Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:35.317788+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LSU | SEC | 11-0 | 1 | 25.6 | 27.91 | 11.17 | 10.55 | 0.45 |
| 2 | Houston | Conference USA | 11-0 | 1 | 24.75 | 31.73 | 6.6 | 9.86 | 1.14 |
| 3 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.84 | 22.55 | 13.17 | 8.87 | 1.13 |
| 4 | Boise State | Mountain West | 9-1 | 0.9 | 23.57 | 23.3 | 13.44 | 8.58 | 0.42 |
| 5 | Alabama | SEC | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.54 | 27.09 | 11.28 | 10.65 | -0.65 |
| 6 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.17 | 24.09 | 9.9 | 9.46 | 0.54 |
| 7 | Arkansas | SEC | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.82 | 18.18 | 9.18 | 8.95 | 1.05 |
| 8 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.81 | 12.45 | 10.62 | 8.66 | 1.34 |
| 9 | Michigan | Big Ten | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.64 | 18 | 14.37 | 9.46 | -0.46 |
| 10 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.54 | 22.45 | 12.17 | 9.16 | -0.16 |
| 11 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 8-2 | 0.8 | 21.46 | 22.4 | 14.31 | 8.39 | -0.39 |
| 12 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.09 | 28.91 | 8.96 | 10.13 | -1.13 |
| 13 | TCU | Mountain West | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.03 | 18 | 10.68 | 8.82 | 0.18 |
| 14 | Georgia | SEC | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.89 | 16.45 | 10.19 | 9.07 | -0.07 |
| 15 | USC | Pac-12 | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.86 | 8.73 | 12.9 | 7.33 | 1.67 |
| 16 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.71 | 14.82 | 9.63 | 9.16 | -0.16 |
| 17 | Penn State | Big Ten | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.66 | 7.91 | 12.06 | 8.31 | 0.69 |
| 18 | South Carolina | SEC | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.65 | 10.36 | 10.78 | 8.08 | 0.92 |
| 19 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.57 | 14.55 | 8.29 | 8.48 | 0.52 |
| 20 | Clemson | ACC | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.47 | 8.18 | 10.13 | 7.18 | 1.82 |
| 21 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.39 | 5.09 | 12.34 | 6.57 | 2.43 |
| 22 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.3 | 12.64 | 7.86 | 8.39 | 0.61 |
| 23 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.99 | 11.73 | 12.94 | 8.22 | -0.22 |
| 24 | Tulsa | Conference USA | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.76 | 10 | 12.21 | 7.54 | 0.46 |
| 25 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.65 | 7.18 | 12.35 | 7.14 | 0.86 |
| 26 | Rutgers | Big East | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.65 | 9.91 | 11.54 | 8.25 | -0.25 |
| 27 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.48 | 11.27 | 9.66 | 7.76 | 0.24 |
| 28 | BYU | FBS Independents | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.06 | 9.27 | 7.88 | 7.8 | 0.2 |
| 29 | Cincinnati | Big East | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18 | 13.7 | 9.36 | 7.75 | -0.75 |
| 30 | Ohio | Mid-American | 8-3 | 0.73 | 17.94 | 10.18 | 6.57 | 7.77 | 0.23 |
| 31 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 8-3 | 0.73 | 17.88 | 7.73 | 7.47 | 6.82 | 1.18 |
| 32 | West Virginia | Big East | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.86 | 10 | 10.5 | 6.8 | 0.2 |
| 33 | Virginia | ACC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 17.75 | 4.45 | 9.1 | 6.74 | 1.26 |
| 34 | Baylor | Big 12 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.58 | 4.6 | 12.67 | 5.7 | 1.3 |
| 35 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 8-3 | 0.73 | 17.43 | 3.45 | 7.73 | 6.24 | 1.76 |
| 36 | Florida State | ACC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.84 | 16.73 | 9.91 | 9.31 | -2.31 |
| 37 | Toledo | Mid-American | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.54 | 10.82 | 10.79 | 7.36 | -0.36 |
| 38 | Temple | Mid-American | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.4 | 16.09 | 7.6 | 9.5 | -2.5 |
| 39 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 7-3 | 0.7 | 16.28 | 1.9 | 7.17 | 5.4 | 1.6 |
| 40 | Iowa | Big Ten | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.11 | 7.09 | 9.79 | 7.16 | -0.16 |
