Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:35.565096+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 12-0 | 1 | 25.53 | 16.42 | 13.98 | 10.86 | 1.14 |
| 2 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 12-0 | 1 | 24.88 | 14.33 | 11.2 | 9.12 | 2.88 |
| 3 | Alabama | SEC | 12-1 | 0.92 | 23.58 | 27.77 | 11.34 | 12.4 | -0.4 |
| 4 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.58 | 28.83 | 11.17 | 10.55 | 0.45 |
| 5 | Florida | SEC | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.53 | 13.83 | 13.94 | 10.19 | 0.81 |
| 6 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.29 | 19.58 | 11.22 | 9.91 | 1.09 |
| 7 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 12-1 | 0.92 | 22.42 | 21.77 | 6.08 | 11.17 | 0.83 |
| 8 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.79 | 11 | 14.23 | 9.89 | 1.11 |
| 9 | Georgia | SEC | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.5 | 18.46 | 10.32 | 10.86 | 0.14 |
| 10 | Florida State | ACC | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.35 | 24.85 | 8.19 | 11.82 | -0.82 |
| 11 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.27 | 16.08 | 12.21 | 9.24 | 0.76 |
| 12 | Texas A&M | SEC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.24 | 22.25 | 10.61 | 10.03 | -0.03 |
| 13 | South Carolina | SEC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.07 | 14 | 11.67 | 9.62 | 0.38 |
| 14 | LSU | SEC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21 | 13.33 | 11.44 | 9.58 | 0.42 |
| 15 | Clemson | ACC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.94 | 17.42 | 9.89 | 9.34 | 0.66 |
| 16 | San José State | Western Athletic | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.87 | 13.83 | 10.51 | 9.18 | 0.82 |
| 17 | Utah State | Western Athletic | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.71 | 19 | 8.2 | 10.44 | -0.44 |
| 18 | Kent State | Mid-American | 11-2 | 0.85 | 20.66 | 9.54 | 8.16 | 8.87 | 2.13 |
| 19 | Boise State | Mountain West | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.66 | 15.5 | 8.79 | 10.13 | -0.13 |
| 20 | Louisville | Big East | 10-2 | 0.83 | 19.98 | 7.17 | 7.9 | 7.81 | 2.19 |
| 21 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.53 | 8.85 | 12.71 | 8.65 | 1.35 |
| 22 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.28 | 13.25 | 12.12 | 9.26 | -0.26 |
| 23 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.14 | 18 | 9.74 | 9.64 | -0.64 |
| 24 | Tulsa | Conference USA | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.05 | 10.85 | 8.65 | 9.19 | 0.81 |
| 25 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.84 | 11 | 10.15 | 8.41 | 0.59 |
| 26 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.83 | 13 | 9.3 | 7.99 | 1.01 |
| 27 | Cincinnati | Big East | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.75 | 13.83 | 8.46 | 9.63 | -0.63 |
| 28 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.64 | 10.58 | 8.97 | 8.41 | 0.59 |
| 29 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.6 | 8.75 | 9.63 | 8.21 | 0.79 |
| 30 | Rutgers | Big East | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.44 | 8.17 | 8.84 | 8.94 | 0.06 |
| 31 | Ball State | Mid-American | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.24 | 3.5 | 11.27 | 6.75 | 2.25 |
| 32 | Toledo | Mid-American | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.24 | 5.58 | 9.25 | 7.3 | 1.7 |
| 33 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.71 | 9.15 | 12.63 | 8.73 | 0.27 |
| 34 | Michigan | Big Ten | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.56 | 11.25 | 13.82 | 9.03 | -1.03 |
| 35 | UCF | Conference USA | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.5 | 12.77 | 9.47 | 9.67 | -0.67 |
| 36 | Penn State | Big Ten | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.29 | 10 | 12.46 | 8.77 | -0.77 |
| 37 | North Carolina | ACC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.08 | 14.92 | 8.84 | 8.97 | -0.97 |
| 38 | Texas | Big 12 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.06 | 6.67 | 12.93 | 7.42 | 0.58 |
| 39 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.01 | 11.08 | 9.89 | 9.06 | -1.06 |
| 40 | Mississippi State | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.73 | 7.83 | 9.63 | 8.05 | -0.05 |
| 41 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.6 | 7.67 | 8.8 | 7.68 | 0.32 |
| 42 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.56 | 7.25 | 8.78 | 7.62 | 0.38 |
