Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:35.564245+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 12-0 | 1 | 25.59 | 16.42 | 13.64 | 10.86 | 1.14 |
| 2 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 12-0 | 1 | 25.07 | 14.33 | 11.49 | 9.12 | 2.88 |
| 3 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.73 | 28.83 | 11.4 | 10.55 | 0.45 |
| 4 | Alabama | SEC | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.64 | 29.75 | 10.7 | 11.62 | -0.62 |
| 5 | Florida | SEC | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.63 | 13.83 | 13.88 | 10.19 | 0.81 |
| 6 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.11 | 19.73 | 10.77 | 9.12 | 0.88 |
| 7 | Georgia | SEC | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.08 | 20.33 | 9.31 | 10.32 | 0.68 |
| 8 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 11-1 | 0.92 | 22.35 | 23 | 4.92 | 10.56 | 0.44 |
| 9 | Kent State | Mid-American | 11-1 | 0.92 | 22.28 | 10.92 | 7.5 | 8.54 | 2.46 |
| 10 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.54 | 11.67 | 14.67 | 9.31 | 0.69 |
| 11 | Texas A&M | SEC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.4 | 22.25 | 10.9 | 10.03 | -0.03 |
| 12 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.31 | 12.83 | 12.8 | 8.93 | 1.07 |
| 13 | South Carolina | SEC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.2 | 14 | 11.85 | 9.62 | 0.38 |
| 14 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.2 | 16.91 | 12.39 | 8.51 | 0.49 |
| 15 | Clemson | ACC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.19 | 17.42 | 10.35 | 9.34 | 0.66 |
| 16 | LSU | SEC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.16 | 13.33 | 11.76 | 9.58 | 0.42 |
| 17 | Florida State | ACC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.13 | 26.42 | 8.2 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 | San José State | Western Athletic | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.94 | 13.83 | 10.36 | 9.18 | 0.82 |
| 19 | Utah State | Western Athletic | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.8 | 19 | 8.08 | 10.44 | -0.44 |
| 20 | Boise State | Mountain West | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.44 | 16.36 | 7.85 | 9.44 | -0.44 |
| 21 | Rutgers | Big East | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.1 | 9.18 | 7.85 | 8.48 | 0.52 |
| 22 | Louisville | Big East | 9-2 | 0.82 | 19.78 | 7.55 | 6.77 | 7.2 | 1.8 |
| 23 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.23 | 18 | 9.78 | 9.64 | -0.64 |
| 24 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.2 | 10.17 | 11.8 | 8.24 | 0.76 |
| 25 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.96 | 13 | 9.1 | 7.99 | 1.01 |
| 26 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.92 | 7.73 | 14.33 | 7.43 | 0.57 |
| 27 | UCF | Conference USA | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.91 | 14.33 | 8.8 | 9.24 | -0.24 |
| 28 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.73 | 8.75 | 9.97 | 8.21 | 0.79 |
| 29 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.73 | 10.58 | 9.04 | 8.41 | 0.59 |
| 30 | Texas | Big 12 | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.69 | 8.91 | 12.06 | 7.23 | 0.77 |
| 31 | Tulsa | Conference USA | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.68 | 11.25 | 7.93 | 8.57 | 0.43 |
| 32 | Cincinnati | Big East | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.41 | 13.55 | 8.77 | 8.78 | -0.78 |
| 33 | Ball State | Mid-American | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.39 | 3.5 | 11.8 | 6.75 | 2.25 |
| 34 | Toledo | Mid-American | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.33 | 5.58 | 9.28 | 7.3 | 1.7 |
| 35 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.2 | 7.91 | 9.79 | 7.09 | 0.91 |
| 36 | Michigan | Big Ten | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.74 | 11.25 | 14.1 | 9.03 | -1.03 |
| 37 | Penn State | Big Ten | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.41 | 10 | 12.91 | 8.77 | -0.77 |
| 38 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 17.21 | 17.27 | 12.93 | 8.31 | -1.31 |
| 39 | North Carolina | ACC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.19 | 14.92 | 9.19 | 8.97 | -0.97 |
| 40 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 8-3 | 0.73 | 17.16 | 2.55 | 7.71 | 6.1 | 1.9 |
| 41 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.07 | 11.08 | 9.93 | 9.06 | -1.06 |
