Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:35.566908+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 12-0 | 1 | 25.32 | 16.42 | 13.87 | 10.86 | 1.14 |
| 2 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 12-0 | 1 | 24.69 | 14.33 | 11.2 | 9.12 | 2.88 |
| 3 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 12-1 | 0.92 | 23.51 | 28 | 11.85 | 11.41 | 0.59 |
| 4 | Alabama | SEC | 12-1 | 0.92 | 23.37 | 27.77 | 11.14 | 12.4 | -0.4 |
| 5 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 12-2 | 0.86 | 21.78 | 10.64 | 13.92 | 10.61 | 1.39 |
| 6 | Florida | SEC | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.73 | 12 | 14.21 | 10.49 | 0.51 |
| 7 | Texas A&M | SEC | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.67 | 22.69 | 11.41 | 10.98 | 0.02 |
| 8 | Georgia | SEC | 12-2 | 0.86 | 21.64 | 18.14 | 10.85 | 11.55 | 0.45 |
| 9 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.61 | 16.69 | 12.06 | 10.28 | 0.72 |
| 10 | Florida State | ACC | 12-2 | 0.86 | 21.56 | 24.57 | 9.1 | 12.76 | -0.76 |
| 11 | South Carolina | SEC | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.36 | 13.31 | 11.88 | 10.21 | 0.79 |
| 12 | Clemson | ACC | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.26 | 16.15 | 10.5 | 9.96 | 1.04 |
| 13 | San José State | Western Athletic | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.18 | 13.46 | 10.68 | 9.9 | 1.1 |
| 14 | Utah State | Western Athletic | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.14 | 19.54 | 8.9 | 11.37 | -0.37 |
| 15 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 12-2 | 0.86 | 21.02 | 18.71 | 6.91 | 11.6 | 0.4 |
| 16 | Boise State | Mountain West | 11-2 | 0.85 | 20.91 | 14.46 | 8.83 | 10.71 | 0.29 |
| 17 | Louisville | Big East | 11-2 | 0.85 | 20.46 | 7.38 | 9.02 | 8.52 | 2.48 |
| 18 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.7 | 12.69 | 12.78 | 9.4 | 0.6 |
| 19 | LSU | SEC | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.54 | 12.23 | 11.97 | 10.11 | -0.11 |
| 20 | Tulsa | Conference USA | 11-3 | 0.79 | 19.41 | 11.07 | 8.99 | 9.98 | 1.02 |
| 21 | Kent State | Mid-American | 11-3 | 0.79 | 19.21 | 8.57 | 8.56 | 9.39 | 1.61 |
| 22 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.19 | 10.46 | 10.7 | 9.09 | 0.91 |
| 23 | Cincinnati | Big East | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.04 | 13.85 | 8.35 | 10.27 | -0.27 |
| 24 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.01 | 9.15 | 10.16 | 8.99 | 1.01 |
| 25 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.72 | 13 | 9.43 | 7.99 | 1.01 |
| 26 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 10-4 | 0.71 | 17.97 | 7.21 | 13.11 | 8.88 | 1.12 |
| 27 | UCF | Conference USA | 10-4 | 0.71 | 17.91 | 13.36 | 9.87 | 10.56 | -0.56 |
| 28 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.74 | 11.92 | 12.46 | 9.71 | -0.71 |
| 29 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.48 | 14.08 | 9.68 | 9.75 | -0.75 |
| 30 | Texas | Big 12 | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.4 | 6.46 | 13.16 | 8.01 | 0.99 |
| 31 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.36 | 11.31 | 10.1 | 9.8 | -0.8 |
| 32 | Penn State | Big Ten | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.13 | 10 | 12.26 | 8.77 | -0.77 |
| 33 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.04 | 8.46 | 9.14 | 8.7 | 0.3 |
| 34 | Rutgers | Big East | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.94 | 7.31 | 9.18 | 9.47 | -0.47 |
| 35 | North Carolina | ACC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.92 | 14.92 | 8.62 | 8.97 | -0.97 |
| 36 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.91 | 7.38 | 8.88 | 8.25 | 0.75 |
| 37 | Ohio | Mid-American | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.64 | 6.92 | 7.26 | 8.35 | 0.65 |
| 38 | Toledo | Mid-American | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.52 | 3.15 | 10.03 | 7.31 | 1.69 |
| 39 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 8-5 | 0.62 | 16.44 | 17.46 | 12.73 | 9.85 | -1.85 |
| 40 | Ball State | Mid-American | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.38 | 1.62 | 11.66 | 6.88 | 2.12 |
| 41 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 9-5 | 0.64 | 16.27 | 6.86 | 12.89 | 8.8 | 0.2 |
| 42 | Michigan | Big Ten | 8-5 | 0.62 | 16.26 | 10 | 14.13 | 9.42 | -1.42 |
