Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:35.316498+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 8-0 | 1 | 26.34 | 23.38 | 13.68 | 6.54 | 1.46 |
| 2 | Alabama | SEC | 8-0 | 1 | 26.31 | 32.5 | 12.2 | 7.87 | 0.13 |
| 3 | Boise State | Mountain West | 7-0 | 1 | 26.24 | 27.14 | 12.56 | 6.38 | 0.62 |
| 4 | LSU | SEC | 8-0 | 1 | 26.01 | 27.75 | 11.32 | 7.59 | 0.41 |
| 5 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 8-0 | 1 | 25.9 | 32.5 | 10.25 | 7.41 | 0.59 |
| 6 | Houston | Conference USA | 8-0 | 1 | 24.92 | 27.5 | 6.17 | 6.84 | 1.16 |
| 7 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 7-1 | 0.88 | 23.83 | 26.88 | 15.05 | 7.11 | -0.11 |
| 8 | Michigan | Big Ten | 7-1 | 0.88 | 23.22 | 20.12 | 12.86 | 7.09 | -0.09 |
| 9 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.92 | 26.25 | 10.17 | 6.96 | 0.04 |
| 10 | Clemson | ACC | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.74 | 12.33 | 10.09 | 6.45 | 1.55 |
| 11 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.69 | 13.67 | 10.27 | 7.36 | 0.64 |
| 12 | South Carolina | SEC | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.66 | 13 | 11.65 | 6.34 | 0.66 |
| 13 | Penn State | Big Ten | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.65 | 9.33 | 11.66 | 7.11 | 0.89 |
| 14 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.61 | 13.38 | 11.3 | 6.01 | 0.99 |
| 15 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.29 | 17.75 | 8.32 | 6.65 | 0.35 |
| 16 | Arkansas | SEC | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.27 | 14.38 | 9.08 | 6.11 | 0.89 |
| 17 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.18 | 7 | 10.42 | 5.16 | 1.84 |
| 18 | Cincinnati | Big East | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.69 | 22 | 6.49 | 6.03 | -0.03 |
| 19 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.15 | 14.22 | 10.25 | 6.8 | 0.2 |
| 20 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 6-2 | 0.75 | 20 | 29.12 | 9.07 | 7.37 | -1.37 |
| 21 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.62 | 11 | 11.31 | 6.29 | -0.29 |
| 22 | TCU | Mountain West | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.54 | 20.25 | 9.19 | 6.56 | -0.56 |
| 23 | Georgia | SEC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.52 | 10.88 | 11.98 | 5.87 | 0.13 |
| 24 | USC | Pac-12 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.51 | 5.62 | 13.82 | 4.89 | 1.11 |
| 25 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.48 | 14.38 | 10.34 | 6.17 | -0.17 |
| 26 | West Virginia | Big East | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.47 | 12.5 | 11 | 5.73 | 0.27 |
| 27 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19 | 10.75 | 8.78 | 5.9 | 0.1 |
| 28 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 7-2 | 0.78 | 18.79 | 5.11 | 6.32 | 5.4 | 1.6 |
| 29 | Texas | Big 12 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.73 | 10.14 | 13.46 | 4.99 | 0.01 |
| 30 | Washington | Pac-12 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.24 | 2.25 | 10.48 | 4.31 | 1.69 |
| 31 | Illinois | Big Ten | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.54 | 9 | 11.06 | 6.57 | -0.57 |
| 32 | North Carolina | ACC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.41 | 6.44 | 13.2 | 5.7 | 0.3 |
| 33 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 17.24 | 12.25 | 15.69 | 5.67 | -0.67 |
| 34 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 5-3 | 0.62 | 17.02 | 12 | 15.71 | 5.94 | -0.94 |
| 35 | Florida State | ACC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.77 | 18.75 | 11.27 | 6.84 | -1.84 |
| 36 | Toledo | Mid-American | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.56 | 11.5 | 11.96 | 5.68 | -0.68 |
| 37 | BYU | FBS Independents | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.54 | 3.56 | 8.45 | 5.25 | 0.75 |
| 38 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.48 | 6.62 | 14.99 | 5.43 | -0.43 |
| 39 | Temple | Mid-American | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.41 | 18.75 | 7.96 | 7.39 | -2.39 |
| 40 | Rutgers | Big East | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.39 | 9.25 | 10.86 | 5.74 | -0.74 |
| 41 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.12 | 6.88 | 10.31 | 4.91 | 0.09 |
