Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:35.317385+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 10-0 | 1 | 26.2 | 25.4 | 13.99 | 8.32 | 1.68 |
| 2 | LSU | SEC | 10-0 | 1 | 25.99 | 25.8 | 12.95 | 9.48 | 0.52 |
| 3 | Houston | Conference USA | 10-0 | 1 | 24.66 | 31.9 | 5.64 | 8.88 | 1.12 |
| 4 | Alabama | SEC | 9-1 | 0.9 | 23.84 | 27.4 | 13.69 | 9.77 | -0.77 |
| 5 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.72 | 25.67 | 14.53 | 7.9 | 0.1 |
| 6 | Boise State | Mountain West | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.51 | 24 | 13.07 | 7.87 | 0.13 |
| 7 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 9-1 | 0.9 | 23.35 | 25 | 11.51 | 8.6 | 0.4 |
| 8 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 9-1 | 0.9 | 23.16 | 26.2 | 9.61 | 8.78 | 0.22 |
| 9 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.73 | 13.4 | 10.69 | 8.04 | 0.96 |
| 10 | Arkansas | SEC | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.64 | 17.3 | 9.1 | 8.02 | 0.98 |
| 11 | Clemson | ACC | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.58 | 11.4 | 10.45 | 7.04 | 1.96 |
| 12 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.56 | 16.3 | 8.94 | 8 | 1 |
| 13 | Michigan | Big Ten | 8-2 | 0.8 | 21.11 | 17 | 13.69 | 8.53 | -0.53 |
| 14 | Georgia | SEC | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.7 | 17.2 | 11.19 | 8.25 | -0.25 |
| 15 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.68 | 30.7 | 8.36 | 9.28 | -1.28 |
| 16 | TCU | Mountain West | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.65 | 17.4 | 10.88 | 7.87 | 0.13 |
| 17 | South Carolina | SEC | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.61 | 9.3 | 13.38 | 7.18 | 0.82 |
| 18 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.46 | 10.7 | 11.85 | 7.18 | 0.82 |
| 19 | USC | Pac-12 | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.44 | 9.3 | 12.44 | 6.8 | 1.2 |
| 20 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.33 | 11.1 | 10.91 | 7.72 | 0.28 |
| 21 | Penn State | Big Ten | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.32 | 8.1 | 11.52 | 7.6 | 0.4 |
| 22 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20 | 5.2 | 12.12 | 5.94 | 2.06 |
| 23 | Cincinnati | Big East | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.98 | 17.11 | 8.84 | 7.31 | -0.31 |
| 24 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 8-2 | 0.8 | 19.92 | 11.3 | 8.36 | 7.44 | 0.56 |
| 25 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.48 | 12.7 | 13.34 | 7.55 | -0.55 |
| 26 | Florida State | ACC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.19 | 18.5 | 9.41 | 8.6 | -1.6 |
| 27 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.12 | 11.7 | 10.53 | 7.15 | -0.15 |
| 28 | Tulsa | Conference USA | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.04 | 8.1 | 12.74 | 6.58 | 0.42 |
| 29 | West Virginia | Big East | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.02 | 10 | 11.38 | 6.8 | 0.2 |
| 30 | Rutgers | Big East | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.85 | 9.2 | 10.65 | 7.25 | -0.25 |
| 31 | Texas | Big 12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.79 | 10.11 | 13.8 | 6.46 | -0.46 |
| 32 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 8-3 | 0.73 | 17.51 | 3.45 | 7.37 | 6.24 | 1.76 |
| 33 | Ohio | Mid-American | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.35 | 11.1 | 6.25 | 7.23 | -0.23 |
| 34 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.29 | 8.2 | 7.36 | 6.27 | 0.73 |
| 35 | BYU | FBS Independents | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.27 | 6.7 | 8.18 | 6.54 | 0.46 |
| 36 | Virginia | ACC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.15 | 4.8 | 8.86 | 6.17 | 0.83 |
| 37 | Baylor | Big 12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.75 | 4.33 | 11.51 | 5.1 | 0.9 |
| 38 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.74 | 5.22 | 10.57 | 5.39 | 0.61 |
| 39 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.6 | 6.33 | 8.55 | 5.8 | 0.2 |
| 40 | Toledo | Mid-American | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.75 | 9.2 | 12.22 | 6.43 | -0.43 |
| 41 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.67 | 10.4 | 9.85 | 7.02 | -1.02 |
