Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:35.563815+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 11-0 | 1 | 25.63 | 17.09 | 13.22 | 10.04 | 0.96 |
| 2 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 11-0 | 1 | 25.17 | 15.18 | 11.37 | 8.46 | 2.54 |
| 3 | Alabama | SEC | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.67 | 28 | 11.85 | 10.55 | -0.55 |
| 4 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.49 | 29.27 | 10.37 | 9.71 | 0.29 |
| 5 | Florida | SEC | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.38 | 14.09 | 13.14 | 9.53 | 0.47 |
| 6 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.25 | 19.73 | 10.6 | 9.12 | 0.88 |
| 7 | Clemson | ACC | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.93 | 19.91 | 9.4 | 8.82 | 1.18 |
| 8 | Florida State | ACC | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.82 | 29.82 | 7.14 | 10.38 | -0.38 |
| 9 | Georgia | SEC | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.81 | 19.27 | 8.8 | 9.3 | 0.7 |
| 10 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.21 | 21.27 | 5.29 | 9.46 | 0.54 |
| 11 | Rutgers | Big East | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.05 | 12.2 | 7.81 | 8.35 | 0.65 |
| 12 | Kent State | Mid-American | 10-1 | 0.91 | 21.85 | 9.91 | 6.31 | 7.56 | 2.44 |
| 13 | Louisville | Big East | 9-1 | 0.9 | 21.54 | 8.6 | 6.19 | 6.71 | 2.29 |
| 14 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.28 | 13.45 | 13.47 | 8.16 | 0.84 |
| 15 | Texas A&M | SEC | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.28 | 21.55 | 11.27 | 9.19 | -0.19 |
| 16 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.27 | 11.09 | 14.35 | 8.44 | 0.56 |
| 17 | LSU | SEC | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.07 | 13.91 | 12.08 | 8.82 | 0.18 |
| 18 | South Carolina | SEC | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.93 | 14.36 | 10.99 | 8.86 | 0.14 |
| 19 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.83 | 12.73 | 11 | 7.99 | 1.01 |
| 20 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.79 | 18.3 | 11.89 | 8.04 | -0.04 |
| 21 | Utah State | Western Athletic | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.78 | 17.45 | 9.39 | 9.37 | -0.37 |
| 22 | San José State | Western Athletic | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.64 | 14.27 | 9.42 | 8.65 | 0.35 |
| 23 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.64 | 10.9 | 13.44 | 7.49 | 0.51 |
| 24 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.55 | 15 | 8.09 | 7.59 | 1.41 |
| 25 | Boise State | Mountain West | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.54 | 16.36 | 8.19 | 9.44 | -0.44 |
| 26 | Texas | Big 12 | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.36 | 10.5 | 11.71 | 6.75 | 1.25 |
| 27 | Tulsa | Conference USA | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.26 | 13 | 7.55 | 8.18 | 0.82 |
| 28 | Michigan | Big Ten | 8-3 | 0.73 | 19.11 | 12.73 | 13.33 | 8.57 | -0.57 |
| 29 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.76 | 16.64 | 9.55 | 8.63 | -0.63 |
| 30 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.58 | 19.3 | 12.41 | 7.88 | -0.88 |
| 31 | UCF | Conference USA | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.54 | 13.36 | 8.76 | 8.36 | -0.36 |
| 32 | Mississippi State | SEC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.4 | 10.09 | 9.74 | 7.91 | 0.09 |
| 33 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.33 | 10.27 | 8.99 | 7.68 | 0.32 |
| 34 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.25 | 6.27 | 10.96 | 7 | 1 |
| 35 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.24 | 7.91 | 9.82 | 7.09 | 0.91 |
| 36 | Ball State | Mid-American | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.02 | 3.18 | 12.65 | 6.11 | 1.89 |
| 37 | Toledo | Mid-American | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18 | 5 | 9.71 | 6.57 | 1.43 |
| 38 | Cincinnati | Big East | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.9 | 13.2 | 8.92 | 7.87 | -0.87 |
| 39 | Ohio | Mid-American | 8-3 | 0.73 | 17.65 | 7.36 | 5.48 | 7.11 | 0.89 |
| 40 | USC | Pac-12 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.87 | 11.27 | 12.32 | 7.79 | -0.79 |
| 41 | Penn State | Big Ten | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.78 | 10.64 | 12.69 | 8.16 | -1.16 |
| 42 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.71 | 10.55 | 11.47 | 8.28 | -1.28 |
