Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:35.316093+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alabama | SEC | 8-0 | 1 | 26.53 | 32.5 | 12.2 | 7.87 | 0.13 |
| 2 | Boise State | Mountain West | 7-0 | 1 | 26.43 | 27.14 | 12.57 | 6.38 | 0.62 |
| 3 | LSU | SEC | 8-0 | 1 | 26.41 | 27.75 | 12.32 | 7.59 | 0.41 |
| 4 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 7-0 | 1 | 26.37 | 21.71 | 13.07 | 5.62 | 1.38 |
| 5 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 7-0 | 1 | 26.03 | 36 | 9.61 | 6.73 | 0.27 |
| 6 | Clemson | ACC | 8-0 | 1 | 25.42 | 15.62 | 9.8 | 6.08 | 1.92 |
| 7 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 7-0 | 1 | 25.12 | 13.86 | 8.68 | 5.46 | 1.54 |
| 8 | Houston | Conference USA | 7-0 | 1 | 24.91 | 25.86 | 5.49 | 5.97 | 1.03 |
| 9 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 6-1 | 0.86 | 23.39 | 24.86 | 13.25 | 6.13 | -0.13 |
| 10 | Michigan | Big Ten | 6-1 | 0.86 | 23.04 | 19.86 | 13.36 | 6.18 | -0.18 |
| 11 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.63 | 14.88 | 9.99 | 6.6 | 0.4 |
| 12 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.56 | 33.86 | 7.54 | 6.66 | -0.66 |
| 13 | Penn State | Big Ten | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.5 | 10.12 | 10.84 | 6.36 | 0.64 |
| 14 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.5 | 27.86 | 9.23 | 6.2 | -0.2 |
| 15 | South Carolina | SEC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.4 | 13.29 | 11.61 | 5.44 | 0.56 |
| 16 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.31 | 15.57 | 10.81 | 6.01 | -0.01 |
| 17 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.17 | 12.29 | 10.95 | 5.03 | 0.97 |
| 18 | Arkansas | SEC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.04 | 16 | 9.02 | 5.51 | 0.49 |
| 19 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.98 | 17.71 | 8.45 | 5.77 | 0.23 |
| 20 | USC | Pac-12 | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.98 | 7.57 | 11.96 | 4.65 | 1.35 |
| 21 | Cincinnati | Big East | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.88 | 22 | 6.94 | 6.03 | -0.03 |
| 22 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19.69 | 15 | 16.76 | 5.25 | -0.25 |
| 23 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.56 | 14.25 | 8.48 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 | Illinois | Big Ten | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.56 | 10.5 | 9.89 | 5.98 | 0.02 |
| 25 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.87 | 11.57 | 12.25 | 5.09 | -0.09 |
| 26 | Georgia | SEC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.83 | 11.86 | 11.88 | 5.23 | -0.23 |
| 27 | TCU | Mountain West | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.77 | 21.71 | 8.88 | 5.86 | -0.86 |
| 28 | West Virginia | Big East | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.76 | 12.86 | 9.79 | 5.08 | -0.08 |
| 29 | Rutgers | Big East | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.69 | 12 | 9.56 | 5.53 | -0.53 |
| 30 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.67 | 12.71 | 10.97 | 4.86 | 0.14 |
| 31 | SMU | Conference USA | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.55 | 8.29 | 10.69 | 4.81 | 0.19 |
| 32 | BYU | FBS Independents | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.37 | 5.25 | 7.71 | 5.01 | 0.99 |
| 33 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.15 | 9 | 9.26 | 4.93 | 0.07 |
| 34 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.05 | 2.62 | 6.06 | 4.42 | 1.58 |
| 35 | Iowa | Big Ten | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.97 | 11 | 6.88 | 5 | 0 |
| 36 | Syracuse | Big East | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.92 | 3.14 | 13.22 | 3.96 | 1.04 |
| 37 | Wake Forest | ACC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.85 | 5.14 | 9.64 | 4.25 | 0.75 |
| 38 | Baylor | Big 12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.83 | 11.67 | 11.45 | 4.04 | -0.04 |
| 39 | Texas | Big 12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.8 | 4.67 | 16.01 | 3.59 | 0.41 |
| 40 | Washington | Pac-12 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.44 | 1 | 11.17 | 3.62 | 1.38 |
| 41 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.07 | 4.83 | 10.62 | 3.63 | 0.37 |
