Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:35.802317+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Florida State | ACC | 8-0 | 1 | 26.13 | 38 | 11.52 | 7.69 | 0.31 |
| 2 | Alabama | SEC | 8-0 | 1 | 25.81 | 31.5 | 10.68 | 7.75 | 0.25 |
| 3 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 9-0 | 1 | 25.45 | 31.22 | 8.88 | 8.3 | 0.7 |
| 4 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 8-0 | 1 | 25.39 | 38.75 | 7.8 | 7.55 | 0.45 |
| 5 | Baylor | Big 12 | 7-0 | 1 | 25.19 | 48 | 6.12 | 6.75 | 0.25 |
| 6 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 8-0 | 1 | 24.27 | 14.88 | 5.83 | 5.82 | 2.18 |
| 7 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 9-0 | 1 | 23.72 | 19.22 | 2.29 | 7.15 | 1.85 |
| 8 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 7-1 | 0.88 | 23.15 | 13.25 | 14.92 | 6.2 | 0.8 |
| 9 | Missouri | SEC | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.02 | 20 | 11.2 | 7.5 | 0.5 |
| 10 | Clemson | ACC | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.79 | 19.22 | 10.1 | 7.44 | 0.56 |
| 11 | Auburn | SEC | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.75 | 16.67 | 10.51 | 7.26 | 0.74 |
| 12 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.57 | 12.25 | 11.99 | 6.14 | 0.86 |
| 13 | Miami | ACC | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.41 | 15.75 | 9.39 | 6.35 | 0.65 |
| 14 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.38 | 18.22 | 8.21 | 8.14 | -0.14 |
| 15 | Louisville | American Athletic | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.23 | 28.75 | 6.57 | 7.66 | -0.66 |
| 16 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.13 | 19.12 | 7.97 | 6.56 | 0.44 |
| 17 | Houston | American Athletic | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.01 | 18.75 | 7.29 | 6.47 | 0.53 |
| 18 | UCF | American Athletic | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.8 | 17.71 | 8.68 | 5.77 | 0.23 |
| 19 | Ball State | Mid-American | 8-1 | 0.89 | 21.61 | 15.89 | 4.42 | 6.95 | 1.05 |
| 20 | Texas A&M | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.44 | 19.22 | 11.37 | 6.89 | 0.11 |
| 21 | LSU | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.25 | 18.33 | 10.18 | 7.28 | -0.28 |
| 22 | South Carolina | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.15 | 10 | 12.63 | 6.37 | 0.63 |
| 23 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 20.06 | 20.62 | 13.08 | 6.4 | -0.4 |
| 24 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.97 | 14.56 | 8.77 | 6.76 | 0.24 |
| 25 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.87 | 6 | 13.2 | 5.71 | 1.29 |
| 26 | BYU | FBS Independents | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.82 | 11.12 | 14.31 | 5.85 | 0.15 |
| 27 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.66 | 14.75 | 12.08 | 6.14 | -0.14 |
| 28 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.56 | 23.38 | 9.29 | 7.22 | -1.22 |
| 29 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.54 | 6.56 | 10.67 | 5.72 | 1.28 |
| 30 | Michigan | Big Ten | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.54 | 10.88 | 11.71 | 5.52 | 0.48 |
| 31 | Texas | Big 12 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.15 | 10.12 | 10.7 | 5.64 | 0.36 |
| 32 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.05 | 15 | 8.09 | 6.26 | -0.26 |
| 33 | Duke | ACC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.04 | 10.38 | 9.57 | 5.69 | 0.31 |
| 34 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.93 | 14.25 | 7.56 | 6.01 | -0.01 |
| 35 | Ohio | Mid-American | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.65 | 11.88 | 6.41 | 5.9 | 0.1 |
| 36 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.64 | 14.62 | 5.66 | 6.15 | -0.15 |
| 37 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.57 | 12.25 | 5.98 | 5.73 | 0.27 |
| 38 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.21 | 8.12 | 5.29 | 5.38 | 0.62 |
| 39 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 6-2 | 0.75 | 17.9 | 16 | 0.45 | 6.55 | -0.55 |
| 40 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.77 | 15.44 | 11.87 | 7.25 | -1.25 |
| 41 | North Texas | Conference USA | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.53 | 11.44 | 11.82 | 6.71 | -0.71 |
| 42 | USC | Pac-12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.38 | 6.67 | 13.59 | 6.06 | -0.06 |
