Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:35.802709+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Florida State | ACC | 9-0 | 1 | 25.86 | 40 | 10.61 | 8.73 | 0.27 |
| 2 | Alabama | SEC | 9-0 | 1 | 25.79 | 30.33 | 11.33 | 8.65 | 0.35 |
| 3 | Baylor | Big 12 | 8-0 | 1 | 25.51 | 45.62 | 8.54 | 7.71 | 0.29 |
| 4 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 9-0 | 1 | 25.3 | 31.22 | 8.8 | 8.3 | 0.7 |
| 5 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 9-0 | 1 | 24.4 | 17.44 | 6.59 | 6.89 | 2.11 |
| 6 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 9-0 | 1 | 23.57 | 19.22 | 2.1 | 7.15 | 1.85 |
| 7 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.34 | 12.44 | 15.66 | 6.87 | 1.13 |
| 8 | Missouri | SEC | 9-1 | 0.9 | 23.03 | 21.1 | 10.4 | 8.45 | 0.55 |
| 9 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.96 | 33.78 | 8.69 | 8.33 | -0.33 |
| 10 | Auburn | SEC | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.87 | 18.2 | 10.17 | 8.19 | 0.81 |
| 11 | Clemson | ACC | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.67 | 19.22 | 10 | 7.44 | 0.56 |
| 12 | UCF | American Athletic | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.37 | 16.12 | 10.57 | 6.51 | 0.49 |
| 13 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.23 | 21 | 7.31 | 7.64 | 0.36 |
| 14 | Louisville | American Athletic | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.17 | 27.89 | 5.78 | 8.6 | -0.6 |
| 15 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.15 | 18.22 | 7.35 | 8.14 | -0.14 |
| 16 | Ball State | Mid-American | 9-1 | 0.9 | 21.8 | 16.3 | 4.77 | 7.76 | 1.24 |
| 17 | Texas A&M | SEC | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.75 | 18.3 | 11.14 | 7.51 | 0.49 |
| 18 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.57 | 18.44 | 12.9 | 7.07 | -0.07 |
| 19 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.27 | 13.67 | 12.51 | 6.77 | 0.23 |
| 20 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.2 | 21.89 | 9.9 | 8.03 | -1.03 |
| 21 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.11 | 7.67 | 13.28 | 6.08 | 0.92 |
| 22 | South Carolina | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.1 | 10 | 12.71 | 6.37 | 0.63 |
| 23 | Miami | ACC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.97 | 12 | 10.29 | 6.57 | 0.43 |
| 24 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 8-2 | 0.8 | 19.96 | 7.3 | 10.5 | 6.56 | 1.44 |
| 25 | Houston | American Athletic | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.92 | 16.11 | 8.73 | 7.08 | -0.08 |
| 26 | Texas | Big 12 | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.67 | 9.78 | 10.27 | 6.19 | 0.81 |
| 27 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.61 | 13.11 | 8.6 | 6.71 | 0.29 |
| 28 | Duke | ACC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.47 | 11.22 | 8.32 | 6.52 | 0.48 |
| 29 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.33 | 11.44 | 7.44 | 6.29 | 0.71 |
| 30 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.3 | 16.78 | 5.56 | 7.11 | -0.11 |
| 31 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.11 | 10.22 | 6.61 | 6.49 | 0.51 |
| 32 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 7-2 | 0.78 | 18.45 | 14.56 | 0.82 | 7.16 | -0.16 |
| 33 | LSU | SEC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.37 | 14.4 | 11.16 | 7.56 | -0.56 |
| 34 | North Texas | Conference USA | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.12 | 13.7 | 10.48 | 7.87 | -0.87 |
| 35 | USC | Pac-12 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.09 | 9.4 | 12.2 | 7.17 | -0.17 |
| 36 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.07 | 6.5 | 13.97 | 6.78 | 0.22 |
| 37 | BYU | FBS Independents | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.9 | 8.78 | 15.38 | 6.21 | -0.21 |
| 38 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.89 | 10.8 | 9.22 | 6.89 | 0.11 |
| 39 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.84 | 4.7 | 12.99 | 6.06 | 0.94 |
| 40 | Washington | Pac-12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.73 | 15.44 | 12.17 | 7.03 | -1.03 |
| 41 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.69 | 15.44 | 11.42 | 7.25 | -1.25 |
| 42 | Michigan | Big Ten | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.59 | 9.22 | 12.86 | 6.06 | -0.06 |
| 43 | Georgia | SEC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.41 | 6.78 | 14.3 | 5.6 | 0.4 |
