Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:35.561132+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 5-0 | 1 | 27.45 | 21 | 15.41 | 4.78 | 0.22 |
| 2 | Florida | SEC | 5-0 | 1 | 27.14 | 15.8 | 15.09 | 4.44 | 0.56 |
| 3 | Alabama | SEC | 5-0 | 1 | 27.01 | 33.2 | 11.37 | 4.92 | 0.08 |
| 4 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 6-0 | 1 | 26.75 | 32.33 | 10.38 | 5.44 | 0.56 |
| 5 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 4-0 | 1 | 26.74 | 6.5 | 16.02 | 2.73 | 1.27 |
| 6 | South Carolina | SEC | 6-0 | 1 | 26.57 | 25.83 | 10.63 | 5.7 | 0.3 |
| 7 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 5-0 | 1 | 26.52 | 17 | 11.85 | 3.59 | 1.41 |
| 8 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 6-0 | 1 | 26.45 | 18 | 11.24 | 4.9 | 1.1 |
| 9 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 5-0 | 1 | 26.24 | 28 | 8.56 | 4.6 | 0.4 |
| 10 | Cincinnati | Big East | 4-0 | 1 | 25.84 | 20.25 | 8.08 | 3.58 | 0.42 |
| 11 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 5-0 | 1 | 25.23 | 17.4 | 5.45 | 3.59 | 1.41 |
| 12 | Mississippi State | SEC | 5-0 | 1 | 24.91 | 20.8 | 3.35 | 4.51 | 0.49 |
| 13 | Ohio | Mid-American | 6-0 | 1 | 24.64 | 14 | 3.44 | 4.54 | 1.46 |
| 14 | Rutgers | Big East | 5-0 | 1 | 24.58 | 14.6 | 3.16 | 4.42 | 0.58 |
| 15 | Louisville | Big East | 5-0 | 1 | 24.29 | 12.4 | 2.15 | 3.85 | 1.15 |
| 16 | UTSA | Western Athletic | 5-0 | 1 | 23.24 | 22.2 | -4.78 | 4.45 | 0.55 |
| 17 | Georgia | SEC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.91 | 17.17 | 12.41 | 4.69 | 0.31 |
| 18 | Texas | Big 12 | 4-1 | 0.8 | 22.73 | 20.4 | 14.41 | 3.98 | 0.02 |
| 19 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 4-1 | 0.8 | 22.66 | 9.8 | 20.17 | 3.53 | 0.47 |
| 20 | Florida State | ACC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.42 | 32.83 | 6.92 | 5.74 | -0.74 |
| 21 | LSU | SEC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.18 | 20.67 | 7.96 | 5.44 | -0.44 |
| 22 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 4-1 | 0.8 | 22.01 | 22.2 | 9.79 | 4.4 | -0.4 |
| 23 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 4-1 | 0.8 | 21.99 | 11 | 16.03 | 3.89 | 0.11 |
| 24 | Clemson | ACC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.76 | 14 | 9.12 | 4.36 | 0.64 |
| 25 | Texas A&M | SEC | 4-1 | 0.8 | 21.41 | 29.8 | 8.18 | 4.66 | -0.66 |
| 26 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.37 | 9.17 | 6.46 | 4.11 | 0.89 |
| 27 | USC | Pac-12 | 4-1 | 0.8 | 21.19 | 14.6 | 9.78 | 3.95 | 0.05 |
| 28 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 4-1 | 0.8 | 21.11 | 24.8 | 6.53 | 4.61 | -0.61 |
| 29 | Duke | ACC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.1 | 12.67 | 5.83 | 4.35 | 0.65 |
| 30 | Tulsa | Conference USA | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.07 | 14.17 | 5.18 | 4.34 | 0.66 |
| 31 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.06 | 13 | 5.68 | 4.48 | 0.52 |
| 32 | TCU | Big 12 | 4-1 | 0.8 | 21.06 | 16.8 | 5.91 | 4.37 | -0.37 |
| 33 | Boise State | Mountain West | 4-1 | 0.8 | 21.03 | 10.6 | 10.5 | 3.87 | 0.13 |
| 34 | Toledo | Mid-American | 5-1 | 0.83 | 20.97 | 8.83 | 6.73 | 4.03 | 0.97 |
| 35 | Nevada | Mountain West | 5-1 | 0.83 | 20.82 | 13.67 | 3.74 | 4.35 | 0.65 |
| 36 | San José State | Western Athletic | 4-1 | 0.8 | 20.57 | 13 | 6.17 | 3.95 | 0.05 |
| 37 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 3-1 | 0.75 | 20.51 | 22.25 | 11.79 | 3.55 | -0.55 |
| 38 | Western Kentucky | Sun Belt | 4-1 | 0.8 | 20.16 | 8.6 | 5.67 | 3.46 | 0.54 |
| 39 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 4-1 | 0.8 | 20.14 | 13.6 | 4.22 | 3.7 | 0.3 |
| 40 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 4-1 | 0.8 | 19.92 | 6.8 | 4.95 | 3.35 | 0.65 |
| 41 | Baylor | Big 12 | 3-1 | 0.75 | 19.92 | 14.5 | 8.7 | 2.71 | 0.29 |
| 42 | Kent State | Mid-American | 4-1 | 0.8 | 19.19 | 6.4 | 2.01 | 3.13 | 0.87 |
