9.53 | 4.44 | 0.56 |
| 85 | Marshall | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.75 | -7.92 | 11.04 | 3.82 | 1.18 |
| 86 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.4 | -11.58 | 9.75 | 3.12 | 1.88 |
| 87 | Cincinnati | Big East | 4-8 | 0.33 | 7.02 | -0.92 | 12.85 | 5.76 | -1.76 |
| 88 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.96 | -0.75 | 10.32 | 5.82 | -1.82 |
| 89 | Virginia | ACC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.27 | -2.92 | 9.12 | 5.23 | -1.23 |
| 90 | Ole Miss | SEC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.13 | -4.58 | 11.85 | 5.02 | -1.02 |
| 91 | UAB | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.97 | -5.25 | 10.5 | 4.73 | -0.73 |
| 92 | Rutgers | Big East | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.95 | -5.67 | 11.15 | 4.33 | -0.33 |
| 93 | Purdue | Big Ten | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.65 | -9.08 | 11.58 | 3.47 | 0.53 |
| 94 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.63 | -10.17 | 12.95 | 3.3 | 0.7 |
| 95 | Rice | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.55 | -9.83 | 10.64 | 3.98 | 0.02 |
| 96 | Utah State | Western Athletic | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.46 | -11.75 | 11.56 | 3.19 | 0.81 |
| 97 | Ball State | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.42 | -8.42 | 5.28 | 3.8 | 0.2 |
| 98 | Tulane | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.34 | -12.25 | 9.47 | 3.35 | 0.65 |
| 99 | Florida Atlantic | Sun Belt | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.33 | -12.42 | 9.46 | 2.55 | 1.45 |
| 100 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.86 | -1.58 | 10.33 | 5.55 | -2.55 |
| 101 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.07 | -5.75 | 8.92 | 4.5 | -1.5 |
| 102 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.84 | -9.83 | 13.4 | 3.62 | -0.62 |
| 103 | Duke | ACC | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.76 | -10.17 | 11.7 | 3.72 | -0.72 |
| 104 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.68 | -11.17 | 11.06 | 3.02 | -0.02 |
| 105 | Wake Forest | ACC | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.59 | -13.08 | 12.1 | 3.05 | -0.05 |
| 106 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.45 | -14.67 | 9.91 | 2.79 | 0.21 |
| 107 | Kansas | Big 12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.37 | -17.33 | 11.53 | 1.92 | 1.08 |
| 108 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.36 | -18.17 | 12.55 | 1.76 | 1.24 |
| 109 | Western Kentucky | Sun Belt | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.91 | -10.33 | 9.9 | 3.51 | -1.51 |
| 110 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.81 | -12.33 | 11.65 | 3.03 | -1.03 |
| 111 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.71 | -14.25 | 12.32 | 2.28 | -0.28 |
| 112 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.7 | -13.67 | 9.18 | 2.01 | -0.01 |
| 113 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.62 | -16.25 | 12.39 | 2.31 | -0.31 |
| 114 | New Mexico State | Western Athletic | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.31 | -23.83 | 10.75 | 1.21 | 0.79 |
| 115 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.28 | -24.92 | 10.91 | 1.45 | 0.55 |
| 116 | UNLV | Mountain West | 2-11 | 0.15 | 0.97 | -21.31 | 14.43 | 1.81 | 0.19 |
| 117 | San José State | Western Athletic | 1-12 | 0.08 | -0.53 | -18.62 | 10.97 | 1.81 | -0.81 |
| 118 | Akron | Mid-American | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.56 | -19.5 | 9.84 | 1.53 | -0.53 |
| 119 | Memphis | Conference USA | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.77 | -25.42 | 12.45 | 0.99 | 0.01 |
| 120 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.86 | -28.5 | 12.58 | 0.96 | 0.04 |