Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:35.562938+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alabama | SEC | 9-0 | 1 | 26.5 | 29.33 | 14.31 | 8.71 | 0.29 |
| 2 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 9-0 | 1 | 26.11 | 15 | 14.91 | 7.89 | 1.11 |
| 3 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 9-0 | 1 | 25.77 | 25.78 | 11.23 | 7.99 | 1.01 |
| 4 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 9-0 | 1 | 25.67 | 31.44 | 10.03 | 7.97 | 1.03 |
| 5 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 10-0 | 1 | 25.39 | 16 | 11.15 | 7.71 | 2.29 |
| 6 | Louisville | Big East | 9-0 | 1 | 24.05 | 11.67 | 5.72 | 6.57 | 2.43 |
| 7 | Florida | SEC | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.48 | 13.89 | 15.24 | 7.73 | 0.27 |
| 8 | Georgia | SEC | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.79 | 15.89 | 11.01 | 7.13 | 0.87 |
| 9 | Florida State | ACC | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.64 | 32.78 | 7.06 | 8.62 | -0.62 |
| 10 | Clemson | ACC | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.59 | 18.89 | 9.19 | 7.2 | 0.8 |
| 11 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.51 | 8.12 | 13.51 | 5.65 | 1.35 |
| 12 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.13 | 18.33 | 6.81 | 6.61 | 1.39 |
| 13 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 9-1 | 0.9 | 21.84 | 22.7 | 3.14 | 8.74 | 0.26 |
| 14 | Rutgers | Big East | 7-1 | 0.88 | 21.66 | 11.75 | 7.07 | 6.45 | 0.55 |
| 15 | Toledo | Mid-American | 8-1 | 0.89 | 21.48 | 7.67 | 6.48 | 5.81 | 2.19 |
| 16 | Kent State | Mid-American | 8-1 | 0.89 | 21.22 | 9.56 | 4.24 | 6.17 | 1.83 |
| 17 | Ohio | Mid-American | 8-1 | 0.89 | 21.16 | 13.11 | 2.68 | 6.74 | 1.26 |
| 18 | Texas A&M | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.85 | 23.67 | 12.95 | 7.71 | -0.71 |
| 19 | South Carolina | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.47 | 13.67 | 12.91 | 7.1 | -0.1 |
| 20 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.44 | 12.78 | 13.28 | 7.16 | -0.16 |
| 21 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.39 | 12.78 | 12.97 | 6.53 | 0.47 |
| 22 | Utah State | Western Athletic | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.3 | 18.5 | 7.86 | 8.85 | -0.85 |
| 23 | LSU | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.3 | 14.11 | 11.04 | 7.42 | -0.42 |
| 24 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.26 | 13.56 | 12.02 | 6.72 | 0.28 |
| 25 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 20.07 | 21.75 | 12.81 | 6.96 | -0.96 |
| 26 | Texas | Big 12 | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.06 | 8.78 | 12.66 | 5.77 | 1.23 |
| 27 | Boise State | Mountain West | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.93 | 13 | 9.13 | 7.39 | -0.39 |
| 28 | San José State | Western Athletic | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.86 | 12.33 | 9.84 | 6.71 | 0.29 |
| 29 | Mississippi State | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.76 | 11.11 | 8.68 | 6.69 | 0.31 |
| 30 | UCF | Conference USA | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.69 | 15.78 | 7.67 | 7.12 | -0.12 |
| 31 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.65 | 8.11 | 10.24 | 6.08 | 0.92 |
| 32 | Tulsa | Conference USA | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.36 | 11.89 | 5.94 | 6.45 | 0.55 |
| 33 | Cincinnati | Big East | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.18 | 14.38 | 9.21 | 6.27 | -0.27 |
| 34 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.15 | 16.7 | 9.1 | 7.95 | -0.95 |
| 35 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 18.02 | 12.11 | 13.69 | 6.39 | -0.39 |
| 36 | Michigan | Big Ten | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.93 | 12 | 14.31 | 7.04 | -1.04 |
| 37 | Penn State | Big Ten | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.75 | 11.44 | 13.25 | 6.94 | -0.94 |
| 38 | North Carolina | ACC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.73 | 18.44 | 10.16 | 7.35 | -1.35 |
| 39 | USC | Pac-12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.69 | 12.56 | 11.28 | 6.56 | -0.56 |
| 40 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.58 | 9.4 | 8.15 | 6.77 | 0.23 |
| 41 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.26 | 8.33 | 10.94 | 6.44 | -0.44 |
