Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:35.321417+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LSU | SEC | 13-1 | 0.93 | 23.93 | 24.43 | 13.41 | 13.14 | -0.14 |
| 2 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 12-1 | 0.92 | 23.69 | 21.92 | 14.02 | 10.47 | 1.53 |
| 3 | Alabama | SEC | 12-1 | 0.92 | 23.48 | 26.69 | 12.11 | 12.6 | -0.6 |
| 4 | Boise State | Mountain West | 12-1 | 0.92 | 23.34 | 25.54 | 11.46 | 11.51 | 0.49 |
| 5 | Houston | Conference USA | 13-1 | 0.93 | 23.15 | 26.86 | 9.08 | 12.12 | 0.88 |
| 6 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 12-2 | 0.86 | 21.79 | 21.43 | 11.13 | 11.41 | 0.59 |
| 7 | Michigan | Big Ten | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.76 | 15.92 | 13.58 | 10.71 | 0.29 |
| 8 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.58 | 21.23 | 11.27 | 10.83 | 0.17 |
| 9 | TCU | Mountain West | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.36 | 19.38 | 10.34 | 10.68 | 0.32 |
| 10 | Arkansas | SEC | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.28 | 14.54 | 11.15 | 9.97 | 1.03 |
| 11 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 12-2 | 0.86 | 21.25 | 16.07 | 9.21 | 11.13 | 0.87 |
| 12 | South Carolina | SEC | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.2 | 11.69 | 11.59 | 9.91 | 1.09 |
| 13 | USC | Pac-12 | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.79 | 12.17 | 11.67 | 8.74 | 1.26 |
| 14 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 11-3 | 0.79 | 20.27 | 25.14 | 10.73 | 12.33 | -1.33 |
| 15 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 10-3 | 0.77 | 20.07 | 17.46 | 14.03 | 10.39 | -0.39 |
| 16 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 11-3 | 0.79 | 19.72 | 12.64 | 10.45 | 10.86 | 0.14 |
| 17 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 11-3 | 0.79 | 19.72 | 10.29 | 11.37 | 10.47 | 0.53 |
| 18 | West Virginia | Big East | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.25 | 10.85 | 11.01 | 8.99 | 1.01 |
| 19 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 11-3 | 0.79 | 19.18 | 8 | 9.05 | 8.9 | 2.1 |
| 20 | Baylor | Big 12 | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.18 | 8.08 | 11.95 | 7.99 | 2.01 |
| 21 | Cincinnati | Big East | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.11 | 13 | 9.27 | 9.93 | 0.07 |
| 22 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 10-3 | 0.77 | 18.87 | 11.69 | 8.2 | 9.65 | 0.35 |
| 23 | BYU | FBS Independents | 10-3 | 0.77 | 18.82 | 9.69 | 8.74 | 9.3 | 0.7 |
| 24 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 10-3 | 0.77 | 18.74 | 3.85 | 12.27 | 7.49 | 2.51 |
| 25 | Georgia | SEC | 10-4 | 0.71 | 18.11 | 11.43 | 12.19 | 10.36 | -0.36 |
| 26 | Florida State | ACC | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.53 | 15.54 | 9.75 | 10.96 | -1.96 |
| 27 | Clemson | ACC | 10-4 | 0.71 | 17.38 | 4.29 | 11.84 | 8.12 | 1.88 |
| 28 | Toledo | Mid-American | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.34 | 10.54 | 10.39 | 8.63 | 0.37 |
| 29 | Ohio | Mid-American | 10-4 | 0.71 | 17.29 | 8.36 | 8.01 | 9.54 | 0.46 |
| 30 | Temple | Mid-American | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.25 | 16.69 | 7.42 | 11.26 | -2.26 |
| 31 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.18 | 5.77 | 12.25 | 8.16 | 0.84 |
| 32 | Rutgers | Big East | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.16 | 8.08 | 10.39 | 9.15 | -0.15 |
| 33 | Penn State | Big Ten | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.7 | 2.54 | 12.49 | 7.58 | 1.42 |
| 34 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.14 | 2.46 | 8.34 | 7.11 | 1.89 |
| 35 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 8-5 | 0.62 | 16.03 | 8.54 | 13.6 | 9.02 | -1.02 |
| 36 | Missouri | Big 12 | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.85 | 9.31 | 11.71 | 8.94 | -0.94 |
| 37 | Texas | Big 12 | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.76 | 5.85 | 13.58 | 8.25 | -0.25 |
| 38 | Tulsa | Conference USA | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.71 | 5.77 | 13.25 | 7.95 | 0.05 |
| 39 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.5 | 8.23 | 9.53 | 8.54 | -0.54 |