| 42 | Temple | Mid-American | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.64 | 18.75 | 7.86 | 7.39 | -2.39 |
| 43 | Toledo | Mid-American | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.57 | 11.5 | 11.68 | 5.68 | -0.68 |
| 44 | North Carolina | ACC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.24 | 4.12 | 12.94 | 4.72 | 0.28 |
| 45 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 4-3 | 0.57 | 16.04 | 7.71 | 17.25 | 4.68 | -0.68 |
| 46 | Ohio | Mid-American | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.87 | 11.5 | 6.21 | 5.94 | -0.94 |
| 47 | Florida State | ACC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.67 | 16.57 | 11.85 | 5.69 | -1.69 |
| 48 | South Florida | Big East | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.5 | 11.14 | 10.83 | 5 | -1 |
| 49 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.48 | 6 | 6.76 | 4.79 | 0.21 |
| 50 | Miami | ACC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.43 | 8.14 | 14.51 | 4.78 | -0.78 |
| 51 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.38 | 7 | 13.97 | 4.9 | -0.9 |
| 52 | Florida | SEC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.29 | 8 | 12.24 | 4.89 | -0.89 |
| 53 | Purdue | Big Ten | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.89 | 8.86 | 9.29 | 4.93 | -0.93 |
| 54 | California | Pac-12 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.69 | 5.14 | 11.07 | 4.24 | -0.24 |
| 55 | Florida International | Sun Belt | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.66 | 3.14 | 10.82 | 4.03 | -0.03 |
| 56 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 4-2 | 0.67 | 14.56 | -0.33 | 3.82 | 2.96 | 1.04 |
| 57 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.46 | 3.29 | 11.8 | 4.08 | -0.08 |
| 58 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.42 | 8.43 | 5.66 | 4.54 | -0.54 |
| 59 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.35 | 2.71 | 11.68 | 3.89 | 0.11 |
| 60 | UTEP | Conference USA | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.25 | 2.57 | 11.3 | 3.88 | 0.12 |
| 61 | Virginia | ACC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.22 | 1.86 | 9.69 | 3.82 | 0.18 |
| 62 | NC State | ACC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.21 | 3.57 | 9.01 | 4 | 0 |
| 63 | Auburn | SEC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 14 | -4 | 16.41 | 3.28 | 1.72 |
| 64 | Tulsa | Conference USA | 4-3 | 0.57 | 13.51 | 0.14 | 13.29 | 3.52 | 0.48 |
| 65 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.14 | 4 | 11.01 | 4.71 | -0.71 |
| 66 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 5-3 | 0.62 | 12.7 | -4.5 | 7.88 | 3.06 | 1.94 |
| 67 | Ball State | Mid-American | 5-3 | 0.62 | 12.55 | -10.5 | 12.05 | 2.23 | 2.77 |
| 68 | Missouri | Big 12 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 12.48 | 10 | 14.8 | 4.87 | -1.87 |
| 69 | UCF | Conference USA | 3-4 | 0.43 | 11.72 | 8.86 | 7.58 | 5.16 | -2.16 |
| 70 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.71 | 0.25 | 10.38 | 4.04 | -0.04 |
| 71 | Mississippi State | SEC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 11.68 | 4.71 | 13.08 | 4.39 | -1.39 |
| 72 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 11.09 | 3.57 | 6.95 | 3.96 | -0.96 |
| 73 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 3-4 | 0.43 | 10.84 | 1.29 | 12.06 | 3.72 | -0.72 |
| 74 | UConn | Big East | 3-4 | 0.43 | 10.77 | 1.57 | 10.3 | 3.8 | -0.8 |
| 75 | Utah | Pac-12 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 10.61 | 0.29 | 13.08 | 3.55 | -0.55 |
| 76 | Tennessee | SEC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 10.48 | -0.14 | 14.97 | 3.48 | -0.48 |
| 77 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.72 | -0.14 | 10.31 | 3.48 | -0.48 |
| 78 | Louisville | Big East | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.48 | -0.86 | 11.92 | 3.29 | -0.29 |
| 79 | Air Force | Mountain West | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.42 | -1.43 | 10.01 | 3.33 | -0.33 |
| 80 | New Mexico State | Western Athletic | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.81 | -2.71 | 6.99 | 3.11 | -0.11 |
| 81 | Duke | ACC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.73 | -4.57 | 10.33 | 2.81 | 0.19 |