| 42 | TCU | Big 12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.2 | 9.78 | 10.15 | 6.22 | -0.22 |
| 43 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.09 | 9.11 | 8.63 | 5.93 | 0.07 |
| 44 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.92 | 16.75 | 12.5 | 6.13 | -1.13 |
| 45 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.74 | 6.44 | 8.99 | 5.6 | 0.4 |
| 46 | Western Kentucky | Sun Belt | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.72 | 5.56 | 8.47 | 5.59 | 0.41 |
| 47 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.56 | 7.78 | 6.28 | 6.54 | -0.54 |
| 48 | Nevada | Mountain West | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.38 | 7.67 | 4.99 | 5.62 | 0.38 |
| 49 | Navy | FBS Independents | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.35 | 2.22 | 11.12 | 4.99 | 1.01 |
| 50 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 6-3 | 0.67 | 15.85 | 1.89 | 8 | 4.84 | 1.16 |
| 51 | Ball State | Mid-American | 6-3 | 0.67 | 15.65 | 0.33 | 10.64 | 4.55 | 1.45 |
| 52 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.55 | 6.75 | 8.36 | 4.99 | 0.01 |
| 53 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.2 | 1 | 12.82 | 4.12 | 0.88 |
| 54 | BYU | FBS Independents | 5-4 | 0.56 | 15.03 | 11.67 | 11.58 | 7.24 | -2.24 |
| 55 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 15.02 | 13.78 | 9.86 | 6.76 | -1.76 |
| 56 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.58 | 3 | 14.99 | 5.19 | -0.19 |
| 57 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.46 | 8.33 | 9.63 | 6.47 | -1.47 |
| 58 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.15 | 0.89 | 16.36 | 4.63 | 0.37 |
| 59 | Ole Miss | SEC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.86 | 2.11 | 10.39 | 4.89 | 0.11 |
| 60 | Air Force | Mountain West | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.74 | 4 | 6 | 5.18 | -0.18 |
| 61 | NC State | ACC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.48 | 1.33 | 8.74 | 4.79 | 0.21 |
| 62 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 5-5 | 0.5 | 13.29 | 3.4 | 15.71 | 6.1 | -1.1 |
| 63 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 6-4 | 0.6 | 13.13 | -0.4 | 7.57 | 4.92 | 1.08 |
| 64 | Duke | ACC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 13.07 | -1.9 | 10.12 | 4.64 | 1.36 |
| 65 | Baylor | Big 12 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.88 | 4.62 | 11.49 | 4.53 | -0.53 |
| 66 | UTSA | Western Athletic | 5-4 | 0.56 | 12.85 | 0.89 | 4.66 | 4.66 | 0.34 |
| 67 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 5-4 | 0.56 | 12.55 | -0.56 | 9.51 | 4.38 | 0.62 |
| 68 | Miami | ACC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 12.03 | -2.89 | 14.03 | 3.96 | 1.04 |
| 69 | Washington | Pac-12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 11.74 | -5.67 | 15.57 | 3.24 | 1.76 |
| 70 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.64 | 6.11 | 9.35 | 5.75 | -1.75 |
| 71 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.59 | 6.89 | 9.47 | 5.65 | -1.65 |
| 72 | Utah | Pac-12 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.53 | 4.56 | 12.58 | 5.49 | -1.49 |
| 73 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.4 | 2.44 | 12.77 | 5 | -1 |
| 74 | Indiana | Big Ten | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.35 | 4.22 | 10.36 | 5.22 | -1.22 |
| 75 | Wake Forest | ACC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 11.16 | -6.33 | 9.96 | 3.17 | 1.83 |
| 76 | Tennessee | SEC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.1 | 1.33 | 14.9 | 4.7 | -0.7 |
| 77 | SMU | Conference USA | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.82 | 1.78 | 8.26 | 4.82 | -0.82 |
| 78 | Syracuse | Big East | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.59 | 0.33 | 12.29 | 4.57 | -0.57 |
| 79 | Missouri | SEC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.45 | -0.11 | 14.64 | 4.47 | -0.47 |
| 80 | Troy | Sun Belt | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.18 | 0.11 | 9.05 | 4.52 | -0.52 |
| 81 | Iowa | Big Ten | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.79 | -1 | 12.36 | 4.25 | -0.25 |
| 82 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 4-6 | 0.4 | 9.48 | 0.7 | 10.12 | 5.14 | -1.14 |
| 83 | Maryland | ACC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.21 | -1.78 | 7.57 | 4.05 | -0.05 |