| 43 | North Carolina | ACC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.63 | 15.64 | 9.42 | 8.39 | -1.39 |
| 44 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 7-3 | 0.7 | 16.46 | 2.5 | 7.15 | 5.52 | 1.48 |
| 45 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.46 | 7.09 | 11.59 | 6.85 | 0.15 |
| 46 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.32 | 9 | 10.13 | 7.96 | -0.96 |
| 47 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.26 | 3.91 | 14.12 | 6.21 | 0.79 |
| 48 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.11 | 7.82 | 9.28 | 7.02 | -0.02 |
| 49 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.98 | 6.82 | 8.25 | 7.63 | -0.63 |
| 50 | Nevada | Mountain West | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.51 | 5.45 | 6.47 | 6.49 | 0.51 |
| 51 | TCU | Big 12 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.41 | 7.5 | 10.79 | 6.56 | -0.56 |
| 52 | Navy | FBS Independents | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.39 | 1.91 | 10.54 | 6.01 | 0.99 |
| 53 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.05 | 5.1 | 10.38 | 5.98 | 0.02 |
| 54 | Washington | Pac-12 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 14.99 | 0.27 | 13.06 | 5.58 | 1.42 |
| 55 | BYU | FBS Independents | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.72 | 12.55 | 11.1 | 8.93 | -2.93 |
| 56 | UTSA | Western Athletic | 7-4 | 0.64 | 14.49 | 2 | 3.01 | 5.94 | 1.06 |
| 57 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.47 | 12.91 | 9.62 | 8.15 | -2.15 |
| 58 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.26 | 8.91 | 10.21 | 7.16 | -1.16 |
| 59 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 7-4 | 0.64 | 14.22 | 0.09 | 7.19 | 5.52 | 1.48 |
| 60 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.8 | 2.64 | 13.48 | 6.21 | -0.21 |
| 61 | Syracuse | Big East | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.69 | 2.36 | 12.81 | 6.06 | -0.06 |
| 62 | NC State | ACC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.54 | 2.64 | 9.84 | 6.13 | -0.13 |
| 63 | Western Kentucky | Sun Belt | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.54 | 3.36 | 8.56 | 6.3 | -0.3 |
| 64 | Air Force | Mountain West | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.17 | 2.82 | 7.1 | 6.15 | -0.15 |
| 65 | Baylor | Big 12 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 13.03 | 5.7 | 12.46 | 5.82 | -0.82 |
| 66 | Miami | ACC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 12.87 | 0.36 | 12.34 | 5.58 | 0.42 |
| 67 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.88 | -1.36 | 9.82 | 5.11 | 0.89 |
| 68 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.83 | 2.82 | 15.54 | 6.49 | -1.49 |
| 69 | Duke | ACC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.45 | -3.36 | 10.75 | 4.81 | 1.19 |
| 70 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.29 | 2.09 | 12.57 | 6.03 | -1.03 |
| 71 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.03 | -1.4 | 13.55 | 4.8 | 0.2 |
| 72 | Ole Miss | SEC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.02 | 1.09 | 11.88 | 5.74 | -0.74 |
| 73 | SMU | Conference USA | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.89 | 2 | 7.18 | 5.96 | -0.96 |
| 74 | Troy | Sun Belt | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.53 | 0.36 | 10.21 | 5.58 | -0.58 |
| 75 | Missouri | SEC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.46 | -0.18 | 13.87 | 5.45 | -0.45 |
| 76 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 4-6 | 0.4 | 10.38 | 4.8 | 8.93 | 6.12 | -2.12 |
| 77 | Rice | Conference USA | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.87 | -0.36 | 9.7 | 5.43 | -0.43 |
| 78 | Purdue | Big Ten | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.77 | -0.91 | 11.52 | 5.29 | -0.29 |
| 79 | Marshall | Conference USA | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.22 | -1.82 | 8.29 | 5.21 | -0.21 |
| 80 | Utah | Pac-12 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 8.96 | 1.09 | 12.19 | 5.79 | -1.79 |
| 81 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.52 | -6.36 | 9.1 | 4.19 | 0.81 |
| 82 | UConn | Big East | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.44 | -1.1 | 9.3 | 4.64 | -0.64 |
| 83 | Wake Forest | ACC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.38 | -11.45 | 11.44 | 2.64 | 2.36 |
| 84 | Tennessee | SEC | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.85 | -1.27 | 13.93 | 5.27 | -1.27 |