| 82 | Utah State | Western Athletic | 2-5 | 0.29 | 8.52 | 8 | 9.07 | 4.52 | -2.52 |
| 83 | San José State | Western Athletic | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.39 | -8.86 | 14.07 | 2.14 | 0.86 |
| 84 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.38 | -10.57 | 13.59 | 2.07 | 0.93 |
| 85 | Western Kentucky | Sun Belt | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.25 | -3.86 | 6.19 | 2.83 | 0.17 |
| 86 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.15 | -12.71 | 12.6 | 1.83 | 1.17 |
| 87 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.14 | -9.71 | 13.72 | 2.18 | 0.82 |
| 88 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.03 | -8.71 | 6.44 | 2.2 | 0.8 |
| 89 | Kentucky | SEC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 7.87 | -10.71 | 10.36 | 1.64 | 1.36 |
| 90 | Navy | FBS Independents | 2-5 | 0.29 | 7.74 | 1.86 | 11.23 | 3.75 | -1.75 |
| 91 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.22 | -7 | 10.12 | 2.99 | 0.01 |
| 92 | Marshall | Conference USA | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.09 | -13.62 | 16.55 | 1.54 | 1.46 |
| 93 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.8 | -11.75 | 13.26 | 2.05 | 0.95 |
| 94 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.72 | -1 | 7.57 | 2.89 | -0.89 |
| 95 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.83 | -2.86 | 12.16 | 3.09 | -1.09 |
| 96 | Troy | Sun Belt | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.71 | -12 | 12.48 | 1.61 | 0.39 |
| 97 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.46 | -3.57 | 14.12 | 3.04 | -1.04 |
| 98 | Maryland | ACC | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.43 | -6.43 | 15.19 | 2.57 | -0.57 |
| 99 | Army | FBS Independents | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.36 | -5.29 | 10.48 | 2.74 | -0.74 |
| 100 | Ole Miss | SEC | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.11 | -8.57 | 13.49 | 2.13 | -0.13 |
| 101 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.1 | -5.14 | 10.97 | 2.74 | -0.74 |
| 102 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.1 | -7 | 9.61 | 2.35 | -0.35 |
| 103 | Rice | Conference USA | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.97 | -10.29 | 13.02 | 2.02 | -0.02 |
| 104 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.89 | -9.43 | 10.06 | 1.87 | 0.13 |
| 105 | Kansas | Big 12 | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.61 | -20.29 | 17.66 | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| 106 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.02 | -9.12 | 10.72 | 2.3 | -0.3 |
| 107 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.89 | -10.62 | 10.3 | 2.3 | -0.3 |
| 108 | Tulane | Conference USA | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.7 | -11.38 | 5.48 | 2.27 | -0.27 |
| 109 | Memphis | Conference USA | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.21 | -17.62 | 7.5 | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 110 | Boston College | ACC | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.6 | -7.57 | 12.37 | 2.16 | -1.16 |
| 111 | Idaho | Western Athletic | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.39 | -8.86 | 8.87 | 2.11 | -1.11 |
| 112 | UNLV | Mountain West | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.31 | -25.83 | 11.54 | 0.54 | 0.46 |
| 113 | Kent State | Mid-American | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.94 | -17.29 | 14.12 | 0.65 | 0.35 |
| 114 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.92 | -18.43 | 12.31 | 1.07 | -0.07 |
| 115 | Akron | Mid-American | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.87 | -19.57 | 12.78 | 0.93 | 0.07 |
| 116 | Indiana | Big Ten | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.78 | -12 | 13.89 | 2.06 | -1.06 |
| 117 | UAB | Conference USA | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.72 | -16.71 | 9.78 | 1.01 | -0.01 |
| 118 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.49 | -17.75 | 16.77 | 1.41 | -0.41 |
| 119 | Florida Atlantic | Sun Belt | 0-7 | 0 | -2.61 | -22.71 | 12.74 | 0.5 | -0.5 |
| 120 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 0-7 | 0 | -2.85 | -32.43 | 11.5 | 0.44 | -0.44 |