Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:35.319788+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LSU | SEC | 13-0 | 1 | 25.53 | 27.92 | 12.47 | 12.42 | 0.58 |
| 2 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.75 | 23.5 | 13.44 | 9.87 | 1.13 |
| 3 | Boise State | Mountain West | 12-1 | 0.92 | 23.52 | 25.54 | 11.89 | 11.51 | 0.49 |
| 4 | Alabama | SEC | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.4 | 27.17 | 10.96 | 11.59 | -0.59 |
| 5 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.21 | 23.25 | 10.61 | 10.31 | 0.69 |
| 6 | Houston | Conference USA | 12-1 | 0.92 | 22.96 | 27.69 | 8.57 | 11.26 | 0.74 |
| 7 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.68 | 22.54 | 10.98 | 10.79 | 0.21 |
| 8 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.65 | 27.62 | 9.97 | 11.8 | -0.8 |
| 9 | TCU | Mountain West | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.45 | 19.38 | 10.39 | 10.68 | 0.32 |
| 10 | Michigan | Big Ten | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.44 | 17 | 13.49 | 10.04 | -0.04 |
| 11 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 12-2 | 0.86 | 21.36 | 16.07 | 9.36 | 11.13 | 0.87 |
| 12 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.22 | 11.31 | 11.31 | 9.98 | 1.02 |
| 13 | USC | Pac-12 | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.97 | 12.17 | 12.19 | 8.74 | 1.26 |
| 14 | Arkansas | SEC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.8 | 14.67 | 10.36 | 9.18 | 0.82 |
| 15 | South Carolina | SEC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.75 | 11.25 | 11.21 | 9.03 | 0.97 |
| 16 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.29 | 14.17 | 7.46 | 9.44 | 0.56 |
| 17 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.24 | 5.25 | 11.34 | 7.21 | 2.79 |
| 18 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.71 | 17.5 | 14.13 | 9.53 | -0.53 |
| 19 | Georgia | SEC | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.53 | 12.54 | 11.56 | 9.92 | 0.08 |
| 20 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.41 | 13.38 | 10.52 | 10.32 | -0.32 |
| 21 | Clemson | ACC | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.16 | 7.46 | 11.56 | 8.38 | 1.62 |
| 22 | Baylor | Big 12 | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.8 | 7.83 | 11.96 | 7.39 | 1.61 |
| 23 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.8 | 7.67 | 12.08 | 7.98 | 1.02 |
| 24 | Cincinnati | Big East | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.76 | 13.5 | 9.14 | 9.27 | -0.27 |
| 25 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 10-3 | 0.77 | 18.66 | 7.23 | 8.47 | 8.08 | 1.92 |
| 26 | West Virginia | Big East | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.66 | 8.67 | 10.58 | 7.95 | 1.05 |
| 27 | BYU | FBS Independents | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.39 | 10.25 | 8.02 | 8.7 | 0.3 |
| 28 | Penn State | Big Ten | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.36 | 4.08 | 11.98 | 7.61 | 1.39 |
| 29 | Ohio | Mid-American | 10-4 | 0.71 | 17.36 | 8.36 | 7.91 | 9.54 | 0.46 |
| 30 | Temple | Mid-American | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.35 | 16.69 | 7.55 | 11.26 | -2.26 |
| 31 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.34 | 9.58 | 13.57 | 8.52 | -0.52 |
| 32 | Florida State | ACC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.17 | 16.5 | 9.47 | 10.22 | -2.22 |
| 33 | Toledo | Mid-American | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.01 | 11.33 | 10.31 | 8.12 | -0.12 |
| 34 | Tulsa | Conference USA | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.93 | 6.5 | 12.59 | 7.47 | 0.53 |
| 35 | Rutgers | Big East | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.79 | 7.58 | 10.78 | 8.29 | -0.29 |
| 36 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.78 | 9.17 | 9.67 | 8.08 | -0.08 |
| 37 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.24 | 2.46 | 8.58 | 7.11 | 1.89 |
| 38 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.53 | 6.92 | 9.93 | 8.45 | -0.45 |
| 39 | Virginia | ACC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 15.47 | 0.92 | 9.59 | 6.29 | 1.71 |
| 40 | Florida International | Sun Belt | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.17 | 5.54 | 8.2 | 8.37 | -0.37 |
