Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:35.562039+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Florida | SEC | 7-0 | 1 | 26.6 | 18 | 15.02 | 6.27 | 0.73 |
| 2 | Alabama | SEC | 7-0 | 1 | 26.59 | 32.71 | 12.6 | 6.85 | 0.15 |
| 3 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 7-0 | 1 | 26.58 | 16.43 | 15.06 | 6.41 | 0.59 |
| 4 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 7-0 | 1 | 26.03 | 30.86 | 10.14 | 6.3 | 0.7 |
| 5 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 7-0 | 1 | 25.98 | 26.71 | 10.48 | 6.37 | 0.63 |
| 6 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 8-0 | 1 | 25.84 | 14.75 | 11.92 | 6.04 | 1.96 |
| 7 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 6-0 | 1 | 25.78 | 9.67 | 13.17 | 4.49 | 1.51 |
| 8 | Mississippi State | SEC | 7-0 | 1 | 24.82 | 22.29 | 5.58 | 6.31 | 0.69 |
| 9 | Rutgers | Big East | 7-0 | 1 | 24.56 | 15.14 | 5.75 | 6.18 | 0.82 |
| 10 | Louisville | Big East | 7-0 | 1 | 23.89 | 10.57 | 3.55 | 5.03 | 1.97 |
| 11 | Ohio | Mid-American | 7-0 | 1 | 23.83 | 12.86 | 2.57 | 5.16 | 1.84 |
| 12 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 6-1 | 0.86 | 23.13 | 21.29 | 13.96 | 5.85 | 0.15 |
| 13 | LSU | SEC | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.75 | 16.38 | 10.29 | 6.85 | 0.15 |
| 14 | Florida State | ACC | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.53 | 31.75 | 6.32 | 7.61 | -0.61 |
| 15 | USC | Pac-12 | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.03 | 18.14 | 8.4 | 5.96 | 0.04 |
| 16 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.01 | 29.33 | 10.12 | 5.56 | -0.56 |
| 17 | Boise State | Mountain West | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.98 | 12.57 | 9.7 | 5.78 | 0.22 |
| 18 | Georgia | SEC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.96 | 15.43 | 8.52 | 5.34 | 0.66 |
| 19 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.84 | 18.14 | 7.4 | 5.01 | 0.99 |
| 20 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 7-1 | 0.88 | 21.75 | 18.75 | 4.23 | 6.75 | 0.25 |
| 21 | Clemson | ACC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.75 | 15 | 7.78 | 5.23 | 0.77 |
| 22 | Toledo | Mid-American | 7-1 | 0.88 | 21.7 | 8 | 7.5 | 5.17 | 1.83 |
| 23 | Tulsa | Conference USA | 7-1 | 0.88 | 21.69 | 13.88 | 5.07 | 5.89 | 1.11 |
| 24 | Cincinnati | Big East | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.08 | 17.83 | 5.55 | 5.08 | -0.08 |
| 25 | Kent State | Mid-American | 6-1 | 0.86 | 20.42 | 9 | 2.37 | 4.73 | 1.27 |
| 26 | South Carolina | SEC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 20.32 | 15 | 13.1 | 6.6 | -0.6 |
| 27 | Texas A&M | SEC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19.59 | 20.86 | 12.94 | 5.8 | -0.8 |
| 28 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.44 | 9.75 | 11.2 | 5.91 | 0.09 |
| 29 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19.34 | 8.57 | 17.25 | 4.96 | 0.04 |
| 30 | Michigan | Big Ten | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19.21 | 14.29 | 13.93 | 5.71 | -0.71 |
| 31 | Penn State | Big Ten | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19.15 | 12.86 | 14.18 | 5.63 | -0.63 |
| 32 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.12 | 7.75 | 8.67 | 5.32 | 0.68 |
| 33 | Texas | Big 12 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19.12 | 9.43 | 15.37 | 4.46 | 0.54 |
| 34 | Utah State | Western Athletic | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.09 | 15.38 | 6.71 | 6.83 | -0.83 |
| 35 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.95 | 13.86 | 12.38 | 5.06 | -0.06 |
| 36 | Nevada | Mountain West | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.73 | 10.75 | 4.84 | 5.4 | 0.6 |
| 37 | TCU | Big 12 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.73 | 15.57 | 8.75 | 5.55 | -0.55 |
| 38 | Duke | ACC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.71 | 7.25 | 7.73 | 5.07 | 0.93 |
| 39 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.66 | 19.43 | 7.3 | 5.93 | -0.93 |
| 40 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.59 | 9.14 | 11.69 | 4.84 | 0.16 |
| 41 | San José State | Western Athletic | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.43 | 10.14 | 10.53 | 4.93 | 0.07 |