| 43 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.43 | 7.42 | 7.71 | 8.57 | -0.57 |
| 44 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 8-5 | 0.62 | 16.22 | 11.69 | 12.19 | 9.83 | -1.83 |
| 45 | Ohio | Mid-American | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.06 | 4.92 | 6.92 | 7.23 | 0.77 |
| 46 | Navy | FBS Independents | 8-4 | 0.67 | 15.91 | 2.08 | 9.79 | 6.62 | 1.38 |
| 47 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.58 | 15.25 | 12.82 | 8.75 | -1.75 |
| 48 | USC | Pac-12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.32 | 9.58 | 13.57 | 8.23 | -1.23 |
| 49 | BYU | FBS Independents | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.24 | 14.5 | 10.42 | 10.03 | -3.03 |
| 50 | UTSA | Western Athletic | 8-4 | 0.67 | 15.16 | 2.42 | 3.17 | 6.57 | 1.43 |
| 51 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 8-4 | 0.67 | 15.13 | 0.58 | 7.57 | 6.13 | 1.87 |
| 52 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.96 | 12.42 | 9 | 8.74 | -1.74 |
| 53 | Baylor | Big 12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.88 | 5.92 | 12.69 | 7.01 | -0.01 |
| 54 | TCU | Big 12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.81 | 6.25 | 11.8 | 7.66 | -0.66 |
| 55 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.71 | 5.92 | 11.27 | 7.2 | -0.2 |
| 56 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.51 | 3 | 13.3 | 6.6 | 0.4 |
| 57 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.4 | 3.5 | 11.52 | 6.62 | 0.38 |
| 58 | Syracuse | Big East | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.38 | 3.67 | 11.07 | 6.94 | 0.06 |
| 59 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 8-4 | 0.67 | 14.19 | -1.42 | 8.26 | 5.63 | 2.37 |
| 60 | NC State | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.14 | 3.83 | 8.72 | 7.02 | -0.02 |
| 61 | Nevada | Mountain West | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.1 | 4.5 | 7.5 | 6.91 | 0.09 |
| 62 | Western Kentucky | Sun Belt | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.01 | 3.17 | 8.59 | 6.82 | 0.18 |
| 63 | Miami | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.73 | 0.92 | 11.52 | 6.21 | 0.79 |
| 64 | Washington | Pac-12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.24 | 0 | 11.78 | 6 | 1 |
| 65 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.98 | 3.92 | 14.81 | 7.5 | -1.5 |
| 66 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.9 | 7.75 | 9.59 | 8.25 | -2.25 |
| 67 | Ole Miss | SEC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.41 | 2.42 | 12.01 | 6.58 | -0.58 |
| 68 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.33 | 2.17 | 11.8 | 6.61 | -0.61 |
| 69 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.32 | 1.83 | 12.62 | 6.54 | -0.54 |
| 70 | SMU | Conference USA | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.12 | 2.5 | 8.88 | 6.63 | -0.63 |
| 71 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 6-7 | 0.46 | 11.85 | 4.62 | 11.61 | 7.59 | -1.59 |
| 72 | Purdue | Big Ten | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.81 | 0.92 | 10.53 | 6.22 | -0.22 |
| 73 | Rice | Conference USA | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.43 | 0.42 | 9.04 | 6.09 | -0.09 |
| 74 | Air Force | Mountain West | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.97 | -0.17 | 8.25 | 5.96 | 0.04 |
| 75 | Utah | Pac-12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 10.25 | 1.58 | 10.66 | 6.43 | -1.43 |
| 76 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.24 | -2.58 | 9.85 | 5.19 | 0.81 |
| 77 | Duke | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.13 | -3.67 | 11.08 | 5.22 | 0.78 |
| 78 | Tennessee | SEC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.95 | 0.5 | 12.36 | 6.1 | -1.1 |
| 79 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.83 | -4.08 | 8.11 | 5.08 | 0.92 |
| 80 | Troy | Sun Belt | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.55 | 0.08 | 10.43 | 6.02 | -1.02 |
| 81 | Missouri | SEC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.76 | -2.67 | 14.77 | 5.3 | -0.3 |
| 82 | UConn | Big East | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.62 | -2.08 | 10.64 | 5.22 | -0.22 |
| 83 | Marshall | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.5 | -2.17 | 9.28 | 5.63 | -0.63 |
| 84 | Houston | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.28 | -3.58 | 10.36 | 5.26 | -0.26 |