| 84 | Marshall | Conference USA | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.14 | -1.78 | 9.27 | 4.27 | -0.27 |
| 85 | Arkansas | SEC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.1 | -3 | 12.87 | 3.92 | 0.08 |
| 86 | Houston | Conference USA | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.04 | -3.22 | 10.2 | 4.01 | -0.01 |
| 87 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.16 | -11.33 | 10.3 | 2.52 | 1.48 |
| 88 | Rice | Conference USA | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.04 | -2.6 | 9.79 | 4.53 | -0.53 |
| 89 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.91 | -4.2 | 9.55 | 4.15 | -0.15 |
| 90 | Temple | Big East | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.16 | -7.5 | 11.33 | 2.68 | 0.32 |
| 91 | South Florida | Big East | 3-6 | 0.33 | 7.05 | -1.11 | 13.37 | 4.27 | -1.27 |
| 92 | Purdue | Big Ten | 3-6 | 0.33 | 7.04 | -1.78 | 12.97 | 4.18 | -1.18 |
| 93 | Texas State | Western Athletic | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.99 | -9 | 10.82 | 2.49 | 0.51 |
| 94 | UConn | Big East | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.7 | -2 | 9.02 | 3.9 | -0.9 |
| 95 | Virginia | ACC | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.08 | -5.33 | 12.1 | 3.4 | -0.4 |
| 96 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.04 | -7.33 | 12.16 | 2.95 | 0.05 |
| 97 | California | Pac-12 | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.94 | -3.1 | 13.04 | 4.3 | -1.3 |
| 98 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.77 | -9.67 | 10.95 | 2.95 | 0.05 |
| 99 | UAB | Conference USA | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.35 | -6.22 | 10.35 | 3.5 | -1.5 |
| 100 | Auburn | SEC | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.3 | -8.11 | 15.86 | 2.72 | -0.72 |
| 101 | Boston College | ACC | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.28 | -8.78 | 10.84 | 2.81 | -0.81 |
| 102 | UTEP | Conference USA | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.21 | -9.78 | 12.57 | 2.46 | -0.46 |
| 103 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.2 | -9.67 | 10.4 | 2.51 | -0.51 |
| 104 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.18 | -8.33 | 11.84 | 3.09 | -1.09 |
| 105 | Army | FBS Independents | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.13 | -8.56 | 10.58 | 3.06 | -1.06 |
| 106 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.13 | -9.78 | 14.31 | 2.6 | -0.6 |
| 107 | Florida Atlantic | Sun Belt | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.07 | -12.11 | 12.34 | 2.07 | -0.07 |
| 108 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.01 | -11.89 | 8.96 | 2.26 | -0.26 |
| 109 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3 | -12.78 | 9.9 | 2.05 | -0.05 |
| 110 | Illinois | Big Ten | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.97 | -14.67 | 13.62 | 1.8 | 0.2 |
| 111 | UNLV | Mountain West | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.85 | -7.3 | 13.13 | 3.49 | -1.49 |
| 112 | Tulane | Conference USA | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.78 | -18 | 12.85 | 1.73 | 0.27 |
| 113 | Florida International | Sun Belt | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.77 | -8.4 | 13.92 | 3.34 | -1.34 |
| 114 | Akron | Mid-American | 1-9 | 0.1 | 0.44 | -9.5 | 11.66 | 3.32 | -2.32 |
| 115 | Kansas | Big 12 | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.37 | -14.44 | 14.37 | 1.69 | -0.69 |
| 116 | New Mexico State | Western Athletic | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.33 | -15 | 9.03 | 1.85 | -0.85 |
| 117 | Memphis | Conference USA | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.3 | -15.44 | 10.43 | 1.74 | -0.74 |
| 118 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.27 | -22.38 | 11.1 | 1.17 | -0.17 |
| 119 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.22 | -17.33 | 12.4 | 1.74 | -0.74 |
| 120 | Kentucky | SEC | 1-9 | 0.1 | 0.02 | -16.8 | 18.52 | 1.58 | -0.58 |
| 121 | Idaho | Western Athletic | 1-8 | 0.11 | -0.1 | -26.33 | 10.9 | 0.79 | 0.21 |
| 122 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 1-8 | 0.11 | -0.2 | -30.11 | 12.87 | 0.68 | 0.32 |
| 123 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 0-9 | 0 | -2.47 | -19 | 14.5 | 1.48 | -1.48 |
| 124 | Massachusetts | Mid-American | 0-9 | 0 | -2.91 | -34.11 | 13.82 | 0.26 | -0.26 |