| 42 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.41 | 12 | 9.56 | 4.92 | 0.08 |
| 43 | Western Kentucky | Sun Belt | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.09 | 6.71 | 8.59 | 4.46 | 0.54 |
| 44 | UCF | Conference USA | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.06 | 11.43 | 7.31 | 5.11 | -0.11 |
| 45 | NC State | ACC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.05 | 6.71 | 9.81 | 4.65 | 0.35 |
| 46 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.01 | 21 | 10.54 | 4.87 | -0.87 |
| 47 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.93 | 1.29 | 13.76 | 3.63 | 1.37 |
| 48 | North Carolina | ACC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 17.03 | 19.75 | 10.46 | 6.74 | -1.74 |
| 49 | UTSA | Western Athletic | 5-2 | 0.71 | 16.96 | 9 | -0.48 | 4.79 | 0.21 |
| 50 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.94 | 10.17 | 4.69 | 4.14 | -0.14 |
| 51 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.53 | 14.38 | 9.95 | 6.15 | -1.15 |
| 52 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.93 | 10.12 | 7.47 | 5.4 | -0.4 |
| 53 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.63 | 8.71 | 15.73 | 4.51 | -0.51 |
| 54 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.57 | 6.12 | 7.6 | 5.41 | -0.41 |
| 55 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.49 | 4 | 16.51 | 4.26 | -0.26 |
| 56 | Ole Miss | SEC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.68 | 6.14 | 8.89 | 4.35 | -0.35 |
| 57 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 5-3 | 0.62 | 14.2 | 0.5 | 6.6 | 4.09 | 0.91 |
| 58 | Troy | Sun Belt | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.2 | 2.14 | 11.05 | 3.83 | 0.17 |
| 59 | Iowa | Big Ten | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.14 | 0.71 | 12.41 | 3.64 | 0.36 |
| 60 | Air Force | Mountain West | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.09 | 5.57 | 5.43 | 4.27 | -0.27 |
| 61 | Ball State | Mid-American | 5-3 | 0.62 | 14.08 | -0.62 | 11.63 | 3.91 | 1.09 |
| 62 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.06 | 2.43 | 8.6 | 3.83 | 0.17 |
| 63 | Maryland | ACC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 13.96 | 1 | 10.18 | 3.7 | 0.3 |
| 64 | BYU | FBS Independents | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.9 | 10.12 | 12.2 | 6.27 | -2.27 |
| 65 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.66 | 4.38 | 15.44 | 5.16 | -1.16 |
| 66 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 4-3 | 0.57 | 13.53 | 0.14 | 9.65 | 3.53 | 0.47 |
| 67 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.51 | 5 | 13.2 | 4.88 | -0.88 |
| 68 | Baylor | Big 12 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.37 | 4 | 12.7 | 3.31 | -0.31 |
| 69 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 4-3 | 0.57 | 12.69 | -0.71 | 6.66 | 3.4 | 0.6 |
| 70 | Navy | FBS Independents | 4-3 | 0.57 | 12.33 | -2.14 | 11.46 | 3.1 | 0.9 |
| 71 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.96 | 0.38 | 9.88 | 4.06 | -0.06 |
| 72 | Temple | Big East | 3-3 | 0.5 | 11.7 | -0.33 | 11.2 | 2.95 | 0.05 |
| 73 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 11.63 | 9.43 | 8.99 | 4.65 | -1.65 |
| 74 | Wake Forest | ACC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 11.59 | -6 | 10.39 | 2.53 | 1.47 |
| 75 | Purdue | Big Ten | 3-4 | 0.43 | 11.51 | 3.57 | 12.07 | 4 | -1 |
| 76 | Tennessee | SEC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 11.26 | 1.14 | 15.69 | 3.64 | -0.64 |
| 77 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 3-4 | 0.43 | 10.91 | 4 | 7.61 | 4.17 | -1.17 |
| 78 | Syracuse | Big East | 3-4 | 0.43 | 10.88 | 1.86 | 13.6 | 3.82 | -0.82 |
| 79 | Miami | ACC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.57 | -5.5 | 14.24 | 3.13 | 0.87 |
| 80 | Marshall | Conference USA | 3-4 | 0.43 | 10.52 | 1.57 | 10.51 | 3.65 | -0.65 |
| 81 | SMU | Conference USA | 3-4 | 0.43 | 10.37 | 1.43 | 9.24 | 3.7 | -0.7 |
| 82 | Texas State | Western Athletic | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.15 | -5 | 10.05 | 2.38 | 0.62 |
| 83 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.56 | -1 | 13.71 | 3.3 | -0.3 |
| 84 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 3-5 | 0.38 | 9.53 | 1.25 | 9.24 | 4.21 | -1.21 |