| 41 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.17 | 4.77 | 9.27 | 7.83 | 0.17 |
| 42 | Missouri | Big 12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.96 | 8.67 | 11.68 | 8.13 | -1.13 |
| 43 | Texas | Big 12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.87 | 5.42 | 13.63 | 7.46 | -0.46 |
| 44 | North Carolina | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.6 | 4.83 | 11.95 | 7.31 | -0.31 |
| 45 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.54 | 7.58 | 8.9 | 7.66 | -0.66 |
| 46 | California | Pac-12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.48 | 5.42 | 10.27 | 7.4 | -0.4 |
| 47 | Iowa | Big Ten | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.48 | 5.42 | 10.32 | 7.46 | -0.46 |
| 48 | Air Force | Mountain West | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.33 | 7.17 | 7.42 | 7.62 | -0.62 |
| 49 | Utah | Pac-12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.29 | 4.92 | 9.18 | 7.55 | -0.55 |
| 50 | Louisville | Big East | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.12 | 2.58 | 11.18 | 6.89 | 0.11 |
| 51 | NC State | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.98 | 3.25 | 8.71 | 6.87 | 0.13 |
| 52 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.75 | 6.54 | 10.49 | 8.24 | -1.24 |
| 53 | SMU | Conference USA | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.63 | 1.17 | 10.27 | 6.33 | 0.67 |
| 54 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 13.56 | 10.92 | 14.02 | 8.19 | -2.19 |
| 55 | Utah State | Western Athletic | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.47 | 5.69 | 9 | 7.91 | -0.91 |
| 56 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 8-5 | 0.62 | 13.02 | -1.69 | 8.98 | 6.02 | 1.98 |
| 57 | Mississippi State | SEC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.87 | 5.58 | 11.92 | 7.71 | -1.71 |
| 58 | Miami | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.86 | 6.42 | 10.96 | 7.9 | -1.9 |
| 59 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.82 | 6.08 | 10.85 | 7.77 | -1.77 |
| 60 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.8 | 4.33 | 12.92 | 7.33 | -1.33 |
| 61 | Florida | SEC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.77 | 5 | 11.71 | 7.51 | -1.51 |
| 62 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.49 | 3.33 | 11.45 | 6.98 | -0.98 |
| 63 | Illinois | Big Ten | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.39 | 2.75 | 11.54 | 6.91 | -0.91 |
| 64 | Washington | Pac-12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 12.3 | -1.83 | 11.2 | 5.6 | 1.4 |
| 65 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.08 | 2.25 | 9.54 | 6.56 | -0.56 |
| 66 | Western Kentucky | Sun Belt | 7-5 | 0.58 | 12.05 | -1.92 | 8.83 | 5.43 | 1.57 |
| 67 | Auburn | SEC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 11.9 | -5.08 | 13.31 | 4.67 | 2.33 |
| 68 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 6-7 | 0.46 | 11.75 | 4.54 | 10.85 | 7.62 | -1.62 |
| 69 | UCF | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 11.14 | 8.75 | 9.46 | 8.59 | -3.59 |
| 70 | South Florida | Big East | 5-7 | 0.42 | 11.11 | 6.58 | 11.38 | 7.76 | -2.76 |
| 71 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 6-7 | 0.46 | 10.99 | 2.38 | 7.02 | 7.11 | -1.11 |
| 72 | Purdue | Big Ten | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.98 | -0.33 | 9.94 | 5.91 | 0.09 |
| 73 | Marshall | Conference USA | 7-6 | 0.54 | 10.79 | -6.77 | 13.75 | 4.49 | 2.51 |
| 74 | Wake Forest | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.71 | -1 | 10.55 | 5.74 | 0.26 |
| 75 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.94 | -3.08 | 7.87 | 5.04 | 0.96 |
| 76 | Navy | FBS Independents | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.92 | 0.75 | 10.87 | 6.18 | -1.18 |
| 77 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.87 | -6.08 | 12.47 | 4.4 | 1.6 |
| 78 | Ball State | Mid-American | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.5 | -9.33 | 11.47 | 3.87 | 2.13 |
| 79 | UConn | Big East | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.42 | -0.08 | 10.97 | 5.98 | -0.98 |
| 80 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 6-7 | 0.46 | 8.79 | -8.46 | 13.33 | 4.25 | 1.75 |