| 40 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.43 | 6.92 | 9.94 | 8.45 | -0.45 |
| 41 | Utah | Pac-12 | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.1 | 4.77 | 9.25 | 8.1 | -0.1 |
| 42 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.09 | 4.77 | 9.2 | 7.83 | 0.17 |
| 43 | Florida International | Sun Belt | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.05 | 5.54 | 8.05 | 8.37 | -0.37 |
| 44 | SMU | Conference USA | 8-5 | 0.62 | 14.9 | 2.77 | 10.33 | 7.37 | 0.63 |
| 45 | NC State | ACC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 14.83 | 3.54 | 8.52 | 7.52 | 0.48 |
| 46 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 7-6 | 0.54 | 14.41 | 10.92 | 13.91 | 8.91 | -1.91 |
| 47 | Mississippi State | SEC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.69 | 5.62 | 11.68 | 8.38 | -1.38 |
| 48 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.65 | 6.54 | 10.37 | 8.24 | -1.24 |
| 49 | Florida | SEC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.63 | 5.15 | 11.65 | 8.2 | -1.2 |
| 50 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.54 | 6.62 | 9.28 | 8.07 | -1.07 |
| 51 | Virginia | ACC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 13.42 | -0.62 | 9.65 | 6.3 | 1.7 |
| 52 | Air Force | Mountain West | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.4 | 6.54 | 8.06 | 8.07 | -1.07 |
| 53 | Utah State | Western Athletic | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.4 | 5.69 | 8.92 | 7.91 | -0.91 |
| 54 | California | Pac-12 | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.36 | 4.15 | 10.38 | 7.71 | -0.71 |
| 55 | North Carolina | ACC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.33 | 3.15 | 11.66 | 7.41 | -0.41 |
| 56 | Iowa | Big Ten | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.32 | 3.69 | 10.69 | 7.6 | -0.6 |
| 57 | Illinois | Big Ten | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.2 | 3 | 10.71 | 7.59 | -0.59 |
| 58 | Auburn | SEC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 13.05 | -3.23 | 13.25 | 5.59 | 2.41 |
| 59 | Louisville | Big East | 7-6 | 0.54 | 12.99 | 1.85 | 11.32 | 7.18 | -0.18 |
| 60 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 8-5 | 0.62 | 12.93 | -1.69 | 8.76 | 6.02 | 1.98 |
| 61 | Miami | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.73 | 6.42 | 10.26 | 7.9 | -1.9 |
| 62 | Purdue | Big Ten | 7-6 | 0.54 | 12.09 | 0.08 | 9.81 | 6.52 | 0.48 |
| 63 | Western Kentucky | Sun Belt | 7-5 | 0.58 | 11.97 | -1.92 | 8.56 | 5.43 | 1.57 |
| 64 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 6-7 | 0.46 | 11.79 | 5.08 | 11.41 | 8.09 | -2.09 |
| 65 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 6-7 | 0.46 | 11.68 | 3.46 | 12.85 | 7.66 | -1.66 |
| 66 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 6-7 | 0.46 | 11.67 | 4.54 | 10.87 | 7.62 | -1.62 |
| 67 | Washington | Pac-12 | 7-6 | 0.54 | 11.2 | -2.54 | 11.52 | 5.94 | 1.06 |
| 68 | UCF | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 11.09 | 8.75 | 9.46 | 8.59 | -3.59 |
| 69 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 6-7 | 0.46 | 11.08 | 1.38 | 11.59 | 6.95 | -0.95 |
| 70 | South Florida | Big East | 5-7 | 0.42 | 11.04 | 6.58 | 11.15 | 7.76 | -2.76 |
| 71 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 6-7 | 0.46 | 10.92 | 2.38 | 6.77 | 7.11 | -1.11 |
| 72 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 6-7 | 0.46 | 10.86 | 1.23 | 9.69 | 6.83 | -0.83 |
| 73 | Marshall | Conference USA | 7-6 | 0.54 | 10.74 | -6.77 | 13.4 | 4.49 | 2.51 |
| 74 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.88 | -3.08 | 7.74 | 5.04 | 0.96 |
| 75 | Navy | FBS Independents | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.87 | 0.75 | 10.85 | 6.18 | -1.18 |
| 76 | Wake Forest | ACC | 6-7 | 0.46 | 9.62 | -1.38 | 10.36 | 6.1 | -0.1 |
| 77 | Ball State | Mid-American | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.45 | -9.33 | 11.45 | 3.87 | 2.13 |
| 78 | UConn | Big East | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.35 | -0.08 | 10.6 | 5.98 | -0.98 |
| 79 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 6-7 | 0.46 | 8.88 | -6.69 | 12.88 | 4.57 | 1.43 |
| 80 | Tennessee | SEC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.67 | -2.25 | 13.11 | 5.26 | -0.26 |