| 44 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.33 | 12.78 | 9.35 | 6.73 | -0.73 |
| 45 | Ole Miss | SEC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.29 | 7.22 | 12.94 | 5.79 | 0.21 |
| 46 | Boise State | Mountain West | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.21 | 12.67 | 9.09 | 6.52 | -0.52 |
| 47 | Marshall | Conference USA | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.06 | 21.67 | 5.63 | 7.59 | -1.59 |
| 48 | Toledo | Mid-American | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.81 | 7 | 9.2 | 5.73 | 0.27 |
| 49 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.8 | 9.44 | 7.55 | 6 | 0 |
| 50 | Ohio | Mid-American | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.79 | 7.56 | 8.1 | 5.98 | 0.02 |
| 51 | Rice | Conference USA | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.63 | 5.33 | 9.23 | 5.56 | 0.44 |
| 52 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.61 | 14.56 | 4.4 | 7.33 | -1.33 |
| 53 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 6-3 | 0.67 | 15.74 | 2.33 | 6.3 | 5.01 | 0.99 |
| 54 | Utah State | Mountain West | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.74 | 16.5 | 8.77 | 8.11 | -2.11 |
| 55 | Iowa | Big Ten | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.52 | 7.9 | 11.25 | 6.97 | -0.97 |
| 56 | Rutgers | American Athletic | 5-3 | 0.62 | 14.89 | 2 | 9.12 | 4.32 | 0.68 |
| 57 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.87 | 11.56 | 11.58 | 6.55 | -1.55 |
| 58 | Western Kentucky | Sun Belt | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.59 | 4.1 | 7.23 | 5.87 | 0.13 |
| 59 | Tulane | Conference USA | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.09 | 0.9 | 8.45 | 5.22 | 0.78 |
| 60 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.05 | 3.56 | 11.47 | 5.12 | -0.12 |
| 61 | Navy | FBS Independents | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.94 | 4.44 | 9.11 | 5.32 | -0.32 |
| 62 | Syracuse | ACC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.62 | 1.67 | 11.73 | 4.87 | 0.13 |
| 63 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.55 | 2.22 | 9.98 | 4.94 | 0.06 |
| 64 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 6-4 | 0.6 | 13.51 | 0.2 | 8.25 | 5.04 | 0.96 |
| 65 | Penn State | Big Ten | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.34 | 0.22 | 13.15 | 4.54 | 0.46 |
| 66 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.07 | 0.22 | 12.27 | 4.55 | 0.45 |
| 67 | Maryland | ACC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 12.79 | 0.22 | 7.76 | 4.55 | 0.45 |
| 68 | Boston College | ACC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 12.17 | -1.11 | 10.86 | 4.29 | 0.71 |
| 69 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.17 | 3.1 | 7.38 | 5.57 | -0.57 |
| 70 | San José State | Mountain West | 5-4 | 0.56 | 12.08 | -1.56 | 9.96 | 4.22 | 0.78 |
| 71 | Utah | Pac-12 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.99 | 4.67 | 15.66 | 5.4 | -1.4 |
| 72 | Indiana | Big Ten | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.83 | 5.67 | 13.99 | 5.24 | -1.24 |
| 73 | Mississippi State | SEC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.49 | 2.56 | 14.27 | 4.98 | -0.98 |
| 74 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 5-4 | 0.56 | 11.38 | -3.78 | 9.24 | 3.84 | 1.16 |
| 75 | Florida | SEC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.26 | 1.56 | 14.52 | 4.92 | -0.92 |
| 76 | North Carolina | ACC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.19 | 2.22 | 14.33 | 4.95 | -0.95 |
| 77 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11 | 2 | 11.09 | 4.89 | -0.89 |
| 78 | Troy | Sun Belt | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.99 | -0.6 | 8.78 | 4.9 | 0.1 |
| 79 | UTSA | Conference USA | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.3 | -3.7 | 12.43 | 4.21 | 0.79 |
| 80 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.13 | 0.11 | 8.9 | 4.52 | -0.52 |
| 81 | UNLV | Mountain West | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.02 | -4.9 | 9.57 | 4.08 | 0.92 |
| 82 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 5-5 | 0.5 | 9.87 | -7.6 | 11.42 | 3.32 | 1.68 |
| 83 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 3-5 | 0.38 | 9.38 | 1.75 | 8.83 | 4.29 | -1.29 |
| 84 | TCU | Big 12 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 9.35 | 0.3 | 11.48 | 5.08 | -1.08 |
| 85 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.17 | -2.89 | 12.86 | 4.01 | -0.01 |
