Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:35.563379+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 10-0 | 1 | 25.74 | 15 | 13.71 | 8.84 | 1.16 |
| 2 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 10-0 | 1 | 25.57 | 24.5 | 11.04 | 8.87 | 1.13 |
| 3 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 10-0 | 1 | 25.42 | 32.5 | 9.22 | 8.94 | 1.06 |
| 4 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 10-0 | 1 | 25.23 | 16 | 10.99 | 7.71 | 2.29 |
| 5 | Alabama | SEC | 9-1 | 0.9 | 24.03 | 25.9 | 14.31 | 9.45 | -0.45 |
| 6 | Florida | SEC | 9-1 | 0.9 | 23.56 | 13.2 | 15.26 | 8.42 | 0.58 |
| 7 | Georgia | SEC | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.9 | 18.1 | 10.33 | 8.32 | 0.68 |
| 8 | Clemson | ACC | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.77 | 20.5 | 9.13 | 8.23 | 0.77 |
| 9 | Florida State | ACC | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.74 | 30.1 | 7.41 | 9.45 | -0.45 |
| 10 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.25 | 17.2 | 6.99 | 7.15 | 1.85 |
| 11 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 9-1 | 0.9 | 21.81 | 22.7 | 3.49 | 8.74 | 0.26 |
| 12 | Louisville | Big East | 9-1 | 0.9 | 21.76 | 8.6 | 6.37 | 6.71 | 2.29 |
| 13 | Rutgers | Big East | 8-1 | 0.89 | 21.71 | 12.78 | 6.41 | 7.47 | 0.53 |
| 14 | Kent State | Mid-American | 9-1 | 0.9 | 21.54 | 10.2 | 5.19 | 6.91 | 2.09 |
| 15 | Texas A&M | SEC | 8-2 | 0.8 | 21.33 | 21.8 | 13.93 | 8.42 | -0.42 |
| 16 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.85 | 12.4 | 13.58 | 7.22 | 0.78 |
| 17 | South Carolina | SEC | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.82 | 14.1 | 12.82 | 7.93 | 0.07 |
| 18 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.79 | 11.9 | 13.39 | 7.77 | 0.23 |
| 19 | LSU | SEC | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.75 | 14.7 | 12.2 | 8.29 | -0.29 |
| 20 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.55 | 20.22 | 12.33 | 7.59 | -0.59 |
| 21 | Texas | Big 12 | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.51 | 10.5 | 12.3 | 6.75 | 1.25 |
| 22 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.46 | 13 | 10.94 | 7.31 | 0.69 |
| 23 | Utah State | Western Athletic | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.25 | 18.5 | 7.97 | 8.85 | -0.85 |
| 24 | San José State | Western Athletic | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.21 | 15.1 | 8.78 | 7.91 | 0.09 |
| 25 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.17 | 6.78 | 14.27 | 6.05 | 0.95 |
| 26 | Boise State | Mountain West | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.16 | 15.2 | 8.39 | 8.47 | -0.47 |
| 27 | UCF | Conference USA | 8-2 | 0.8 | 19.96 | 14.9 | 7.32 | 7.79 | 0.21 |
| 28 | Tulsa | Conference USA | 8-2 | 0.8 | 19.82 | 14.1 | 6.74 | 7.56 | 0.44 |
| 29 | Cincinnati | Big East | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.69 | 15.44 | 8.28 | 7.25 | -0.25 |
| 30 | Toledo | Mid-American | 8-2 | 0.8 | 19.52 | 6.2 | 7.73 | 6.19 | 1.81 |
| 31 | Ohio | Mid-American | 8-2 | 0.8 | 19.33 | 10.6 | 4.28 | 7.12 | 0.88 |
| 32 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.78 | 16.64 | 9.37 | 8.63 | -0.63 |
| 33 | Michigan | Big Ten | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.49 | 11.5 | 13.93 | 7.61 | -0.61 |
| 34 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.37 | 10.27 | 9.01 | 7.68 | 0.32 |
| 35 | USC | Pac-12 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.26 | 13.4 | 11.52 | 7.44 | -0.44 |
| 36 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.21 | 11.6 | 11.81 | 6.99 | 0.01 |
| 37 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.01 | 12.3 | 10.36 | 7.82 | -0.82 |
| 38 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.88 | 17.22 | 12.54 | 6.89 | -0.89 |
| 39 | Mississippi State | SEC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.8 | 8 | 10.13 | 6.8 | 0.2 |
| 40 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.76 | 6.6 | 10.81 | 6.41 | 0.59 |
| 41 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.61 | 8 | 9.77 | 6.49 | 0.51 |
| 42 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.29 | 8.2 | 7.33 | 7.37 | -0.37 |
| 43 | Ball State | Mid-American | 7-3 | 0.7 | 16.77 | 1 | 12.41 | 5.18 | 1.82 |
| 44 | Penn State | Big Ten | 6-4 | 0.6 | 16.06 | 9.4 | 13.6 | 7.25 | -1.25 |