| 85 | Wake Forest | ACC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.43 | -13.33 | 11.04 | 2.6 | 2.4 |
| 86 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 7.14 | -0.33 | 8.92 | 5.92 | -1.92 |
| 87 | Temple | Big East | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.54 | -6.45 | 10.26 | 4.03 | -0.03 |
| 88 | Iowa | Big Ten | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.36 | -3.58 | 12.44 | 4.81 | -0.81 |
| 89 | Indiana | Big Ten | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.15 | -4.5 | 11.08 | 5.04 | -1.04 |
| 90 | Texas State | Western Athletic | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.04 | -4.92 | 10.2 | 4.88 | -0.88 |
| 91 | Arkansas | SEC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.99 | -6.92 | 13.88 | 4.22 | -0.22 |
| 92 | Virginia | ACC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.94 | -6.17 | 11.16 | 4.34 | -0.34 |
| 93 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.88 | -6.92 | 11.51 | 4.04 | -0.04 |
| 94 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.85 | -7.25 | 11.6 | 3.99 | 0.01 |
| 95 | Memphis | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.85 | -5.83 | 8.45 | 4.51 | -0.51 |
| 96 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.85 | -6.58 | 10.08 | 4.47 | -0.47 |
| 97 | Maryland | ACC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.79 | -7.08 | 10.06 | 3.94 | 0.06 |
| 98 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.61 | -9.08 | 9.72 | 3.6 | 0.4 |
| 99 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 4-9 | 0.31 | 5.57 | -4.46 | 8.36 | 5.28 | -1.28 |
| 100 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.52 | -11.58 | 11.75 | 3.33 | 0.67 |
| 101 | South Florida | Big East | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.12 | -6.83 | 13.14 | 4.04 | -1.04 |
| 102 | Florida International | Sun Belt | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.1 | -6.67 | 11.93 | 4.36 | -1.36 |
| 103 | Auburn | SEC | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.89 | -9.67 | 13.92 | 3.25 | -0.25 |
| 104 | UTEP | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.89 | -8.58 | 11.04 | 3.7 | -0.7 |
| 105 | California | Pac-12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.87 | -10.08 | 14.1 | 3.56 | -0.56 |
| 106 | UAB | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.8 | -9.25 | 9.96 | 4.06 | -1.06 |
| 107 | Florida Atlantic | Sun Belt | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.76 | -10.33 | 11.11 | 3.3 | -0.3 |
| 108 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.57 | -13.25 | 10.91 | 2.81 | 0.19 |
| 109 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.48 | -14.5 | 9.87 | 2.7 | 0.3 |
| 110 | Boston College | ACC | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.99 | -9.83 | 12.02 | 3.34 | -1.34 |
| 111 | Army | FBS Independents | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.9 | -11.08 | 11.07 | 3.49 | -1.49 |
| 112 | Kentucky | SEC | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.82 | -13.08 | 14.16 | 2.57 | -0.57 |
| 113 | Illinois | Big Ten | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.68 | -15.42 | 12.85 | 2.1 | -0.1 |
| 114 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.63 | -16.25 | 12.2 | 2.49 | -0.49 |
| 115 | Tulane | Conference USA | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.59 | -17 | 12.01 | 2.4 | -0.4 |
| 116 | UNLV | Mountain West | 2-11 | 0.15 | 1.46 | -10.62 | 9.88 | 3.67 | -1.67 |
| 117 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 2-11 | 0.15 | 1.43 | -11 | 9.96 | 3.23 | -1.23 |
| 118 | Akron | Mid-American | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.04 | -9.58 | 10.87 | 3.87 | -2.87 |
| 119 | Kansas | Big 12 | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.51 | -17.83 | 14.4 | 1.99 | -0.99 |
| 120 | New Mexico State | Western Athletic | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.61 | -20.75 | 9.64 | 1.74 | -0.74 |
| 121 | Idaho | Western Athletic | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.81 | -26.58 | 12.24 | 1.06 | -0.06 |
| 122 | Massachusetts | Mid-American | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.83 | -27.5 | 11.09 | 0.73 | 0.27 |
| 123 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.85 | -28.17 | 12.51 | 1.15 | -0.15 |
| 124 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 0-12 | 0 | -2.36 | -18.17 | 12.74 | 2.1 | -2.1 |