Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:35.803101+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Florida State | ACC | 10-0 | 1 | 25.73 | 41.6 | 10.34 | 9.76 | 0.24 |
| 2 | Alabama | SEC | 10-0 | 1 | 25.62 | 28.6 | 11.23 | 9.6 | 0.4 |
| 3 | Baylor | Big 12 | 9-0 | 1 | 25.53 | 43.78 | 9.2 | 8.56 | 0.44 |
| 4 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 10-0 | 1 | 25.15 | 30.6 | 8.66 | 9.08 | 0.92 |
| 5 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 9-0 | 1 | 24.24 | 17.44 | 6.22 | 6.89 | 2.11 |
| 6 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 10-0 | 1 | 23.89 | 19.4 | 4.19 | 7.95 | 2.05 |
| 7 | Auburn | SEC | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.05 | 17 | 10.66 | 8.75 | 1.25 |
| 8 | Missouri | SEC | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.99 | 21.1 | 10.65 | 8.45 | 0.55 |
| 9 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.98 | 32.7 | 8.82 | 9.2 | -0.2 |
| 10 | Clemson | ACC | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.92 | 19.7 | 10.63 | 8.23 | 0.77 |
| 11 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.58 | 21.4 | 8.45 | 8.57 | 0.43 |
| 12 | Louisville | American Athletic | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.44 | 25.8 | 6.93 | 9.47 | -0.47 |
| 13 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.39 | 17.7 | 8.2 | 8.82 | 0.18 |
| 14 | UCF | American Athletic | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.25 | 14.67 | 9.3 | 7.04 | 0.96 |
| 15 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 8-2 | 0.8 | 21.1 | 10.9 | 15.5 | 7.41 | 0.59 |
| 16 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.96 | 17.9 | 13.06 | 7.87 | 0.13 |
| 17 | Texas A&M | SEC | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.66 | 18.3 | 11.03 | 7.51 | 0.49 |
| 18 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.66 | 24.5 | 9.84 | 9.17 | -1.17 |
| 19 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.61 | 13.3 | 12.29 | 7.42 | 0.58 |
| 20 | South Carolina | SEC | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.44 | 9.5 | 12.73 | 7.06 | 0.94 |
| 21 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.31 | 10.7 | 11.4 | 7.33 | 0.67 |
| 22 | Ball State | Mid-American | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.17 | 12.91 | 6.48 | 7.96 | 1.04 |
| 23 | Duke | ACC | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.11 | 11.9 | 9.76 | 7.29 | 0.71 |
| 24 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 8-2 | 0.8 | 19.84 | 7.3 | 10.07 | 6.56 | 1.44 |
| 25 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 8-2 | 0.8 | 19.81 | 20 | 5.61 | 8.26 | -0.26 |
| 26 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 8-2 | 0.8 | 19.62 | 11.7 | 6.72 | 7.06 | 0.94 |
| 27 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 8-2 | 0.8 | 19.11 | 16.6 | 2.23 | 8.19 | -0.19 |
| 28 | USC | Pac-12 | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.78 | 8.82 | 12.96 | 7.8 | 0.2 |
| 29 | BYU | FBS Independents | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.33 | 12.5 | 12.85 | 7.52 | -0.52 |
| 30 | LSU | SEC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.21 | 14.4 | 11.09 | 7.56 | -0.56 |
| 31 | Houston | American Athletic | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.14 | 13.8 | 10.35 | 7.62 | -0.62 |
| 32 | North Texas | Conference USA | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.09 | 13.7 | 10.6 | 7.87 | -0.87 |
| 33 | Ole Miss | SEC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.09 | 9.5 | 12.72 | 6.82 | 0.18 |
| 34 | Michigan | Big Ten | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.03 | 9.1 | 12.38 | 6.75 | 0.25 |
| 35 | Boise State | Mountain West | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.96 | 15.5 | 9.28 | 7.69 | -0.69 |
| 36 | Miami | ACC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.95 | 9 | 11.12 | 6.72 | 0.28 |
| 37 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.81 | 10.5 | 9.45 | 6.99 | 0.01 |
| 38 | Texas | Big 12 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.71 | 6.3 | 11.24 | 6.26 | 0.74 |
| 39 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.67 | 4.7 | 12.88 | 6.06 | 0.94 |
| 40 | Marshall | Conference USA | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.63 | 20.6 | 5.55 | 8.26 | -1.26 |
| 41 | Toledo | Mid-American | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.56 | 7.3 | 10.3 | 6.35 | 0.65 |