| 81 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.48 | -2.33 | 10.6 | 5.4 | -0.4 |
| 82 | Syracuse | Big East | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.18 | -4.33 | 11.6 | 4.84 | 0.16 |
| 83 | UTEP | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.11 | -3.75 | 9.22 | 5.07 | -0.07 |
| 84 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 6-8 | 0.43 | 8.07 | -8.29 | 13.16 | 4.56 | 1.44 |
| 85 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.04 | -5.42 | 11.76 | 4.95 | 0.05 |
| 86 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.99 | -6 | 12.05 | 4.56 | 0.44 |
| 87 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.96 | -5.83 | 11.3 | 4.53 | 0.47 |
| 88 | San José State | Western Athletic | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.92 | -5.83 | 10.64 | 4.51 | 0.49 |
| 89 | Kent State | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.79 | -7.17 | 10.84 | 3.64 | 1.36 |
| 90 | Kentucky | SEC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.66 | -8.83 | 11.09 | 3.11 | 1.89 |
| 91 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.88 | -0.83 | 9.77 | 5.76 | -1.76 |
| 92 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.66 | -1.58 | 10.67 | 5.49 | -1.49 |
| 93 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.52 | -1.92 | 9.69 | 5.56 | -1.56 |
| 94 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.13 | -4.67 | 12.27 | 5 | -1 |
| 95 | Boston College | ACC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.96 | -5.33 | 10.5 | 4.22 | -0.22 |
| 96 | Rice | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.63 | -10 | 12.88 | 3.6 | 0.4 |
| 97 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 4-9 | 0.31 | 5.34 | -6.62 | 9.92 | 4.93 | -0.93 |
| 98 | New Mexico State | Western Athletic | 4-9 | 0.31 | 4.93 | -12.23 | 10.28 | 3.6 | 0.4 |
| 99 | Army | FBS Independents | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.43 | -3.42 | 10.17 | 5.09 | -2.09 |
| 100 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.91 | -7.25 | 8.9 | 4.06 | -1.06 |
| 101 | Duke | ACC | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.86 | -8.67 | 11.34 | 3.79 | -0.79 |
| 102 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.86 | -9 | 12.08 | 3.67 | -0.67 |
| 103 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.7 | -9.83 | 9.1 | 3.48 | -0.48 |
| 104 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.68 | -10.75 | 10.52 | 3.41 | -0.41 |
| 105 | Troy | Sun Belt | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.66 | -11.25 | 10.84 | 3.31 | -0.31 |
| 106 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.59 | -13.25 | 12.61 | 2.6 | 0.4 |
| 107 | UAB | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.36 | -16.58 | 10.25 | 2.33 | 0.67 |
| 108 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 3-10 | 0.23 | 2.96 | -16.77 | 12.53 | 2.46 | 0.54 |
| 109 | Maryland | ACC | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.89 | -11.17 | 12.5 | 3.38 | -1.38 |
| 110 | Idaho | Western Athletic | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.74 | -13 | 9.74 | 2.83 | -0.83 |
| 111 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.67 | -14.5 | 9.83 | 2.8 | -0.8 |
| 112 | Ole Miss | SEC | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.64 | -16 | 13.68 | 1.96 | 0.04 |
| 113 | Memphis | Conference USA | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.46 | -18.83 | 8.37 | 1.67 | 0.33 |
| 114 | Kansas | Big 12 | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.43 | -21.42 | 14.15 | 2.03 | -0.03 |
| 115 | UNLV | Mountain West | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.33 | -23.17 | 10.88 | 1.41 | 0.59 |
| 116 | Tulane | Conference USA | 2-11 | 0.15 | 1.11 | -16.38 | 7.52 | 2.65 | -0.65 |
| 117 | Indiana | Big Ten | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.41 | -15.92 | 11.6 | 2.54 | -1.54 |
| 118 | Florida Atlantic | Sun Belt | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.64 | -21.75 | 11.02 | 1.05 | -0.05 |
| 119 | Akron | Mid-American | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.72 | -24.33 | 9.68 | 1.03 | -0.03 |
| 120 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.87 | -29.67 | 10.77 | 0.6 | 0.4 |