| 86 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.69 | -1.89 | 4.31 | 4.05 | -0.05 |
| 87 | Tennessee | SEC | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.88 | -7.1 | 15.99 | 3.56 | 0.44 |
| 88 | Wake Forest | ACC | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.82 | -6 | 12.33 | 3.34 | 0.66 |
| 89 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.77 | -6.4 | 13.26 | 3.69 | 0.31 |
| 90 | SMU | American Athletic | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.88 | -8.5 | 9.23 | 2.9 | 0.1 |
| 91 | NC State | ACC | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.36 | -4.11 | 11.24 | 3.62 | -0.62 |
| 92 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.34 | -4.89 | 14.54 | 3.46 | -0.46 |
| 93 | Illinois | Big Ten | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.27 | -5 | 12.08 | 3.68 | -0.68 |
| 94 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.23 | -3 | 8.01 | 4.05 | -1.05 |
| 95 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.44 | -15.33 | 11.9 | 1.79 | 1.21 |
| 96 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.42 | -16.22 | 12.03 | 2.06 | 0.94 |
| 97 | Army | FBS Independents | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.34 | -5.2 | 7.96 | 3.87 | -0.87 |
| 98 | Arkansas | SEC | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.06 | -11 | 13.94 | 2.65 | 0.35 |
| 99 | Akron | Mid-American | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.02 | -10.4 | 12.96 | 2.68 | 0.32 |
| 100 | Nevada | Mountain West | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.97 | -10.7 | 10.97 | 3.08 | -0.08 |
| 101 | Memphis | American Athletic | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.94 | -1.5 | 12.58 | 3.66 | -1.66 |
| 102 | Kentucky | SEC | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.57 | -6.33 | 13.22 | 3.25 | -1.25 |
| 103 | South Florida | American Athletic | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.53 | -15.88 | 12.6 | 1.26 | 0.74 |
| 104 | Tulsa | Conference USA | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.99 | -13.44 | 12.2 | 2.1 | -0.1 |
| 105 | UAB | Conference USA | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.9 | -13.67 | 8.63 | 2.45 | -0.45 |
| 106 | Kansas | Big 12 | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.85 | -17.22 | 14.5 | 1.34 | 0.66 |
| 107 | Virginia | ACC | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.58 | -13.3 | 15.09 | 2.34 | -0.34 |
| 108 | Kent State | Mid-American | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.55 | -12.3 | 11.93 | 2.26 | -0.26 |
| 109 | Air Force | Mountain West | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.53 | -11.9 | 9.33 | 2.92 | -0.92 |
| 110 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 2-8 | 0.2 | 1.97 | -23.3 | 12.54 | 1.45 | 0.55 |
| 111 | Temple | American Athletic | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.81 | -7.67 | 11.19 | 2.99 | -1.99 |
| 112 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.31 | -15.33 | 12.9 | 2.03 | -1.03 |
| 113 | UTEP | Conference USA | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.2 | -17.89 | 9.92 | 1.84 | -0.84 |
| 114 | Massachusetts | Mid-American | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.06 | -21.11 | 10.04 | 0.71 | 0.29 |
| 115 | Purdue | Big Ten | 1-8 | 0.11 | -0.08 | -25.44 | 16.95 | 0.55 | 0.45 |
| 116 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.11 | -19.5 | 9.75 | 1.41 | -0.41 |
| 117 | Florida International | Conference USA | 1-8 | 0.11 | -0.14 | -27.89 | 9.63 | 0.37 | 0.63 |
| 118 | California | Pac-12 | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.15 | -20.8 | 15.09 | 1.85 | -0.85 |
| 119 | New Mexico State | FBS Independents | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.28 | -24.7 | 10.9 | 1.42 | -0.42 |
| 120 | Idaho | FBS Independents | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.35 | -26.9 | 12.11 | 1.09 | -0.09 |
| 121 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 0-9 | 0 | -2.26 | -14.78 | 14.16 | 2.09 | -2.09 |
| 122 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 0-9 | 0 | -2.33 | -19.78 | 6.45 | 1.25 | -1.25 |
| 123 | UConn | American Athletic | 0-8 | 0 | -2.44 | -19 | 13.52 | 1.05 | -1.05 |
| 124 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 0-9 | 0 | -2.54 | -23.89 | 10.21 | 0.47 | -0.47 |
| 125 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 0-9 | 0 | -2.81 | -30.89 | 13.01 | 0.46 | -0.46 |