| 42 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.51 | 18 | 5.5 | 8.65 | -1.65 |
| 43 | Rice | Conference USA | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.49 | 8.6 | 8.99 | 6.82 | 0.18 |
| 44 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.38 | 8.2 | 7.64 | 6.69 | 0.31 |
| 45 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.65 | 5.64 | 14.41 | 7.18 | -0.18 |
| 46 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.32 | 7.18 | 10.51 | 6.86 | 0.14 |
| 47 | Washington | Pac-12 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 16.06 | 12.9 | 12.32 | 7.37 | -1.37 |
| 48 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 16.04 | 11.5 | 12.85 | 7.28 | -1.28 |
| 49 | Georgia | SEC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.76 | 5.6 | 14.83 | 5.99 | 0.01 |
| 50 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.67 | 10.6 | 11.21 | 7.09 | -1.09 |
| 51 | Utah State | Mountain West | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.67 | 16.5 | 8.38 | 8.11 | -2.11 |
| 52 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.55 | 10.8 | 9.28 | 7.19 | -1.19 |
| 53 | Iowa | Big Ten | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.49 | 7.9 | 11.23 | 6.97 | -0.97 |
| 54 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.19 | 7.2 | 8.75 | 6.32 | -0.32 |
| 55 | Navy | FBS Independents | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.1 | 6.8 | 9.33 | 6.38 | -0.38 |
| 56 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.04 | 4.8 | 10.64 | 5.97 | 0.03 |
| 57 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.85 | 3.7 | 10.58 | 5.8 | 0.2 |
| 58 | Penn State | Big Ten | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.81 | 2.6 | 12.14 | 5.55 | 0.45 |
| 59 | Western Kentucky | Sun Belt | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.52 | 4.1 | 6.8 | 5.87 | 0.13 |
| 60 | Ohio | Mid-American | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.48 | 1.9 | 9.3 | 5.43 | 0.57 |
| 61 | Boston College | ACC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.01 | 0.7 | 10.51 | 5.15 | 0.85 |
| 62 | Tulane | Conference USA | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14 | 0.9 | 8.86 | 5.22 | 0.78 |
| 63 | Maryland | ACC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 13.74 | 0.5 | 8.58 | 5.12 | 0.88 |
| 64 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 6-4 | 0.6 | 13.62 | 0.2 | 8.76 | 5.04 | 0.96 |
| 65 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 6-4 | 0.6 | 13.58 | 0.4 | 6.47 | 5.09 | 0.91 |
| 66 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.46 | 5 | 6.61 | 6.45 | -0.45 |
| 67 | North Carolina | ACC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.74 | 2.7 | 14.28 | 5.6 | -0.6 |
| 68 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 6-4 | 0.6 | 12.34 | -2.7 | 7.98 | 4.47 | 1.53 |
| 69 | Rutgers | American Athletic | 5-4 | 0.56 | 11.94 | -2.11 | 9.96 | 4.13 | 0.87 |
| 70 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.31 | -0.5 | 12.29 | 4.89 | 0.11 |
| 71 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.71 | -1.9 | 13.15 | 4.63 | 0.37 |
| 72 | Utah | Pac-12 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 10.49 | 1.9 | 16.3 | 5.4 | -1.4 |
| 73 | Syracuse | ACC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.38 | -4.1 | 12.16 | 4.02 | 0.98 |
| 74 | UTSA | Conference USA | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.29 | -3.7 | 11.96 | 4.21 | 0.79 |
| 75 | San José State | Mountain West | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.19 | -3.6 | 9.54 | 4.28 | 0.72 |
| 76 | Mississippi State | SEC | 4-6 | 0.4 | 10.08 | 1 | 15.13 | 5.22 | -1.22 |
| 77 | Florida | SEC | 4-6 | 0.4 | 10 | 0.9 | 14.62 | 5.27 | -1.27 |
| 78 | UNLV | Mountain West | 5-5 | 0.5 | 9.9 | -4.9 | 9.39 | 4.08 | 0.92 |
| 79 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 4-6 | 0.4 | 9.84 | 1 | 12.15 | 5.22 | -1.22 |
| 80 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 5-5 | 0.5 | 9.74 | -7.6 | 11.01 | 3.32 | 1.68 |
| 81 | Indiana | Big Ten | 4-6 | 0.4 | 9.7 | 0.3 | 14.31 | 5.05 | -1.05 |
| 82 | Troy | Sun Belt | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.12 | -3.27 | 9.59 | 4.89 | 0.11 |
| 83 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.62 | -1 | 12.71 | 4.76 | -0.76 |
| 84 | TCU | Big 12 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 8.35 | 0.09 | 11 | 5.52 | -1.52 |
| 85 | SMU | American Athletic | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.31 | -5.67 | 8.29 | 3.65 | 0.35 |