| 43 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.26 | 5.22 | 12.59 | 5.89 | 0.11 |
| 44 | Boise State | Mountain West | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.24 | 12.67 | 9.08 | 6.52 | -0.52 |
| 45 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.01 | 9.44 | 7.8 | 6 | 0 |
| 46 | Toledo | Mid-American | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.87 | 7 | 9.66 | 5.73 | 0.27 |
| 47 | Rice | Conference USA | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.75 | 5.33 | 8.9 | 5.56 | 0.44 |
| 48 | Washington | Pac-12 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.54 | 10.88 | 12.82 | 5.68 | -0.68 |
| 49 | Ole Miss | SEC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.31 | 6.88 | 13.73 | 5.1 | -0.1 |
| 50 | Georgia | SEC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.14 | 2.75 | 17.7 | 4.39 | 0.61 |
| 51 | Marshall | Conference USA | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.94 | 19.12 | 5.52 | 6.53 | -1.53 |
| 52 | Tulane | Conference USA | 6-3 | 0.67 | 15.85 | 1.33 | 7.82 | 4.78 | 1.22 |
| 53 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 6-3 | 0.67 | 15.76 | 2.33 | 6.51 | 5.01 | 0.99 |
| 54 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.6 | 11.12 | 5.49 | 6.03 | -1.03 |
| 55 | Penn State | Big Ten | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.38 | 2 | 12.95 | 4.33 | 0.67 |
| 56 | Rutgers | American Athletic | 5-3 | 0.62 | 14.95 | 2 | 9.35 | 4.32 | 0.68 |
| 57 | Maryland | ACC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 14.89 | 2.38 | 7.68 | 4.42 | 0.58 |
| 58 | Utah State | Mountain West | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.85 | 17.89 | 7.96 | 7.46 | -2.46 |
| 59 | Iowa | Big Ten | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.76 | 6.11 | 12.56 | 5.92 | -0.92 |
| 60 | Western Kentucky | Sun Belt | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.78 | 4.11 | 7.58 | 5.26 | -0.26 |
| 61 | San José State | Mountain West | 5-3 | 0.62 | 13.49 | -1.25 | 10.19 | 3.8 | 1.2 |
| 62 | Utah | Pac-12 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.45 | 5.38 | 14.98 | 4.88 | -0.88 |
| 63 | Florida | SEC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.31 | 3.88 | 14.88 | 4.95 | -0.95 |
| 64 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.29 | 10.12 | 10.22 | 5.68 | -1.68 |
| 65 | Mississippi State | SEC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.18 | 4.12 | 13.26 | 4.74 | -0.74 |
| 66 | Navy | FBS Independents | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.72 | 3.25 | 10.34 | 4.55 | -0.55 |
| 67 | Troy | Sun Belt | 5-4 | 0.56 | 12.61 | -0.11 | 7.69 | 4.48 | 0.52 |
| 68 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.51 | 4.88 | 6.6 | 4.67 | -0.67 |
| 69 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.41 | 1.88 | 11.14 | 4.28 | -0.28 |
| 70 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 5-4 | 0.56 | 11.45 | -5.33 | 11.98 | 3.41 | 1.59 |
| 71 | UNLV | Mountain West | 5-4 | 0.56 | 11.37 | -5 | 8.96 | 3.67 | 1.33 |
| 72 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.37 | -0.62 | 11.96 | 3.89 | 0.11 |
| 73 | Syracuse | ACC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.35 | -0.25 | 12.07 | 3.95 | 0.05 |
| 74 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 5-4 | 0.56 | 11.17 | -5.11 | 8.54 | 3.55 | 1.45 |
| 75 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.1 | 2 | 10.87 | 4.89 | -0.89 |
| 76 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.85 | -1 | 10.3 | 3.82 | 0.18 |
| 77 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.55 | 1.11 | 7.68 | 4.68 | -0.68 |
| 78 | Indiana | Big Ten | 3-5 | 0.38 | 10.5 | 4.25 | 15.09 | 4.5 | -1.5 |
| 79 | Boston College | ACC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.47 | -3 | 12.54 | 3.45 | 0.55 |
| 80 | Wake Forest | ACC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.97 | -0.44 | 10.84 | 4.38 | -0.38 |
| 81 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 4-4 | 0.5 | 9.9 | -4.75 | 9.03 | 3.26 | 0.74 |
| 82 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 3-5 | 0.38 | 9.52 | 1.75 | 9.21 | 4.29 | -1.29 |
| 83 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.36 | -2.89 | 12.97 | 4.01 | -0.01 |
| 84 | Tennessee | SEC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.24 | -4.33 | 15.37 | 3.66 | 0.34 |
| 85 | UTSA | Conference USA | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.8 | -4.44 | 12.38 | 3.71 | 0.29 |
