Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:35.063306+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Auburn | SEC | 8-0 | 1 | 26.6 | 15.12 | 15.67 | 6.12 | 1.88 |
| 2 | Missouri | Big 12 | 7-0 | 1 | 26.14 | 21.57 | 12.05 | 6.36 | 0.64 |
| 3 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 8-0 | 1 | 25.79 | 16.62 | 11.28 | 6.61 | 1.39 |
| 4 | Boise State | Western Athletic | 6-0 | 1 | 25.75 | 35.17 | 8.24 | 5.76 | 0.24 |
| 5 | TCU | Mountain West | 8-0 | 1 | 25.69 | 30.88 | 8.52 | 7.77 | 0.23 |
| 6 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 7-0 | 1 | 25.32 | 39.29 | 5.87 | 6.65 | 0.35 |
| 7 | Utah | Mountain West | 7-0 | 1 | 24.91 | 34.86 | 4.29 | 6.7 | 0.3 |
| 8 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 7-1 | 0.88 | 23.6 | 26.75 | 12.84 | 7.41 | -0.41 |
| 9 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 6-1 | 0.86 | 23.43 | 13.29 | 16.26 | 5.31 | 0.69 |
| 10 | Alabama | SEC | 7-1 | 0.88 | 23.11 | 21.75 | 10.86 | 7.33 | -0.33 |
| 11 | LSU | SEC | 7-1 | 0.88 | 23.1 | 9.88 | 13.16 | 6.09 | 0.91 |
| 12 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.99 | 17.71 | 12.53 | 5.23 | 0.77 |
| 13 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.61 | 15.38 | 9.79 | 6.34 | 0.66 |
| 14 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.58 | 21 | 11 | 6.04 | -0.04 |
| 15 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.24 | 18.29 | 9.54 | 5.54 | 0.46 |
| 16 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.16 | 19.71 | 8.83 | 6.26 | -0.26 |
| 17 | Florida State | ACC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.08 | 18.71 | 8.32 | 6.03 | -0.03 |
| 18 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.52 | 19.86 | 4.94 | 5.86 | 0.14 |
| 19 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.73 | 14.62 | 11.05 | 6.05 | -0.05 |
| 20 | Mississippi State | SEC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.63 | 11.62 | 11.42 | 6.2 | -0.2 |
| 21 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.52 | 17 | 8.93 | 6.49 | -0.49 |
| 22 | Baylor | Big 12 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.34 | 11.62 | 9.68 | 5.79 | 0.21 |
| 23 | Iowa | Big Ten | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19.22 | 18 | 11.24 | 6.01 | -1.01 |
| 24 | South Carolina | SEC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.89 | 10.71 | 13.17 | 5.21 | -0.21 |
| 25 | NC State | ACC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.78 | 12.29 | 11.41 | 5.1 | -0.1 |
| 26 | USC | Pac-10 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.75 | 13.14 | 10.85 | 5.15 | -0.15 |
| 27 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.72 | 12.62 | 5.31 | 6.2 | -0.2 |
| 28 | Arkansas | SEC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.72 | 9.57 | 12.6 | 4.85 | 0.15 |
| 29 | Miami | ACC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.71 | 11.43 | 11.88 | 5.32 | -0.32 |
| 30 | West Virginia | Big East | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.7 | 12.86 | 9.41 | 5.83 | -0.83 |
| 31 | Temple | Mid-American | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.61 | 6.38 | 8.01 | 5.23 | 0.77 |
| 32 | Michigan | Big Ten | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.55 | 7.57 | 12.17 | 4.45 | 0.55 |
| 33 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.51 | 8 | 10.52 | 4.58 | 0.42 |
| 34 | UCF | Conference USA | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.28 | 16.71 | 6.97 | 6.07 | -1.07 |
| 35 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.14 | 15.29 | 6.35 | 5.7 | -0.7 |
| 36 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.95 | 6.86 | 7.61 | 4.64 | 0.36 |
| 37 | Navy | FBS Independents | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.84 | 5 | 9.98 | 4.49 | 0.51 |
| 38 | Maryland | ACC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.79 | 6.57 | 8.1 | 4.61 | 0.39 |
| 39 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.69 | 8.71 | 5.77 | 4.81 | 0.19 |
| 40 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.57 | 7.29 | 6.23 | 4.47 | 0.53 |
| 41 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.49 | 1.57 | 13.07 | 3.68 | 1.32 |
| 42 | Syracuse | Big East | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.29 | 6 | 5.22 | 4.6 | 0.4 |
