Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:35.318165+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LSU | SEC | 12-0 | 1 | 25.66 | 27.58 | 12.03 | 11.45 | 0.55 |
| 2 | Houston | Conference USA | 12-0 | 1 | 24.91 | 31.75 | 7.84 | 10.79 | 1.21 |
| 3 | Boise State | Mountain West | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.77 | 23.18 | 13.72 | 9.48 | 0.52 |
| 4 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.71 | 22.55 | 13.43 | 8.87 | 1.13 |
| 5 | Alabama | SEC | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.69 | 27.17 | 11.41 | 11.59 | -0.59 |
| 6 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.43 | 23.25 | 10.66 | 10.31 | 0.69 |
| 7 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.19 | 14.58 | 11.3 | 9.94 | 1.06 |
| 8 | Michigan | Big Ten | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.72 | 17 | 14.02 | 10.04 | -0.04 |
| 9 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.68 | 22.18 | 13.95 | 9.33 | -0.33 |
| 10 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.46 | 22.92 | 11.09 | 10.05 | -0.05 |
| 11 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.37 | 29.67 | 9.54 | 11.15 | -1.15 |
| 12 | USC | Pac-12 | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.2 | 12.17 | 12.46 | 8.74 | 1.26 |
| 13 | Georgia | SEC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.12 | 16.25 | 10.68 | 9.88 | 0.12 |
| 14 | Arkansas | SEC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.11 | 14.67 | 10.65 | 9.18 | 0.82 |
| 15 | South Carolina | SEC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.99 | 11.25 | 11.56 | 9.03 | 0.97 |
| 16 | TCU | Mountain West | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.97 | 18 | 10.62 | 8.82 | 0.18 |
| 17 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.89 | 14.75 | 9.77 | 9.97 | 0.03 |
| 18 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.65 | 16.42 | 7.82 | 9.61 | 0.39 |
| 19 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.3 | 5.09 | 12.05 | 6.57 | 2.43 |
| 20 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.22 | 12.64 | 7.68 | 8.39 | 0.61 |
| 21 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.07 | 7.67 | 12.86 | 7.98 | 1.02 |
| 22 | Clemson | ACC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.72 | 5.75 | 11.27 | 7.33 | 1.67 |
| 23 | Penn State | Big Ten | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.67 | 4.08 | 12.39 | 7.61 | 1.39 |
| 24 | Cincinnati | Big East | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.57 | 14 | 9.68 | 8.62 | -0.62 |
| 25 | Baylor | Big 12 | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.39 | 6.36 | 12.37 | 6.53 | 1.47 |
| 26 | West Virginia | Big East | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.38 | 9.18 | 10.47 | 7.38 | 0.62 |
| 27 | Ohio | Mid-American | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.34 | 9.92 | 6.82 | 8.49 | 0.51 |
| 28 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.31 | 7.58 | 7.84 | 7.48 | 1.52 |
| 29 | BYU | FBS Independents | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.04 | 9.27 | 7.93 | 7.8 | 0.2 |
| 30 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.57 | 9.58 | 13.72 | 8.52 | -0.52 |
| 31 | Florida State | ACC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.4 | 16.5 | 10.12 | 10.22 | -2.22 |
| 32 | Toledo | Mid-American | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.18 | 11.33 | 10.57 | 8.12 | -0.12 |
| 33 | Tulsa | Conference USA | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.17 | 6.5 | 12.73 | 7.47 | 0.53 |
| 34 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.09 | 9.17 | 10.41 | 8.08 | -0.08 |
| 35 | Temple | Mid-American | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.03 | 16.25 | 7.55 | 10.36 | -2.36 |
| 36 | Rutgers | Big East | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.02 | 7.58 | 10.83 | 8.29 | -0.29 |
| 37 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.74 | 8.08 | 9.14 | 8.09 | -0.09 |
| 38 | Texas | Big 12 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.71 | 8.09 | 14.04 | 7.52 | -0.52 |
| 39 | Florida International | Sun Belt | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.44 | 6.83 | 7.71 | 8.06 | -0.06 |