| 85 | Missouri | SEC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.41 | -2.43 | 15.49 | 3.09 | -0.09 |
| 86 | California | Pac-12 | 3-5 | 0.38 | 9.23 | -0.12 | 15.36 | 3.98 | -0.98 |
| 87 | Houston | Conference USA | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.13 | -2.71 | 10.03 | 3.17 | -0.17 |
| 88 | Arkansas | SEC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.81 | -4 | 12.03 | 2.93 | 0.07 |
| 89 | Washington | Pac-12 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.65 | -8.86 | 15.45 | 2.11 | 0.89 |
| 90 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.6 | -4.43 | 12.22 | 2.72 | 0.28 |
| 91 | UConn | Big East | 3-5 | 0.38 | 8.41 | -1.38 | 11.34 | 3.65 | -0.65 |
| 92 | Indiana | Big Ten | 2-5 | 0.29 | 7.96 | 3 | 10.57 | 3.87 | -1.87 |
| 93 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 3-4 | 0.43 | 7.83 | -14.57 | 10.84 | 1.67 | 1.33 |
| 94 | South Florida | Big East | 2-5 | 0.29 | 6.09 | -2.29 | 15.64 | 3.14 | -1.14 |
| 95 | Utah | Pac-12 | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.89 | -3.43 | 16.01 | 2.86 | -0.86 |
| 96 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.87 | -9.29 | 10.35 | 2.08 | -0.08 |
| 97 | Illinois | Big Ten | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.79 | -12.57 | 14.18 | 1.56 | 0.44 |
| 98 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.73 | -9.29 | 11.55 | 1.96 | 0.04 |
| 99 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.72 | -13.86 | 12.71 | 1.85 | 0.15 |
| 100 | Rice | Conference USA | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.28 | -6.88 | 13.04 | 2.96 | -0.96 |
| 101 | Virginia | ACC | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.08 | -9.38 | 13.16 | 2.38 | -0.38 |
| 102 | UTEP | Conference USA | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.79 | -9.75 | 12.36 | 2.05 | -0.05 |
| 103 | UAB | Conference USA | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.6 | -7.71 | 14.17 | 2.52 | -1.52 |
| 104 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.54 | -8.29 | 11.38 | 2.38 | -1.38 |
| 105 | Auburn | SEC | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.48 | -9.43 | 16.68 | 1.73 | -0.73 |
| 106 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.47 | -21.5 | 12.85 | 0.94 | 0.06 |
| 107 | Boston College | ACC | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.42 | -9.71 | 11.31 | 2.14 | -1.14 |
| 108 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.26 | -12.29 | 13.97 | 1.73 | -0.73 |
| 109 | New Mexico State | Western Athletic | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.22 | -12.29 | 9.71 | 1.81 | -0.81 |
| 110 | Kansas | Big 12 | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.17 | -14.14 | 14.6 | 1.37 | -0.37 |
| 111 | Army | FBS Independents | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.16 | -12.71 | 8 | 1.92 | -0.92 |
| 112 | Memphis | Conference USA | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.12 | -14 | 10.52 | 1.43 | -0.43 |
| 113 | Akron | Mid-American | 1-7 | 0.12 | 1.09 | -7.88 | 11.34 | 2.91 | -1.91 |
| 114 | Florida Atlantic | Sun Belt | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.04 | -15.57 | 11.56 | 1.18 | -0.18 |
| 115 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1 | -15.43 | 10.09 | 1.16 | -0.16 |
| 116 | Florida International | Sun Belt | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.88 | -10.5 | 15.65 | 2.51 | -1.51 |
| 117 | UNLV | Mountain West | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.83 | -11.25 | 13.41 | 2.31 | -1.31 |
| 118 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.8 | -14.86 | 10.6 | 1.72 | -0.72 |
| 119 | Kentucky | SEC | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.74 | -13.12 | 21.28 | 1.81 | -0.81 |
| 120 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.71 | -23.86 | 10.49 | 0.87 | 0.13 |
| 121 | Tulane | Conference USA | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.69 | -24.29 | 15.11 | 0.54 | 0.46 |
| 122 | Idaho | Western Athletic | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.16 | -26 | 10.26 | 0.74 | 0.26 |
| 123 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 0-7 | 0 | -2.57 | -19.43 | 17.35 | 1.14 | -1.14 |
| 124 | Massachusetts | Mid-American | 0-7 | 0 | -2.83 | -28.86 | 13.85 | 0.36 | -0.36 |