Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:35.562494+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alabama | SEC | 8-0 | 1 | 26.55 | 32.5 | 13.42 | 7.83 | 0.17 |
| 2 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 8-0 | 1 | 26.41 | 16.5 | 15.32 | 7.29 | 0.71 |
| 3 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 8-0 | 1 | 25.93 | 27.25 | 11.11 | 7.24 | 0.76 |
| 4 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 9-0 | 1 | 25.63 | 14.44 | 11.99 | 6.77 | 2.23 |
| 5 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 8-0 | 1 | 25.61 | 34 | 8.64 | 7.34 | 0.66 |
| 6 | Louisville | Big East | 8-0 | 1 | 24.01 | 9.62 | 5.52 | 5.57 | 2.43 |
| 7 | Florida | SEC | 7-1 | 0.88 | 23.59 | 14.75 | 15.22 | 6.89 | 0.11 |
| 8 | Florida State | ACC | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.84 | 32.78 | 7.58 | 8.62 | -0.62 |
| 9 | LSU | SEC | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.46 | 16.38 | 9.43 | 6.85 | 0.15 |
| 10 | Georgia | SEC | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.43 | 14.5 | 10.02 | 6.13 | 0.87 |
| 11 | Mississippi State | SEC | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.25 | 15.62 | 7.71 | 6.56 | 0.44 |
| 12 | Clemson | ACC | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.23 | 16.75 | 8.28 | 6.21 | 0.79 |
| 13 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.18 | 7.86 | 12.42 | 4.98 | 1.02 |
| 14 | Boise State | Mountain West | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.1 | 14.88 | 7.96 | 6.81 | 0.19 |
| 15 | Rutgers | Big East | 7-1 | 0.88 | 21.94 | 11.75 | 7.12 | 6.45 | 0.55 |
| 16 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 7-1 | 0.88 | 21.79 | 17.62 | 5.51 | 5.8 | 1.2 |
| 17 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 8-1 | 0.89 | 21.78 | 18.22 | 4.13 | 7.41 | 0.59 |
| 18 | Toledo | Mid-American | 8-1 | 0.89 | 21.63 | 7.67 | 6.68 | 5.81 | 2.19 |
| 19 | Tulsa | Conference USA | 7-1 | 0.88 | 21.59 | 13.88 | 5.36 | 5.89 | 1.11 |
| 20 | Kent State | Mid-American | 7-1 | 0.88 | 21.25 | 9.38 | 5.27 | 5.46 | 1.54 |
| 21 | Ohio | Mid-American | 7-1 | 0.88 | 21.24 | 10.88 | 3.53 | 5.69 | 1.31 |
| 22 | South Carolina | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.6 | 13.67 | 13.12 | 7.1 | -0.1 |
| 23 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 20.28 | 14.75 | 14.03 | 5.96 | 0.04 |
| 24 | Texas A&M | SEC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 20.13 | 23.5 | 12.07 | 6.79 | -0.79 |
| 25 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.88 | 8.38 | 15.52 | 5.65 | 0.35 |
| 26 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.84 | 13.88 | 12.96 | 5.9 | 0.1 |
| 27 | Utah State | Western Athletic | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.83 | 17.11 | 7.52 | 7.8 | -0.8 |
| 28 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.62 | 8.11 | 9.51 | 6.08 | 0.92 |
| 29 | USC | Pac-12 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.5 | 15.5 | 8.97 | 6.4 | -0.4 |
| 30 | Texas | Big 12 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.47 | 8.75 | 12.58 | 5.09 | 0.91 |
| 31 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19.46 | 22.71 | 12.82 | 6.15 | -1.15 |
| 32 | San José State | Western Athletic | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.25 | 10.25 | 10.6 | 5.67 | 0.33 |
| 33 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.25 | 8.25 | 11.58 | 5.3 | 0.7 |
| 34 | UCF | Conference USA | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.03 | 14.62 | 7.56 | 6.2 | -0.2 |
| 35 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.94 | 12.25 | 7.61 | 5.67 | 0.33 |
| 36 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.93 | 21.14 | 11.01 | 5.76 | -0.76 |
| 37 | Western Kentucky | Sun Belt | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.56 | 6.88 | 7.79 | 5.22 | 0.78 |
| 38 | Cincinnati | Big East | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.46 | 14.86 | 8.26 | 5.56 | -0.56 |
| 39 | North Carolina | ACC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.92 | 18.44 | 11.19 | 7.35 | -1.35 |
| 40 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.58 | 14.67 | 10.09 | 6.87 | -0.87 |
| 41 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.55 | 1.29 | 13.73 | 3.63 | 1.37 |
| 42 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.5 | 8.33 | 11.23 | 6.44 | -0.44 |