| 40 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 8-4 | 0.67 | 15.88 | 2.5 | 7.56 | 6.57 | 1.43 |
| 41 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.82 | 5.18 | 9.61 | 6.75 | 0.25 |
| 42 | Virginia | ACC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 15.74 | 0.92 | 9.95 | 6.29 | 1.71 |
| 43 | Missouri | Big 12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.18 | 8.67 | 12.46 | 8.13 | -1.13 |
| 44 | North Carolina | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.83 | 4.83 | 13.01 | 7.31 | -0.31 |
| 45 | Iowa | Big Ten | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.7 | 5.42 | 10.56 | 7.46 | -0.46 |
| 46 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.66 | 7.58 | 9.07 | 7.66 | -0.66 |
| 47 | California | Pac-12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.64 | 5.42 | 10.76 | 7.4 | -0.4 |
| 48 | Air Force | Mountain West | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.49 | 7.17 | 7.91 | 7.62 | -0.62 |
| 49 | Utah | Pac-12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.49 | 4.92 | 9.27 | 7.55 | -0.55 |
| 50 | Louisville | Big East | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.23 | 2.58 | 11.21 | 6.89 | 0.11 |
| 51 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 7-4 | 0.64 | 14.19 | -0.27 | 8.47 | 5.44 | 1.56 |
| 52 | NC State | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.13 | 3.25 | 9.14 | 6.87 | 0.13 |
| 53 | Utah State | Western Athletic | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.88 | 6.55 | 9.13 | 6.8 | -0.8 |
| 54 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 13.8 | 10.92 | 14.63 | 8.19 | -2.19 |
| 55 | SMU | Conference USA | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.78 | 1.17 | 10.63 | 6.33 | 0.67 |
| 56 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.73 | 3.55 | 10.45 | 6.29 | -0.29 |
| 57 | Miami | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 13.11 | 6.42 | 11.62 | 7.9 | -1.9 |
| 58 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 13.06 | 7.58 | 10.1 | 7.75 | -1.75 |
| 59 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 6-6 | 0.5 | 13 | 4.33 | 13.23 | 7.33 | -1.33 |
| 60 | Mississippi State | SEC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.97 | 5.58 | 12.25 | 7.71 | -1.71 |
| 61 | Florida | SEC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.94 | 5 | 11.66 | 7.51 | -1.51 |
| 62 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.94 | 6.08 | 11.42 | 7.77 | -1.77 |
| 63 | Illinois | Big Ten | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.59 | 2.75 | 11.76 | 6.91 | -0.91 |
| 64 | Washington | Pac-12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 12.38 | -1.83 | 11.16 | 5.6 | 1.4 |
| 65 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.29 | 2.25 | 9.98 | 6.56 | -0.56 |
| 66 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.18 | 4.33 | 6.01 | 7.01 | -1.01 |
| 67 | Auburn | SEC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 12.09 | -5.08 | 13.5 | 4.67 | 2.33 |
| 68 | Western Kentucky | Sun Belt | 7-5 | 0.58 | 12.08 | -1.92 | 8.37 | 5.43 | 1.57 |
| 69 | South Florida | Big East | 5-6 | 0.45 | 12.04 | 7.45 | 11.4 | 7.33 | -2.33 |
| 70 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.41 | 2.45 | 12.31 | 6.17 | -1.17 |
| 71 | UCF | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 11.19 | 8.75 | 9.45 | 8.59 | -3.59 |
| 72 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.15 | -6 | 12.19 | 4.06 | 1.94 |
| 73 | Purdue | Big Ten | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.09 | -0.33 | 10.64 | 5.91 | 0.09 |
| 74 | Wake Forest | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.94 | -1 | 10.84 | 5.74 | 0.26 |
| 75 | UConn | Big East | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.55 | 0.64 | 10.78 | 5.68 | -0.68 |
| 76 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.1 | -3.08 | 8.15 | 5.04 | 0.96 |
| 77 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.89 | -7.67 | 12.85 | 4.04 | 1.96 |
| 78 | Marshall | Conference USA | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.82 | -8.17 | 13.89 | 3.85 | 2.15 |
| 79 | Ball State | Mid-American | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.66 | -9.33 | 11.8 | 3.87 | 2.13 |
| 80 | Syracuse | Big East | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.19 | -3.55 | 12.02 | 4.63 | 0.37 |