| 81 | Tennessee | SEC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.71 | -2.25 | 13.17 | 5.26 | -0.26 |
| 82 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.52 | -2.33 | 10.59 | 5.4 | -0.4 |
| 83 | Syracuse | Big East | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.23 | -4.33 | 11.79 | 4.84 | 0.16 |
| 84 | UTEP | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.15 | -3.75 | 9.22 | 5.07 | -0.07 |
| 85 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.08 | -5.42 | 11.78 | 4.95 | 0.05 |
| 86 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.03 | -6 | 12.16 | 4.56 | 0.44 |
| 87 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.02 | -5.83 | 11.64 | 4.53 | 0.47 |
| 88 | San José State | Western Athletic | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.98 | -5.83 | 11.02 | 4.51 | 0.49 |
| 89 | Kent State | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.84 | -7.17 | 10.97 | 3.64 | 1.36 |
| 90 | Kentucky | SEC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.71 | -8.83 | 11.23 | 3.11 | 1.89 |
| 91 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.93 | -0.83 | 10.05 | 5.76 | -1.76 |
| 92 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.69 | -1.58 | 10.65 | 5.49 | -1.49 |
| 93 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.57 | -1.92 | 10.11 | 5.56 | -1.56 |
| 94 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.17 | -4.67 | 12.61 | 5 | -1 |
| 95 | Boston College | ACC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.01 | -5.33 | 10.98 | 4.22 | -0.22 |
| 96 | Rice | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.65 | -10 | 12.68 | 3.6 | 0.4 |
| 97 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 4-9 | 0.31 | 5.38 | -6.62 | 10.34 | 4.93 | -0.93 |
| 98 | New Mexico State | Western Athletic | 4-9 | 0.31 | 4.96 | -12.23 | 10.56 | 3.6 | 0.4 |
| 99 | Army | FBS Independents | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.46 | -3.42 | 10.4 | 5.09 | -2.09 |
| 100 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.93 | -7.25 | 9.01 | 4.06 | -1.06 |
| 101 | Duke | ACC | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.9 | -8.67 | 12.15 | 3.79 | -0.79 |
| 102 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.89 | -9 | 12.56 | 3.67 | -0.67 |
| 103 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.72 | -9.83 | 9.21 | 3.48 | -0.48 |
| 104 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.7 | -10.75 | 10.46 | 3.41 | -0.41 |
| 105 | Troy | Sun Belt | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.69 | -11.25 | 11.2 | 3.31 | -0.31 |
| 106 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.61 | -13.25 | 12.85 | 2.6 | 0.4 |
| 107 | UAB | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.37 | -16.58 | 10.12 | 2.33 | 0.67 |
| 108 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 3-10 | 0.23 | 2.98 | -16.77 | 13.02 | 2.46 | 0.54 |
| 109 | Maryland | ACC | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.91 | -11.17 | 12.99 | 3.38 | -1.38 |
| 110 | Idaho | Western Athletic | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.76 | -13 | 10.03 | 2.83 | -0.83 |
| 111 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.68 | -14.5 | 10.09 | 2.8 | -0.8 |
| 112 | Ole Miss | SEC | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.65 | -16 | 13.78 | 1.96 | 0.04 |
| 113 | Memphis | Conference USA | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.46 | -18.83 | 8.24 | 1.67 | 0.33 |
| 114 | Kansas | Big 12 | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.43 | -21.42 | 14.14 | 2.03 | -0.03 |
| 115 | UNLV | Mountain West | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.34 | -23.17 | 11.19 | 1.41 | 0.59 |
| 116 | Tulane | Conference USA | 2-11 | 0.15 | 1.12 | -16.38 | 7.54 | 2.65 | -0.65 |
| 117 | Indiana | Big Ten | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.42 | -15.92 | 12.12 | 2.54 | -1.54 |
| 118 | Florida Atlantic | Sun Belt | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.65 | -21.75 | 11.08 | 1.05 | -0.05 |
| 119 | Akron | Mid-American | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.72 | -24.33 | 9.96 | 1.03 | -0.03 |
| 120 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.88 | -29.67 | 10.92 | 0.6 | 0.4 |