| 42 | Illinois | Big Ten | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.62 | 6.4 | 12.24 | 6.68 | -0.68 |
| 43 | Temple | Mid-American | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.6 | 14.9 | 8.18 | 8.52 | -2.52 |
| 44 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.56 | 6.4 | 11.82 | 6.66 | -0.66 |
| 45 | North Carolina | ACC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.39 | 4.5 | 12.99 | 6.02 | -0.02 |
| 46 | Iowa | Big Ten | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.29 | 6.8 | 9.28 | 6.45 | -0.45 |
| 47 | Utah | Pac-12 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.19 | 5.9 | 10.35 | 6.54 | -0.54 |
| 48 | California | Pac-12 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.04 | 5.9 | 9.04 | 6.35 | -0.35 |
| 49 | SMU | Conference USA | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.04 | 4.1 | 9.91 | 5.95 | 0.05 |
| 50 | Florida International | Sun Belt | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15 | 5.8 | 8.85 | 6.48 | -0.48 |
| 51 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.95 | 4.9 | 9.43 | 6.04 | -0.04 |
| 52 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 6-3 | 0.67 | 14.81 | -0.22 | 8.09 | 4.46 | 1.54 |
| 53 | South Florida | Big East | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.81 | 10.56 | 11.5 | 6.42 | -1.42 |
| 54 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 13.9 | 7.9 | 16.62 | 6.31 | -1.31 |
| 55 | Missouri | Big 12 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 13.65 | 8.6 | 14.94 | 6.71 | -1.71 |
| 56 | Miami | ACC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 13.51 | 8.1 | 12.85 | 6.82 | -1.82 |
| 57 | Mississippi State | SEC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 13.28 | 6.6 | 12.02 | 6.68 | -1.68 |
| 58 | Florida | SEC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 13.25 | 5.2 | 13.34 | 6.37 | -1.37 |
| 59 | Washington | Pac-12 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 13.13 | -2.2 | 12.44 | 4.61 | 1.39 |
| 60 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.88 | 4.5 | 12.12 | 6.1 | -1.1 |
| 61 | Auburn | SEC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 12.85 | -5.2 | 15.19 | 3.87 | 2.13 |
| 62 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.8 | 3.9 | 10.78 | 5.73 | -0.73 |
| 63 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.57 | 2.8 | 11.88 | 5.68 | -0.68 |
| 64 | Air Force | Mountain West | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.49 | 3.4 | 8.58 | 5.66 | -0.66 |
| 65 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.42 | 4.3 | 6.38 | 5.81 | -0.81 |
| 66 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 6-4 | 0.6 | 12.36 | -2.5 | 7.28 | 4.37 | 1.63 |
| 67 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.36 | 2.6 | 10.5 | 5.52 | -0.52 |
| 68 | Louisville | Big East | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.06 | 0.7 | 11.74 | 5.22 | -0.22 |
| 69 | Ball State | Mid-American | 6-4 | 0.6 | 11.94 | -9.2 | 11.11 | 3.15 | 2.85 |
| 70 | Wake Forest | ACC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.74 | 0.1 | 12.15 | 5.02 | -0.02 |
| 71 | Utah State | Western Athletic | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.5 | 6.78 | 9.02 | 5.6 | -1.6 |
| 72 | NC State | ACC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.41 | 0 | 9.32 | 5 | 0 |
| 73 | UTEP | Conference USA | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.37 | 0.1 | 9.68 | 5.02 | -0.02 |
| 74 | Purdue | Big Ten | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.36 | -0.2 | 11.92 | 4.95 | 0.05 |
| 75 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 11.32 | -5.78 | 10.83 | 3.37 | 1.63 |
| 76 | UCF | Conference USA | 4-6 | 0.4 | 10.94 | 9.5 | 9.12 | 7.43 | -3.43 |
| 77 | Syracuse | Big East | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.69 | -2.2 | 11.3 | 4.51 | 0.49 |
| 78 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.52 | -3.7 | 12.2 | 4.39 | 0.61 |
| 79 | UConn | Big East | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.21 | 0.33 | 9.43 | 4.58 | -0.58 |
| 80 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 9.99 | -8.1 | 13.57 | 3.3 | 1.7 |