| 42 | Tulsa | Conference USA | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.91 | 4 | 13.87 | 4.64 | 0.36 |
| 43 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 5-2 | 0.71 | 15.83 | 0.14 | 5.83 | 3.52 | 1.48 |
| 44 | SMU | Conference USA | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.82 | 3.38 | 11.64 | 4.64 | 0.36 |
| 45 | Iowa | Big Ten | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.71 | 9.5 | 5.51 | 5.55 | -0.55 |
| 46 | Ohio | Mid-American | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.7 | 11.5 | 5.37 | 5.94 | -0.94 |
| 47 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.67 | 4.12 | 11.31 | 4.64 | 0.36 |
| 48 | Florida International | Sun Belt | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.36 | 3.12 | 9.94 | 4.61 | 0.39 |
| 49 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.28 | 6 | 5.56 | 4.79 | 0.21 |
| 50 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.27 | 7.62 | 4.69 | 5.16 | -0.16 |
| 51 | South Florida | Big East | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.25 | 11.14 | 10.9 | 5 | -1 |
| 52 | Wake Forest | ACC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.23 | 1.38 | 10.88 | 4.22 | 0.78 |
| 53 | Virginia | ACC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.22 | 2.5 | 9.95 | 4.49 | 0.51 |
| 54 | Auburn | SEC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 15.19 | -1.56 | 14.92 | 4.19 | 1.81 |
| 55 | Baylor | Big 12 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.11 | 5 | 13.3 | 4.03 | -0.03 |
| 56 | Syracuse | Big East | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.08 | 0.62 | 12.13 | 4.11 | 0.89 |
| 57 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.55 | 3.71 | 10.32 | 4.06 | -0.06 |
| 58 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.34 | 4.67 | 11.08 | 5.38 | -0.38 |
| 59 | Missouri | Big 12 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.82 | 9.62 | 14.56 | 5.48 | -1.48 |
| 60 | Miami | ACC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.58 | 6.25 | 13.57 | 5.15 | -1.15 |
| 61 | Florida | SEC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.52 | 6.5 | 12.78 | 5.31 | -1.31 |
| 62 | Mississippi State | SEC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.24 | 5.62 | 12.89 | 5.2 | -1.2 |
| 63 | UCF | Conference USA | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.18 | 12.88 | 6.78 | 6.57 | -2.57 |
| 64 | Purdue | Big Ten | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.1 | 5 | 10.47 | 4.95 | -0.95 |
| 65 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.87 | 2.5 | 12.63 | 4.49 | -0.49 |
| 66 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 5-3 | 0.62 | 12.66 | -4.5 | 7.5 | 3.06 | 1.94 |
| 67 | Utah | Pac-12 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.64 | 2.62 | 12.16 | 4.56 | -0.56 |
| 68 | California | Pac-12 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.59 | 2.38 | 9.83 | 4.41 | -0.41 |
| 69 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.57 | 3 | 10.45 | 4.57 | -0.57 |
| 70 | Air Force | Mountain West | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.41 | 4 | 7.9 | 4.57 | -0.57 |
| 71 | Louisville | Big East | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.22 | 1.38 | 11.79 | 4.38 | -0.38 |
| 72 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12 | 1.12 | 10.16 | 4.19 | -0.19 |
| 73 | UTEP | Conference USA | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.79 | 0 | 11.44 | 4 | 0 |
| 74 | Ball State | Mid-American | 5-4 | 0.56 | 11.11 | -10.44 | 10.95 | 2.61 | 2.39 |
| 75 | NC State | ACC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.02 | -1.12 | 9.13 | 3.81 | 0.19 |
| 76 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.07 | -5.88 | 12.69 | 3.04 | 0.96 |
| 77 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.07 | -7.12 | 14.18 | 2.84 | 1.16 |
| 78 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10 | -6.88 | 13.15 | 2.89 | 1.11 |
| 79 | Western Kentucky | Sun Belt | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10 | -3 | 6.38 | 3.42 | 0.58 |
| 80 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.55 | -1.11 | 8.54 | 4.28 | -0.28 |