| 43 | Troy | Sun Belt | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.03 | 7 | 8.54 | 3.78 | 0.22 |
| 44 | Air Force | Mountain West | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.5 | 8.12 | 11.4 | 5.44 | -0.44 |
| 45 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.87 | 5.88 | 8.2 | 5.03 | -0.03 |
| 46 | Florida | SEC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.87 | 8.86 | 16.44 | 5 | -1 |
| 47 | California | Pac-10 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.65 | 14.14 | 12.58 | 5.43 | -1.43 |
| 48 | North Carolina | ACC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.56 | 4.71 | 16.42 | 4.31 | -0.31 |
| 49 | Clemson | ACC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.51 | 11.86 | 12.76 | 5.35 | -1.35 |
| 50 | Illinois | Big Ten | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.48 | 6.71 | 16.05 | 4.77 | -0.77 |
| 51 | Ohio | Mid-American | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.39 | 8.12 | 4.74 | 5.52 | -0.52 |
| 52 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.39 | 12 | 11.62 | 5.23 | -1.23 |
| 53 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.26 | 9 | 12.51 | 4.88 | -0.88 |
| 54 | UTEP | Conference USA | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15 | 4.88 | 2.39 | 4.89 | 0.11 |
| 55 | Texas | Big 12 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.96 | 3.43 | 13.04 | 4.14 | -0.14 |
| 56 | Houston | Conference USA | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.94 | 10 | 8.99 | 4.66 | -0.66 |
| 57 | Tulsa | Conference USA | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.86 | 9.57 | 7.73 | 4.64 | -0.64 |
| 58 | Louisville | Big East | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.82 | 11.43 | 7.26 | 5.3 | -1.3 |
| 59 | Army | FBS Independents | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.76 | 6.71 | 8.94 | 4.5 | -0.5 |
| 60 | South Florida | Big East | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.65 | 7.29 | 8.34 | 4.81 | -0.81 |
| 61 | Idaho | Western Athletic | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.51 | 10.71 | 4.94 | 5.02 | -1.02 |
| 62 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.33 | 1.71 | 13.41 | 3.72 | 0.28 |
| 63 | Rutgers | Big East | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.2 | 2.14 | 8.93 | 3.94 | 0.06 |
| 64 | Penn State | Big Ten | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.02 | 1.86 | 10.65 | 3.9 | 0.1 |
| 65 | Georgia | SEC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.88 | 12.38 | 12.58 | 6.12 | -2.12 |
| 66 | Indiana | Big Ten | 4-3 | 0.57 | 13.37 | 0.43 | 6.62 | 3.56 | 0.44 |
| 67 | Toledo | Mid-American | 5-3 | 0.62 | 13.21 | -4.5 | 12.62 | 3.17 | 1.83 |
| 68 | Kentucky | SEC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.07 | 3.12 | 11.84 | 4.44 | -0.44 |
| 69 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.02 | 1.38 | 15.79 | 4.26 | -0.26 |
| 70 | Cincinnati | Big East | 3-4 | 0.43 | 12.03 | 6.86 | 12.98 | 4.53 | -1.53 |
| 71 | Purdue | Big Ten | 4-3 | 0.57 | 12 | -5.14 | 9.66 | 2.54 | 1.46 |
| 72 | UConn | Big East | 3-4 | 0.43 | 11.62 | 5.57 | 9.85 | 4.39 | -1.39 |
| 73 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 11.52 | -1.83 | 18.51 | 2.78 | 0.22 |
| 74 | SMU | Conference USA | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.43 | -1 | 11.95 | 3.83 | 0.17 |
| 75 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 11.35 | 4 | 9.22 | 4.08 | -1.08 |
| 76 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 3-4 | 0.43 | 10.88 | 4.14 | 8.4 | 4.08 | -1.08 |
| 77 | Virginia | ACC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 10.69 | 2.86 | 8.35 | 3.96 | -0.96 |
| 78 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.28 | -7.88 | 16.79 | 2.68 | 1.32 |
| 79 | Kent State | Mid-American | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.99 | 1.43 | 4.4 | 3.78 | -0.78 |
| 80 | Ole Miss | SEC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.87 | -0.57 | 10.86 | 3.43 | -0.43 |
| 81 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 4-4 | 0.5 | 9.85 | -10.25 | 11.23 | 2.13 | 1.87 |
| 82 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.45 | 0 | 6.09 | 3.5 | -0.5 |