| 85 | Temple | Big East | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.58 | -5.3 | 10.55 | 3.89 | 0.11 |
| 86 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 7.24 | -0.33 | 8.86 | 5.92 | -1.92 |
| 87 | Indiana | Big Ten | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.21 | -3 | 11.09 | 4.89 | -0.89 |
| 88 | Iowa | Big Ten | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.16 | -3.36 | 11.62 | 4.52 | -0.52 |
| 89 | Arkansas | SEC | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.77 | -6.91 | 13.27 | 3.92 | 0.08 |
| 90 | Houston | Conference USA | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.75 | -6 | 11.43 | 4.39 | -0.39 |
| 91 | Virginia | ACC | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.72 | -6.45 | 11.69 | 3.96 | 0.04 |
| 92 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.61 | -7.45 | 11.49 | 3.58 | 0.42 |
| 93 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.59 | -6.64 | 11.72 | 3.87 | 0.13 |
| 94 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.58 | -5.91 | 9.96 | 4.22 | -0.22 |
| 95 | Maryland | ACC | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.57 | -7.09 | 10.03 | 3.48 | 0.52 |
| 96 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.26 | -12 | 11.39 | 2.99 | 1.01 |
| 97 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.13 | -4.5 | 8.98 | 4.89 | -0.89 |
| 98 | South Florida | Big East | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.7 | -4.1 | 12.52 | 4.05 | -1.05 |
| 99 | Texas State | Western Athletic | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.08 | -9 | 11.43 | 3.23 | -0.23 |
| 100 | Auburn | SEC | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.62 | -6.09 | 13.33 | 3.85 | -0.85 |
| 101 | Florida International | Sun Belt | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.53 | -6.73 | 12.43 | 4.02 | -1.02 |
| 102 | UAB | Conference USA | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.41 | -7.82 | 8.99 | 3.97 | -0.97 |
| 103 | UTEP | Conference USA | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.32 | -8.55 | 11.25 | 3.38 | -0.38 |
| 104 | Florida Atlantic | Sun Belt | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.3 | -10 | 11.12 | 3.08 | -0.08 |
| 105 | Memphis | Conference USA | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.3 | -8 | 9.6 | 3.62 | -0.62 |
| 106 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.24 | -10.27 | 9.72 | 3.07 | -0.07 |
| 107 | California | Pac-12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.95 | -10.08 | 14.53 | 3.56 | -0.56 |
| 108 | Boston College | ACC | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.31 | -9.18 | 12.1 | 3.25 | -1.25 |
| 109 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.25 | -9.55 | 10.2 | 2.98 | -0.98 |
| 110 | Army | FBS Independents | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.12 | -11.73 | 10.96 | 3.17 | -1.17 |
| 111 | UNLV | Mountain West | 2-10 | 0.17 | 2.12 | -8.33 | 10.94 | 3.9 | -1.9 |
| 112 | Illinois | Big Ten | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.04 | -13.55 | 13.01 | 2.19 | -0.19 |
| 113 | Kentucky | SEC | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.03 | -12.45 | 15.31 | 2.46 | -0.46 |
| 114 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.96 | -14.73 | 11.19 | 2.29 | -0.29 |
| 115 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.89 | -13.91 | 11.31 | 2.68 | -0.68 |
| 116 | Tulane | Conference USA | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.87 | -16.45 | 11.59 | 2.3 | -0.3 |
| 117 | Akron | Mid-American | 1-10 | 0.09 | 0.2 | -9.36 | 10.61 | 3.6 | -2.6 |
| 118 | New Mexico State | Western Athletic | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.03 | -17.5 | 9.76 | 1.68 | -0.68 |
| 119 | Kansas | Big 12 | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.14 | -15 | 14.69 | 2.21 | -1.21 |
| 120 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.22 | -22.8 | 12 | 1.28 | -0.28 |
| 121 | Idaho | Western Athletic | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.55 | -25.73 | 11.53 | 1.07 | -0.07 |
| 122 | Massachusetts | Mid-American | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.62 | -28.09 | 11.84 | 0.59 | 0.41 |
| 123 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.67 | -30.09 | 12.99 | 0.85 | 0.15 |
| 124 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 0-11 | 0 | -2.4 | -18.18 | 13.39 | 1.89 | -1.89 |