| 43 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.57 | 16 | 10.35 | 4.48 | -0.48 |
| 44 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.38 | 6.67 | 16.13 | 4.22 | -0.22 |
| 45 | North Carolina | ACC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.36 | 26.17 | 9.13 | 5.37 | -1.37 |
| 46 | Penn State | Big Ten | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.32 | 11 | 13.59 | 4.65 | -0.65 |
| 47 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.24 | 9.5 | 10.42 | 4.13 | -0.13 |
| 48 | BYU | FBS Independents | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.07 | 17 | 9.44 | 5.56 | -1.56 |
| 49 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18 | 16.17 | 9.09 | 4.66 | -0.66 |
| 50 | NC State | ACC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.9 | 7.5 | 12.33 | 4.06 | -0.06 |
| 51 | Utah State | Western Athletic | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.82 | 11.17 | 7.07 | 4.89 | -0.89 |
| 52 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.54 | 4.83 | 12.16 | 3.78 | 0.22 |
| 53 | Michigan | Big Ten | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.96 | 10.6 | 17.16 | 3.62 | -0.62 |
| 54 | Tennessee | SEC | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.68 | 9.8 | 13.08 | 3.32 | -0.32 |
| 55 | UCF | Conference USA | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.49 | 11 | 12.63 | 3.65 | -0.65 |
| 56 | Purdue | Big Ten | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.34 | 11.2 | 7.71 | 3.52 | -0.52 |
| 57 | Iowa | Big Ten | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.1 | 5.2 | 12.6 | 3.25 | -0.25 |
| 58 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 3-2 | 0.6 | 15.99 | 12.4 | 8.76 | 3.54 | -0.54 |
| 59 | Troy | Sun Belt | 3-2 | 0.6 | 15.6 | 3.8 | 10.67 | 2.96 | 0.04 |
| 60 | Miami | ACC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 15.36 | -4.5 | 13.37 | 2.51 | 1.49 |
| 61 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 3-2 | 0.6 | 15.36 | 6.6 | 3.27 | 3.14 | -0.14 |
| 62 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 2-2 | 0.5 | 15.05 | 24.75 | 13.73 | 3.2 | -1.2 |
| 63 | Maryland | ACC | 3-2 | 0.6 | 14.4 | 0.4 | 11.02 | 2.56 | 0.44 |
| 64 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 14.34 | 4.33 | 17.4 | 3.44 | -0.44 |
| 65 | Washington | Pac-12 | 3-2 | 0.6 | 14.12 | -3.4 | 15.36 | 2.09 | 0.91 |
| 66 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.93 | 6.67 | 11.1 | 3.9 | -0.9 |
| 67 | Missouri | SEC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.63 | 2.5 | 14.46 | 3.37 | -0.37 |
| 68 | Ole Miss | SEC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.5 | 3.67 | 11.04 | 3.44 | -0.44 |
| 69 | UConn | Big East | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.47 | 3.67 | 10.83 | 3.71 | -0.71 |
| 70 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.39 | 9.33 | 8.27 | 3.96 | -0.96 |
| 71 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.99 | 5.5 | 8.9 | 3.7 | -0.7 |
| 72 | Temple | Big East | 2-2 | 0.5 | 12.71 | 5 | 7.16 | 2.43 | -0.43 |
| 73 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.42 | 1.67 | 10.07 | 3.2 | -0.2 |
| 74 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 3-3 | 0.5 | 11.5 | 0 | 9.3 | 3 | 0 |
| 75 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 3-3 | 0.5 | 11.47 | -0.67 | 13.14 | 2.92 | 0.08 |
| 76 | Ball State | Mid-American | 3-3 | 0.5 | 11.19 | -3.67 | 13.58 | 2.63 | 0.37 |
| 77 | Indiana | Big Ten | 2-3 | 0.4 | 11.14 | 5 | 8.93 | 2.98 | -0.98 |
| 78 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 2-3 | 0.4 | 10.78 | 4.8 | 5.6 | 3.09 | -1.09 |
| 79 | Air Force | Mountain West | 2-3 | 0.4 | 10.74 | 6.6 | 2.95 | 3.12 | -1.12 |
| 80 | Wake Forest | ACC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.34 | -8 | 10.63 | 1.98 | 1.02 |
| 81 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.31 | -6.17 | 8.15 | 2.09 | 0.91 |
| 82 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-3 | 0.4 | 10.11 | 0.6 | 17.22 | 2.59 | -0.59 |
