Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:35.316874+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 9-0 | 1 | 26.28 | 21.56 | 14.43 | 7.12 | 1.88 |
| 2 | LSU | SEC | 9-0 | 1 | 26.07 | 25 | 12.89 | 8.5 | 0.5 |
| 3 | Boise State | Mountain West | 8-0 | 1 | 26.02 | 27.12 | 12.26 | 7.26 | 0.74 |
| 4 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 9-0 | 1 | 25.48 | 31.67 | 8.99 | 8.34 | 0.66 |
| 5 | Houston | Conference USA | 9-0 | 1 | 24.76 | 29.22 | 5.83 | 7.85 | 1.15 |
| 6 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.92 | 25.67 | 15.04 | 7.9 | 0.1 |
| 7 | Alabama | SEC | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.8 | 28.56 | 13.24 | 8.81 | -0.81 |
| 8 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.09 | 25.22 | 10.68 | 7.81 | 0.19 |
| 9 | Clemson | ACC | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.56 | 12.33 | 10.61 | 6.45 | 1.55 |
| 10 | Arkansas | SEC | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.55 | 14.56 | 10.04 | 6.85 | 1.15 |
| 11 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.54 | 13.67 | 10.11 | 7.36 | 0.64 |
| 12 | Penn State | Big Ten | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.46 | 9.33 | 11.21 | 7.11 | 0.89 |
| 13 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.35 | 18 | 8.02 | 7.42 | 0.58 |
| 14 | Cincinnati | Big East | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.02 | 19.62 | 7.15 | 6.71 | 0.29 |
| 15 | Michigan | Big Ten | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.81 | 17 | 13.23 | 7.66 | -0.66 |
| 16 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.51 | 30.89 | 9.53 | 8.34 | -1.34 |
| 17 | South Carolina | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.29 | 9.78 | 12.59 | 6.47 | 0.53 |
| 18 | Georgia | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.17 | 14.89 | 10.94 | 7.11 | -0.11 |
| 19 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.16 | 11.56 | 11.04 | 6.51 | 0.49 |
| 20 | TCU | Mountain West | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.07 | 19.22 | 9.07 | 7.32 | -0.32 |
| 21 | USC | Pac-12 | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.93 | 7.78 | 12.32 | 5.87 | 1.13 |
| 22 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.91 | 14.22 | 9.23 | 6.8 | 0.2 |
| 23 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.89 | 10.56 | 10.64 | 6.92 | 0.08 |
| 24 | Texas | Big 12 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.79 | 12.88 | 13.77 | 6.02 | -0.02 |
| 25 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.74 | 5.44 | 11.76 | 5.45 | 1.55 |
| 26 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.41 | 11.56 | 7.28 | 6.74 | 0.26 |
| 27 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 8-2 | 0.8 | 19.09 | 4.7 | 6.28 | 5.9 | 2.1 |
| 28 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 6-3 | 0.67 | 18 | 11.44 | 15.08 | 6.64 | -0.64 |
| 29 | Florida State | ACC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.61 | 20.11 | 9.22 | 7.88 | -1.88 |
| 30 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.53 | 12.67 | 10.09 | 6.69 | -0.69 |
| 31 | West Virginia | Big East | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.42 | 10.78 | 10.08 | 6.18 | -0.18 |
| 32 | Illinois | Big Ten | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.4 | 9 | 11.58 | 6.57 | -0.57 |
| 33 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.31 | 7.44 | 12.33 | 6.24 | -0.24 |
| 34 | Rutgers | Big East | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.28 | 8.56 | 11.39 | 6.37 | -0.37 |
| 35 | Tulsa | Conference USA | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.03 | 4.33 | 13.14 | 5.3 | 0.7 |
| 36 | Iowa | Big Ten | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.91 | 9.33 | 8.36 | 6.26 | -0.26 |
| 37 | SMU | Conference USA | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.84 | 5.33 | 10.61 | 5.58 | 0.42 |
| 38 | Ohio | Mid-American | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.73 | 10.67 | 6.35 | 6.5 | -0.5 |
| 39 | Virginia | ACC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.44 | 4.22 | 8.91 | 5.44 | 0.56 |
| 40 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.43 | 5.67 | 7.33 | 5.28 | 0.72 |
