Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:35.561554+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 6-0 | 1 | 27.17 | 18.67 | 16.24 | 5.63 | 0.37 |
| 2 | Alabama | SEC | 6-0 | 1 | 26.75 | 33 | 12.06 | 5.89 | 0.11 |
| 3 | Florida | SEC | 6-0 | 1 | 26.58 | 15.5 | 14.05 | 5.24 | 0.76 |
| 4 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 5-0 | 1 | 26.31 | 8.8 | 14.88 | 3.58 | 1.42 |
| 5 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 7-0 | 1 | 26.2 | 15.86 | 12.24 | 5.35 | 1.65 |
| 6 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 6-0 | 1 | 26.15 | 32.33 | 9.18 | 5.44 | 0.56 |
| 7 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 6-0 | 1 | 25.98 | 24.33 | 9.55 | 5.37 | 0.63 |
| 8 | Mississippi State | SEC | 6-0 | 1 | 24.85 | 19 | 5.11 | 5.17 | 0.83 |
| 9 | Cincinnati | Big East | 5-0 | 1 | 24.61 | 22.6 | 2.93 | 4.52 | 0.48 |
| 10 | Rutgers | Big East | 6-0 | 1 | 24.31 | 13.5 | 3.65 | 5.18 | 0.82 |
| 11 | Louisville | Big East | 6-0 | 1 | 24.18 | 12 | 3.48 | 4.45 | 1.55 |
| 12 | Ohio | Mid-American | 7-0 | 1 | 24.15 | 12.86 | 2.94 | 5.16 | 1.84 |
| 13 | South Carolina | SEC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 23.32 | 21.86 | 12.07 | 6.43 | -0.43 |
| 14 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.56 | 24.33 | 13.02 | 5.38 | -0.38 |
| 15 | LSU | SEC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.48 | 18 | 9.79 | 6.14 | -0.14 |
| 16 | Florida State | ACC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.31 | 34.43 | 5.97 | 6.74 | -0.74 |
| 17 | Texas A&M | SEC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.31 | 25.17 | 11.59 | 5.16 | -0.16 |
| 18 | Georgia | SEC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.23 | 17.17 | 12.14 | 4.69 | 0.31 |
| 19 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.06 | 8.33 | 12.66 | 3.7 | 1.3 |
| 20 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.8 | 9 | 8.94 | 4.84 | 1.16 |
| 21 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 4-1 | 0.8 | 21.78 | 26.2 | 12.63 | 4.51 | -0.51 |
| 22 | USC | Pac-12 | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.76 | 13.83 | 10.94 | 4.74 | 0.26 |
| 23 | Boise State | Mountain West | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.75 | 10.5 | 12.2 | 4.69 | 0.31 |
| 24 | Tulsa | Conference USA | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.57 | 15.29 | 5.55 | 5.25 | 0.75 |
| 25 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.55 | 14.17 | 7.8 | 4.04 | 0.96 |
| 26 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.52 | 17.14 | 4.8 | 5.71 | 0.29 |
| 27 | TCU | Big 12 | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.52 | 18.67 | 8.21 | 5.26 | -0.26 |
| 28 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.24 | 26.33 | 5.06 | 5.54 | -0.54 |
| 29 | Clemson | ACC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.15 | 14 | 6.9 | 4.36 | 0.64 |
| 30 | Toledo | Mid-American | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.12 | 8.29 | 5.31 | 4.54 | 1.46 |
| 31 | Nevada | Mountain West | 6-1 | 0.86 | 20.99 | 12.43 | 2.99 | 4.91 | 1.09 |
| 32 | Western Kentucky | Sun Belt | 5-1 | 0.83 | 20.75 | 8 | 7.46 | 4.06 | 0.94 |
| 33 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 4-1 | 0.8 | 19.91 | 13.6 | 3.91 | 3.7 | 0.3 |
| 34 | Kent State | Mid-American | 5-1 | 0.83 | 19.64 | 7.67 | 1.08 | 3.93 | 1.07 |
| 35 | UTSA | Western Athletic | 5-1 | 0.83 | 19.57 | 15.17 | -3.84 | 4.82 | 0.18 |
| 36 | North Carolina | ACC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19.06 | 23 | 9.33 | 6.17 | -1.17 |
| 37 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 19.03 | 7 | 19.79 | 3.97 | 0.03 |
| 38 | Texas | Big 12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.67 | 10 | 15.06 | 3.92 | 0.08 |
| 39 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.61 | 9.14 | 10.85 | 4.84 | 0.16 |
| 40 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.61 | 8.17 | 16.08 | 4.27 | -0.27 |
| 41 | Michigan | Big Ten | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.5 | 16.33 | 14.18 | 4.96 | -0.96 |
| 42 | Utah State | Western Athletic | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.49 | 12.71 | 8.57 | 5.69 | -0.69 |
| 43 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.48 | 7.57 | 11.16 | 4.85 | 0.15 |