| 81 | Tennessee | SEC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.84 | -2.25 | 13.39 | 5.26 | -0.26 |
| 82 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.55 | -2.33 | 10.8 | 5.4 | -0.4 |
| 83 | Navy | FBS Independents | 4-7 | 0.36 | 8.44 | 0.27 | 11.58 | 5.56 | -1.56 |
| 84 | UTEP | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.31 | -3.75 | 9.89 | 5.07 | -0.07 |
| 85 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.23 | -5.42 | 12.29 | 4.95 | 0.05 |
| 86 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.14 | -6 | 12.19 | 4.56 | 0.44 |
| 87 | San José State | Western Athletic | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.02 | -5.83 | 11.32 | 4.51 | 0.49 |
| 88 | Kent State | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.95 | -7.17 | 11.06 | 3.64 | 1.36 |
| 89 | Kentucky | SEC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.73 | -8.83 | 11.2 | 3.11 | 1.89 |
| 90 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.77 | -1.58 | 10.33 | 5.49 | -1.49 |
| 91 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.69 | -1.92 | 10.42 | 5.56 | -1.56 |
| 92 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.32 | -11.09 | 12.62 | 3.01 | 0.99 |
| 93 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.19 | -4.67 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 94 | Boston College | ACC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.04 | -5.33 | 11.71 | 4.22 | -0.22 |
| 95 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.89 | -6.58 | 9.85 | 4.56 | -0.56 |
| 96 | Rice | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.74 | -10 | 12.96 | 3.6 | 0.4 |
| 97 | New Mexico State | Western Athletic | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.44 | -13 | 10.41 | 3.23 | 0.77 |
| 98 | Army | FBS Independents | 3-8 | 0.27 | 5.01 | -3.18 | 10.63 | 4.73 | -1.73 |
| 99 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 3-8 | 0.27 | 5.01 | -3.27 | 11.14 | 4.69 | -1.69 |
| 100 | Troy | Sun Belt | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.29 | -9.45 | 10.11 | 3.39 | -0.39 |
| 101 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.18 | -10.45 | 8.64 | 3.1 | -0.1 |
| 102 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.99 | -7.25 | 9.1 | 4.06 | -1.06 |
| 103 | Duke | ACC | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.98 | -8.67 | 12.75 | 3.79 | -0.79 |
| 104 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.95 | -9 | 12.8 | 3.67 | -0.67 |
| 105 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.74 | -10.75 | 10.57 | 3.41 | -0.41 |
| 106 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.6 | -13.25 | 13.38 | 2.6 | 0.4 |
| 107 | UAB | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.42 | -16.58 | 10.26 | 2.33 | 0.67 |
| 108 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 3-10 | 0.23 | 2.97 | -16.77 | 13.51 | 2.46 | 0.54 |
| 109 | Idaho | Western Athletic | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.23 | -9.36 | 9.73 | 3.3 | -1.3 |
| 110 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.13 | -11.09 | 10.15 | 3.15 | -1.15 |
| 111 | Maryland | ACC | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.95 | -11.17 | 13.55 | 3.38 | -1.38 |
| 112 | Ole Miss | SEC | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.68 | -16 | 13.89 | 1.96 | 0.04 |
| 113 | UNLV | Mountain West | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.67 | -21 | 10.74 | 1.52 | 0.48 |
| 114 | Memphis | Conference USA | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.49 | -18.83 | 8.13 | 1.67 | 0.33 |
| 115 | Kansas | Big 12 | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.46 | -21.42 | 14.74 | 2.03 | -0.03 |
| 116 | Tulane | Conference USA | 2-11 | 0.15 | 1.15 | -16.38 | 8.32 | 2.65 | -0.65 |
| 117 | Indiana | Big Ten | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.41 | -15.92 | 12.96 | 2.54 | -1.54 |
| 118 | Florida Atlantic | Sun Belt | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.5 | -21.36 | 11.9 | 1.11 | -0.11 |
| 119 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.62 | -28.27 | 10.59 | 0.68 | 0.32 |
| 120 | Akron | Mid-American | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.72 | -24.33 | 10.15 | 1.03 | -0.03 |