| 45 | North Carolina | ACC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.94 | 14.8 | 9.98 | 7.46 | -1.46 |
| 46 | BYU | FBS Independents | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.86 | 14.4 | 10.51 | 8.4 | -2.4 |
| 47 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 6-3 | 0.67 | 15.78 | 1.89 | 7.48 | 4.84 | 1.16 |
| 48 | TCU | Big 12 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.57 | 7.5 | 11.06 | 6.56 | -0.56 |
| 49 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.35 | 7.6 | 10.11 | 6.97 | -0.97 |
| 50 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.32 | 3.3 | 14.65 | 5.54 | 0.46 |
| 51 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.29 | 6 | 9.92 | 6.06 | -0.06 |
| 52 | NC State | ACC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.81 | 4.3 | 8.98 | 6.03 | -0.03 |
| 53 | Western Kentucky | Sun Belt | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.81 | 4.1 | 7.97 | 5.88 | 0.12 |
| 54 | Nevada | Mountain West | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.79 | 5.3 | 6.58 | 5.85 | 0.15 |
| 55 | Navy | FBS Independents | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.44 | 1 | 11.1 | 5.23 | 0.77 |
| 56 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.22 | 5.22 | 9.56 | 5.4 | -0.4 |
| 57 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 6-4 | 0.6 | 13.97 | 0.9 | 8.76 | 5.23 | 0.77 |
| 58 | UTSA | Western Athletic | 6-4 | 0.6 | 13.6 | 1.5 | 3.39 | 5.3 | 0.7 |
| 59 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 13.46 | 10.3 | 10.68 | 6.96 | -1.96 |
| 60 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 6-4 | 0.6 | 13.16 | -0.4 | 7.77 | 4.92 | 1.08 |
| 61 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 5-5 | 0.5 | 13.12 | 3.4 | 15.41 | 6.1 | -1.1 |
| 62 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 13.09 | 8 | 10.32 | 6.36 | -1.36 |
| 63 | Washington | Pac-12 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 12.94 | -3.2 | 14.58 | 4.2 | 1.8 |
| 64 | Duke | ACC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 12.89 | -1.9 | 10.51 | 4.64 | 1.36 |
| 65 | Syracuse | Big East | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.52 | 2.2 | 13.02 | 5.48 | -0.48 |
| 66 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 12.5 | -1.44 | 13.24 | 4.31 | 0.69 |
| 67 | Ole Miss | SEC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.4 | 1.8 | 11.3 | 5.37 | -0.37 |
| 68 | SMU | Conference USA | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.38 | 4.4 | 7.35 | 5.91 | -0.91 |
| 69 | Air Force | Mountain West | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.05 | 1.7 | 7.83 | 5.34 | -0.34 |
| 70 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.05 | 0.1 | 15.01 | 5.03 | -0.03 |
| 71 | Troy | Sun Belt | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.88 | 1.1 | 9.79 | 5.21 | -0.21 |
| 72 | Missouri | SEC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.87 | 0.2 | 14.35 | 5.05 | -0.05 |
| 73 | Baylor | Big 12 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.39 | 3.22 | 11.71 | 4.92 | -0.92 |
| 74 | Miami | ACC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.66 | -2.7 | 12.81 | 4.47 | 0.53 |
| 75 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 4-6 | 0.4 | 10.46 | 4.8 | 8.83 | 6.12 | -2.12 |
| 76 | Utah | Pac-12 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 10.27 | 2.2 | 12.15 | 5.53 | -1.53 |
| 77 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 4-6 | 0.4 | 10.22 | 1.6 | 13.7 | 5.37 | -1.37 |
| 78 | Tennessee | SEC | 4-6 | 0.4 | 9.97 | 0.9 | 13.76 | 5.14 | -1.14 |
| 79 | Wake Forest | ACC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 9.67 | -8.8 | 10.12 | 2.97 | 2.03 |
| 80 | Indiana | Big Ten | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.74 | -1 | 10.74 | 4.81 | -0.81 |
| 81 | Iowa | Big Ten | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.64 | -1.2 | 11.38 | 4.67 | -0.67 |
| 82 | Purdue | Big Ten | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.56 | -1.3 | 12.61 | 4.73 | -0.73 |
| 83 | UConn | Big East | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.38 | -1.1 | 9.05 | 4.64 | -0.64 |
| 84 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 4-7 | 0.36 | 8.32 | 0.18 | 8.95 | 5.54 | -1.54 |