| 44 | Penn State | Big Ten | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.18 | 11 | 13.2 | 4.65 | -0.65 |
| 45 | Duke | ACC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.16 | 7.86 | 6.8 | 4.51 | 0.49 |
| 46 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.08 | 16 | 10.33 | 4.48 | -0.48 |
| 47 | San José State | Western Athletic | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.49 | 7.17 | 8.91 | 3.94 | 0.06 |
| 48 | NC State | ACC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.48 | 7.5 | 10.11 | 4.06 | -0.06 |
| 49 | Iowa | Big Ten | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.46 | 4.83 | 13.17 | 3.86 | 0.14 |
| 50 | UCF | Conference USA | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.42 | 10.33 | 8.74 | 4.25 | -0.25 |
| 51 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.38 | 13.83 | 7.25 | 4.44 | -0.44 |
| 52 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.08 | 4.33 | 8.55 | 3.69 | 0.31 |
| 53 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.47 | 21 | 10.05 | 3.96 | -0.96 |
| 54 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.36 | 6.17 | 3.82 | 3.71 | 0.29 |
| 55 | Maryland | ACC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.28 | 1.5 | 9.89 | 3.25 | 0.75 |
| 56 | Baylor | Big 12 | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.21 | 6 | 12.32 | 2.9 | 0.1 |
| 57 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.75 | 12.43 | 10.92 | 5.16 | -1.16 |
| 58 | BYU | FBS Independents | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.69 | 12 | 10.55 | 5.72 | -1.72 |
| 59 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.69 | 5.29 | 15.32 | 4.66 | -0.66 |
| 60 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.4 | 8.71 | 12.52 | 4.82 | -0.82 |
| 61 | Temple | Big East | 3-2 | 0.6 | 15.11 | 4.6 | 8.7 | 3.04 | -0.04 |
| 62 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.91 | 11.43 | 7 | 4.9 | -0.9 |
| 63 | Ole Miss | SEC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.74 | 6.14 | 9.06 | 4.35 | -0.35 |
| 64 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.3 | 3.57 | 9.39 | 4.2 | -0.2 |
| 65 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.1 | 2.43 | 8.94 | 3.83 | 0.17 |
| 66 | Tennessee | SEC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 14.01 | 6.5 | 14.26 | 3.66 | -0.66 |
| 67 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.85 | 4.33 | 17.03 | 3.44 | -0.44 |
| 68 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 4-3 | 0.57 | 13.76 | 1.14 | 9.7 | 3.66 | 0.34 |
| 69 | Purdue | Big Ten | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.37 | 5.33 | 9.37 | 3.62 | -0.62 |
| 70 | Troy | Sun Belt | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.17 | 2.33 | 12.88 | 3.33 | -0.33 |
| 71 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 4-3 | 0.57 | 12.63 | -0.43 | 7.62 | 3.42 | 0.58 |
| 72 | Ball State | Mid-American | 4-3 | 0.57 | 12.57 | -2.29 | 12.98 | 3.22 | 0.78 |
| 73 | Miami | ACC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 12.53 | -4.43 | 13.5 | 2.89 | 1.11 |
| 74 | Air Force | Mountain West | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.45 | 5.67 | 3.68 | 3.65 | -0.65 |
| 75 | Houston | Conference USA | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.3 | 1.83 | 10.4 | 3.22 | -0.22 |
| 76 | UConn | Big East | 3-4 | 0.43 | 11.46 | 2.71 | 11.86 | 4.13 | -1.13 |
| 77 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 3-4 | 0.43 | 11.34 | 3.86 | 8.44 | 4.08 | -1.08 |
| 78 | California | Pac-12 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 11.27 | 2.43 | 14.86 | 3.86 | -0.86 |
| 79 | Washington | Pac-12 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 11.06 | -4.5 | 16.03 | 2.33 | 0.67 |
| 80 | Navy | FBS Independents | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.64 | -2.67 | 12.46 | 2.55 | 0.45 |
| 81 | Wake Forest | ACC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.06 | -8 | 11.4 | 1.98 | 1.02 |
| 82 | Texas State | Western Athletic | 3-3 | 0.5 | 9.99 | -5 | 8.96 | 2.38 | 0.62 |
| 83 | Missouri | SEC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.82 | -2.43 | 16.31 | 3.09 | -0.09 |
| 84 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 2-4 | 0.33 | 9.56 | 7.67 | 10.45 | 3.79 | -1.79 |