| 81 | Western Kentucky | Sun Belt | 5-5 | 0.5 | 9.89 | -5.6 | 8.94 | 3.6 | 1.4 |
| 82 | Navy | FBS Independents | 4-6 | 0.4 | 9.56 | 0.6 | 12.25 | 5.12 | -1.12 |
| 83 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.84 | -0.3 | 10.4 | 4.94 | -0.94 |
| 84 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.6 | -0.9 | 9.35 | 4.76 | -0.76 |
| 85 | Tennessee | SEC | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.44 | -3 | 14.67 | 4.22 | -0.22 |
| 86 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.9 | -4.1 | 9.97 | 4.1 | -0.1 |
| 87 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.66 | -7.2 | 12.78 | 3.54 | 0.46 |
| 88 | Marshall | Conference USA | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.53 | -10.6 | 15.21 | 2.73 | 1.27 |
| 89 | Kent State | Mid-American | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.4 | -7.4 | 10.99 | 2.9 | 1.1 |
| 90 | Kentucky | SEC | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.32 | -10 | 11.03 | 2.5 | 1.5 |
| 91 | New Mexico State | Western Athletic | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.28 | -7.7 | 9.15 | 3.64 | 0.36 |
| 92 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.19 | -11.2 | 12.3 | 2.72 | 1.28 |
| 93 | Army | FBS Independents | 3-7 | 0.3 | 6.48 | -0.7 | 9.88 | 4.84 | -1.84 |
| 94 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.78 | -2.5 | 10.8 | 4.44 | -1.44 |
| 95 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.71 | -7.44 | 6.47 | 3.06 | -0.06 |
| 96 | San José State | Western Athletic | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.26 | -7.6 | 12.29 | 3.43 | -0.43 |
| 97 | Duke | ACC | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.21 | -8.1 | 12.01 | 3.21 | -0.21 |
| 98 | Boston College | ACC | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.16 | -6.9 | 11.08 | 3.17 | -0.17 |
| 99 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.15 | -7.9 | 10.23 | 3.63 | -0.63 |
| 100 | Rice | Conference USA | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.94 | -12.9 | 14.14 | 2.63 | 0.37 |
| 101 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.33 | -9.27 | 9.8 | 3.41 | -0.41 |
| 102 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.19 | -9.22 | 8.75 | 2.89 | -0.89 |
| 103 | Troy | Sun Belt | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.04 | -12 | 10.99 | 2.4 | -0.4 |
| 104 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 2-8 | 0.2 | 3.03 | -6.8 | 12.94 | 3.79 | -1.79 |
| 105 | Maryland | ACC | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.78 | -9.8 | 13.52 | 2.99 | -0.99 |
| 106 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.75 | -9.7 | 12.03 | 2.84 | -0.84 |
| 107 | Idaho | Western Athletic | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.7 | -9.6 | 9.31 | 2.82 | -0.82 |
| 108 | Ole Miss | SEC | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.64 | -11.5 | 12.72 | 2.43 | -0.43 |
| 109 | UNLV | Mountain West | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.61 | -20.67 | 10.03 | 1.31 | 0.69 |
| 110 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.59 | -11.4 | 10.34 | 2.45 | -0.45 |
| 111 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.38 | -16.4 | 13.35 | 1.78 | 0.22 |
| 112 | Kansas | Big 12 | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.31 | -18.9 | 15.73 | 2.09 | -0.09 |
| 113 | Memphis | Conference USA | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.17 | -18.8 | 7.37 | 1.42 | 0.58 |
| 114 | UAB | Conference USA | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.07 | -19.9 | 10.91 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 115 | Tulane | Conference USA | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.82 | -17.18 | 8.79 | 2.25 | -0.25 |
| 116 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.81 | -16.55 | 14.96 | 2.24 | -0.24 |
| 117 | Indiana | Big Ten | 1-9 | 0.1 | 0.19 | -13.1 | 12.91 | 2.55 | -1.55 |
| 118 | Akron | Mid-American | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.13 | -20.2 | 10.64 | 1.08 | -0.08 |
| 119 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.53 | -29 | 10.77 | 0.61 | 0.39 |
| 120 | Florida Atlantic | Sun Belt | 0-9 | 0 | -2.6 | -23.44 | 13.7 | 0.66 | -0.66 |