| 43 | BYU | FBS Independents | 8-5 | 0.62 | 16.1 | 14.69 | 10.86 | 10.99 | -2.99 |
| 44 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.84 | 14.08 | 9.13 | 9.71 | -1.71 |
| 45 | Baylor | Big 12 | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.83 | 7.23 | 12.77 | 7.85 | 0.15 |
| 46 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.44 | 5.69 | 10.95 | 7.75 | 0.25 |
| 47 | Mississippi State | SEC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.43 | 6.15 | 10.21 | 8.26 | -0.26 |
| 48 | Syracuse | Big East | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.39 | 5.23 | 10.96 | 7.95 | 0.05 |
| 49 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.24 | 2.85 | 12.85 | 7.1 | 0.9 |
| 50 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.21 | 6.15 | 8.68 | 8.8 | -0.8 |
| 51 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.12 | 4.69 | 9.37 | 7.64 | 0.36 |
| 52 | UTSA | Western Athletic | 8-4 | 0.67 | 15.07 | 2.42 | 3.33 | 6.57 | 1.43 |
| 53 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 8-6 | 0.57 | 14.97 | 10.43 | 12.7 | 10.32 | -2.32 |
| 54 | USC | Pac-12 | 7-6 | 0.54 | 14.15 | 7.77 | 13.38 | 8.56 | -1.56 |
| 55 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 8-4 | 0.67 | 14.05 | -1.42 | 7.97 | 5.63 | 2.37 |
| 56 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.76 | 3.69 | 14.64 | 8.04 | -1.04 |
| 57 | TCU | Big 12 | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.76 | 5.69 | 12.02 | 8.19 | -1.19 |
| 58 | Miami | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.61 | 0.92 | 11.4 | 6.21 | 0.79 |
| 59 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 8-5 | 0.62 | 13.53 | -0.15 | 8.13 | 6.46 | 1.54 |
| 60 | Ole Miss | SEC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.47 | 3.85 | 11.98 | 7.5 | -0.5 |
| 61 | Navy | FBS Independents | 8-5 | 0.62 | 13.45 | -0.69 | 10.05 | 6.29 | 1.71 |
| 62 | SMU | Conference USA | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.39 | 4.85 | 9.62 | 7.81 | -0.81 |
| 63 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.18 | 2.23 | 11.96 | 7.21 | -0.21 |
| 64 | Nevada | Mountain West | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.08 | 4.08 | 7.73 | 7.37 | -0.37 |
| 65 | NC State | ACC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 12.98 | 2.46 | 9.26 | 7.2 | -0.2 |
| 66 | Western Kentucky | Sun Belt | 7-6 | 0.54 | 12.93 | 2.69 | 8.59 | 7.27 | -0.27 |
| 67 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 7-6 | 0.54 | 12.92 | 1.38 | 11.82 | 6.77 | 0.23 |
| 68 | Rice | Conference USA | 7-6 | 0.54 | 12.77 | 1.85 | 8.99 | 6.96 | 0.04 |
| 69 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 7-7 | 0.5 | 12.75 | 5.29 | 11.81 | 8.4 | -1.4 |
| 70 | Washington | Pac-12 | 7-6 | 0.54 | 12.17 | -0.15 | 12.23 | 6.45 | 0.55 |
| 71 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 6-7 | 0.46 | 11.74 | 5.54 | 9.78 | 8.25 | -2.25 |
| 72 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 6-7 | 0.46 | 10.94 | 0.62 | 13 | 6.7 | -0.7 |
| 73 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 7-6 | 0.54 | 10.72 | -3.54 | 8.08 | 5.61 | 1.39 |
| 74 | Utah | Pac-12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 10.16 | 1.58 | 10.55 | 6.43 | -1.43 |
| 75 | Tennessee | SEC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.87 | 0.5 | 12.22 | 6.1 | -1.1 |
| 76 | Troy | Sun Belt | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.46 | 0.08 | 10.14 | 6.02 | -1.02 |
| 77 | Purdue | Big Ten | 6-7 | 0.46 | 9.41 | -2.54 | 10.75 | 5.85 | 0.15 |
| 78 | Air Force | Mountain West | 6-7 | 0.46 | 9.38 | -1.62 | 8.09 | 6.06 | -0.06 |
| 79 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 6-7 | 0.46 | 9.3 | -2.62 | 10.33 | 5.64 | 0.36 |
| 80 | Duke | ACC | 6-7 | 0.46 | 9.08 | -4.46 | 11.65 | 5.49 | 0.51 |
| 81 | Missouri | SEC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.7 | -2.67 | 14.83 | 5.3 | -0.3 |
| 82 | UConn | Big East | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.55 | -2.08 | 10.55 | 5.22 | -0.22 |
| 83 | Marshall | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.43 | -2.17 | 9.17 | 5.63 | -0.63 |
| 84 | Houston | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.22 | -3.58 | 10.27 | 5.26 | -0.26 |
| 85 | Wake Forest | ACC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.36 | -13.33 | 10.83 | 2.6 | 2.4 |