| 43 | Michigan | Big Ten | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.93 | 10.75 | 14.17 | 6.07 | -1.07 |
| 44 | Penn State | Big Ten | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.89 | 9.75 | 14.48 | 5.88 | -0.88 |
| 45 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.8 | 10.22 | 6.31 | 6.16 | -0.16 |
| 46 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.8 | 8 | 16.44 | 5.06 | -0.06 |
| 47 | Nevada | Mountain West | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.66 | 7.67 | 5.48 | 5.62 | 0.38 |
| 48 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.63 | 7.78 | 6.54 | 6.54 | -0.54 |
| 49 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.45 | 16.75 | 8.08 | 6.37 | -1.37 |
| 50 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.4 | 5.25 | 15.63 | 5.09 | -0.09 |
| 51 | TCU | Big 12 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.33 | 10.88 | 9.45 | 5.75 | -0.75 |
| 52 | Duke | ACC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.28 | 1.89 | 8.9 | 4.83 | 1.17 |
| 53 | NC State | ACC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.8 | 4.88 | 9.81 | 4.9 | 0.1 |
| 54 | Ball State | Mid-American | 6-3 | 0.67 | 15.63 | 0.33 | 10.46 | 4.55 | 1.45 |
| 55 | Ole Miss | SEC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.59 | 5.75 | 8.76 | 4.91 | 0.09 |
| 56 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.57 | 5 | 9.59 | 4.75 | 0.25 |
| 57 | Air Force | Mountain West | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.47 | 7 | 6.95 | 5.05 | -0.05 |
| 58 | Navy | FBS Independents | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.12 | 1.62 | 11.89 | 4.31 | 0.69 |
| 59 | BYU | FBS Independents | 5-4 | 0.56 | 15.09 | 11.67 | 11.92 | 7.24 | -2.24 |
| 60 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.03 | 2.12 | 9.43 | 4.42 | 0.58 |
| 61 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.8 | 4.22 | 15.63 | 5.79 | -0.79 |
| 62 | UTSA | Western Athletic | 5-3 | 0.62 | 14.72 | 4 | 2.22 | 4.66 | 0.34 |
| 63 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 5-3 | 0.62 | 14.55 | 1.5 | 7.06 | 4.24 | 0.76 |
| 64 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.37 | 5.43 | 6.63 | 4.21 | -0.21 |
| 65 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.31 | 5 | 13.34 | 4.88 | -0.88 |
| 66 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.85 | 7.25 | 7.79 | 5.31 | -1.31 |
| 67 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.75 | 4.38 | 10.76 | 4.95 | -0.95 |
| 68 | SMU | Conference USA | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.53 | 5.12 | 7.05 | 4.82 | -0.82 |
| 69 | Syracuse | Big East | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.41 | 1.75 | 11.83 | 4.32 | -0.32 |
| 70 | Troy | Sun Belt | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.15 | 1 | 9.59 | 4.17 | -0.17 |
| 71 | Missouri | SEC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.11 | 0.75 | 13.24 | 4.15 | -0.15 |
| 72 | Maryland | ACC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.77 | 0.5 | 7.9 | 4.12 | -0.12 |
| 73 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 5-4 | 0.56 | 11.7 | -2.67 | 6.85 | 3.98 | 1.02 |
| 74 | Iowa | Big Ten | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.42 | -0.75 | 12.18 | 3.83 | 0.17 |
| 75 | Baylor | Big 12 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 11 | 1.43 | 12.86 | 3.64 | -0.64 |
| 76 | Houston | Conference USA | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.8 | -1.12 | 9.9 | 3.85 | 0.15 |
| 77 | Miami | ACC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.36 | -5.5 | 14.15 | 3.13 | 0.87 |
| 78 | Washington | Pac-12 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.29 | -7.38 | 17.19 | 2.61 | 1.39 |
| 79 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 3-5 | 0.38 | 10.18 | 5.25 | 8.49 | 4.76 | -1.76 |
| 80 | Indiana | Big Ten | 3-5 | 0.38 | 9.95 | 4.38 | 9.62 | 4.64 | -1.64 |
| 81 | Wake Forest | ACC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 9.87 | -8.88 | 11.15 | 2.41 | 1.59 |
| 82 | Purdue | Big Ten | 3-5 | 0.38 | 9.7 | 1.12 | 13.24 | 4.18 | -1.18 |
| 83 | Tennessee | SEC | 3-5 | 0.38 | 9.69 | 0.62 | 16.18 | 4.09 | -1.09 |
| 84 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.59 | -1.56 | 10.85 | 4.22 | -0.22 |