| 41 | BYU | FBS Independents | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.37 | 3.56 | 8.65 | 5.25 | 0.75 |
| 42 | Baylor | Big 12 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.9 | 4.75 | 12.87 | 4.57 | 0.43 |
| 43 | Washington | Pac-12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 15.78 | 0.11 | 11.85 | 4.52 | 1.48 |
| 44 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.71 | 6.75 | 9.61 | 5.18 | -0.18 |
| 45 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.62 | 4.12 | 11.02 | 4.64 | 0.36 |
| 46 | North Carolina | ACC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.52 | 4.5 | 12.66 | 6.02 | -0.02 |
| 47 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 15.47 | 9.11 | 16.04 | 5.93 | -0.93 |
| 48 | Auburn | SEC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 15.12 | -1.56 | 14.47 | 4.19 | 1.81 |
| 49 | Toledo | Mid-American | 5-4 | 0.56 | 15.05 | 9.89 | 12.1 | 6 | -1 |
| 50 | Miami | ACC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.95 | 9.44 | 12.88 | 6.35 | -1.35 |
| 51 | Temple | Mid-American | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.94 | 16.22 | 8.16 | 7.87 | -2.87 |
| 52 | Mississippi State | SEC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.66 | 9.22 | 10.58 | 6.49 | -1.49 |
| 53 | Florida | SEC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.64 | 6.33 | 12.56 | 5.94 | -0.94 |
| 54 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.25 | 4.67 | 10.39 | 5.38 | -0.38 |
| 55 | California | Pac-12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.12 | 4.67 | 10 | 5.43 | -0.43 |
| 56 | Utah | Pac-12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.09 | 3.78 | 10.86 | 5.38 | -0.38 |
| 57 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.04 | 2.56 | 10.92 | 4.88 | 0.12 |
| 58 | Florida International | Sun Belt | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.95 | 2.67 | 10.2 | 5.13 | -0.13 |
| 59 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.94 | 6.33 | 5.38 | 5.58 | -0.58 |
| 60 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.86 | 3.22 | 9.93 | 5.1 | -0.1 |
| 61 | Air Force | Mountain West | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.85 | 4.67 | 7.62 | 5.28 | -0.28 |
| 62 | Louisville | Big East | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.74 | 1.56 | 12.33 | 4.93 | 0.07 |
| 63 | South Florida | Big East | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.52 | 9.38 | 11.14 | 5.53 | -1.53 |
| 64 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 5-3 | 0.62 | 13.39 | -1.25 | 7.33 | 3.8 | 1.2 |
| 65 | Wake Forest | ACC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.35 | 0.44 | 11.3 | 4.58 | 0.42 |
| 66 | NC State | ACC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.03 | 0.44 | 10.23 | 4.59 | 0.41 |
| 67 | Syracuse | Big East | 5-4 | 0.56 | 12.9 | -0.22 | 11.21 | 4.46 | 0.54 |
| 68 | Missouri | Big 12 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 12.35 | 8.22 | 14.59 | 5.89 | -1.89 |
| 69 | Ball State | Mid-American | 6-4 | 0.6 | 12 | -9.2 | 11.67 | 3.15 | 2.85 |
| 70 | UCF | Conference USA | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.87 | 10.67 | 7.71 | 7 | -3 |
| 71 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 11.54 | -6.22 | 14.11 | 3.35 | 1.65 |
| 72 | Western Kentucky | Sun Belt | 5-4 | 0.56 | 11.44 | -2.56 | 6.87 | 3.91 | 1.09 |
| 73 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 5-4 | 0.56 | 11.41 | -4.22 | 8.22 | 3.55 | 1.45 |
| 74 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 11.32 | -5.78 | 10.97 | 3.37 | 1.63 |
| 75 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.21 | 2.33 | 11.15 | 5 | -1 |
| 76 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.2 | 1.67 | 12.91 | 4.87 | -0.87 |
| 77 | Tennessee | SEC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.98 | 1.33 | 14.25 | 4.82 | -0.82 |
| 78 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.42 | 0.44 | 11.74 | 4.58 | -0.58 |
| 79 | Utah State | Western Athletic | 3-5 | 0.38 | 10.29 | 7.5 | 9.85 | 5.09 | -2.09 |
| 80 | UConn | Big East | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.24 | 0.33 | 10.3 | 4.58 | -0.58 |
| 81 | Purdue | Big Ten | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10 | -0.56 | 11.45 | 4.39 | -0.39 |
