Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:35.063724+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Auburn | SEC | 9-0 | 1 | 26.3 | 15.67 | 14.94 | 6.88 | 2.12 |
| 2 | Boise State | Western Athletic | 7-0 | 1 | 25.53 | 34.29 | 8.24 | 6.67 | 0.33 |
| 3 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 8-0 | 1 | 25.26 | 37 | 6.72 | 7.48 | 0.52 |
| 4 | TCU | Mountain West | 9-0 | 1 | 25.25 | 32.11 | 7.11 | 8.78 | 0.22 |
| 5 | Utah | Mountain West | 8-0 | 1 | 24.96 | 31.12 | 5.95 | 7.52 | 0.48 |
| 6 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.42 | 28.44 | 11.1 | 8.42 | -0.42 |
| 7 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 7-1 | 0.88 | 23.34 | 15.75 | 14.48 | 6.39 | 0.61 |
| 8 | Missouri | Big 12 | 7-1 | 0.88 | 23.29 | 17.12 | 12.98 | 6.84 | 0.16 |
| 9 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 7-1 | 0.88 | 23.18 | 16.75 | 13.44 | 6 | 1 |
| 10 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.06 | 11.33 | 12.19 | 6.69 | 1.31 |
| 11 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 7-1 | 0.88 | 23.06 | 20.12 | 12.1 | 6.86 | 0.14 |
| 12 | Alabama | SEC | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.87 | 21.75 | 10.48 | 7.33 | -0.33 |
| 13 | LSU | SEC | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.59 | 9.88 | 12.13 | 6.09 | 0.91 |
| 14 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.5 | 21.12 | 8.73 | 6.7 | 0.3 |
| 15 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.34 | 15.38 | 9.03 | 6.34 | 0.66 |
| 16 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.33 | 18.25 | 8.42 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 7-1 | 0.88 | 21.79 | 19.12 | 5.25 | 6.48 | 0.52 |
| 18 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.41 | 16.89 | 11.09 | 7.12 | -0.12 |
| 19 | Iowa | Big Ten | 6-2 | 0.75 | 20.18 | 19.62 | 13.41 | 7.07 | -1.07 |
| 20 | Mississippi State | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.16 | 11.11 | 11.48 | 6.9 | 0.1 |
| 21 | Baylor | Big 12 | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.85 | 11.22 | 9.49 | 6.47 | 0.53 |
| 22 | Florida State | ACC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.65 | 15.88 | 9.87 | 6.57 | -0.57 |
| 23 | NC State | ACC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.63 | 11.25 | 12.58 | 5.72 | 0.28 |
| 24 | Arkansas | SEC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.55 | 12.75 | 11.49 | 5.96 | 0.04 |
| 25 | South Carolina | SEC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.52 | 11.12 | 11.88 | 5.96 | 0.04 |
| 26 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.37 | 17 | 8.6 | 6.49 | -0.49 |
| 27 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.33 | 12 | 5.97 | 6.88 | 0.12 |
| 28 | Temple | Mid-American | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.19 | 9 | 6.36 | 6.48 | 0.52 |
| 29 | UCF | Conference USA | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.1 | 16.38 | 7.43 | 6.69 | -0.69 |
| 30 | Maryland | ACC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.85 | 11.75 | 7.48 | 6.01 | -0.01 |
| 31 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.77 | 14.62 | 5.74 | 6.27 | -0.27 |
| 32 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.41 | 6.38 | 7.13 | 5.25 | 0.75 |
| 33 | Syracuse | Big East | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.35 | 8.25 | 5.84 | 5.71 | 0.29 |
| 34 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.38 | 7.29 | 5.34 | 4.47 | 0.53 |
| 35 | Illinois | Big Ten | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.84 | 10.12 | 15.46 | 6.03 | -1.03 |
| 36 | Florida | SEC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.68 | 8.12 | 15.31 | 5.52 | -0.52 |
| 37 | USC | Pac-10 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.62 | 8.88 | 12.98 | 5.27 | -0.27 |
| 38 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.51 | 12.75 | 11.5 | 6.01 | -1.01 |
| 39 | Miami | ACC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.5 | 9.38 | 11.72 | 5.77 | -0.77 |
| 40 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.44 | 10 | 12.42 | 5.85 | -0.85 |
| 41 | Ohio | Mid-American | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.37 | 8 | 4.49 | 6.12 | -0.12 |
| 42 | West Virginia | Big East | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.34 | 10.88 | 9.54 | 6.41 | -1.41 |