| 85 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 4-4 | 0.5 | 9.5 | -12.38 | 12.07 | 2.12 | 1.88 |
| 86 | Temple | Big East | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.73 | -4.57 | 10.44 | 2.76 | 0.24 |
| 87 | Utah | Pac-12 | 3-5 | 0.38 | 8.73 | -0.25 | 14.66 | 3.95 | -0.95 |
| 88 | Texas State | Western Athletic | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.48 | -5.86 | 10.22 | 2.64 | 0.36 |
| 89 | UConn | Big East | 3-5 | 0.38 | 8.13 | -1.38 | 10.89 | 3.65 | -0.65 |
| 90 | Marshall | Conference USA | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.79 | -3.25 | 10.59 | 3.63 | -0.63 |
| 91 | Arkansas | SEC | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.67 | -3.88 | 12.01 | 3.37 | -0.37 |
| 92 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 3-6 | 0.33 | 7.44 | -0.44 | 10.21 | 4.42 | -1.42 |
| 93 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.36 | -6 | 11.59 | 2.84 | 0.16 |
| 94 | California | Pac-12 | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.92 | -2.56 | 13.77 | 4 | -1 |
| 95 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.81 | -9.5 | 11.09 | 2.62 | 0.38 |
| 96 | Rice | Conference USA | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.39 | -3.11 | 10.94 | 3.96 | -0.96 |
| 97 | South Florida | Big East | 2-6 | 0.25 | 5.08 | -2.12 | 14.55 | 3.64 | -1.64 |
| 98 | Virginia | ACC | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.99 | -9.38 | 13.2 | 2.38 | -0.38 |
| 99 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.99 | -9 | 10.73 | 2.38 | -0.38 |
| 100 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.96 | -9.88 | 12.19 | 2.21 | -0.21 |
| 101 | Boston College | ACC | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.89 | -8.12 | 11.34 | 2.63 | -0.63 |
| 102 | Illinois | Big Ten | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.81 | -12.75 | 13.22 | 1.76 | 0.24 |
| 103 | Florida Atlantic | Sun Belt | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.57 | -12.75 | 12.15 | 1.78 | 0.22 |
| 104 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.56 | -11.62 | 9.53 | 1.95 | 0.05 |
| 105 | Tulane | Conference USA | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.28 | -20 | 14.01 | 1.19 | 0.81 |
| 106 | UTEP | Conference USA | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.26 | -9.78 | 12.6 | 2.46 | -0.46 |
| 107 | UAB | Conference USA | 1-7 | 0.12 | 1.05 | -8 | 12.01 | 2.91 | -1.91 |
| 108 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.83 | -11.12 | 12.79 | 2.31 | -1.31 |
| 109 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.81 | -20.57 | 10.51 | 1.2 | -0.2 |
| 110 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.81 | -11.38 | 14.87 | 2.07 | -1.07 |
| 111 | Army | FBS Independents | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.73 | -12.12 | 9.5 | 2.24 | -1.24 |
| 112 | New Mexico State | Western Athletic | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.72 | -12.5 | 10.95 | 1.99 | -0.99 |
| 113 | Auburn | SEC | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.71 | -13.5 | 17.55 | 1.55 | -0.55 |
| 114 | Kansas | Big 12 | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.71 | -12.88 | 14.99 | 1.68 | -0.68 |
| 115 | Akron | Mid-American | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.69 | -9.33 | 10.43 | 3.02 | -2.02 |
| 116 | Florida International | Sun Belt | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.64 | -10.22 | 15.3 | 2.74 | -1.74 |
| 117 | UNLV | Mountain West | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.56 | -11.22 | 13.34 | 2.52 | -1.52 |
| 118 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.53 | -15.62 | 11.01 | 1.74 | -0.74 |
| 119 | Memphis | Conference USA | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.53 | -16.12 | 10.3 | 1.4 | -0.4 |
| 120 | Kentucky | SEC | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.4 | -14.22 | 19.37 | 1.83 | -0.83 |
| 121 | Idaho | Western Athletic | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.13 | -26 | 10.01 | 0.74 | 0.26 |
| 122 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.11 | -27.88 | 12.21 | 0.79 | 0.21 |
| 123 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 0-8 | 0 | -2.57 | -20.38 | 16.25 | 1.22 | -1.22 |
| 124 | Massachusetts | Mid-American | 0-8 | 0 | -2.82 | -30.5 | 12.74 | 0.34 | -0.34 |