| 82 | UTEP | Conference USA | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.88 | -0.44 | 9.92 | 4.42 | -0.42 |
| 83 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.47 | -0.67 | 9.06 | 4.34 | -0.34 |
| 84 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.44 | -1.11 | 9.37 | 4.28 | -0.28 |
| 85 | Marshall | Conference USA | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.74 | -7.11 | 14.96 | 3.01 | 0.99 |
| 86 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.68 | -7.44 | 13.41 | 3.19 | 0.81 |
| 87 | Kentucky | SEC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.32 | -7.78 | 10.81 | 2.69 | 1.31 |
| 88 | Army | FBS Independents | 3-6 | 0.33 | 8.02 | 0.89 | 8.34 | 4.67 | -1.67 |
| 89 | Navy | FBS Independents | 3-6 | 0.33 | 7.44 | -0.11 | 11.75 | 4.48 | -1.48 |
| 90 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.94 | -1.44 | 9.38 | 4.25 | -1.25 |
| 91 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.71 | -8 | 5.61 | 2.69 | 0.31 |
| 92 | Duke | ACC | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.99 | -7.89 | 11.85 | 2.93 | 0.07 |
| 93 | San José State | Western Athletic | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.95 | -8.33 | 12.3 | 2.92 | 0.08 |
| 94 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.85 | -8.44 | 10.28 | 3.13 | -0.13 |
| 95 | New Mexico State | Western Athletic | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.8 | -8.89 | 9.64 | 3.04 | -0.04 |
| 96 | Rice | Conference USA | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.64 | -11.89 | 14.79 | 2.6 | 0.4 |
| 97 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.62 | -13 | 13.59 | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| 98 | Kent State | Mid-American | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.53 | -11.78 | 12.29 | 1.71 | 1.29 |
| 99 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.03 | -8.7 | 8.49 | 3.16 | -0.16 |
| 100 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.13 | -6.88 | 9.43 | 2.92 | -0.92 |
| 101 | Troy | Sun Belt | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.74 | -12.88 | 11.73 | 1.96 | 0.04 |
| 102 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.73 | -5.44 | 14.42 | 3.6 | -1.6 |
| 103 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.57 | -5.89 | 11.15 | 3.33 | -1.33 |
| 104 | Maryland | ACC | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.4 | -8.22 | 13.17 | 2.93 | -0.93 |
| 105 | Boston College | ACC | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.35 | -8.11 | 11.23 | 2.67 | -0.67 |
| 106 | UNLV | Mountain West | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.32 | -22.38 | 12.41 | 1.1 | 0.9 |
| 107 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.31 | -8.89 | 12.07 | 2.78 | -0.78 |
| 108 | Idaho | Western Athletic | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.26 | -6.78 | 9 | 3.07 | -1.07 |
| 109 | Ole Miss | SEC | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.21 | -10.56 | 12.97 | 2.41 | -0.41 |
| 110 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.04 | -11.22 | 9.47 | 2.24 | -0.24 |
| 111 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.93 | -15 | 13.15 | 1.78 | 0.22 |
| 112 | Kansas | Big 12 | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.74 | -20.89 | 15.85 | 1.7 | 0.3 |
| 113 | Memphis | Conference USA | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.57 | -20.22 | 8.16 | 1.01 | 0.99 |
| 114 | Tulane | Conference USA | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.45 | -13.3 | 7.85 | 2.51 | -0.51 |
| 115 | Indiana | Big Ten | 1-9 | 0.1 | 0.2 | -13.1 | 12.31 | 2.55 | -1.55 |
| 116 | Akron | Mid-American | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.16 | -18.89 | 11.23 | 1.17 | -0.17 |
| 117 | UAB | Conference USA | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.01 | -22.78 | 11.93 | 0.88 | 0.12 |
| 118 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.13 | -20.1 | 16.66 | 1.5 | -0.5 |
| 119 | Florida Atlantic | Sun Belt | 0-8 | 0 | -2.57 | -22.12 | 13.4 | 0.68 | -0.68 |
| 120 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 0-9 | 0 | -2.84 | -33 | 11.65 | 0.41 | -0.41 |