| 83 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 2-4 | 0.33 | 10.04 | 7.67 | 12.74 | 3.79 | -1.79 |
| 84 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 3-3 | 0.5 | 9.95 | -12.83 | 10.66 | 1.63 | 1.37 |
| 85 | Utah | Pac-12 | 2-3 | 0.4 | 9.73 | -0.6 | 14.07 | 2.43 | -0.43 |
| 86 | Syracuse | Big East | 2-3 | 0.4 | 8.62 | -1.8 | 14.13 | 2.29 | -0.29 |
| 87 | Houston | Conference USA | 2-3 | 0.4 | 8.37 | -2.2 | 13.89 | 2.29 | -0.29 |
| 88 | California | Pac-12 | 2-4 | 0.33 | 8.23 | 0.5 | 17.08 | 3.06 | -1.06 |
| 89 | SMU | Conference USA | 2-3 | 0.4 | 8.01 | -3.8 | 12.02 | 2.04 | -0.04 |
| 90 | Navy | FBS Independents | 2-3 | 0.4 | 7.72 | -6.8 | 13.77 | 1.56 | 0.44 |
| 91 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 2-3 | 0.4 | 7.7 | -13.6 | 13.02 | 1.38 | 0.62 |
| 92 | Texas State | Western Athletic | 2-3 | 0.4 | 7.62 | -12.2 | 10.1 | 1.34 | 0.66 |
| 93 | South Florida | Big East | 2-4 | 0.33 | 7.32 | -2.33 | 14.31 | 2.69 | -0.69 |
| 94 | Marshall | Conference USA | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.91 | -4 | 14.31 | 2.67 | -0.67 |
| 95 | Illinois | Big Ten | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.49 | -7.17 | 13.41 | 2 | 0 |
| 96 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.4 | -6.33 | 10.7 | 2.04 | -0.04 |
| 97 | Virginia | ACC | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.28 | -10.33 | 15.26 | 1.79 | 0.21 |
| 98 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.21 | -8.5 | 11.3 | 1.89 | 0.11 |
| 99 | Arkansas | SEC | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.64 | -11.67 | 13.6 | 1.66 | 0.34 |
| 100 | Boston College | ACC | 1-4 | 0.2 | 4.48 | -0.8 | 11.09 | 2.42 | -1.42 |
| 101 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 1-4 | 0.2 | 3.4 | -6 | 15.34 | 1.91 | -0.91 |
| 102 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 1-4 | 0.2 | 3.29 | -5.8 | 11.29 | 1.94 | -0.94 |
| 103 | Auburn | SEC | 1-4 | 0.2 | 3.24 | -8.2 | 17.79 | 1.33 | -0.33 |
| 104 | Kansas | Big 12 | 1-4 | 0.2 | 3.06 | -9.6 | 13.13 | 1.42 | -0.42 |
| 105 | UAB | Conference USA | 1-4 | 0.2 | 2.91 | -5 | 15.93 | 2.03 | -1.03 |
| 106 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 1-4 | 0.2 | 2.73 | -12.2 | 14.3 | 0.89 | 0.11 |
| 107 | Akron | Mid-American | 1-5 | 0.17 | 2.69 | -4.5 | 7.64 | 2.56 | -1.56 |
| 108 | Florida Atlantic | Sun Belt | 1-4 | 0.2 | 2.47 | -17 | 14.46 | 0.61 | 0.39 |
| 109 | Kentucky | SEC | 1-5 | 0.17 | 2.41 | -9.67 | 23.78 | 1.72 | -0.72 |
| 110 | Memphis | Conference USA | 1-4 | 0.2 | 2.38 | -9.2 | 8.42 | 1.47 | -0.47 |
| 111 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 1-4 | 0.2 | 2.3 | -17.8 | 7.94 | 0.97 | 0.03 |
| 112 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 1-4 | 0.2 | 2.29 | -23.4 | 11.95 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| 113 | New Mexico State | Western Athletic | 1-5 | 0.17 | 2.21 | -8.67 | 8.03 | 1.97 | -0.97 |
| 114 | UNLV | Mountain West | 1-5 | 0.17 | 2.21 | -10 | 13.14 | 1.86 | -0.86 |
| 115 | UTEP | Conference USA | 1-5 | 0.17 | 2.18 | -10 | 11.96 | 1.5 | -0.5 |
| 116 | Army | FBS Independents | 1-4 | 0.2 | 2.12 | -13 | 8.21 | 1.33 | -0.33 |
| 117 | Florida International | Sun Belt | 1-5 | 0.17 | 2.02 | -13.17 | 15.63 | 1.6 | -0.6 |
| 118 | Rice | Conference USA | 1-5 | 0.17 | 2.02 | -11.83 | 10.59 | 1.78 | -0.78 |
| 119 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.89 | -14 | 10.77 | 1.1 | -0.1 |
| 120 | Idaho | Western Athletic | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.06 | -22.5 | 8.05 | 0.64 | 0.36 |
| 121 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 0-5 | 0 | -2.62 | -21.8 | 12.01 | 0.55 | -0.55 |
| 122 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 0-5 | 0 | -2.66 | -18.8 | 20.08 | 0.7 | -0.7 |
| 123 | Massachusetts | Mid-American | 0-6 | 0 | -2.95 | -29.67 | 15.31 | 0.37 | -0.37 |
| 124 | Tulane | Conference USA | 0-5 | 0 | -3.14 | -33.4 | 19 | 0.12 | -0.12 |