| 41 | Texas | Big 12 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.98 | 8.7 | 13.99 | 6.97 | -0.97 |
| 42 | Utah | Pac-12 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.97 | 5.64 | 9.88 | 7.08 | -0.08 |
| 43 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.84 | 4.82 | 9.72 | 6.65 | 0.35 |
| 44 | Florida International | Sun Belt | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.8 | 6.27 | 8.07 | 7.25 | -0.25 |
| 45 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.06 | 4.3 | 10.45 | 5.84 | 0.16 |
| 46 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 15.04 | 12.09 | 14.99 | 7.66 | -1.66 |
| 47 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.99 | 4 | 10.31 | 5.87 | 0.13 |
| 48 | Missouri | Big 12 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.65 | 8.18 | 14.04 | 7.29 | -1.29 |
| 49 | Miami | ACC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.45 | 7.64 | 12.72 | 7.53 | -1.53 |
| 50 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.31 | 9.09 | 9.52 | 7.47 | -1.47 |
| 51 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.29 | 5.27 | 12.72 | 7.05 | -1.05 |
| 52 | Illinois | Big Ten | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.23 | 4.82 | 12.72 | 6.91 | -0.91 |
| 53 | Florida | SEC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.18 | 6.73 | 11.1 | 7.28 | -1.28 |
| 54 | North Carolina | ACC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.13 | 3.82 | 13.16 | 6.46 | -0.46 |
| 55 | California | Pac-12 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.99 | 5.09 | 10.35 | 6.77 | -0.77 |
| 56 | Air Force | Mountain West | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.74 | 5.64 | 8.38 | 6.68 | -0.68 |
| 57 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.73 | 3.82 | 10.46 | 6.31 | -0.31 |
| 58 | Auburn | SEC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 13.7 | -3 | 12.78 | 4.77 | 2.23 |
| 59 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.57 | 3.73 | 9.27 | 6.34 | -0.34 |
| 60 | South Florida | Big East | 5-5 | 0.5 | 13.42 | 9.2 | 11.66 | 7.04 | -2.04 |
| 61 | Louisville | Big East | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.41 | 1.91 | 11.32 | 6.13 | -0.13 |
| 62 | Wake Forest | ACC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.4 | 2 | 11.15 | 5.97 | 0.03 |
| 63 | NC State | ACC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.34 | 2.18 | 10.24 | 6.08 | -0.08 |
| 64 | SMU | Conference USA | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.26 | 1 | 11.42 | 5.76 | 0.24 |
| 65 | Utah State | Western Athletic | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.72 | 6.8 | 8.11 | 6.18 | -1.18 |
| 66 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.57 | 2.8 | 11.65 | 5.68 | -0.68 |
| 67 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 12.38 | -4.6 | 11.66 | 4.02 | 1.98 |
| 68 | Mississippi State | SEC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.75 | 3.55 | 13.01 | 6.49 | -1.49 |
| 69 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.6 | 3.55 | 11.47 | 6.46 | -1.46 |
| 70 | Washington | Pac-12 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.5 | -3.55 | 11.6 | 4.8 | 1.2 |
| 71 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.37 | -3.82 | 12.11 | 4.59 | 1.41 |
| 72 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.19 | -2.82 | 6.92 | 4.72 | 1.28 |
| 73 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.15 | 3.64 | 6.47 | 6.28 | -1.28 |
| 74 | Western Kentucky | Sun Belt | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.04 | -4.18 | 8.99 | 4.35 | 1.65 |
| 75 | Ball State | Mid-American | 6-5 | 0.55 | 10.88 | -8.64 | 11.59 | 3.65 | 2.35 |
| 76 | Syracuse | Big East | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.54 | -2.2 | 11.27 | 4.51 | 0.49 |
| 77 | UCF | Conference USA | 4-7 | 0.36 | 9.89 | 8 | 9.32 | 7.69 | -3.69 |
| 78 | Purdue | Big Ten | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.82 | -1.09 | 11.6 | 5.23 | -0.23 |
| 79 | Tennessee | SEC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.56 | -2.18 | 14.15 | 4.87 | 0.13 |
| 80 | UTEP | Conference USA | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.32 | -2.55 | 10.23 | 4.93 | 0.07 |