| 85 | Marshall | Conference USA | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.1 | -2.3 | 8.17 | 4.66 | -0.66 |
| 86 | Rice | Conference USA | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.06 | -2.6 | 9.38 | 4.53 | -0.53 |
| 87 | Arkansas | SEC | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.02 | -4.5 | 13.31 | 4.05 | -0.05 |
| 88 | Virginia | ACC | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.77 | -4.7 | 11.76 | 3.98 | 0.02 |
| 89 | Houston | Conference USA | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.69 | -6.3 | 11.33 | 3.91 | 0.09 |
| 90 | Maryland | ACC | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.68 | -5.1 | 8.72 | 3.62 | 0.38 |
| 91 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.61 | -5.6 | 10.97 | 3.64 | 0.36 |
| 92 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.26 | -8.4 | 9.85 | 3.49 | 0.51 |
| 93 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.22 | -11.8 | 11.41 | 2.79 | 1.21 |
| 94 | South Florida | Big East | 3-6 | 0.33 | 7.08 | -1.11 | 12.76 | 4.27 | -1.27 |
| 95 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.85 | -4.27 | 8.5 | 4.53 | -0.53 |
| 96 | Texas State | Western Athletic | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.84 | -8.78 | 11.5 | 3.02 | -0.02 |
| 97 | Temple | Big East | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.82 | -9.33 | 11.92 | 2.65 | 0.35 |
| 98 | UAB | Conference USA | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.32 | -4.9 | 9.7 | 4.13 | -1.13 |
| 99 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.14 | -7 | 11.06 | 3.65 | -0.65 |
| 100 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.12 | -8.3 | 13.45 | 3.18 | -0.18 |
| 101 | Florida Atlantic | Sun Belt | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.95 | -10 | 12.47 | 2.77 | 0.23 |
| 102 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.9 | -8.5 | 8.57 | 3.13 | -0.13 |
| 103 | California | Pac-12 | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.76 | -6.64 | 14.28 | 3.94 | -0.94 |
| 104 | Florida International | Sun Belt | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.86 | -8.4 | 13.55 | 3.34 | -1.34 |
| 105 | Boston College | ACC | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.79 | -9.4 | 12.81 | 2.9 | -0.9 |
| 106 | UTEP | Conference USA | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.77 | -9.5 | 12.63 | 2.82 | -0.82 |
| 107 | Auburn | SEC | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.74 | -11.1 | 16.11 | 2.36 | -0.36 |
| 108 | Army | FBS Independents | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.73 | -9.8 | 11.63 | 3.11 | -1.11 |
| 109 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.69 | -9.7 | 9.2 | 2.74 | -0.74 |
| 110 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.56 | -12.3 | 11.4 | 2.49 | -0.49 |
| 111 | Illinois | Big Ten | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.48 | -14.6 | 13.89 | 1.86 | 0.14 |
| 112 | Memphis | Conference USA | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.4 | -12.5 | 9.93 | 2.44 | -0.44 |
| 113 | UNLV | Mountain West | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.36 | -8.64 | 11.5 | 3.52 | -1.52 |
| 114 | Tulane | Conference USA | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.29 | -17.6 | 11.32 | 1.97 | 0.03 |
| 115 | Akron | Mid-American | 1-10 | 0.09 | 0.21 | -9.36 | 10.49 | 3.6 | -2.6 |
| 116 | Kansas | Big 12 | 1-9 | 0.1 | 0.17 | -13.7 | 15.08 | 2.13 | -1.13 |
| 117 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 1-9 | 0.1 | 0.05 | -15.9 | 11.53 | 2.16 | -1.16 |
| 118 | Kentucky | SEC | 1-9 | 0.1 | 0 | -16.8 | 18.25 | 1.58 | -0.58 |
| 119 | New Mexico State | Western Athletic | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.01 | -17.5 | 10.06 | 1.68 | -0.68 |
| 120 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 1-8 | 0.11 | -0.02 | -23.78 | 11.74 | 1.19 | -0.19 |
| 121 | Idaho | Western Athletic | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.37 | -27.6 | 11.21 | 0.81 | 0.19 |
| 122 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.43 | -29.6 | 12.74 | 0.88 | 0.12 |
| 123 | Massachusetts | Mid-American | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.56 | -29.9 | 12.81 | 0.44 | 0.56 |
| 124 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 0-10 | 0 | -2.49 | -19.9 | 14.53 | 1.45 | -1.45 |