| 81 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 3-5 | 0.38 | 9.41 | 1.25 | 8.86 | 4.18 | -1.18 |
| 82 | Army | FBS Independents | 3-5 | 0.38 | 9.31 | 2.25 | 8 | 4.37 | -1.37 |
| 83 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 3-5 | 0.38 | 8.68 | 0.12 | 10.1 | 4.02 | -1.02 |
| 84 | Marshall | Conference USA | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.67 | -7.11 | 14.56 | 3.01 | 0.99 |
| 85 | UConn | Big East | 3-5 | 0.38 | 8.52 | -0.5 | 9.36 | 3.89 | -0.89 |
| 86 | Tennessee | SEC | 3-5 | 0.38 | 8.5 | -1.5 | 15.67 | 3.69 | -0.69 |
| 87 | Utah State | Western Athletic | 2-5 | 0.29 | 8.37 | 8 | 8.84 | 4.52 | -2.52 |
| 88 | Duke | ACC | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.55 | -4.5 | 11.52 | 3.16 | -0.16 |
| 89 | New Mexico State | Western Athletic | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.43 | -4.12 | 8.34 | 3.36 | -0.36 |
| 90 | San José State | Western Athletic | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.18 | -9 | 13.51 | 2.47 | 0.53 |
| 91 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.17 | -4.75 | 9.23 | 3.04 | -0.04 |
| 92 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.11 | -7 | 10.33 | 2.99 | 0.01 |
| 93 | Kentucky | SEC | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.88 | -10.88 | 10.92 | 1.85 | 1.15 |
| 94 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.83 | -8 | 5.82 | 2.69 | 0.31 |
| 95 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.7 | -13 | 13.23 | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| 96 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.62 | -9.33 | 9.9 | 2.76 | 0.24 |
| 97 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.39 | -4.43 | 9.58 | 2.93 | -0.93 |
| 98 | Troy | Sun Belt | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.88 | -10.71 | 13.24 | 1.98 | 0.02 |
| 99 | Navy | FBS Independents | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.77 | -3.62 | 11.87 | 3.46 | -1.46 |
| 100 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.61 | -4.5 | 14.73 | 3.35 | -1.35 |
| 101 | Maryland | ACC | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.26 | -7 | 12.88 | 2.82 | -0.82 |
| 102 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.2 | -6.5 | 10.16 | 2.8 | -0.8 |
| 103 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.18 | -6.88 | 10.67 | 2.8 | -0.8 |
| 104 | Boston College | ACC | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.17 | -5.25 | 10.95 | 2.92 | -0.92 |
| 105 | UNLV | Mountain West | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.04 | -21.71 | 10.72 | 0.98 | 1.02 |
| 106 | Ole Miss | SEC | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.04 | -9.75 | 13.93 | 2.3 | -0.3 |
| 107 | Rice | Conference USA | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.81 | -13.88 | 15.15 | 2.01 | -0.01 |
| 108 | Kent State | Mid-American | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.56 | -13.62 | 13.46 | 1.21 | 0.79 |
| 109 | Kansas | Big 12 | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.46 | -23.12 | 17.05 | 1.47 | 0.53 |
| 110 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.43 | -16 | 12.97 | 1.45 | 0.55 |
| 111 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.11 | -11.22 | 9.72 | 2.24 | -0.24 |
| 112 | Tulane | Conference USA | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.96 | -12.44 | 6.87 | 2.35 | -0.35 |
| 113 | Memphis | Conference USA | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.62 | -20.22 | 8.18 | 1.01 | 0.99 |
| 114 | Idaho | Western Athletic | 1-7 | 0.12 | 1.02 | -8 | 9.47 | 2.48 | -1.48 |
| 115 | Akron | Mid-American | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.47 | -17.25 | 11.38 | 1.27 | -0.27 |
| 116 | Indiana | Big Ten | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.45 | -13 | 12.44 | 2.33 | -1.33 |
| 117 | UAB | Conference USA | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.34 | -20.25 | 9.61 | 0.92 | 0.08 |
| 118 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.14 | -19.56 | 16.49 | 1.4 | -0.4 |
| 119 | Florida Atlantic | Sun Belt | 0-7 | 0 | -2.6 | -22.71 | 13.06 | 0.5 | -0.5 |
| 120 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 0-8 | 0 | -2.86 | -33.62 | 11.26 | 0.38 | -0.38 |