| 85 | Indiana | Big Ten | 2-4 | 0.33 | 9.19 | 3.67 | 10.74 | 3.39 | -1.39 |
| 86 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 2-4 | 0.33 | 8.78 | 2.33 | 8.78 | 3.31 | -1.31 |
| 87 | Arkansas | SEC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.68 | -4 | 12.09 | 2.93 | 0.07 |
| 88 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.03 | -14.57 | 10.65 | 1.67 | 1.33 |
| 89 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-4 | 0.33 | 7.47 | -1.83 | 16.94 | 2.7 | -0.7 |
| 90 | Utah | Pac-12 | 2-4 | 0.33 | 7.36 | -1.67 | 14.41 | 2.74 | -0.74 |
| 91 | Syracuse | Big East | 2-4 | 0.33 | 7.01 | -2.83 | 14.64 | 2.59 | -0.59 |
| 92 | South Florida | Big East | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.97 | -2.33 | 13.62 | 2.69 | -0.69 |
| 93 | Marshall | Conference USA | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.62 | -4 | 13.43 | 2.67 | -0.67 |
| 94 | SMU | Conference USA | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.57 | -3.33 | 8.57 | 2.52 | -0.52 |
| 95 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.17 | -6.33 | 10.81 | 2.04 | -0.04 |
| 96 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.76 | -14.33 | 12.37 | 1.52 | 0.48 |
| 97 | Virginia | ACC | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.11 | -9.86 | 14.31 | 2.11 | -0.11 |
| 98 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.01 | -9.29 | 10.61 | 2.08 | -0.08 |
| 99 | Illinois | Big Ten | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.96 | -12.57 | 14.59 | 1.56 | 0.44 |
| 100 | Rice | Conference USA | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.95 | -7.29 | 12.49 | 2.56 | -0.56 |
| 101 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 1-5 | 0.17 | 2.6 | -5 | 11.05 | 2.41 | -1.41 |
| 102 | Boston College | ACC | 1-5 | 0.17 | 2.39 | -8 | 12.17 | 2.04 | -1.04 |
| 103 | UAB | Conference USA | 1-5 | 0.17 | 2.34 | -7.83 | 14.68 | 2.12 | -1.12 |
| 104 | Kansas | Big 12 | 1-5 | 0.17 | 2.22 | -9 | 12.57 | 1.71 | -0.71 |
| 105 | Auburn | SEC | 1-5 | 0.17 | 2.2 | -10.33 | 17.33 | 1.42 | -0.42 |
| 106 | New Mexico State | Western Athletic | 1-5 | 0.17 | 2.12 | -8.67 | 8.77 | 1.97 | -0.97 |
| 107 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 1-5 | 0.17 | 2.08 | -12 | 15.21 | 1.61 | -0.61 |
| 108 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 1-5 | 0.17 | 2.05 | -11.33 | 14.01 | 1.32 | -0.32 |
| 109 | Akron | Mid-American | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.92 | -4.71 | 10.18 | 2.95 | -1.95 |
| 110 | Army | FBS Independents | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.84 | -13.17 | 9.74 | 1.53 | -0.53 |
| 111 | Memphis | Conference USA | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.84 | -13.33 | 8.54 | 1.29 | -0.29 |
| 112 | Florida Atlantic | Sun Belt | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.7 | -17.67 | 12.95 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| 113 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.54 | -21.5 | 12.49 | 0.94 | 0.06 |
| 114 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.53 | -20.5 | 9.24 | 0.99 | 0.01 |
| 115 | UNLV | Mountain West | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.47 | -9.29 | 12.96 | 2.31 | -1.31 |
| 116 | Florida International | Sun Belt | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.31 | -11.86 | 16.07 | 2.01 | -1.01 |
| 117 | UTEP | Conference USA | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.31 | -11.71 | 13.31 | 1.51 | -0.51 |
| 118 | Kentucky | SEC | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.24 | -14.29 | 21.13 | 1.44 | -0.44 |
| 119 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.07 | -15.43 | 10.4 | 1.16 | -0.16 |
| 120 | Tulane | Conference USA | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1 | -27.67 | 17.21 | 0.33 | 0.67 |
| 121 | Idaho | Western Athletic | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.69 | -23.71 | 7.88 | 0.63 | 0.37 |
| 122 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 0-6 | 0 | -2.5 | -19 | 12.68 | 1.05 | -1.05 |
| 123 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 0-6 | 0 | -2.52 | -16.83 | 18.47 | 1.08 | -1.08 |
| 124 | Massachusetts | Mid-American | 0-6 | 0 | -2.9 | -29.67 | 14.86 | 0.37 | -0.37 |