| 83 | Colorado | Big 12 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.95 | -5.57 | 15.44 | 2.51 | 0.49 |
| 84 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.89 | -3.14 | 10.97 | 2.98 | 0.02 |
| 85 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.68 | -9.29 | 16.49 | 2.08 | 0.92 |
| 86 | Washington | Pac-10 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.68 | -8.29 | 15.64 | 2.35 | 0.65 |
| 87 | Tulane | Conference USA | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.1 | -8.57 | 11.49 | 2.24 | 0.76 |
| 88 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 3-5 | 0.38 | 8.02 | -1.5 | 11.59 | 3.76 | -0.76 |
| 89 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 3-4 | 0.43 | 7.63 | -15.14 | 6.7 | 1.24 | 1.76 |
| 90 | BYU | Mountain West | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.01 | -11 | 16.02 | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 91 | Florida International | Sun Belt | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.4 | -3.67 | 10.03 | 2.49 | -0.49 |
| 92 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.45 | -6 | 14.9 | 2.39 | -0.39 |
| 93 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 2-6 | 0.25 | 5.41 | -1 | 10.16 | 3.8 | -1.8 |
| 94 | Boston College | ACC | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.36 | -5.86 | 12.78 | 2.43 | -0.43 |
| 95 | UAB | Conference USA | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.24 | -7 | 13.59 | 2.39 | -0.39 |
| 96 | Tennessee | SEC | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.21 | -8 | 14.19 | 2.24 | -0.24 |
| 97 | Wake Forest | ACC | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.97 | -9.29 | 12.91 | 2.37 | -0.37 |
| 98 | Utah State | Western Athletic | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.87 | -11.14 | 12 | 1.79 | 0.21 |
| 99 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.6 | -15.14 | 10.92 | 1.18 | 0.82 |
| 100 | Kansas | Big 12 | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.5 | -17.71 | 11.63 | 1.03 | 0.97 |
| 101 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.42 | -18 | 9.51 | 1.36 | 0.64 |
| 102 | Ball State | Mid-American | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.91 | -8.5 | 5.67 | 2.5 | -0.5 |
| 103 | Rice | Conference USA | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.88 | -13.12 | 15.13 | 2 | 0 |
| 104 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.66 | -17.38 | 15.08 | 0.91 | 1.09 |
| 105 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.6 | -19.25 | 16.04 | 1.09 | 0.91 |
| 106 | Florida Atlantic | Sun Belt | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.98 | -11.33 | 10.23 | 1.38 | -0.38 |
| 107 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.24 | -10.86 | 7.69 | 1.65 | -0.65 |
| 108 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 1-7 | 0.12 | 1.12 | -7.5 | 13.04 | 2.77 | -1.77 |
| 109 | Duke | ACC | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.04 | -16 | 12.46 | 1.54 | -0.54 |
| 110 | Western Kentucky | Sun Belt | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.99 | -11.71 | 12.62 | 2.01 | -1.01 |
| 111 | Marshall | Conference USA | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.95 | -18.43 | 15.83 | 1.05 | -0.05 |
| 112 | UNLV | Mountain West | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.92 | -18 | 15.13 | 1.16 | -0.16 |
| 113 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.78 | -11.88 | 12.06 | 2.25 | -1.25 |
| 114 | New Mexico State | Western Athletic | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.66 | -25.86 | 13.4 | 0.45 | 0.55 |
| 115 | Memphis | Conference USA | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.63 | -25.57 | 14.85 | 0.54 | 0.46 |
| 116 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.4 | -19.5 | 16.31 | 1.35 | -0.35 |
| 117 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.24 | -23.12 | 11.34 | 1.17 | -0.17 |
| 118 | San José State | Western Athletic | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.23 | -24 | 14.45 | 0.42 | 0.58 |
| 119 | Akron | Mid-American | 0-8 | 0 | -2.63 | -25 | 10.48 | 0.72 | -0.72 |
| 120 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 0-7 | 0 | -2.89 | -30.57 | 14.45 | 0.4 | -0.4 |