| 42 | Mississippi State | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.9 | 7.83 | 9.8 | 8.05 | -0.05 |
| 43 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.69 | 7.67 | 8.94 | 7.68 | 0.32 |
| 44 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.54 | 7.42 | 8 | 8.57 | -0.57 |
| 45 | TCU | Big 12 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.28 | 7.45 | 11.27 | 7.27 | -0.27 |
| 46 | Ohio | Mid-American | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.23 | 4.92 | 7.18 | 7.23 | 0.77 |
| 47 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.98 | 6.64 | 9.6 | 6.85 | 0.15 |
| 48 | Nevada | Mountain West | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.47 | 5.45 | 6.33 | 6.49 | 0.51 |
| 49 | USC | Pac-12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.46 | 9.58 | 13.55 | 8.23 | -1.23 |
| 50 | Navy | FBS Independents | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.38 | 1.91 | 10.55 | 6.01 | 0.99 |
| 51 | BYU | FBS Independents | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.28 | 14.5 | 10.22 | 10.03 | -3.03 |
| 52 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.24 | 9.42 | 11.81 | 8.76 | -1.76 |
| 53 | UTSA | Western Athletic | 8-4 | 0.67 | 15.21 | 2.42 | 3.22 | 6.57 | 1.43 |
| 54 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 8-4 | 0.67 | 15.17 | 0.58 | 7.5 | 6.13 | 1.87 |
| 55 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.08 | 12.42 | 9.57 | 8.74 | -1.74 |
| 56 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.87 | 5.92 | 11.44 | 7.2 | -0.2 |
| 57 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.72 | 3 | 13.95 | 6.6 | 0.4 |
| 58 | Syracuse | Big East | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.5 | 3.67 | 11.75 | 6.94 | 0.06 |
| 59 | NC State | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.21 | 3.83 | 8.98 | 7.02 | -0.02 |
| 60 | Baylor | Big 12 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.19 | 5.82 | 12.54 | 6.41 | -0.41 |
| 61 | Western Kentucky | Sun Belt | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.08 | 3.17 | 8.76 | 6.82 | 0.18 |
| 62 | Miami | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.81 | 0.92 | 11.97 | 6.21 | 0.79 |
| 63 | Washington | Pac-12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.38 | 0 | 11.84 | 6 | 1 |
| 64 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 6-6 | 0.5 | 13.05 | 3.92 | 15.28 | 7.5 | -1.5 |
| 65 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.96 | 5.5 | 11.23 | 7.16 | -1.16 |
| 66 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.48 | 1.83 | 13.02 | 6.54 | -0.54 |
| 67 | Ole Miss | SEC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.48 | 2.42 | 12.62 | 6.58 | -0.58 |
| 68 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.37 | 2.17 | 12.02 | 6.61 | -0.61 |
| 69 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 12.33 | -0.64 | 13.41 | 5.4 | 0.6 |
| 70 | SMU | Conference USA | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.11 | 2.5 | 8.6 | 6.63 | -0.63 |
| 71 | Purdue | Big Ten | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.84 | 0.92 | 11.07 | 6.22 | -0.22 |
| 72 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.72 | 6.27 | 10.43 | 7.14 | -2.14 |
| 73 | Rice | Conference USA | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.45 | 0.42 | 9.24 | 6.09 | -0.09 |
| 74 | Air Force | Mountain West | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.11 | -0.17 | 8.17 | 5.96 | 0.04 |
| 75 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.36 | -2.58 | 9.93 | 5.19 | 0.81 |
| 76 | Utah | Pac-12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 10.29 | 1.58 | 11.23 | 6.43 | -1.43 |
| 77 | Duke | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.25 | -3.67 | 11.33 | 5.22 | 0.78 |
| 78 | Tennessee | SEC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.95 | 0.5 | 12.69 | 6.1 | -1.1 |
| 79 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.83 | -4.08 | 8.13 | 5.08 | 0.92 |
| 80 | UConn | Big East | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.73 | -0.73 | 10.39 | 5.24 | -0.24 |
| 81 | Troy | Sun Belt | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.64 | 0.08 | 10.59 | 6.02 | -1.02 |
| 82 | Missouri | SEC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.86 | -2.67 | 14.58 | 5.3 | -0.3 |
| 83 | Marshall | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.53 | -2.17 | 8.7 | 5.63 | -0.63 |