| 43 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.21 | 5.75 | 12.08 | 4.94 | 0.06 |
| 44 | North Carolina | ACC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.04 | 4.62 | 13.2 | 4.94 | 0.06 |
| 45 | Michigan | Big Ten | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.03 | 5.38 | 10.98 | 4.77 | 0.23 |
| 46 | Houston | Conference USA | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.99 | 13.62 | 7.17 | 5.75 | -0.75 |
| 47 | Tulsa | Conference USA | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.77 | 8.5 | 8.05 | 5.19 | -0.19 |
| 48 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.66 | 5.88 | 8.68 | 5.03 | -0.03 |
| 49 | Army | FBS Independents | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.61 | 8.62 | 6.64 | 5.51 | -0.51 |
| 50 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.58 | 7.5 | 5.82 | 5.18 | -0.18 |
| 51 | Penn State | Big Ten | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.52 | 2.88 | 12.01 | 4.63 | 0.37 |
| 52 | Navy | FBS Independents | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.45 | 4 | 7.96 | 4.85 | 0.15 |
| 53 | Toledo | Mid-American | 6-3 | 0.67 | 15.41 | -0.11 | 11.55 | 4.48 | 1.52 |
| 54 | Air Force | Mountain West | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.93 | 6.67 | 12.7 | 5.84 | -0.84 |
| 55 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.8 | 2.43 | 17.73 | 3.85 | 0.15 |
| 56 | South Florida | Big East | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.6 | 7.29 | 8.12 | 4.81 | -0.81 |
| 57 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 5-3 | 0.62 | 14.57 | -0.38 | 13.28 | 3.95 | 1.05 |
| 58 | Troy | Sun Belt | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.38 | 4 | 8.36 | 4.05 | -0.05 |
| 59 | Rutgers | Big East | 4-3 | 0.57 | 13.92 | 2.14 | 8.81 | 3.94 | 0.06 |
| 60 | Clemson | ACC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.66 | 9.62 | 11.39 | 5.86 | -1.86 |
| 61 | California | Pac-10 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.64 | 8.88 | 11.62 | 5.51 | -1.51 |
| 62 | UTEP | Conference USA | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.39 | 3.89 | 2.39 | 5.34 | -0.34 |
| 63 | SMU | Conference USA | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.37 | 0.67 | 11.7 | 4.63 | 0.37 |
| 64 | Louisville | Big East | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.12 | 7.88 | 7.77 | 5.57 | -1.57 |
| 65 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.03 | 8.75 | 8.02 | 5.45 | -1.45 |
| 66 | UConn | Big East | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.97 | 5.25 | 10.62 | 5.02 | -1.02 |
| 67 | Texas | Big 12 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.84 | 2 | 13.27 | 4.42 | -0.42 |
| 68 | Idaho | Western Athletic | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.76 | 5 | 7.16 | 4.85 | -0.85 |
| 69 | Virginia | ACC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.43 | 3.12 | 8.9 | 4.59 | -0.59 |
| 70 | Georgia | SEC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 12.4 | 10.67 | 12.25 | 6.55 | -2.55 |
| 71 | Kent State | Mid-American | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.04 | 3.62 | 4.31 | 4.79 | -0.79 |
| 72 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 11.69 | -5.67 | 14.29 | 3.39 | 1.61 |
| 73 | Indiana | Big Ten | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.53 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 74 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.46 | -0.75 | 12.56 | 3.89 | 0.11 |
| 75 | Kentucky | SEC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.39 | 2 | 13.1 | 4.84 | -0.84 |
| 76 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.34 | 1.11 | 15.86 | 4.73 | -0.73 |
| 77 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 5-4 | 0.56 | 11.12 | -7.78 | 10.36 | 2.8 | 2.2 |
| 78 | Cincinnati | Big East | 3-5 | 0.38 | 10.23 | 3 | 13.3 | 4.55 | -1.55 |
| 79 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 3-5 | 0.38 | 9.84 | 2.75 | 9.57 | 4.45 | -1.45 |
| 80 | Purdue | Big Ten | 4-4 | 0.5 | 9.81 | -8.75 | 9.79 | 2.26 | 1.74 |
| 81 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.52 | 0 | 5.24 | 3.5 | -0.5 |
| 82 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 4-4 | 0.5 | 9.33 | -11.5 | 9.1 | 1.89 | 2.11 |