| 81 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.21 | -3.73 | 12.28 | 4.81 | 0.19 |
| 82 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.85 | -5.91 | 13.08 | 4.2 | 0.8 |
| 83 | Kent State | Mid-American | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.66 | -6.18 | 10.82 | 3.58 | 1.42 |
| 84 | Marshall | Conference USA | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.59 | -9.55 | 14.14 | 3.2 | 1.8 |
| 85 | UConn | Big East | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.55 | -1.1 | 9.77 | 4.72 | -0.72 |
| 86 | Navy | FBS Independents | 4-7 | 0.36 | 8.49 | 0.27 | 11.17 | 5.56 | -1.56 |
| 87 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.9 | -0.55 | 10.56 | 5.38 | -1.38 |
| 88 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.6 | -1.09 | 9.49 | 5.18 | -1.18 |
| 89 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.02 | -3.82 | 10.94 | 4.59 | -0.59 |
| 90 | San José State | Western Athletic | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.61 | -6.64 | 11.93 | 3.97 | 0.03 |
| 91 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.51 | -6.91 | 10.66 | 4.14 | -0.14 |
| 92 | Kentucky | SEC | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.4 | -9.91 | 11.42 | 2.7 | 1.3 |
| 93 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.36 | -11.09 | 12.3 | 3.01 | 0.99 |
| 94 | Rice | Conference USA | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.34 | -10.64 | 13.31 | 3.2 | 0.8 |
| 95 | New Mexico State | Western Athletic | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.31 | -10.18 | 10.07 | 3.51 | 0.49 |
| 96 | Army | FBS Independents | 3-8 | 0.27 | 5.09 | -3.18 | 10.68 | 4.73 | -1.73 |
| 97 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 3-8 | 0.27 | 5.05 | -3.27 | 10.9 | 4.69 | -1.69 |
| 98 | Troy | Sun Belt | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.99 | -8.1 | 10.29 | 3.33 | -0.33 |
| 99 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.95 | -9.1 | 8.28 | 3.04 | -0.04 |
| 100 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.65 | -5.82 | 12.88 | 4.34 | -1.34 |
| 101 | Boston College | ACC | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.62 | -6.45 | 11.49 | 3.56 | -0.56 |
| 102 | Duke | ACC | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.51 | -8 | 12.42 | 3.61 | -0.61 |
| 103 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.46 | -7.27 | 12 | 3.7 | -0.7 |
| 104 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.43 | -6.64 | 9.48 | 3.81 | -0.81 |
| 105 | UAB | Conference USA | 3-8 | 0.27 | 3.78 | -17.82 | 11.36 | 1.88 | 1.12 |
| 106 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.77 | -10.75 | 10.32 | 3.41 | -0.41 |
| 107 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.6 | -10.9 | 9.36 | 2.93 | -0.93 |
| 108 | Idaho | Western Athletic | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.25 | -9.36 | 9.34 | 3.3 | -1.3 |
| 109 | Maryland | ACC | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.22 | -10.82 | 13.5 | 3.03 | -1.03 |
| 110 | UNLV | Mountain West | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.12 | -21.4 | 10.47 | 1.38 | 0.62 |
| 111 | Ole Miss | SEC | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.99 | -14.91 | 13.96 | 2.05 | -0.05 |
| 112 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.91 | -16.27 | 13.45 | 1.93 | 0.07 |
| 113 | Memphis | Conference USA | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.77 | -17.18 | 6.94 | 1.77 | 0.23 |
| 114 | Kansas | Big 12 | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.7 | -22.09 | 15.06 | 1.89 | 0.11 |
| 115 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.58 | -18.42 | 13.86 | 2.11 | -0.11 |
| 116 | Tulane | Conference USA | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.58 | -16.75 | 8.19 | 2.39 | -0.39 |
| 117 | Indiana | Big Ten | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.21 | -16.64 | 13.31 | 2.21 | -1.21 |
| 118 | Akron | Mid-American | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.42 | -22.09 | 9.89 | 1.03 | -0.03 |
| 119 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.62 | -28.27 | 10.91 | 0.68 | 0.32 |
| 120 | Florida Atlantic | Sun Belt | 0-10 | 0 | -2.58 | -23.8 | 12.22 | 0.67 | -0.67 |