| 86 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.9 | -4 | 9.96 | 4.28 | -0.28 |
| 87 | Tennessee | SEC | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.78 | -7.1 | 15.74 | 3.56 | 0.44 |
| 88 | Wake Forest | ACC | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.66 | -6 | 11.86 | 3.34 | 0.66 |
| 89 | Memphis | American Athletic | 3-6 | 0.33 | 7.58 | 0.11 | 11.96 | 4.53 | -1.53 |
| 90 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.36 | -5.5 | 5.06 | 3.63 | 0.37 |
| 91 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 6.98 | -12.9 | 10.77 | 2.77 | 1.23 |
| 92 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 4-6 | 0.4 | 6.92 | -13.3 | 10.03 | 2.3 | 1.7 |
| 93 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.82 | -1.56 | 9.26 | 4.21 | -1.21 |
| 94 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.7 | -6.91 | 12.09 | 3.94 | 0.06 |
| 95 | Nevada | Mountain West | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.46 | -7.73 | 11.24 | 3.92 | 0.08 |
| 96 | Akron | Mid-American | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.35 | -9.36 | 11.65 | 3.09 | 0.91 |
| 97 | NC State | ACC | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.46 | -5.4 | 11.69 | 3.75 | -0.75 |
| 98 | Illinois | Big Ten | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.36 | -7 | 13.61 | 3.79 | -0.79 |
| 99 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.36 | -5.1 | 8.53 | 4.2 | -1.2 |
| 100 | Army | FBS Independents | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.3 | -5.2 | 8.37 | 3.87 | -0.87 |
| 101 | Arkansas | SEC | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.01 | -11 | 13.95 | 2.65 | 0.35 |
| 102 | Kansas | Big 12 | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.72 | -14.3 | 13.79 | 1.94 | 1.06 |
| 103 | Kent State | Mid-American | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.21 | -9.55 | 10.41 | 3 | 0 |
| 104 | Kentucky | SEC | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.97 | -7.3 | 12.99 | 3.33 | -1.33 |
| 105 | South Florida | American Athletic | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.84 | -15.56 | 11.28 | 1.39 | 0.61 |
| 106 | Virginia | ACC | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.54 | -13.3 | 14.95 | 2.34 | -0.34 |
| 107 | Tulsa | Conference USA | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.52 | -13.2 | 12.68 | 2.46 | -0.46 |
| 108 | Air Force | Mountain West | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.51 | -11.9 | 9.28 | 2.92 | -0.92 |
| 109 | UTEP | Conference USA | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.31 | -13.8 | 9.55 | 2.55 | -0.55 |
| 110 | UAB | Conference USA | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.28 | -17.2 | 9.98 | 2.27 | -0.27 |
| 111 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.05 | -23.3 | 12.15 | 1.45 | 0.55 |
| 112 | Temple | American Athletic | 1-9 | 0.1 | 0.63 | -7.2 | 11.75 | 3.48 | -2.48 |
| 113 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.02 | -17.6 | 13.81 | 1.93 | -0.93 |
| 114 | Massachusetts | Mid-American | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.09 | -19.1 | 10.08 | 0.92 | 0.08 |
| 115 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.28 | -18.18 | 9.67 | 1.71 | -0.71 |
| 116 | New Mexico State | FBS Independents | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.29 | -24.7 | 11.58 | 1.42 | -0.42 |
| 117 | Purdue | Big Ten | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.31 | -25.3 | 16.6 | 0.69 | 0.31 |
| 118 | Florida International | Conference USA | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.36 | -27.4 | 8.91 | 0.43 | 0.57 |
| 119 | Idaho | FBS Independents | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.36 | -26.9 | 12.28 | 1.09 | -0.09 |
| 120 | California | Pac-12 | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.38 | -20.45 | 14.01 | 2.06 | -1.06 |
| 121 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 0-10 | 0 | -2.21 | -14 | 13.96 | 2.4 | -2.4 |
| 122 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 0-10 | 0 | -2.32 | -19.2 | 7.41 | 1.47 | -1.47 |
| 123 | UConn | American Athletic | 0-9 | 0 | -2.4 | -18.78 | 12.54 | 1.25 | -1.25 |
| 124 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 0-10 | 0 | -2.5 | -23.3 | 9.18 | 0.51 | -0.51 |
| 125 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 0-10 | 0 | -2.8 | -31.2 | 12.7 | 0.47 | -0.47 |