| 83 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 3-5 | 0.38 | 8.07 | -1.5 | 10.89 | 3.76 | -0.76 |
| 84 | Ole Miss | SEC | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.93 | -3 | 12.83 | 3.57 | -0.57 |
| 85 | Boston College | ACC | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.48 | -4.38 | 13.34 | 3.03 | -0.03 |
| 86 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.42 | -6.38 | 13.22 | 2.87 | 0.13 |
| 87 | Colorado | Big 12 | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.39 | -9 | 17.01 | 2.26 | 0.74 |
| 88 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.35 | -9.12 | 16.77 | 2.4 | 0.6 |
| 89 | UAB | Conference USA | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.26 | -6 | 13.28 | 3.01 | -0.01 |
| 90 | Washington | Pac-10 | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.12 | -12.38 | 16.61 | 2.05 | 0.95 |
| 91 | BYU | Mountain West | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.04 | -11 | 15.14 | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 92 | Tulane | Conference USA | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.99 | -9.25 | 10.63 | 2.44 | 0.56 |
| 93 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.45 | -14.44 | 13.33 | 1.85 | 1.15 |
| 94 | Florida International | Sun Belt | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.31 | -4.86 | 9.55 | 2.67 | -0.67 |
| 95 | Florida Atlantic | Sun Belt | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.75 | -8 | 9.85 | 2.04 | -0.04 |
| 96 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 2-7 | 0.22 | 4.44 | -1.22 | 8.84 | 4.21 | -2.21 |
| 97 | Tennessee | SEC | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.14 | -8.75 | 14.43 | 2.48 | -0.48 |
| 98 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.08 | -9.62 | 14.28 | 2.15 | -0.15 |
| 99 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.93 | -6.12 | 7 | 2.72 | -0.72 |
| 100 | Utah State | Western Athletic | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.89 | -11.5 | 13.29 | 2.18 | -0.18 |
| 101 | Rice | Conference USA | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.77 | -13.12 | 14.14 | 2 | 0 |
| 102 | Wake Forest | ACC | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.75 | -14.12 | 13.3 | 2.14 | -0.14 |
| 103 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.63 | -14.75 | 10.9 | 1.31 | 0.69 |
| 104 | Duke | ACC | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.56 | -13.62 | 13.34 | 2.06 | -0.06 |
| 105 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.54 | -16.62 | 11.12 | 1.73 | 0.27 |
| 106 | Kansas | Big 12 | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.53 | -17 | 10.97 | 1.23 | 0.77 |
| 107 | Marshall | Conference USA | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.52 | -15.62 | 15.87 | 1.41 | 0.59 |
| 108 | New Mexico State | Western Athletic | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.13 | -22.38 | 11.6 | 0.79 | 1.21 |
| 109 | Ball State | Mid-American | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.11 | -9.67 | 5.66 | 2.58 | -0.58 |
| 110 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.04 | -10.22 | 11.71 | 2.69 | -0.69 |
| 111 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.93 | -16.56 | 15.13 | 1.36 | 0.64 |
| 112 | Western Kentucky | Sun Belt | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.64 | -13.62 | 10.42 | 1.98 | -0.98 |
| 113 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.57 | -11.33 | 14.12 | 2.5 | -1.5 |
| 114 | UNLV | Mountain West | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.34 | -21 | 16.08 | 1.03 | -0.03 |
| 115 | Memphis | Conference USA | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.12 | -27.25 | 15.48 | 0.59 | 0.41 |
| 116 | San José State | Western Athletic | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.05 | -21.56 | 12.9 | 0.71 | 0.29 |
| 117 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.05 | -22 | 14.77 | 1.19 | -0.19 |
| 118 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 1-8 | 0.11 | -0.04 | -24.44 | 11.36 | 1.13 | -0.13 |
| 119 | Akron | Mid-American | 0-9 | 0 | -2.66 | -25.56 | 11.92 | 0.67 | -0.67 |
| 120 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 0-8 | 0 | -2.81 | -29.75 | 12.86 | 0.48 | -0.48 |