| 86 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.61 | -6.33 | 12.84 | 3.27 | 0.73 |
| 87 | North Carolina | ACC | 3-5 | 0.38 | 8.26 | -1.38 | 15.82 | 3.75 | -0.75 |
| 88 | SMU | American Athletic | 3-4 | 0.43 | 7.89 | -9.29 | 8.53 | 2.49 | 0.51 |
| 89 | NC State | ACC | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.82 | -2.38 | 10.02 | 3.54 | -0.54 |
| 90 | TCU | Big 12 | 3-6 | 0.33 | 7.72 | -0.11 | 12.79 | 4.47 | -1.47 |
| 91 | Illinois | Big Ten | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.69 | -3.5 | 11.89 | 3.46 | -0.46 |
| 92 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.04 | -5 | 5.97 | 2.94 | 0.06 |
| 93 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.83 | -11.75 | 11.73 | 2.36 | 0.64 |
| 94 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.57 | -14.75 | 11.23 | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 95 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.29 | -4.89 | 15.14 | 3.46 | -0.46 |
| 96 | Army | FBS Independents | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.02 | -5.33 | 7.22 | 3.49 | -0.49 |
| 97 | Arkansas | SEC | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.8 | -11.11 | 13.63 | 2.34 | 0.66 |
| 98 | Nevada | Mountain West | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.78 | -9.56 | 10.65 | 2.96 | 0.04 |
| 99 | Akron | Mid-American | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.97 | -10.4 | 13.28 | 2.68 | 0.32 |
| 100 | Kentucky | SEC | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.5 | -3.25 | 12.29 | 3.4 | -1.4 |
| 101 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.39 | -4.38 | 8.72 | 3.41 | -1.41 |
| 102 | Tulsa | Conference USA | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.88 | -10.88 | 12.12 | 2.11 | -0.11 |
| 103 | UAB | Conference USA | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.77 | -10.12 | 7.43 | 2.61 | -0.61 |
| 104 | Kansas | Big 12 | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.7 | -14.88 | 14.19 | 1.48 | 0.52 |
| 105 | South Florida | American Athletic | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.59 | -15.88 | 12.52 | 1.26 | 0.74 |
| 106 | Virginia | ACC | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.25 | -11.33 | 16.14 | 2.4 | -0.4 |
| 107 | Air Force | Mountain West | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.85 | -12.33 | 9.89 | 2.51 | -0.51 |
| 108 | Kent State | Mid-American | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.58 | -12.3 | 11.83 | 2.26 | -0.26 |
| 109 | Memphis | American Athletic | 1-6 | 0.14 | 2.08 | -3.86 | 15.32 | 2.79 | -1.79 |
| 110 | Temple | American Athletic | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.82 | -7.67 | 11.13 | 2.99 | -1.99 |
| 111 | UTEP | Conference USA | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.54 | -15.88 | 9.35 | 1.91 | -0.91 |
| 112 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.51 | -16.75 | 13.76 | 1.73 | -0.73 |
| 113 | Purdue | Big Ten | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.18 | -25.62 | 16.93 | 0.47 | 0.53 |
| 114 | Florida International | Conference USA | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.17 | -25.38 | 9.55 | 0.47 | 0.53 |
| 115 | California | Pac-12 | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.14 | -19.33 | 15.55 | 1.74 | -0.74 |
| 116 | Massachusetts | Mid-American | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.07 | -21.11 | 9.81 | 0.71 | 0.29 |
| 117 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.04 | -21.33 | 11.09 | 1.01 | -0.01 |
| 118 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 1-8 | 0.11 | -0.1 | -26.22 | 13.77 | 1.04 | -0.04 |
| 119 | New Mexico State | FBS Independents | 1-8 | 0.11 | -0.1 | -25.89 | 10.86 | 1.12 | -0.12 |
| 120 | Idaho | FBS Independents | 1-8 | 0.11 | -0.14 | -27.56 | 14.52 | 0.81 | 0.19 |
| 121 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 0-8 | 0 | -2.27 | -14.88 | 14.66 | 1.81 | -1.81 |
| 122 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 0-9 | 0 | -2.34 | -19.78 | 6.08 | 1.25 | -1.25 |
| 123 | UConn | American Athletic | 0-7 | 0 | -2.42 | -18.71 | 12.77 | 0.99 | -0.99 |
| 124 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 0-8 | 0 | -2.46 | -21.62 | 8.99 | 0.56 | -0.56 |
| 125 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 0-8 | 0 | -2.85 | -31.88 | 13.25 | 0.39 | -0.39 |