| 86 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 7.07 | -0.33 | 8.55 | 5.92 | -1.92 |
| 87 | Temple | Big East | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.49 | -6.45 | 10.14 | 4.03 | -0.03 |
| 88 | Iowa | Big Ten | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.31 | -3.58 | 12.38 | 4.81 | -0.81 |
| 89 | Indiana | Big Ten | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.09 | -4.5 | 10.76 | 5.04 | -1.04 |
| 90 | Texas State | Western Athletic | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.99 | -4.92 | 10.06 | 4.88 | -0.88 |
| 91 | Arkansas | SEC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.93 | -6.92 | 13.5 | 4.22 | -0.22 |
| 92 | Virginia | ACC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.89 | -6.17 | 10.96 | 4.34 | -0.34 |
| 93 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.82 | -6.92 | 11.23 | 4.04 | -0.04 |
| 94 | Memphis | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.81 | -5.83 | 8.42 | 4.51 | -0.51 |
| 95 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.79 | -7.25 | 11.31 | 3.99 | 0.01 |
| 96 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.78 | -6.58 | 9.49 | 4.47 | -0.47 |
| 97 | Maryland | ACC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.74 | -7.08 | 9.84 | 3.94 | 0.06 |
| 98 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.55 | -9.08 | 9.4 | 3.6 | 0.4 |
| 99 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 4-9 | 0.31 | 5.52 | -4.46 | 8.13 | 5.28 | -1.28 |
| 100 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.48 | -11.58 | 11.6 | 3.33 | 0.67 |
| 101 | South Florida | Big East | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.08 | -6.83 | 12.8 | 4.04 | -1.04 |
| 102 | Florida International | Sun Belt | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.06 | -6.67 | 11.62 | 4.36 | -1.36 |
| 103 | Auburn | SEC | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.86 | -9.67 | 13.66 | 3.25 | -0.25 |
| 104 | UTEP | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.86 | -8.58 | 11.09 | 3.7 | -0.7 |
| 105 | California | Pac-12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.83 | -10.08 | 13.67 | 3.56 | -0.56 |
| 106 | UAB | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.77 | -9.25 | 9.77 | 4.06 | -1.06 |
| 107 | Florida Atlantic | Sun Belt | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.72 | -10.33 | 10.7 | 3.3 | -0.3 |
| 108 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.54 | -13.25 | 10.67 | 2.81 | 0.19 |
| 109 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.44 | -14.5 | 9.46 | 2.7 | 0.3 |
| 110 | Boston College | ACC | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.98 | -9.83 | 11.96 | 3.34 | -1.34 |
| 111 | Army | FBS Independents | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.87 | -11.08 | 10.3 | 3.49 | -1.49 |
| 112 | Kentucky | SEC | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.8 | -13.08 | 13.92 | 2.57 | -0.57 |
| 113 | Illinois | Big Ten | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.66 | -15.42 | 12.73 | 2.1 | -0.1 |
| 114 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.61 | -16.25 | 11.9 | 2.49 | -0.49 |
| 115 | Tulane | Conference USA | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.58 | -17 | 11.81 | 2.4 | -0.4 |
| 116 | UNLV | Mountain West | 2-11 | 0.15 | 1.44 | -10.62 | 9.52 | 3.67 | -1.67 |
| 117 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 2-11 | 0.15 | 1.42 | -11 | 9.79 | 3.23 | -1.23 |
| 118 | Akron | Mid-American | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.04 | -9.58 | 10.71 | 3.87 | -2.87 |
| 119 | Kansas | Big 12 | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.51 | -17.83 | 14.37 | 1.99 | -0.99 |
| 120 | New Mexico State | Western Athletic | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.6 | -20.75 | 9.79 | 1.74 | -0.74 |
| 121 | Idaho | Western Athletic | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.8 | -26.58 | 12.22 | 1.06 | -0.06 |
| 122 | Massachusetts | Mid-American | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.82 | -27.5 | 11.02 | 0.73 | 0.27 |
| 123 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.85 | -28.17 | 12.23 | 1.15 | -0.15 |
| 124 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 0-12 | 0 | -2.34 | -18.17 | 12.73 | 2.1 | -2.1 |