| 84 | Houston | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.29 | -3.58 | 10.68 | 5.26 | -0.26 |
| 85 | Wake Forest | ACC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.53 | -13.33 | 11.42 | 2.6 | 2.4 |
| 86 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 7.19 | -0.33 | 9.07 | 5.92 | -1.92 |
| 87 | Temple | Big East | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.63 | -6.45 | 10.47 | 4.03 | -0.03 |
| 88 | Iowa | Big Ten | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.43 | -3.58 | 12.55 | 4.81 | -0.81 |
| 89 | Indiana | Big Ten | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.21 | -4.5 | 10.88 | 5.04 | -1.04 |
| 90 | Arkansas | SEC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.07 | -6.92 | 14.29 | 4.22 | -0.22 |
| 91 | Virginia | ACC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.02 | -6.17 | 11.48 | 4.34 | -0.34 |
| 92 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.93 | -6.92 | 11.46 | 4.04 | -0.04 |
| 93 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.92 | -6.58 | 10.55 | 4.47 | -0.47 |
| 94 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.91 | -7.25 | 11.68 | 3.99 | 0.01 |
| 95 | Maryland | ACC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.87 | -7.08 | 10.39 | 3.94 | 0.06 |
| 96 | Memphis | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.82 | -5.83 | 8.56 | 4.51 | -0.51 |
| 97 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 4-9 | 0.31 | 5.64 | -4.46 | 8.66 | 5.28 | -1.28 |
| 98 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.58 | -9.08 | 9.68 | 3.6 | 0.4 |
| 99 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.58 | -11.58 | 11.82 | 3.33 | 0.67 |
| 100 | South Florida | Big East | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.84 | -5.27 | 13.67 | 4.14 | -1.14 |
| 101 | Texas State | Western Athletic | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.39 | -8.82 | 11.47 | 3.62 | -0.62 |
| 102 | Florida Atlantic | Sun Belt | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.26 | -10 | 11.08 | 3.08 | -0.08 |
| 103 | Florida International | Sun Belt | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.15 | -6.67 | 12.35 | 4.36 | -1.36 |
| 104 | Auburn | SEC | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.95 | -9.67 | 14.2 | 3.25 | -0.25 |
| 105 | UTEP | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.92 | -8.58 | 10.71 | 3.7 | -0.7 |
| 106 | California | Pac-12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.9 | -10.08 | 14.51 | 3.56 | -0.56 |
| 107 | UAB | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.85 | -9.25 | 9.95 | 4.06 | -1.06 |
| 108 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.54 | -13.25 | 11.23 | 2.81 | 0.19 |
| 109 | Army | FBS Independents | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.1 | -11.73 | 11.44 | 3.17 | -1.17 |
| 110 | Boston College | ACC | 2-10 | 0.17 | 2.02 | -9.83 | 12.39 | 3.34 | -1.34 |
| 111 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.94 | -10.58 | 10.69 | 3.15 | -1.15 |
| 112 | Kentucky | SEC | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.84 | -13.08 | 14.49 | 2.57 | -0.57 |
| 113 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.72 | -17.27 | 10.94 | 2.14 | -0.14 |
| 114 | Illinois | Big Ten | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.7 | -15.42 | 13.1 | 2.1 | -0.1 |
| 115 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.64 | -16.25 | 11.93 | 2.49 | -0.49 |
| 116 | Tulane | Conference USA | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.6 | -17 | 11.6 | 2.4 | -0.4 |
| 117 | UNLV | Mountain West | 2-11 | 0.15 | 1.49 | -10.62 | 9.96 | 3.67 | -1.67 |
| 118 | Akron | Mid-American | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.04 | -9.58 | 10.9 | 3.87 | -2.87 |
| 119 | Kansas | Big 12 | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.15 | -15 | 14.89 | 2.21 | -1.21 |
| 120 | New Mexico State | Western Athletic | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.32 | -19.18 | 10.3 | 1.65 | -0.65 |
| 121 | Idaho | Western Athletic | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.8 | -26.58 | 12.21 | 1.06 | -0.06 |
| 122 | Massachusetts | Mid-American | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.82 | -27.5 | 11.31 | 0.73 | 0.27 |
| 123 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.85 | -28.17 | 12.67 | 1.15 | -0.15 |
| 124 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 0-12 | 0 | -2.37 | -18.17 | 12.72 | 2.1 | -2.1 |